Monday, October 31, 2016

Week 10: Top 25 — TFG

Mouse over column headers for definitions, or see this page
Rank +/- Team WinPct SoS Adjusted
Off. Def. Pace
1 -- Alabama  ( 8 - 0 ) 0.974 0.667 12 28.7 1 7.4 1 165.0 97
2 -- Michigan  ( 8 - 0 ) 0.958 0.518 58 27.8 2 8.6 2 160.9 113
3 -- Ohio St.  ( 7 - 1 ) 0.941 0.575 40 25.1 5 8.9 4 166.3 90
4 -- Auburn  ( 6 - 2 ) 0.909 0.651 16 22.2 15 9.3 6 170.6 72
5 +1 LSU  ( 4 - 2 ) 0.888 0.683 11 22.0 16 10.1 7 152.8 127
6 -1 Clemson  ( 7 - 0 ) 0.880 0.692 9 23.0 11 10.9 8 180.9 20
7 -- Wisconsin  ( 6 - 2 ) 0.873 0.695 7 18.3 47 8.9 5 163.2 102
8 -- Washington  ( 7 - 0 ) 0.866 0.477 68 24.6 7 12.2 15 168.0 85
9 -- Florida  ( 6 - 1 ) 0.863 0.472 71 17.5 56 8.7 3 157.8 121
10 -- Louisville  ( 7 - 1 ) 0.837 0.521 55 25.3 4 13.6 28 168.6 84
11 -- Virginia Tech  ( 5 - 2 ) 0.825 0.570 42 21.1 22 11.8 13 170.6 73
12 +2 Texas A&M  ( 6 - 1 ) 0.824 0.663 13 20.1 30 11.3 11 184.3 10
13 -- Mississippi  ( 2 - 5 ) 0.810 0.786 1 25.5 3 14.8 37 184.6 9
14 +8 Oklahoma  ( 6 - 2 ) 0.786 0.507 63 24.7 6 15.1 45 176.9 34
15 +2 Colorado  ( 5 - 2 ) 0.783 0.637 20 17.8 51 11.0 9 180.9 21
16 +3 Florida St.  ( 4 - 3 ) 0.772 0.708 5 21.9 17 13.9 30 166.6 89
17 -2 Western Michigan  ( 7 - 0 ) 0.769 0.385 96 23.1 10 14.7 36 160.2 115
18 -2 Baylor  ( 5 - 1 ) 0.755 0.383 97 20.3 27 13.3 23 191.8 5
19 -7 West Virginia  ( 5 - 1 ) 0.753 0.566 44 17.4 60 11.4 12 176.1 39
20 +3 Stanford  ( 5 - 3 ) 0.752 0.663 14 17.0 62 11.2 10 154.6 125
21 NA SDSU  ( 6 - 1 ) 0.752 0.300 120 19.5 33 12.8 18 156.2 123
22 NA USC  ( 5 - 3 ) 0.743 0.641 18 19.9 31 13.4 25 169.1 80
23 -5 Tennessee  ( 5 - 3 ) 0.737 0.716 3 22.7 13 15.4 49 176.8 35
24 NA Penn State  ( 6 - 2 ) 0.728 0.612 25 20.1 29 13.9 29 171.1 68
25 NA Nebraska  ( 7 - 1 ) 0.727 0.461 74 19.6 32 13.5 27 162.2 108
Rankings through games of 2016-10-30

New entries: SDSU, USC, Penn State, Nebraska.

Dropped out: Boise St., Washington St., Houston, Memphis.


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Week 10: Full Rankings — TFG

Biggest jumps: East Carolina (0.122); Tulsa (0.084); Michigan St. (0.074); Army (0.070); Western Kentucky (0.070)

Biggest drops: Connecticut (-0.118); Memphis (-0.097); West Virginia (-0.072); Missouri (-0.069); Arizona (-0.066)

Full rankings after the jump.

Week 10: Top 25 — RBA

Mouse over column headers for definitions, or see this page
Rank +/- Team WinPct SoS Adjusted
Off. Def. Pace
1 -- Alabama  ( 8 - 0 ) 0.939 0.555 9 25.4 3 6.0 1 157.8 128
2 -- Ohio St.  ( 7 - 1 ) 0.903 0.530 52 24.3 8 7.9 4 162.1 116
3 -- Michigan  ( 8 - 0 ) 0.885 0.548 22 24.4 7 8.8 6 164.9 95
4 -- LSU  ( 4 - 2 ) 0.857 0.554 11 25.1 4 9.9 10 160.3 123
5 +3 Auburn  ( 6 - 2 ) 0.851 0.557 6 23.9 10 9.7 9 161.6 119
6 -1 Washington  ( 7 - 0 ) 0.843 0.547 26 25.5 2 11.0 14 169.2 53
7 -1 Stanford  ( 5 - 3 ) 0.836 0.544 31 20.1 32 6.8 2 165.0 94
8 -1 USC  ( 5 - 3 ) 0.824 0.535 44 24.7 6 9.3 8 167.7 71
9 -- West Virginia  ( 5 - 1 ) 0.819 0.539 37 18.7 47 9.2 7 171.6 28
10 +1 Wisconsin  ( 6 - 2 ) 0.812 0.538 39 18.2 52 8.5 5 161.1 121
11 -1 Mississippi  ( 2 - 5 ) 0.812 0.546 28 23.6 11 10.9 13 166.8 79
12 +4 Florida  ( 6 - 1 ) 0.806 0.557 5 17.2 61 7.6 3 161.2 120
13 +2 Louisville  ( 7 - 1 ) 0.803 0.490 74 24.8 5 12.9 25 165.6 88
14 -- Texas A&M  ( 6 - 1 ) 0.801 0.548 21 20.3 30 10.1 11 174.6 11
15 -3 Clemson  ( 7 - 0 ) 0.794 0.536 43 20.0 33 10.6 12 169.9 42
16 -3 Washington St.  ( 6 - 1 ) 0.761 0.542 33 22.2 17 14.1 41 174.5 12
17 +3 Western Michigan  ( 7 - 0 ) 0.752 0.466 90 23.1 13 13.7 38 169.3 51
18 -1 Oklahoma  ( 6 - 2 ) 0.743 0.549 17 26.2 1 14.1 42 173.0 19
19 -- Miami-FL  ( 3 - 4 ) 0.742 0.552 15 19.8 35 11.4 18 163.9 111
20 +1 Arkansas  ( 4 - 3 ) 0.740 0.574 1 21.5 21 13.3 32 164.2 108
21 +2 Virginia Tech  ( 5 - 2 ) 0.736 0.522 58 19.5 36 12.6 24 161.7 118
22 +2 Baylor  ( 5 - 1 ) 0.735 0.547 24 21.5 22 13.2 31 178.9 4
23 NA Tennessee  ( 5 - 3 ) 0.725 0.555 7 17.8 53 12.0 19 164.0 109
24 +1 Colorado  ( 5 - 2 ) 0.724 0.554 12 19.2 38 11.0 15 170.7 37
25 NA Kansas St.  ( 4 - 3 ) 0.719 0.535 45 22.6 15 13.7 37 165.4 91
Rankings through games of 2016-10-30

New entries: Tennessee, Kansas St..

Dropped out: Houston, Georgia.


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Week 10: Full Rankings — RBA

Biggest jumps: SMU (0.077); Maryland (0.065); UTEP (0.054); Temple (0.049); North Texas (0.049)

Biggest drops: Michigan St. (-0.064); Southern Miss. (-0.060); SJSU (-0.056); Houston (-0.048); North Carolina St. (-0.047)

Full rankings after the jump.

Saturday, October 29, 2016

Week 9: Saturday Predictions

 68Arizona25
 23Stanford28
 63Arizona17
  6Stanford35

 81Arkansas St.36
126LA-Monroe23
 98Arkansas St.41
122LA-Monroe20

 76Central Michigan28
118Kent St.20
 87Central Michigan31
118Kent St.20

 94East Carolina25
 86Connecticut23
 88East Carolina27
 82Connecticut21

 97Eastern Michigan29
113Miami-OH25
110Eastern Michigan27
116Miami-OH24

120FIU27
 69Middle Tenn.34
127FIU17
 67Middle Tenn.38

122FL-Atlantic26
 46Western Kentucky37
121FL-Atlantic21
 55Western Kentucky45

 19Florida St.28
  5Clemson30
 28Florida St.28
 12Clemson31

 52Georgia20
  9Florida26
 22Georgia24
 16Florida27

 39Georgia Tech29
 63Duke23
 47Georgia Tech31
 70Duke24

107Hawaii36
 96New Mexico33
109Hawaii34
 81New Mexico35

 24Houston33
 72UCF24
 18Houston42
 94UCF17

 93Illinois25
 64Minnesota26
 80Illinois24
 61Minnesota28

 61Indiana30
 66Maryland26
 66Indiana31
 86Maryland24

 89Iowa St.25
 47Kansas St.28
 52Iowa St.24
 27Kansas St.35

 56LA Tech35
115Rice23
 59LA Tech45
115Rice20

 25Memphis37
 74Tulsa26
 36Memphis41
 75Tulsa21

 62Michigan St.21
  2Michigan35
 50Michigan St.20
  3Michigan34

 13Mississippi30
  4Auburn32
 10Mississippi28
  8Auburn27

 70Missouri31
 85Kentucky26
 56Missouri34
 69Kentucky24

 42North Carolina St.26
 98Boston College18
 39North Carolina St.38
 90Boston College17

 58Notre Dame26
 30Miami-FL28
 40Notre Dame27
 19Miami-FL24

  3Ohio St.35
 40Northwestern20
  2Ohio St.41
 44Northwestern20

 22Oklahoma42
127Kansas20
 17Oklahoma52
125Kansas14

 51Oklahoma St.28
 12West Virginia30
 37Oklahoma St.28
  9West Virginia31

 41Oregon40
 54Arizona St.34
 46Oregon38
 54Arizona St.34

 90Oregon St.26
 21Washington St.33
 89Oregon St.21
 13Washington St.42

109Purdue24
 27Penn State35
103Purdue21
 57Penn State34

119SJSU29
111UNLV30
112SJSU32
107UNLV31

 87South Alabama30
105Georgia State25
 95South Alabama27
105Georgia State24

 91South Carolina23
 18Tennessee31
 71South Carolina20
 26Tennessee28

 82Southern Miss.34
 99Marshall30
 68Southern Miss.41
 97Marshall28

 48TCU40
 59Texas Tech34
 33TCU42
 49Texas Tech31

 43Temple30
 77Cincinnati23
 62Temple35
 85Cincinnati21

 53Texas29
 16Baylor31
 41Texas31
 24Baylor35

 14Texas A&M46
123New Mexico St.21
 14Texas A&M49
123New Mexico St.7

106Tulane27
 92SMU26
106Tulane31
111SMU27

 36Utah27
  8Washington31
 38Utah28
  5Washington34

125UTEP27
101Old Dominion31
128UTEP27
114Old Dominion34

108UTSA28
104North Texas27
 79UTSA31
117North Texas24

 75Virginia25
 10Louisville35
 64Virginia24
 15Louisville41

 71Wake Forest24
 95Army19
 72Wake Forest24
 78Army17

  7Wisconsin27
 28Nebraska21
 11Wisconsin28
 31Nebraska20

 84Wyoming27
 20Boise St.33
 96Wyoming24
 29Boise St.38


Key
Close
game
                        Certain
victory
                       


Follow us on Twitter at @TFGridiron and @TFGLiveOdds.

Friday, October 28, 2016

Week 9: Friday Predictions

121Fresno St.25
 57Air Force34
119Fresno St.24
 58Air Force35

 49South Florida31
 33Navy30
 42South Florida35
 51Navy34

 79Utah St.23
 29SDSU27
 83Utah St.21
 43SDSU31


Key
Close
game
                        Certain
victory
                       


Follow us on Twitter at @TFGridiron and @TFGLiveOdds.

Thursday, October 27, 2016

Week 9: Thursday Predictions

128Buffalo27
 88Akron35
108Buffalo24
 92Akron31

 65Georgia Southern24
 35Appalachian St.26
 76Georgia Southern28
 73Appalachian St.27

 44Pittsburgh30
 11Virginia Tech31
 48Pittsburgh31
 23Virginia Tech32

 26USC39
 60California30
  7USC38
 60California21

 34Toledo35
100Ohio23
 45Toledo34
 77Ohio21


Key
Close
game
                        Certain
victory
                       


Follow us on Twitter at @TFGridiron and @TFGLiveOdds.

Week 9 TFG Projections: SEC,Pac-12,Mountain West,Sun Belt

Projected conference champions
  • Mountain West: Boise St.
  • Pac-12: Washington
  • SEC: Alabama
  • Sun Belt: Troy
Full projected conference standings after the jump.

Week 9 RBA Projections: SEC,Pac-12,Mountain West,Sun Belt

Projected conference champions
  • Mountain West: Boise St.
  • Pac-12: Washington
  • SEC: Alabama
  • Sun Belt: Troy
Full projected conference standings after the jump.

Wednesday, October 26, 2016

Week 9 TFG Projections: Big Ten,Big XII,Mid-American,Independents

Projected conference champions
  • Big Ten: Michigan
  • Big XII: West Virginia
  • Independents: BYU
  • Mid-American: Western Michigan
Full projected conference standings after the jump.

Week 9 RBA Projections: Big Ten,Big XII,Mid-American,Independents

Projected conference champions
  • Big Ten: Michigan
  • Big XII: West Virginia
  • Independents: BYU
  • Mid-American: Western Michigan
Full projected conference standings after the jump.

Tuesday, October 25, 2016

Week 9 TFG Projections: ACC,American Athletic,Conference-USA

Projected conference champions
  • ACC: Clemson
  • American Athletic: Navy
  • Conference-USA: LA Tech
Full projected conference standings after the jump.

Week 9 RBA Projections: ACC,American Athletic,Conference-USA

Projected conference champions
  • ACC: Clemson
  • American Athletic: South Florida
  • Conference-USA: LA Tech
Full projected conference standings after the jump.

Week 9: Undefeated ... but for how long? — TFG

Odds as of games through 2016-10-23

Week 9: Undefeated ... but for how long? — RBA

Odds as of games through 2016-10-23

Monday, October 24, 2016

Week 9: Top 25 — TFG

Mouse over column headers for definitions, or see this page
Rank +/- Team WinPct SoS Adjusted
Off. Def. Pace
1 -- Alabama  ( 8 - 0 ) 0.973 0.658 15 28.3 2 7.3 1 164.9 93
2 -- Michigan  ( 7 - 0 ) 0.971 0.513 59 29.1 1 7.8 2 160.0 116
3 -- Ohio St.  ( 6 - 1 ) 0.947 0.553 47 25.7 5 8.7 4 167.2 87
4 +5 Auburn  ( 5 - 2 ) 0.910 0.624 24 21.9 17 9.2 6 169.7 74
5 -1 Clemson  ( 6 - 0 ) 0.902 0.688 10 23.3 12 10.1 9 182.0 19
6 +2 LSU  ( 4 - 2 ) 0.889 0.685 11 21.9 16 10.0 7 152.6 126
7 -2 Wisconsin  ( 5 - 2 ) 0.886 0.698 6 18.5 44 8.6 3 162.4 105
8 -2 Washington  ( 6 - 0 ) 0.867 0.455 76 24.4 7 12.0 15 167.4 86
9 +1 Florida  ( 5 - 1 ) 0.861 0.471 71 17.7 54 8.9 5 157.4 122
10 +4 Louisville  ( 6 - 1 ) 0.857 0.550 50 26.3 3 13.4 24 169.5 76
11 +8 Virginia Tech  ( 4 - 2 ) 0.827 0.544 52 20.8 23 11.5 11 170.3 73
12 +9 West Virginia  ( 5 - 0 ) 0.825 0.569 42 18.2 48 10.1 8 177.4 32
13 -6 Mississippi  ( 2 - 4 ) 0.825 0.774 1 25.9 4 14.5 40 184.0 12
14 -3 Texas A&M  ( 5 - 1 ) 0.816 0.765 2 20.4 25 11.7 13 187.2 8
15 -3 Western Michigan  ( 7 - 0 ) 0.792 0.409 92 23.7 8 14.3 35 159.9 117
16 +7 Baylor  ( 5 - 0 ) 0.787 0.347 108 20.7 24 12.7 21 191.0 5
17 +7 Colorado  ( 5 - 2 ) 0.780 0.646 17 17.8 51 11.1 10 181.2 21
18 +4 Tennessee  ( 5 - 2 ) 0.773 0.739 3 23.4 11 14.8 43 177.1 34
19 -2 Florida St.  ( 4 - 2 ) 0.770 0.690 8 21.1 21 13.4 26 167.4 85
20 NA Boise St.  ( 7 - 0 ) 0.759 0.429 83 19.6 35 12.7 17 177.8 30
21 -5 Washington St.  ( 5 - 1 ) 0.759 0.583 35 21.9 18 14.2 34 173.6 50
22 -7 Oklahoma  ( 5 - 2 ) 0.750 0.592 33 24.6 6 16.3 55 177.4 31
23 NA Stanford  ( 4 - 3 ) 0.739 0.697 7 17.1 62 11.6 12 153.6 124
24 -11 Houston  ( 5 - 2 ) 0.738 0.426 84 19.9 31 13.5 27 172.2 62
25 -7 Memphis  ( 4 - 2 ) 0.732 0.488 67 18.6 42 12.7 20 178.4 26
Rankings through games of 2016-10-23

New entries: Boise St., Stanford.

Dropped out: Arkansas, Miami-FL.


Follow us on Twitter at @TFGridiron and @TFGLiveOdds.

Week 9: Full Rankings — TFG

Biggest jumps: SMU (0.138); North Texas (0.112); SDSU (0.096); Temple (0.092); Penn State (0.075)

Biggest drops: Arkansas (-0.143); Minnesota (-0.099); North Carolina St. (-0.075); Houston (-0.075); Georgia Southern (-0.072)

Full rankings after the jump.

Week 9: Top 25 — RBA

Mouse over column headers for definitions, or see this page
Rank +/- Team WinPct SoS Adjusted
Off. Def. Pace
1 -- Alabama  ( 8 - 0 ) 0.938 0.555 7 25.4 3 6.0 1 157.8 128
2 -- Ohio St.  ( 6 - 1 ) 0.924 0.530 52 25.1 7 7.7 3 162.0 117
3 -- Michigan  ( 7 - 0 ) 0.891 0.547 22 24.8 8 8.2 4 164.9 98
4 +6 LSU  ( 4 - 2 ) 0.859 0.554 12 25.1 6 9.9 11 160.3 123
5 -1 Washington  ( 6 - 0 ) 0.848 0.546 24 25.9 2 10.7 13 169.2 56
6 -1 Stanford  ( 4 - 3 ) 0.821 0.544 31 19.8 33 7.3 2 165.0 94
7 +1 USC  ( 4 - 3 ) 0.813 0.536 44 24.4 9 8.9 8 167.7 71
8 +5 Auburn  ( 5 - 2 ) 0.811 0.557 5 23.6 11 9.5 10 161.4 119
9 +9 West Virginia  ( 5 - 0 ) 0.810 0.539 37 19.3 40 8.3 6 171.6 29
10 -4 Mississippi  ( 2 - 4 ) 0.809 0.546 27 23.7 10 10.9 15 166.7 79
11 -4 Wisconsin  ( 5 - 2 ) 0.798 0.538 40 18.1 52 8.4 7 161.2 120
12 -- Clemson  ( 6 - 0 ) 0.797 0.535 46 19.9 31 10.1 12 169.9 42
13 +1 Washington St.  ( 5 - 1 ) 0.782 0.542 32 23.0 13 12.9 26 174.5 12
14 -3 Texas A&M  ( 5 - 1 ) 0.780 0.549 18 19.3 38 9.4 9 174.6 10
15 -- Louisville  ( 6 - 1 ) 0.771 0.491 72 25.4 4 12.8 25 165.5 89
16 +1 Florida  ( 5 - 1 ) 0.771 0.557 6 17.2 61 8.2 5 161.2 121
17 +3 Oklahoma  ( 5 - 2 ) 0.769 0.550 16 26.0 1 15.2 51 173.0 19
18 -2 Houston  ( 5 - 2 ) 0.759 0.469 87 21.2 25 13.8 38 177.4 5
19 -- Miami-FL  ( 3 - 3 ) 0.751 0.552 15 19.8 32 11.2 17 163.8 111
20 NA Western Michigan  ( 7 - 0 ) 0.750 0.467 90 23.1 12 13.7 36 169.3 52
21 +1 Arkansas  ( 4 - 3 ) 0.742 0.575 1 21.5 23 13.3 32 164.2 108
22 +2 Georgia  ( 3 - 3 ) 0.738 0.545 30 17.3 59 11.2 18 160.9 122
23 -14 Virginia Tech  ( 4 - 2 ) 0.733 0.522 58 19.1 42 11.8 20 161.6 118
24 -1 Baylor  ( 5 - 0 ) 0.733 0.546 25 22.1 19 13.1 29 178.8 3
25 NA Colorado  ( 5 - 2 ) 0.725 0.554 9 19.2 41 11.0 16 170.7 38
Rankings through games of 2016-10-23

New entries: Western Michigan, Colorado.

Dropped out: TCU, Kansas St..


Follow us on Twitter at @TFGridiron and @TFGLiveOdds.