Wednesday, October 9, 2013

Week 7: Undefeated ... but for how long? -- TFG


Odds as of games through 2013-10-06


Legitimate Title Contenders

Alabama Crimson Tide
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2013 0.966 1 0.488 64 27.0 7 7.7 1 148.6 123
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2013/08/31  45 Virginia Tech 10 vs   1 Alabama 35 157 96.7%
2013/09/14   1 Alabama 49 at   7 Texas A&M 42 167 71.6%
2013/09/21 109 Colorado St. 6 at   1 Alabama 31 138 99.4%
2013/09/28  34 Mississippi 0 at   1 Alabama 25 152 93.1%
2013/10/05  NA Georgia State 3 at   1 Alabama 45 134 99.9%
2013/10/12   1 Alabama 33 at  76 Kentucky 18 153 96.6%
2013/10/19  47 Arkansas 17 at   1 Alabama 33 155 96.5%
2013/10/26  55 Tennessee 21 at   1 Alabama 37 159 97.1%
2013/11/09   7 LSU 27 at   1 Alabama 31 156 81.4%
2013/11/16   1 Alabama 31 at  43 Mississippi St. 19 152 93.9%
2013/11/30   1 Alabama 32 at  46 Auburn 19 157 94.5%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-1.5
Most difficult game left: November 9, vs LSU Tigers, 81.4%


Louisville Cardinals
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2013 0.894 6 0.292 117 24.5 12 11.0 11 153.5 117
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2013/09/01  75 Ohio 7 at  39 Louisville 49 156 85.1%
2013/09/14  27 Louisville 27 at  92 Kentucky 13 161 80.5%
2013/09/21 120 FIU 0 at  27 Louisville 72 128 98.2%
2013/10/05  11 Louisville 30 at 103 Temple 7 145 94.4%
2013/10/10  53 Rutgers 22 at   6 Louisville 34 163 90.1%
2013/10/18  20 UCF 23 at   6 Louisville 30 155 80.4%
2013/10/26   6 Louisville 28 at  68 South Florida 19 155 84.8%
2013/11/08   6 Louisville 33 at  92 Connecticut 18 160 94.9%
2013/11/16  52 Houston 26 at   6 Louisville 36 173 85.9%
2013/11/23  74 Memphis 19 at   6 Louisville 31 158 91.8%
2013/12/05   6 Louisville 30 at  51 Cincinnati 21 159 85.9%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-2.5
Most difficult game left: October 18, vs UCF Knights, 80.4%


Northern Illinois Huskies
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2013 0.563 56 0.273 121 20.3 32 18.5 81 183.6 10
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2013/08/31  28 Northern Ill. 30 at  68 Iowa 27 198 75.2%
2013/09/14  50 Northern Ill. 45 at 122 Idaho 35 200 94.9%
2013/09/28  72 Northern Ill. 55 at  88 Purdue 24 175 55.2%
2013/10/05  57 Northern Ill. 38 at  97 Kent St. 24 187 74.2%
2013/10/12 116 Akron 24 at  56 Northern Ill. 40 176 94.8%
2013/10/19  56 Northern Ill. 37 at 112 Central Michigan 28 173 82.0%
2013/10/26 117 Eastern Michigan 23 at  56 Northern Ill. 40 168 96.0%
2013/11/02  56 Northern Ill. 36 at 123 Massachusetts 20 170 98.0%
2013/11/13  70 Ball St. 32 at  56 Northern Ill. 36 182 64.8%
2013/11/20  56 Northern Ill. 35 at  83 Toledo 30 174 69.2%
2013/11/26 115 Western Michigan 26 at  56 Northern Ill. 39 176 91.3%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-3.3
Most difficult game left: November 13, vs Ball State Cardinals, 64.8%


Florida State Seminoles
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2013 0.953 2 0.522 50 30.0 3 9.7 4 159.2 101
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2013/09/02   6 Florida St. 41 at  30 Pittsburgh 13 140 62.7%
2013/09/14  83 Nevada 7 at   4 Florida St. 62 154 97.2%
2013/09/28   3 Florida St. 48 at  93 Boston College 34 163 96.6%
2013/10/05  53 Maryland 0 at   3 Florida St. 63 170 89.2%
2013/10/19   2 Florida St. 32 at   5 Clemson 30 166 57.9%
2013/10/26  58 North Carolina St. 20 at   2 Florida St. 39 166 96.5%
2013/11/02  14 Miami-FL 28 at   2 Florida St. 36 163 82.7%
2013/11/09   2 Florida St. 37 at  93 Wake Forest 17 163 98.0%
2013/11/16  50 Syracuse 23 at   2 Florida St. 38 165 93.4%
2013/11/23 119 Idaho 15 at   2 Florida St. 45 164 99.6%
2013/11/30   2 Florida St. 29 at   4 Florida 22 157 68.4%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-3.5
Most difficult game left: October 19, at Clemson Tigers, 57.9%


Second-Tier Hopefuls

Ohio State Buckeyes
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2013 0.843 12 0.575 35 25.4 10 13.5 25 165.1 75
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2013/08/31 111 Buffalo 20 at  19 Ohio St. 40 163 93.6%
2013/09/07  57 SDSU 7 at  24 Ohio St. 42 164 79.7%
2013/09/14  14 Ohio St. 52 at  69 California 34 206 78.6%
2013/09/28   5 Wisconsin 24 at  21 Ohio St. 31 159 40.6%
2013/10/05  15 Ohio St. 40 at  30 Northwestern 30 172 57.7%
2013/10/19  33 Iowa 24 at  12 Ohio St. 32 163 76.8%
2013/10/26  24 Penn State 24 at  12 Ohio St. 32 168 73.9%
2013/11/02  12 Ohio St. 38 at  98 Purdue 23 163 93.4%
2013/11/16  12 Ohio St. 35 at  65 Illinois 26 164 84.0%
2013/11/23  41 Indiana 32 at  12 Ohio St. 38 175 73.4%
2013/11/30  12 Ohio St. 32 at  29 Michigan 29 160 65.0%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-4.7
Most difficult game left: November 30, at Michigan Wolverines, 65.0%


Clemson Tigers
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2013 0.899 5 0.601 29 25.0 11 11.0 9 174.7 29
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2013/08/31   8 Georgia 35 at  22 Clemson 38 178 31.4%
2013/09/19  13 Clemson 26 at  38 North Carolina St. 14 178 57.4%
2013/09/28 103 Wake Forest 7 at  13 Clemson 56 174 97.3%
2013/10/05   5 Clemson 49 at  43 Syracuse 14 187 71.9%
2013/10/12  67 Boston College 23 at   5 Clemson 37 168 93.0%
2013/10/19   2 Florida St. 32 at   5 Clemson 30 166 42.1%
2013/10/26   5 Clemson 32 at  73 Maryland 22 169 87.6%
2013/11/02   5 Clemson 35 at  88 Virginia 20 173 94.2%
2013/11/14  42 Georgia Tech 24 at   5 Clemson 34 165 85.1%
2013/11/30   5 Clemson 32 at  25 South Carolina 27 167 74.4%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-4.9
Most difficult game left: October 19, vs Florida State Seminoles, 42.1%


Oregon Ducks
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2013 0.924 3 0.473 68 28.0 6 11.0 10 176.2 25
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2013/09/07   3 Oregon 59 at  62 Virginia 10 186 85.0%
2013/09/14  46 Tennessee 14 at   2 Oregon 59 175 93.7%
2013/09/28  63 California 16 at   2 Oregon 55 205 96.5%
2013/10/05   2 Oregon 57 at  98 Colorado 16 194 97.3%
2013/10/12   3 Oregon 33 at  15 Washington 28 174 64.6%
2013/10/19  62 Washington St. 21 at   3 Oregon 38 171 94.7%
2013/10/26  21 UCLA 26 at   3 Oregon 38 177 85.5%
2013/11/07   3 Oregon 32 at  10 Stanford 30 167 59.7%
2013/11/16  34 Utah 28 at   3 Oregon 37 170 82.7%
2013/11/23   3 Oregon 37 at  38 Arizona 26 179 84.9%
2013/11/29  40 Oregon St. 27 at   3 Oregon 37 170 85.5%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-5.3
Most difficult game left: November 7, at Stanford Cardinal, 59.7%


Oklahoma Sooners
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2013 0.865 11 0.591 32 21.7 22 10.8 7 163.1 87
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2013/08/31  73 LA-Monroe 0 at  14 Oklahoma 34 173 85.0%
2013/09/07  35 West Virginia 7 at   5 Oklahoma 16 171 89.5%
2013/09/14  64 Tulsa 20 at   6 Oklahoma 51 168 94.4%
2013/09/28   8 Oklahoma 35 at  19 Notre Dame 21 155 52.4%
2013/10/05  28 TCU 17 at   7 Oklahoma 20 150 79.7%
2013/10/12  45 Texas 26 vs  11 Oklahoma 32 168 78.9%
2013/10/19  11 Oklahoma 32 at 107 Kansas 19 167 93.7%
2013/10/26  28 Texas Tech 25 at  11 Oklahoma 32 176 78.3%
2013/11/07  11 Oklahoma 38 at  13 Baylor 33 175 50.2%
2013/11/16  60 Iowa St. 23 at  11 Oklahoma 31 167 84.7%
2013/11/23  11 Oklahoma 30 at  35 Kansas St. 26 159 72.7%
2013/12/07  11 Oklahoma 32 at  32 Oklahoma St. 28 174 70.5%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-7.9
Most difficult game left: November 7, at Baylor Bears, 50.2%


Fresno State Bulldogs
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2013 0.586 49 0.351 102 22.1 19 19.4 86 188.7 4
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2013/08/29  42 Rutgers 51 at  44 Fresno St. 52 210 48.5%
2013/09/14  55 Fresno St. 36 at 101 Colorado 31 179 70.2%
2013/09/20  47 Boise St. 40 at  52 Fresno St. 41 212 57.7%
2013/09/28  58 Fresno St. 42 at 115 Hawaii 37 210 87.2%
2013/10/05  62 Fresno St. 61 at 119 Idaho 14 213 92.2%
2013/10/19 111 UNLV 28 at  49 Fresno St. 45 177 92.2%
2013/10/26  49 Fresno St. 33 at  75 SDSU 32 176 54.4%
2013/11/02  82 Nevada 32 at  49 Fresno St. 40 182 74.7%
2013/11/09  49 Fresno St. 37 at  80 Wyoming 33 182 65.4%
2013/11/23 106 New Mexico 30 at  49 Fresno St. 41 171 84.4%
2013/11/29  49 Fresno St. 38 at  90 SJSU 30 177 76.7%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-9.0
Most difficult game left: October 26, at San Diego State Aztecs, 54.4%


Long Shots

Stanford Cardinal
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2013 0.871 10 0.588 33 24.4 13 11.9 14 159.6 99
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2013/09/07  45 SJSU 13 at   8 Stanford 34 154 89.4%
2013/09/14   5 Stanford 34 at 112 Army 20 146 97.2%
2013/09/21  15 Arizona St. 28 at   9 Stanford 42 177 68.1%
2013/09/28  14 Stanford 55 at  52 Washington St. 17 178 64.4%
2013/10/05  16 Washington 28 at   9 Stanford 31 181 66.2%
2013/10/12  10 Stanford 31 at  34 Utah 29 162 64.3%
2013/10/19  21 UCLA 26 at  10 Stanford 33 168 76.8%
2013/10/26  10 Stanford 31 at  40 Oregon St. 28 162 66.8%
2013/11/07   3 Oregon 32 at  10 Stanford 30 167 40.3%
2013/11/16  10 Stanford 29 at  26 USC 24 156 69.5%
2013/11/23  79 California 24 at  10 Stanford 37 171 91.1%
2013/11/30  19 Notre Dame 26 at  10 Stanford 30 161 65.4%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-18.2
Most difficult game left: November 7, vs Oregon Ducks, 40.3%


Miami Hurricanes
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2013 0.836 14 0.454 79 26.4 9 14.3 35 167.3 57
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2013/08/30 106 FL-Atlantic 0 at  61 Miami-FL 34 84 81.7%
2013/09/07   6 Florida 16 at  15 Miami-FL 21 158 49.0%
2013/09/28  16 Miami-FL 49 at  73 South Florida 21 159 80.9%
2013/10/05  48 Georgia Tech 30 at  17 Miami-FL 45 157 78.1%
2013/10/17  14 Miami-FL 36 at  59 North Carolina 30 173 72.0%
2013/10/26  93 Wake Forest 20 at  14 Miami-FL 37 167 96.0%
2013/11/02  14 Miami-FL 28 at   2 Florida St. 36 163 17.3%
2013/11/09  36 Virginia Tech 24 at  14 Miami-FL 31 166 71.8%
2013/11/16  14 Miami-FL 41 at  78 Duke 28 171 88.6%
2013/11/23  88 Virginia 22 at  14 Miami-FL 36 169 91.7%
2013/11/29  14 Miami-FL 34 at  48 Pittsburgh 26 163 76.8%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-18.7
Most difficult game left: November 2, at Florida State Seminoles, 17.3%


Baylor Bears
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2013 0.841 13 0.447 81 32.0 2 17.1 62 187.4 5
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2013/09/07 107 Buffalo 13 at  25 Baylor 70 187 96.1%
2013/09/21 103 LA-Monroe 7 at  19 Baylor 70 190 95.8%
2013/10/05  61 West Virginia 42 at   6 Baylor 73 205 89.7%
2013/10/12  13 Baylor 40 at  35 Kansas St. 35 171 59.6%
2013/10/19  60 Iowa St. 29 at  13 Baylor 45 179 88.3%
2013/10/26  13 Baylor 43 at 107 Kansas 26 179 92.5%
2013/11/07  11 Oklahoma 38 at  13 Baylor 33 175 49.8%
2013/11/16  28 Texas Tech 35 vs  13 Baylor 42 188 64.3%
2013/11/23  13 Baylor 44 at  32 Oklahoma St. 36 187 66.3%
2013/11/30  13 Baylor 38 at  23 TCU 31 172 62.4%
2013/12/07  45 Texas 33 at  13 Baylor 43 180 75.5%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-20.5
Most difficult game left: November 7, vs Oklahoma Sooners, 49.8%


Absolute Phonies

Texas Tech Red Raiders
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2013 0.746 28 0.469 70 20.0 34 13.3 22 190.5 2
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2013/08/30  56 Texas Tech 41 at  52 SMU 23 216 44.9%
2013/09/12  31 TCU 10 at  39 Texas Tech 20 187 57.5%
2013/09/21 100 Texas State 7 at  37 Texas Tech 33 192 92.3%
2013/10/05  26 Texas Tech 54 at  96 Kansas 16 211 86.3%
2013/10/12  60 Iowa St. 26 at  28 Texas Tech 34 181 79.1%
2013/10/19  28 Texas Tech 32 at  61 West Virginia 30 183 60.8%
2013/10/26  28 Texas Tech 25 at  11 Oklahoma 32 176 21.7%
2013/11/02  32 Oklahoma St. 32 at  28 Texas Tech 33 188 56.7%
2013/11/09  35 Kansas St. 30 at  28 Texas Tech 32 173 59.4%
2013/11/16  28 Texas Tech 35 vs  13 Baylor 42 188 35.7%
2013/11/28  28 Texas Tech 33 at  45 Texas 30 181 63.2%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-126.1
Most difficult game left: October 26, at Oklahoma Sooners, 21.7%


Michigan Wolverines
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2013 0.744 29 0.385 93 23.1 15 15.5 45 156.6 110
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2013/08/31 100 Central Michigan 9 at  16 Michigan 59 154 91.7%
2013/09/07   4 Notre Dame 30 at  14 Michigan 41 169 49.3%
2013/09/14 119 Akron 24 at   8 Michigan 28 167 99.4%
2013/09/21  22 Michigan 24 at  79 Connecticut 21 157 78.8%
2013/10/05  70 Minnesota 13 at  32 Michigan 42 135 84.2%
2013/10/12  29 Michigan 27 at  24 Penn State 28 164 38.4%
2013/10/19  41 Indiana 31 at  29 Michigan 36 171 71.2%
2013/11/02  29 Michigan 24 at  17 Michigan St. 26 163 38.7%
2013/11/09  30 Nebraska 30 at  29 Michigan 31 162 55.3%
2013/11/16  29 Michigan 31 at  39 Northwestern 29 164 57.8%
2013/11/23  29 Michigan 27 at  33 Iowa 26 158 52.1%
2013/11/30  12 Ohio St. 32 at  29 Michigan 29 160 35.0%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-162.2
Most difficult game left: November 30, vs Ohio State Buckeyes, 35.0%


Missouri Tigers
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2013 0.730 31 0.557 40 20.7 28 14.2 33 172.2 35
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2013/09/07  75 Toledo 23 at  54 Missouri 38 163 79.5%
2013/09/21  50 Missouri 45 at  54 Indiana 28 209 42.0%
2013/09/28  95 Arkansas St. 19 at  46 Missouri 41 173 91.4%
2013/10/05  45 Missouri 51 at  54 Vanderbilt 28 176 47.4%
2013/10/12  31 Missouri 29 at  16 Georgia 36 170 29.3%
2013/10/19   4 Florida 25 at  31 Missouri 24 163 32.2%
2013/10/26  25 South Carolina 28 at  31 Missouri 30 165 59.2%
2013/11/02  55 Tennessee 28 at  31 Missouri 33 170 70.6%
2013/11/09  31 Missouri 31 at  76 Kentucky 24 165 76.7%
2013/11/23  31 Missouri 30 at  57 Mississippi 26 171 68.4%
2013/11/30   8 Texas A&M 41 at  31 Missouri 32 177 27.1%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-178.4
Most difficult game left: November 30, vs Texas A&M Aggies, 27.1%


What are YOU doing here??

UCLA Bruins
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2013 0.772 21 0.525 48 20.8 27 13.2 21 177.9 21
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2013/08/31  64 Nevada 20 at  49 UCLA 58 199 62.4%
2013/09/14  28 UCLA 41 at  23 Nebraska 21 185 30.4%
2013/09/21 122 New Mexico St. 13 at  25 UCLA 59 191 99.0%
2013/10/03  20 UCLA 34 at  29 Utah 27 192 49.3%
2013/10/12  79 California 25 at  21 UCLA 37 181 88.5%
2013/10/19  21 UCLA 26 at  10 Stanford 33 168 23.2%
2013/10/26  21 UCLA 26 at   3 Oregon 38 177 14.5%
2013/11/02  97 Colorado 23 at  21 UCLA 36 173 92.3%
2013/11/09  21 UCLA 30 at  38 Arizona 29 180 56.7%
2013/11/15  15 Washington 29 at  21 UCLA 27 175 47.8%
2013/11/23  22 Arizona St. 34 at  21 UCLA 37 178 50.0%
2013/11/30  21 UCLA 27 at  26 USC 26 165 53.3%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-503.8
Most difficult game left: October 26, at Oregon Ducks, 14.5%


Oregon State Beavers
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2013 0.671 40 0.531 46 21.4 23 16.4 57 165.2 74
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2013/09/07 113 Hawaii 14 at  19 Oregon St. 33 169 97.5%
2013/09/14  25 Oregon St. 51 at  36 Utah 48 177 44.6%
2013/09/21  39 Oregon St. 34 at  77 SDSU 30 173 68.5%
2013/09/28  94 Colorado 17 at  49 Oregon St. 44 193 90.2%
2013/10/12  40 Oregon St. 28 at  62 Washington St. 27 166 55.2%
2013/10/19  40 Oregon St. 33 at  79 California 29 174 65.3%
2013/10/26  10 Stanford 31 at  40 Oregon St. 28 162 33.2%
2013/11/01  26 USC 28 at  40 Oregon St. 26 159 45.1%
2013/11/16  40 Oregon St. 33 at  22 Arizona St. 38 172 37.6%
2013/11/23  15 Washington 30 at  40 Oregon St. 27 168 31.4%
2013/11/29  40 Oregon St. 27 at   3 Oregon 37 170 14.5%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-1082.3
Most difficult game left: November 29, at Oregon Ducks, 14.5%


Houston Cougars
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2013 0.580 52 0.347 103 19.8 37 17.6 67 193.6 1
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2013/09/07  71 Houston 22 at  84 Temple 13 202 46.4%
2013/09/21  65 Houston 31 at  64 Rice 26 184 39.1%
2013/09/28  67 Houston 59 at  83 UTSA 28 180 49.2%
2013/10/12  74 Memphis 26 at  52 Houston 32 178 73.1%
2013/10/19  18 BYU 30 at  52 Houston 29 186 37.6%
2013/10/26  52 Houston 31 at  53 Rutgers 34 183 37.8%
2013/10/31  68 South Florida 26 at  52 Houston 31 175 71.3%
2013/11/09  52 Houston 28 at  20 UCF 34 175 25.2%
2013/11/16  52 Houston 26 at   6 Louisville 36 173 14.1%
2013/11/23  51 Cincinnati 30 at  52 Houston 29 179 49.7%
2013/11/29  71 SMU 32 at  52 Houston 36 186 62.7%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-1219.2
Most difficult game left: November 16, at Louisville Cardinals, 14.1%


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