Thursday, October 24, 2013

Week 9: Undefeated ... but for how long? -- RBA


Odds as of games through 2013-10-20




Legitimate Title Contenders

Alabama Crimson Tide
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2013 0.930 1 0.548 22 26.9 4 5.9 1 156.0 125

Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2013/08/31  50 Virginia Tech 10 vs   1 Alabama 35 157 95.7%
2013/09/14   1 Alabama 49 at  13 Texas A&M 42 167 82.2%
2013/09/21 104 Colorado St. 6 at   1 Alabama 31 138 99.2%
2013/09/28  18 Mississippi 0 at   2 Alabama 25 152 89.6%
2013/10/05 125 Georgia State 3 at   1 Alabama 45 134 99.9%
2013/10/12   1 Alabama 48 at  73 Kentucky 7 158 96.9%
2013/10/19  41 Arkansas 0 at   1 Alabama 52 142 89.1%
2013/10/26  57 Tennessee 14 at   1 Alabama 42 158 94.5%
2013/11/09   6 LSU 20 at   1 Alabama 34 158 74.7%
2013/11/16   1 Alabama 41 at  28 Mississippi St. 14 159 87.5%
2013/11/30   1 Alabama 35 at  45 Auburn 17 157 92.7%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-1.7
Most difficult game left: November 9, vs LSU Tigers, 74.7%



Florida State Seminoles
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2013 0.885 2 0.548 21 28.3 2 9.4 5 165.6 83

Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2013/09/02   4 Florida St. 41 at  48 Pittsburgh 13 140 21.5%
2013/09/14  73 Nevada 7 at   2 Florida St. 62 154 87.7%
2013/09/28   1 Florida St. 48 at  91 Boston College 34 163 94.8%
2013/10/05  40 Maryland 0 at   5 Florida St. 63 170 94.2%
2013/10/19   2 Florida St. 51 at   9 Clemson 14 188 52.7%
2013/10/26  54 North Carolina St. 14 at   2 Florida St. 38 167 89.5%
2013/11/02  32 Miami-FL 17 at   2 Florida St. 38 164 82.1%
2013/11/09   2 Florida St. 45 at  94 Wake Forest 17 166 96.9%
2013/11/16  50 Syracuse 10 at   2 Florida St. 45 165 88.2%
2013/11/23 120 Idaho 17 at   2 Florida St. 59 167 99.2%
2013/11/30   2 Florida St. 28 at   7 Florida 20 163 67.7%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-2.4
Most difficult game left: November 30, at Florida Gators, 67.7%



Second-Tier Hopefuls

Oregon Ducks
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2013 0.878 3 0.529 53 28.2 3 10.8 8 177.5 3

Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2013/09/07   5 Oregon 59 at  82 Virginia 10 186 93.1%
2013/09/14  40 Tennessee 14 at   3 Oregon 59 175 86.2%
2013/09/28  68 California 16 at   3 Oregon 55 206 93.1%
2013/10/05   2 Oregon 57 at 104 Colorado 16 194 98.0%
2013/10/12   2 Oregon 45 at  34 Washington 24 183 85.0%
2013/10/19  66 Washington St. 38 at   3 Oregon 62 210 91.7%
2013/10/26  19 UCLA 21 at   3 Oregon 38 173 74.8%
2013/11/07   3 Oregon 31 at  14 Stanford 27 172 74.1%
2013/11/16  53 Utah 21 at   3 Oregon 41 171 88.5%
2013/11/23   3 Oregon 41 at  44 Arizona 21 174 86.5%
2013/11/29  34 Oregon St. 27 at   3 Oregon 42 174 82.8%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-2.8
Most difficult game left: November 7, at Stanford Cardinal, 74.1%



Northern Illinois Huskies
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2013 0.610 46 0.435 118 18.2 40 14.5 49 166.6 71

Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2013/08/31  46 Northern Ill. 30 at  69 Iowa 27 198 65.2%
2013/09/14  53 Northern Ill. 45 at 123 Idaho 35 200 95.7%
2013/09/28  52 Northern Ill. 55 at  82 Purdue 24 175 69.3%
2013/10/05  49 Northern Ill. 38 at  87 Kent St. 24 187 74.8%
2013/10/12 117 Akron 20 at  45 Northern Ill. 27 202 88.2%
2013/10/19  46 Northern Ill. 38 at 114 Central Michigan 17 170 91.2%
2013/10/26 119 Eastern Michigan 14 at  46 Northern Ill. 42 165 93.3%
2013/11/02  46 Northern Ill. 38 at 124 Massachusetts 17 165 96.4%
2013/11/13  63 Ball St. 24 at  46 Northern Ill. 34 167 62.6%
2013/11/20  46 Northern Ill. 31 at  68 Toledo 24 167 67.2%
2013/11/26 118 Western Michigan 14 at  46 Northern Ill. 42 168 92.3%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-2.9
Most difficult game left: November 13, vs Ball State Cardinals, 62.6%



Long Shots

Ohio State Buckeyes
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2013 0.755 15 0.528 55 23.1 10 13.1 30 160.1 119

Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2013/08/31 111 Buffalo 20 at  17 Ohio St. 40 163 91.9%
2013/09/07  51 SDSU 7 at  16 Ohio St. 42 164 65.0%
2013/09/14  15 Ohio St. 52 at  68 California 34 206 78.9%
2013/09/28   8 Wisconsin 24 at  11 Ohio St. 31 159 53.6%
2013/10/05  14 Ohio St. 40 at  33 Northwestern 30 172 61.9%
2013/10/19  22 Iowa 24 at  15 Ohio St. 34 156 53.4%
2013/10/26  31 Penn State 24 at  15 Ohio St. 35 162 58.3%
2013/11/02  15 Ohio St. 38 at  95 Purdue 20 166 90.1%
2013/11/16  15 Ohio St. 38 at  64 Illinois 24 164 78.9%
2013/11/23  65 Indiana 24 at  15 Ohio St. 41 165 79.0%
2013/11/30  15 Ohio St. 32 at  18 Michigan 31 163 50.6%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-6.0
Most difficult game left: November 30, at Michigan Wolverines, 50.6%



Fresno State Bulldogs
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2013 0.578 52 0.494 69 20.4 25 17.2 75 168.3 51

Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2013/08/29  35 Rutgers 51 at  53 Fresno St. 52 209 50.1%
2013/09/14  54 Fresno St. 41 at 113 Colorado 24 167 88.8%
2013/09/20  42 Boise St. 40 at  51 Fresno St. 41 212 56.8%
2013/09/28  49 Fresno St. 42 at 108 Hawaii 37 210 81.8%
2013/10/05  55 Fresno St. 61 at 120 Idaho 14 213 94.9%
2013/10/19 110 UNLV 14 at  52 Fresno St. 38 179 83.6%
2013/10/26  52 Fresno St. 31 at  67 SDSU 28 168 61.7%
2013/11/02  82 Nevada 24 at  52 Fresno St. 41 170 72.7%
2013/11/09  52 Fresno St. 34 at  75 Wyoming 31 168 65.7%
2013/11/23 101 New Mexico 17 at  52 Fresno St. 45 166 82.4%
2013/11/29  52 Fresno St. 34 at  78 SJSU 27 167 67.5%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-6.1
Most difficult game left: October 26, at San Diego State Aztecs, 61.7%



Missouri Tigers
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2013 0.750 17 0.527 57 22.1 15 12.8 26 174.3 9

Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2013/09/07  71 Toledo 23 at  32 Missouri 38 163 69.7%
2013/09/21  35 Missouri 45 at  63 Indiana 28 209 80.3%
2013/09/28  72 Arkansas St. 19 at  33 Missouri 41 173 74.4%
2013/10/05  34 Missouri 51 at  44 Vanderbilt 28 176 44.1%
2013/10/12  23 Missouri 41 at  20 Georgia 26 175 41.0%
2013/10/19   7 Florida 17 at  17 Missouri 36 166 64.0%
2013/10/26  11 South Carolina 27 at  17 Missouri 31 166 57.4%
2013/11/02  57 Tennessee 21 at  17 Missouri 41 168 73.6%
2013/11/09  17 Missouri 38 at  74 Kentucky 21 169 82.0%
2013/11/23  17 Missouri 28 at  30 Mississippi 31 169 43.0%
2013/11/30   8 Texas A&M 34 at  17 Missouri 35 174 57.9%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-11.6
Most difficult game left: November 23, at Mississippi Rebels, 43.0%



Baylor Bears
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2013 0.786 10 0.561 6 30.2 1 13.1 31 174.9 6

Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2013/09/07 107 Buffalo 13 at  34 Baylor 70 187 87.0%
2013/09/21  93 LA-Monroe 7 at  21 Baylor 70 190 78.1%
2013/10/05  57 West Virginia 42 at  12 Baylor 73 205 75.3%
2013/10/12  11 Baylor 35 at  28 Kansas St. 25 165 40.8%
2013/10/19  55 Iowa St. 7 at  10 Baylor 71 185 76.3%
2013/10/26  10 Baylor 52 at 107 Kansas 17 173 94.1%
2013/11/07   4 Oklahoma 31 at  10 Baylor 34 173 62.9%
2013/11/16  38 Texas Tech 27 vs  10 Baylor 42 177 67.6%
2013/11/23  10 Baylor 31 at  25 Oklahoma St. 34 174 35.7%
2013/11/30  10 Baylor 34 at  36 TCU 28 171 67.1%
2013/12/07  33 Texas 28 at  10 Baylor 41 171 66.5%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-15.7
Most difficult game left: November 23, at Oklahoma State Cowboys, 35.7%



Absolute Phonies

Miami Hurricanes
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2013 0.687 32 0.552 13 20.2 27 13.7 39 163.4 106

Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2013/08/30 115 FL-Atlantic 6 at  51 Miami-FL 34 173 87.3%
2013/09/07  11 Florida 16 at  42 Miami-FL 21 158 30.2%
2013/09/28  35 Miami-FL 49 at 106 South Florida 21 159 77.6%
2013/10/05  47 Georgia Tech 30 at  36 Miami-FL 45 157 50.1%
2013/10/17  32 Miami-FL 27 at  61 North Carolina 23 188 67.8%
2013/10/26  94 Wake Forest 17 at  32 Miami-FL 38 165 87.3%
2013/11/02  32 Miami-FL 17 at   2 Florida St. 38 164 17.9%
2013/11/09  43 Virginia Tech 21 at  32 Miami-FL 28 161 58.4%
2013/11/16  32 Miami-FL 41 at  70 Duke 27 165 76.7%
2013/11/23  90 Virginia 17 at  32 Miami-FL 38 164 83.9%
2013/11/29  32 Miami-FL 28 at  59 Pittsburgh 24 163 68.4%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-24.9
Most difficult game left: November 2, at Florida State Seminoles, 17.9%



What are YOU doing here??

Texas Tech Red Raiders
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2013 0.664 38 0.535 44 19.3 32 13.4 33 180.2 1

Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2013/08/30  58 Texas Tech 41 at  63 SMU 23 216 36.8%
2013/09/12  32 TCU 10 at  50 Texas Tech 20 187 34.4%
2013/09/21  89 Texas State 7 at  43 Texas Tech 33 192 77.6%
2013/10/05  41 Texas Tech 54 at 100 Kansas 16 211 88.7%
2013/10/12  56 Iowa St. 35 at  37 Texas Tech 42 216 63.3%
2013/10/19  38 Texas Tech 37 at  60 West Virginia 27 190 64.3%
2013/10/26  38 Texas Tech 21 at   4 Oklahoma 38 175 22.0%
2013/11/02  25 Oklahoma St. 31 at  38 Texas Tech 28 177 46.3%
2013/11/09  27 Kansas St. 32 at  38 Texas Tech 31 172 44.5%
2013/11/16  38 Texas Tech 27 vs  10 Baylor 42 177 32.4%
2013/11/28  38 Texas Tech 27 at  33 Texas 34 174 48.7%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-139.8
Most difficult game left: October 26, at Oklahoma Sooners, 22.0%


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