Saturday, December 9, 2017

Week 16: Saturday Predictions

 57Navy28
 61Army26
 61Navy31
 72Army27


Key
Close
game
                        Certain
victory
                       


Follow us on Twitter at @TFGridiron and @TFGLiveOdds.

Monday, December 4, 2017

Week 16: Top 25 — TFG

Mouse over column headers for definitions, or see this page
Rank +/- Team WinPct SoS Adjusted
Off. Def. Pace
1 -- Alabama  ( 10 - 1 ) 0.958 0.617 21 24.5 5 7.6 1 164.1 101
2 +4 Clemson  ( 11 - 1 ) 0.940 0.646 10 23.6 10 8.4 2 171.3 57
3 +2 Georgia  ( 11 - 1 ) 0.937 0.629 15 23.8 8 8.6 3 155.3 127
4 -2 Wisconsin  ( 12 - 1 ) 0.936 0.583 42 24.1 7 8.8 4 154.8 129
5 -1 Penn State  ( 10 - 2 ) 0.927 0.557 52 26.8 3 10.3 8 170.5 62
6 +1 Ohio St.  ( 11 - 2 ) 0.922 0.622 18 27.3 2 10.8 9 176.1 35
7 -4 Auburn  ( 9 - 3 ) 0.919 0.706 2 23.4 11 9.4 6 171.4 56
8 -- Washington  ( 9 - 2 ) 0.894 0.521 64 24.3 6 10.9 10 160.6 110
9 -- Oklahoma  ( 12 - 1 ) 0.865 0.564 49 30.3 1 15.1 43 170.3 64
10 +1 Virginia Tech  ( 8 - 3 ) 0.841 0.527 62 17.3 60 9.2 5 168.9 76
11 -1 TCU  ( 9 - 3 ) 0.812 0.601 29 17.7 57 10.2 7 170.4 63
12 +1 Iowa  ( 7 - 5 ) 0.812 0.654 7 20.8 19 12.0 15 165.3 95
13 -1 Notre Dame  ( 9 - 3 ) 0.809 0.652 8 23.0 12 13.4 27 174.3 44
14 +2 LSU  ( 8 - 3 ) 0.794 0.617 20 18.5 45 11.2 11 156.9 124
15 -- Stanford  ( 9 - 4 ) 0.794 0.589 39 21.6 17 13.0 24 157.7 121
16 +1 Michigan  ( 8 - 4 ) 0.789 0.603 27 18.9 35 11.5 13 159.3 116
17 +1 Northwestern  ( 9 - 3 ) 0.783 0.549 56 18.2 50 11.2 12 179.7 21
18 +1 Mississippi St.  ( 7 - 4 ) 0.773 0.619 19 20.5 23 12.9 22 165.5 94
19 +1 Oklahoma St.  ( 9 - 3 ) 0.764 0.528 61 26.0 4 16.7 59 187.3 2
20 -6 Miami-FL  ( 9 - 2 ) 0.756 0.625 17 18.9 36 12.4 19 169.3 72
21 -- UCF  ( 11 - 0 ) 0.754 0.446 81 21.9 15 14.4 35 175.8 38
22 -- USC  ( 11 - 2 ) 0.753 0.587 41 21.8 16 14.3 32 176.0 37
23 -- Iowa St.  ( 6 - 5 ) 0.735 0.579 46 17.7 58 12.1 17 169.6 70
24 NA Louisville  ( 7 - 4 ) 0.728 0.526 63 23.6 9 16.3 52 169.0 75
25 -- Boise St.  ( 10 - 3 ) 0.721 0.443 83 20.6 20 14.4 36 169.9 65
Rankings through games of 2017-12-03

New entries: Louisville.

Dropped out: SDSU.


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Week 16: Full Rankings — TFG

Biggest jumps: Appalachian St. (0.076); Florida St. (0.049); FIU (0.041); Idaho (0.037); Coastal Carolina (0.025)

Biggest drops: Miami-FL (-0.056); LA-Lafayette (-0.048); TCU (-0.032); LA-Monroe (-0.029); Georgia Southern (-0.026)

Full rankings after the jump.

Week 16: Top 25 — RBA

Mouse over column headers for definitions, or see this page
Rank +/- Team WinPct SoS Adjusted
Off. Def. Pace
1 -- Alabama  ( 10 - 1 ) 0.945 0.555 9 26.2 2 6.3 1 158.0 130
2 -- Wisconsin  ( 12 - 1 ) 0.876 0.535 48 21.8 19 8.4 4 160.5 122
3 +1 Ohio St.  ( 11 - 2 ) 0.858 0.534 51 26.1 3 10.0 9 162.7 116
4 +1 Clemson  ( 11 - 1 ) 0.854 0.539 39 21.3 21 8.1 2 170.2 42
5 -2 Penn State  ( 10 - 2 ) 0.851 0.537 41 25.3 5 9.3 5 165.5 93
6 +1 Georgia  ( 11 - 1 ) 0.851 0.545 28 24.5 7 9.9 8 160.1 124
7 -1 Auburn  ( 9 - 3 ) 0.837 0.562 3 23.0 10 10.3 11 161.8 119
8 -- Washington  ( 9 - 2 ) 0.832 0.544 29 23.0 11 9.9 7 168.3 63
9 -- TCU  ( 9 - 3 ) 0.822 0.499 66 20.9 24 10.1 10 171.3 32
10 +1 Michigan  ( 8 - 4 ) 0.817 0.550 15 20.6 25 9.5 6 164.4 104
11 -1 Virginia Tech  ( 8 - 3 ) 0.817 0.521 57 18.0 51 8.3 3 162.4 118
12 -- Oklahoma  ( 12 - 1 ) 0.797 0.543 30 28.0 1 13.3 30 172.4 21
13 -- USC  ( 11 - 2 ) 0.788 0.535 47 21.8 18 11.0 14 168.2 65
14 -- Oklahoma St.  ( 9 - 3 ) 0.784 0.548 22 26.1 4 14.4 44 176.7 5
15 +1 Stanford  ( 9 - 4 ) 0.771 0.543 33 20.9 23 11.2 17 164.5 102
16 -1 Notre Dame  ( 9 - 3 ) 0.765 0.566 2 21.9 15 12.2 21 165.0 98
17 -- LSU  ( 8 - 3 ) 0.733 0.556 7 20.2 29 11.8 19 159.8 125
18 -- Iowa St.  ( 6 - 5 ) 0.728 0.550 16 18.0 52 10.9 13 172.1 26
19 -- Washington St.  ( 8 - 3 ) 0.728 0.541 34 21.8 17 13.0 26 174.6 10
20 +1 Texas A&M  ( 6 - 5 ) 0.711 0.547 24 21.9 16 14.1 39 174.5 11
21 +1 Mississippi St.  ( 7 - 4 ) 0.711 0.559 5 20.5 26 13.2 28 164.6 101
22 +1 Northwestern  ( 9 - 3 ) 0.706 0.519 59 17.7 55 10.6 12 176.4 6
23 +2 Texas  ( 6 - 6 ) 0.695 0.534 50 18.3 46 12.3 23 171.3 30
24 -4 Miami-FL  ( 9 - 2 ) 0.684 0.549 20 19.5 38 12.3 22 164.4 105
25 -1 Boise St.  ( 10 - 3 ) 0.682 0.453 105 19.4 39 13.7 36 169.8 44
Rankings through games of 2017-12-03

New entries: none.

Dropped out: none.


Follow us on Twitter at @TFGridiron and @TFGLiveOdds.

Week 16: Full Rankings — RBA

Biggest jumps: FIU (0.104); Toledo (0.075); Fresno St. (0.041); Florida St. (0.029); Wisconsin (0.023)

Biggest drops: Miami-FL (-0.039); Boise St. (-0.027); Georgia State (-0.017); Troy (-0.017); South Alabama (-0.012)

Full rankings after the jump.

Saturday, December 2, 2017

Week 15: Saturday Predictions

 54Appalachian St.31
109LA-Lafayette24
 80Appalachian St.38
116LA-Lafayette20

 51Arkansas St.27
 36Troy28
 82Arkansas St.27
 60Troy31

  3Auburn27
  5Georgia26
  6Auburn24
  7Georgia21

  6Clemson29
 14Miami-FL25
  5Clemson24
 20Miami-FL21

113Coastal Carolina28
101Georgia Southern30
106Coastal Carolina28
118Georgia Southern27

 94FIU31
 95Massachusetts29
112FIU31
 90Massachusetts28

 43FL-Atlantic38
 82North Texas33
 64FL-Atlantic38
 95North Texas27

 47Florida St.36
106LA-Monroe28
 56Florida St.38
103LA-Monroe20

114Georgia State24
107Idaho25
122Georgia State28
107Idaho24

110New Mexico St.30
118South Alabama28
110New Mexico St.34
108South Alabama24

  9Oklahoma33
 10TCU28
 12Oklahoma35
  9TCU28

 35Toledo31
102Akron24
 69Toledo38
111Akron20

 21UCF33
 27Memphis32
 29UCF35
 43Memphis28

  2Wisconsin30
  7Ohio St.28
  2Wisconsin31
  4Ohio St.21


Key
Close
game
                        Certain
victory
                       


Follow us on Twitter at @TFGridiron and @TFGLiveOdds.

Friday, December 1, 2017

Week 15: Friday Predictions

 22USC28
 15Stanford29
 13USC32
 16Stanford31


Key
Close
game
                        Certain
victory
                       


Follow us on Twitter at @TFGridiron and @TFGLiveOdds.

Thursday, November 30, 2017

Week 15 TFG Projections: SEC,Pac-12,Mountain West,Sun Belt

Projected conference champions
  • Mountain West: Boise St.
  • Pac-12: Stanford
  • SEC: Auburn
  • Sun Belt: Troy
Full projected conference standings after the jump.

Week 15 RBA Projections: SEC,Pac-12,Mountain West,Sun Belt

Projected conference champions
  • Mountain West: Boise St.
  • Pac-12: Washington
  • SEC: Auburn
  • Sun Belt: Troy
Full projected conference standings after the jump.

Wednesday, November 29, 2017

Week 15 TFG Projections: Big Ten,Big XII,Mid-American,Independents

Projected conference champions
  • Big Ten: Wisconsin
  • Big XII: Oklahoma
  • Independents: Massachusetts
  • Mid-American: Toledo
Full projected conference standings after the jump.

Week 15 RBA Projections: Big Ten,Big XII,Mid-American,Independents

Projected conference champions
  • Big Ten: Wisconsin
  • Big XII: Oklahoma
  • Independents: Massachusetts
  • Mid-American: Toledo
Full projected conference standings after the jump.

Tuesday, November 28, 2017

Week 15 TFG Projections: ACC,American Athletic,Conference-USA

Projected conference champions
  • ACC: Clemson
  • American Athletic: UCF
  • Conference-USA: FL-Atlantic
Full projected conference standings after the jump.

Week 15 RBA Projections: ACC,American Athletic,Conference-USA

Projected conference champions
  • ACC: Clemson
  • American Athletic: UCF
  • Conference-USA: FL-Atlantic
Full projected conference standings after the jump.

Week 15: Undefeated ... but for how long? — TFG

Odds as of games through 2017-11-26

Week 15: Undefeated ... but for how long? — RBA

Odds as of games through 2017-11-26

Monday, November 27, 2017

Week 15: Top 25 — TFG

Mouse over column headers for definitions, or see this page
Rank +/- Team WinPct SoS Adjusted
Off. Def. Pace
1 -- Alabama  ( 10 - 1 ) 0.959 0.624 17 24.4 7 7.5 1 164.0 101
2 -- Wisconsin  ( 12 - 0 ) 0.942 0.531 61 24.6 6 8.6 2 153.7 129
3 -- Auburn  ( 9 - 2 ) 0.936 0.674 3 24.7 5 9.0 3 171.8 54
4 +2 Penn State  ( 10 - 2 ) 0.927 0.558 50 26.8 3 10.3 8 170.7 61
5 -- Georgia  ( 10 - 1 ) 0.924 0.592 32 23.2 10 9.1 6 155.6 126
6 +1 Clemson  ( 10 - 1 ) 0.920 0.629 14 22.6 12 9.0 4 172.1 52
7 -3 Ohio St.  ( 10 - 2 ) 0.917 0.576 41 27.0 2 11.0 10 174.8 41
8 -- Washington  ( 9 - 2 ) 0.895 0.524 63 24.3 8 10.9 9 160.7 111
9 +1 Oklahoma  ( 11 - 1 ) 0.848 0.548 55 29.3 1 15.4 45 171.2 59
10 -1 TCU  ( 9 - 2 ) 0.844 0.558 49 18.0 53 9.5 7 171.2 58
11 +2 Virginia Tech  ( 8 - 3 ) 0.843 0.533 59 17.2 58 9.1 5 168.7 77
12 -- Notre Dame  ( 9 - 3 ) 0.815 0.656 9 23.1 11 13.2 25 174.1 44
13 +3 Iowa  ( 7 - 5 ) 0.815 0.657 8 20.8 21 11.9 15 165.5 95
14 -3 Miami-FL  ( 9 - 1 ) 0.812 0.576 42 20.5 23 11.8 14 170.5 63
15 +3 Stanford  ( 9 - 3 ) 0.804 0.573 44 21.6 15 12.7 20 158.1 121
16 +1 LSU  ( 8 - 3 ) 0.799 0.626 16 18.7 43 11.1 11 157.0 124
17 -2 Michigan  ( 8 - 4 ) 0.790 0.604 25 18.9 39 11.5 13 159.6 115
18 +4 Northwestern  ( 9 - 3 ) 0.786 0.553 54 18.2 52 11.2 12 179.8 19
19 -5 Mississippi St.  ( 7 - 4 ) 0.782 0.629 13 20.8 22 12.9 22 165.6 93
20 -1 Oklahoma St.  ( 9 - 3 ) 0.766 0.528 62 26.0 4 16.7 59 187.0 2
21 -- UCF  ( 10 - 0 ) 0.763 0.413 86 21.6 16 13.9 29 174.1 43
22 -2 USC  ( 10 - 2 ) 0.748 0.567 45 21.4 17 14.2 31 176.5 33
23 +1 Iowa St.  ( 6 - 5 ) 0.736 0.581 39 17.8 56 12.1 18 169.5 71
24 NA SDSU  ( 9 - 2 ) 0.722 0.370 102 18.9 40 13.2 26 155.5 127
25 -2 Boise St.  ( 9 - 3 ) 0.720 0.435 81 21.1 19 14.8 38 168.9 74
Rankings through games of 2017-11-26

New entries: SDSU.

Dropped out: Washington St..


Follow us on Twitter at @TFGridiron and @TFGLiveOdds.

Week 15: Full Rankings — TFG

Biggest jumps: Oregon (0.071); Troy (0.066); Middle Tenn. (0.062); Fresno St. (0.058); Utah (0.054)

Biggest drops: Minnesota (-0.072); Nebraska (-0.063); Wyoming (-0.061); Oregon St. (-0.059); Tennessee (-0.058)

Full rankings after the jump.

Week 15: Top 25 — RBA

Mouse over column headers for definitions, or see this page
Rank +/- Team WinPct SoS Adjusted
Off. Def. Pace
1 -- Alabama  ( 10 - 1 ) 0.942 0.555 9 26.2 2 6.3 1 158.0 130
2 +3 Wisconsin  ( 12 - 0 ) 0.854 0.533 50 22.1 14 8.2 2 160.4 124
3 -1 Penn State  ( 10 - 2 ) 0.849 0.536 42 25.3 5 9.3 5 165.5 91
4 -1 Ohio St.  ( 10 - 2 ) 0.849 0.533 51 26.1 4 10.2 11 162.7 116
5 +2 Clemson  ( 10 - 1 ) 0.844 0.538 40 21.1 22 8.5 4 170.3 40
6 -2 Auburn  ( 9 - 2 ) 0.836 0.561 3 23.5 9 10.1 10 161.8 119
7 +2 Georgia  ( 10 - 1 ) 0.830 0.545 28 24.5 7 10.0 9 160.2 125
8 -2 Washington  ( 9 - 2 ) 0.827 0.544 30 23.0 11 9.9 8 168.3 62
9 +4 TCU  ( 9 - 2 ) 0.818 0.497 67 21.0 23 9.7 7 171.4 29
10 -- Virginia Tech  ( 8 - 3 ) 0.817 0.521 57 18.0 50 8.3 3 162.4 118
11 -3 Michigan  ( 8 - 4 ) 0.816 0.550 15 20.6 25 9.5 6 164.4 106
12 +2 Oklahoma  ( 11 - 1 ) 0.802 0.542 32 27.9 1 13.7 35 172.5 20
13 -1 USC  ( 10 - 2 ) 0.795 0.535 47 21.8 17 11.0 14 168.3 64
14 -3 Oklahoma St.  ( 9 - 3 ) 0.785 0.548 21 26.1 3 14.4 45 176.7 5
15 -- Notre Dame  ( 9 - 3 ) 0.767 0.566 2 21.9 15 12.2 21 165.0 97
16 -- Stanford  ( 9 - 3 ) 0.767 0.542 33 20.9 24 11.1 15 164.5 103
17 +5 LSU  ( 8 - 3 ) 0.735 0.557 7 20.2 30 11.8 19 159.8 126
18 +1 Iowa St.  ( 6 - 5 ) 0.731 0.550 16 18.0 51 10.9 13 172.1 25
19 +1 Washington St.  ( 8 - 3 ) 0.730 0.541 34 21.8 18 13.0 25 174.6 10
20 -2 Miami-FL  ( 9 - 1 ) 0.724 0.548 22 19.0 42 12.8 24 164.4 105
21 -- Texas A&M  ( 6 - 5 ) 0.715 0.547 25 21.9 16 14.1 39 174.5 12
22 -5 Mississippi St.  ( 7 - 4 ) 0.714 0.559 5 20.5 26 13.2 26 164.6 101
23 NA Northwestern  ( 9 - 3 ) 0.709 0.519 59 17.7 54 10.6 12 176.4 6
24 -- Boise St.  ( 9 - 3 ) 0.708 0.453 105 20.2 31 14.1 38 169.8 46
25 -- Texas  ( 6 - 6 ) 0.698 0.534 49 18.3 46 12.3 22 171.3 30
Rankings through games of 2017-11-26

New entries: Northwestern.

Dropped out: Iowa.


Follow us on Twitter at @TFGridiron and @TFGLiveOdds.

Week 15: Full Rankings — RBA

Biggest jumps: Florida (0.093); Indiana (0.067); Northwestern (0.065); Troy (0.048); Duke (0.046)

Biggest drops: UAB (-0.187); Minnesota (-0.057); Georgia Tech (-0.056); Vanderbilt (-0.055); Rutgers (-0.055)

Full rankings after the jump.

Saturday, November 25, 2017

Week 14: Saturday Predictions

 88Air Force28
 71Utah St.31
 81Air Force31
 87Utah St.28

 56Arizona St.35
 55Arizona37
 71Arizona St.34
 31Arizona38

  3Auburn25
  1Alabama29
  4Auburn21
  1Alabama27

127Charlotte23
 46FL-Atlantic38
127Charlotte24
 68FL-Atlantic45

111Cincinnati28
117Connecticut26
112Cincinnati31
117Connecticut24

 60Florida23
 51Florida St.24
 47Florida28
 56Florida St.20

 50Fresno St.23
 23Boise St.29
 79Fresno St.24
 24Boise St.31

110Georgia State23
 66Appalachian St.28
122Georgia State21
 84Appalachian St.34

 36Georgia Tech24
  5Georgia32
 41Georgia Tech24
  9Georgia27

121Hawaii23
106BYU28
119Hawaii27
 95BYU31

119Illinois19
 22Northwestern32
113Illinois17
 32Northwestern35

 38Kansas St.26
 24Iowa St.29
 34Kansas St.28
 19Iowa St.31

 74Kentucky28
 27Louisville34
 59Kentucky31
 36Louisville32

107LA-Lafayette27
104Georgia Southern29
116LA-Lafayette31
120Georgia Southern24

109LA-Monroe28
 47Arkansas St.38
107LA-Monroe27
 86Arkansas St.34

 86LA Tech26
 83UTSA27
 88LA Tech31
 75UTSA27

 17LSU27
 28Texas A&M25
 22LSU31
 21Texas A&M21

 54Marshall29
 85Southern Miss.25
 78Marshall31
 91Southern Miss.24

 92Maryland22
  6Penn State40
 93Maryland17
  2Penn State42

 30Memphis41
108East Carolina29
 43Memphis49
108East Carolina21

 15Michigan25
  4Ohio St.31
  8Michigan27
  3Ohio St.28

103Middle Tenn.28
113Old Dominion27
118Middle Tenn.31
115Old Dominion24

 72Minnesota19
  2Wisconsin32
 42Minnesota17
  5Wisconsin34

 94Nevada33
 98UNLV32
 96Nevada35
 98UNLV28

112New Mexico St.30
105Idaho32
111New Mexico St.31
104Idaho28

 29North Carolina St.31
 89North Carolina25
 35North Carolina St.31
 58North Carolina24

 10Oklahoma40
 45West Virginia30
 14Oklahoma41
 26West Virginia24

 19Oklahoma St.46
125Kansas24
 11Oklahoma St.52
124Kansas7

 59Oregon35
114Oregon St.27
 28Oregon49
103Oregon St.20

 41Purdue26
 43Indiana24
 55Purdue28
 61Indiana24

124Rice28
 82North Texas38
123Rice31
 99North Texas35

122Rutgers17
 31Michigan St.28
101Rutgers17
 29Michigan St.31

130SJSU19
 65Wyoming35
128SJSU20
 63Wyoming42

 69SMU31
 84Tulane29
 76SMU38
 97Tulane27

 49South Carolina19
  7Clemson29
 33South Carolina24
  7Clemson28

 18Stanford27
 12Notre Dame29
 16Stanford31
 15Notre Dame27

 77Syracuse25
 35Boston College28
 80Syracuse24
 49Boston College27

 91Tennessee26
100Vanderbilt24
 83Tennessee27
 64Vanderbilt28

 81Tulsa28
 76Temple29
 85Tulsa31
 77Temple28

101UAB33
128UTEP25
 57UAB42
129UTEP20

 44Utah29
 75Colorado26
 37Utah31
 51Colorado24

 33Wake Forest28
 64Duke24
 38Wake Forest28
 65Duke21

  8Washington31
 25Washington St.25
  6Washington34
 20Washington St.21


Key
Close
game
                        Certain
victory
                       


Follow us on Twitter at @TFGridiron and @TFGLiveOdds.