Saturday, December 8, 2018

Week 16: Saturday Predictions

 29Army31
 92Navy24
 44Army38
 97Navy21


Key
Close
game
                        Certain
victory
                       


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Monday, December 3, 2018

Week 16: Top 25 — TFG

Mouse over column headers for definitions, or see this page
Rank +/- Team WinPct SoS Adjusted
Off. Def. Pace
1 -- Alabama  ( 12 - 0 ) 0.962 0.658 10 31.3 2 9.3 3 164.3 91
2 -- Clemson  ( 12 - 0 ) 0.952 0.554 48 25.5 5 8.3 1 169.9 64
3 -- Georgia  ( 10 - 2 ) 0.916 0.695 3 28.3 3 11.5 12 158.8 111
4 -- Michigan  ( 10 - 2 ) 0.897 0.584 31 24.8 8 11.0 7 155.4 126
5 -- Mississippi St.  ( 7 - 4 ) 0.873 0.626 19 18.1 53 8.8 2 155.1 127
6 -- Ohio St.  ( 12 - 1 ) 0.859 0.561 44 26.8 4 13.6 21 181.4 9
7 -- Notre Dame  ( 12 - 0 ) 0.841 0.544 52 21.0 23 11.2 9 171.9 53
8 -- Penn State  ( 9 - 3 ) 0.836 0.566 42 20.9 24 11.3 10 175.8 38
9 +1 Iowa  ( 7 - 4 ) 0.833 0.547 49 19.6 32 10.7 5 159.4 109
10 +1 Fresno St.  ( 10 - 2 ) 0.821 0.435 82 17.9 57 10.1 4 162.7 99
11 -2 UCF  ( 11 - 0 ) 0.820 0.452 75 24.0 10 13.6 20 182.0 8
12 +1 Washington  ( 9 - 3 ) 0.814 0.572 40 19.8 31 11.4 11 157.5 118
13 +1 Missouri  ( 7 - 4 ) 0.798 0.663 7 21.9 18 13.1 19 177.8 23
14 -2 Appalachian St.  ( 9 - 2 ) 0.795 0.330 120 19.3 36 11.6 14 163.8 94
15 +1 LSU  ( 8 - 3 ) 0.795 0.655 11 20.2 26 12.2 15 176.3 36
16 -1 Auburn  ( 6 - 5 ) 0.795 0.696 1 18.5 46 11.1 8 169.4 67
17 -- Oklahoma  ( 12 - 1 ) 0.793 0.578 35 32.7 1 19.7 89 173.1 47
18 -- Boise St.  ( 10 - 3 ) 0.772 0.474 70 23.2 12 14.6 35 168.2 74
19 -- Texas A&M  ( 7 - 4 ) 0.764 0.693 4 25.0 7 16.0 49 171.3 54
20 +1 West Virginia  ( 7 - 3 ) 0.761 0.581 32 25.0 6 16.2 51 178.6 19
21 +1 Cincinnati  ( 9 - 2 ) 0.753 0.427 89 17.6 65 11.5 13 167.8 76
22 -2 Utah  ( 8 - 4 ) 0.745 0.592 26 19.1 39 12.8 18 166.6 82
23 NA North Carolina St.  ( 8 - 3 ) 0.737 0.459 73 21.0 22 14.3 31 166.1 84
24 -1 Temple  ( 8 - 3 ) 0.735 0.420 93 20.1 27 13.7 23 179.1 16
25 -1 Washington St.  ( 9 - 2 ) 0.734 0.517 61 23.5 11 16.0 45 168.5 70
Rankings through games of 2018-12-02

New entries: North Carolina St..

Dropped out: Florida.


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Week 16: Full Rankings — TFG

Biggest jumps: Virginia Tech (0.070); North Carolina St. (0.065); South Carolina (0.036); Northern Ill. (0.015); Boston College (0.015)

Biggest drops: Marshall (-0.066); East Carolina (-0.053); Akron (-0.025); Northwestern (-0.022); Utah (-0.019)

Full rankings after the jump.

Week 16: Top 25 — RBA

Mouse over column headers for definitions, or see this page
Rank +/- Team WinPct SoS Adjusted
Off. Def. Pace
1 +1 Alabama  ( 12 - 0 ) 0.917 0.555 8 31.4 1 9.6 4 158.1 127
2 -1 Clemson  ( 12 - 0 ) 0.916 0.540 36 27.2 4 8.0 2 170.1 45
3 -- Michigan  ( 10 - 2 ) 0.866 0.552 12 23.9 8 9.9 5 164.0 105
4 +2 Georgia  ( 10 - 2 ) 0.860 0.549 22 29.2 3 11.6 17 160.0 125
5 -- Iowa  ( 7 - 4 ) 0.857 0.528 54 22.5 13 9.1 3 163.3 115
6 -2 Mississippi St.  ( 7 - 4 ) 0.851 0.561 5 23.3 11 8.0 1 163.9 107
7 -- Ohio St.  ( 12 - 1 ) 0.811 0.535 49 25.9 5 12.2 19 163.7 113
8 +1 LSU  ( 8 - 3 ) 0.792 0.560 7 20.8 26 11.2 14 160.5 121
9 +2 Penn State  ( 9 - 3 ) 0.785 0.539 39 21.6 19 10.3 8 165.9 86
10 -- Notre Dame  ( 12 - 0 ) 0.785 0.564 3 19.4 35 10.3 9 165.4 94
11 +2 Auburn  ( 6 - 5 ) 0.772 0.566 2 18.6 43 10.4 11 162.1 119
12 -4 Utah  ( 8 - 4 ) 0.772 0.499 67 19.5 33 10.3 10 167.1 76
13 +2 UCF  ( 11 - 0 ) 0.771 0.469 88 23.8 9 13.4 32 166.6 79
14 -2 Oklahoma  ( 12 - 1 ) 0.766 0.542 34 29.8 2 16.4 64 172.2 20
15 -1 Washington  ( 9 - 3 ) 0.758 0.542 33 19.2 38 10.7 12 167.6 72
16 -- West Virginia  ( 7 - 3 ) 0.757 0.537 42 24.1 7 13.2 28 172.1 23
17 -- Missouri  ( 7 - 4 ) 0.755 0.522 59 23.4 10 11.5 16 174.4 10
18 -- Washington St.  ( 9 - 2 ) 0.740 0.537 41 22.0 15 13.2 27 174.0 13
19 -- Texas A&M  ( 7 - 4 ) 0.735 0.547 29 21.8 17 13.0 24 174.3 11
20 +1 Miami-FL  ( 6 - 5 ) 0.725 0.549 19 19.6 32 11.2 15 164.1 104
21 -1 Fresno St.  ( 10 - 2 ) 0.721 0.489 74 17.1 58 10.2 6 168.7 57
22 +1 Iowa St.  ( 7 - 4 ) 0.715 0.549 20 17.6 54 11.6 18 171.4 27
23 +2 Florida  ( 7 - 3 ) 0.713 0.563 4 21.5 20 12.4 20 160.5 122
24 -- Wisconsin  ( 7 - 5 ) 0.712 0.536 47 19.4 34 14.0 39 160.3 123
25 NA Boise St.  ( 10 - 3 ) 0.710 0.457 106 21.0 24 13.3 30 169.6 49
Rankings through games of 2018-12-02

New entries: Boise St..

Dropped out: Stanford.


Follow us on Twitter at @TFGridiron and @TFGLiveOdds.

Week 16: Full Rankings — RBA

Biggest jumps: Middle Tenn. (0.060); Memphis (0.030); California (0.023); Appalachian St. (0.019); Virginia Tech (0.018)

Biggest drops: UAB (-0.059); East Carolina (-0.039); Utah (-0.025); North Carolina St. (-0.022); Stanford (-0.021)

Full rankings after the jump.

Saturday, December 1, 2018

Week 15: Saturday Predictions

 70California25
 30Stanford30
 64California24
 22Stanford31

  3Georgia29
  1Alabama34
  6Georgia20
  2Alabama24

 32North Carolina St.35
111East Carolina24
 28North Carolina St.45
 97East Carolina14

 55Pittsburgh22
  2Clemson34
 33Pittsburgh20
  1Clemson35

 37South Carolina34
113Akron23
 32South Carolina42
114Akron17

 84Virginia Tech25
 42Marshall29
 76Virginia Tech31
 71Marshall24


Key
Close
game
                        Certain
victory
                       


Follow us on Twitter at @TFGridiron and @TFGLiveOdds.

Thursday, November 29, 2018

Week 15 TFG Projections: SEC,Pac-12,Mountain West,Sun Belt

Projected conference champions
  • Mountain West: Fresno St.
  • Pac-12: Utah
  • SEC: Alabama
  • Sun Belt: Appalachian St.
Full projected conference standings after the jump.

Week 15 RBA Projections: SEC,Pac-12,Mountain West,Sun Belt

Projected conference champions
  • Mountain West: Fresno St.
  • Pac-12: Utah
  • SEC: Alabama
  • Sun Belt: Appalachian St.
Full projected conference standings after the jump.

Wednesday, November 28, 2018

Week 15 TFG Projections: Big Ten,Big XII,Mid-American,Independents

Projected conference champions
  • Big Ten: Ohio St.
  • Big XII: Oklahoma
  • Independents: BYU
  • Mid-American: Buffalo
Full projected conference standings after the jump.

Week 15 RBA Projections: Big Ten,Big XII,Mid-American,Independents

Projected conference champions
  • Big Ten: Ohio St.
  • Big XII: Oklahoma
  • Independents: BYU
  • Mid-American: Northern Ill.
Full projected conference standings after the jump.

Tuesday, November 27, 2018

Week 15 TFG Projections: ACC,American Athletic,Conference-USA

Projected conference champions
  • ACC: Clemson
  • American Athletic: UCF
  • Conference-USA: UAB
Full projected conference standings after the jump.

Week 15 RBA Projections: ACC,American Athletic,Conference-USA

Projected conference champions
  • ACC: Clemson
  • American Athletic: UCF
  • Conference-USA: UAB
Full projected conference standings after the jump.

Week 15: Undefeated ... but for how long? — TFG

Odds as of games through 2018-11-25

Week 15: Undefeated ... but for how long? — RBA

Odds as of games through 2018-11-25

Monday, November 26, 2018

Week 15: Top 25 — TFG

Mouse over column headers for definitions, or see this page
Rank +/- Team WinPct SoS Adjusted
Off. Def. Pace
1 -- Alabama  ( 11 - 0 ) 0.965 0.612 21 31.6 2 9.1 3 162.7 98
2 -- Clemson  ( 11 - 0 ) 0.947 0.540 51 24.9 7 8.5 1 169.9 63
3 +1 Georgia  ( 10 - 1 ) 0.914 0.638 12 27.7 3 11.4 11 157.2 118
4 -1 Michigan  ( 10 - 2 ) 0.896 0.584 30 24.8 8 11.0 7 155.4 126
5 +2 Mississippi St.  ( 7 - 4 ) 0.874 0.627 15 18.1 53 8.7 2 155.3 127
6 +3 Ohio St.  ( 11 - 1 ) 0.857 0.559 42 26.5 4 13.5 22 181.6 9
7 -1 Notre Dame  ( 12 - 0 ) 0.838 0.538 52 20.9 22 11.3 9 171.8 54
8 +5 Penn State  ( 9 - 3 ) 0.838 0.567 39 21.0 21 11.3 10 175.7 38
9 +1 UCF  ( 10 - 0 ) 0.834 0.447 77 23.9 10 13.0 18 181.2 10
10 -5 Iowa  ( 7 - 4 ) 0.834 0.549 48 19.7 33 10.8 5 159.4 109
11 -3 Fresno St.  ( 9 - 2 ) 0.824 0.401 101 18.3 51 10.3 4 160.8 106
12 +3 Appalachian St.  ( 8 - 2 ) 0.807 0.327 122 19.6 34 11.5 13 164.6 90
13 +3 Washington  ( 8 - 3 ) 0.800 0.558 43 20.5 25 12.2 14 158.5 112
14 +8 Missouri  ( 7 - 4 ) 0.800 0.661 7 22.0 17 13.1 19 178.1 21
15 -3 Auburn  ( 6 - 5 ) 0.798 0.697 2 18.7 46 11.1 8 169.7 66
16 -5 LSU  ( 8 - 3 ) 0.796 0.655 8 20.3 28 12.2 15 176.6 35
17 -3 Oklahoma  ( 11 - 1 ) 0.791 0.570 37 33.0 1 20.0 93 173.3 47
18 +2 Boise St.  ( 10 - 2 ) 0.771 0.450 74 23.7 11 15.0 37 166.4 84
19 -- Texas A&M  ( 7 - 4 ) 0.765 0.691 4 25.0 5 16.0 46 171.3 55
20 -3 Utah  ( 8 - 3 ) 0.764 0.570 36 20.6 24 13.2 20 167.5 78
21 -3 West Virginia  ( 7 - 3 ) 0.763 0.585 28 25.0 6 16.1 50 178.5 19
22 NA Cincinnati  ( 9 - 2 ) 0.762 0.444 79 17.8 58 11.5 12 167.7 76
23 NA Temple  ( 8 - 3 ) 0.741 0.433 85 20.4 26 13.7 27 178.9 17
24 -3 Washington St.  ( 9 - 2 ) 0.736 0.522 57 23.1 12 15.7 42 168.4 72
25 NA Florida  ( 7 - 3 ) 0.723 0.677 6 19.8 32 13.8 28 165.9 85
Rankings through games of 2018-11-25

New entries: Cincinnati, Temple, Florida.

Dropped out: Texas, Stanford, Wisconsin.


Follow us on Twitter at @TFGridiron and @TFGLiveOdds.

Week 15: Full Rankings — TFG

Biggest jumps: Middle Tenn. (0.105); Wake Forest (0.095); Wyoming (0.077); Kentucky (0.069); Cincinnati (0.069)

Biggest drops: Duke (-0.128); North Texas (-0.068); UAB (-0.067); Mississippi (-0.067); Pittsburgh (-0.064)

Full rankings after the jump.

Week 15: Top 25 — RBA

Mouse over column headers for definitions, or see this page
Rank +/- Team WinPct SoS Adjusted
Off. Def. Pace
1 -- Clemson  ( 11 - 0 ) 0.924 0.539 37 27.0 4 8.1 2 170.2 44
2 -- Alabama  ( 11 - 0 ) 0.920 0.554 9 31.4 1 9.4 4 158.1 127
3 -- Michigan  ( 10 - 2 ) 0.863 0.552 12 23.9 8 9.9 5 164.0 105
4 +2 Mississippi St.  ( 7 - 4 ) 0.854 0.561 5 23.3 10 8.0 1 163.9 108
5 +2 Iowa  ( 7 - 4 ) 0.854 0.529 54 22.5 13 9.1 3 163.3 115
6 -2 Georgia  ( 10 - 1 ) 0.851 0.547 26 29.2 3 11.6 18 160.0 125
7 -2 Ohio St.  ( 11 - 1 ) 0.803 0.536 48 25.8 5 12.2 20 163.6 114
8 +2 Utah  ( 8 - 3 ) 0.797 0.499 67 19.6 34 10.4 9 167.3 74
9 +5 LSU  ( 8 - 3 ) 0.794 0.560 7 20.8 26 11.2 15 160.5 121
10 +3 Notre Dame  ( 12 - 0 ) 0.785 0.564 3 19.4 36 10.3 7 165.4 93
11 -3 Penn State  ( 9 - 3 ) 0.784 0.539 39 21.6 19 10.3 8 165.9 87
12 -3 Oklahoma  ( 11 - 1 ) 0.771 0.541 34 30.2 2 16.6 64 172.2 20
13 +5 Auburn  ( 6 - 5 ) 0.769 0.566 2 18.6 43 10.4 10 162.1 119
14 -2 Washington  ( 8 - 3 ) 0.759 0.542 33 19.5 35 11.1 13 167.7 71
15 +1 UCF  ( 10 - 0 ) 0.758 0.469 88 23.2 11 12.7 23 166.5 79
16 -5 West Virginia  ( 7 - 3 ) 0.756 0.537 42 24.1 7 13.2 29 172.1 23
17 -- Missouri  ( 7 - 4 ) 0.755 0.521 58 23.4 9 11.5 16 174.4 10
18 +1 Washington St.  ( 9 - 2 ) 0.737 0.537 41 22.0 15 13.2 28 174.0 13
19 +1 Texas A&M  ( 7 - 4 ) 0.731 0.547 29 21.8 16 13.0 24 174.3 11
20 +1 Fresno St.  ( 9 - 2 ) 0.725 0.488 74 17.4 56 10.9 11 168.7 56
21 +4 Miami-FL  ( 6 - 5 ) 0.723 0.549 20 19.6 33 11.2 14 164.1 104
22 +2 Stanford  ( 6 - 4 ) 0.720 0.543 32 22.5 14 14.9 47 164.3 100
23 -8 Iowa St.  ( 7 - 4 ) 0.712 0.549 19 17.6 53 11.6 17 171.4 29
24 -2 Wisconsin  ( 7 - 5 ) 0.712 0.536 47 19.4 37 14.0 37 160.3 123
25 -2 Florida  ( 7 - 3 ) 0.710 0.563 4 21.5 20 12.4 21 160.5 122
Rankings through games of 2018-11-25

New entries: none.

Dropped out: none.


Follow us on Twitter at @TFGridiron and @TFGLiveOdds.

Week 15: Full Rankings — RBA

Biggest jumps: Ohio (0.131); Auburn (0.051); Iowa (0.048); North Carolina St. (0.036); Kentucky (0.031)

Biggest drops: Buffalo (-0.095); UAB (-0.043); Texas Tech (-0.040); Tulane (-0.038); USC (-0.037)

Full rankings after the jump.

Saturday, November 24, 2018

Week 14: Saturday Predictions

  1Alabama33
 12Auburn21
  2Alabama34
 18Auburn13

 15Appalachian St.28
 52Troy23
 46Appalachian St.38
 69Troy27

 74Arizona31
 43Arizona St.34
 55Arizona31
 31Arizona St.34

 20Boise St.35
 33Utah St.32
 27Boise St.38
 45Utah St.24

 42Boston College30
 51Syracuse28
 29Boston College31
 41Syracuse24

 78California25
 87Colorado24
 66California28
 60Colorado24

  2Clemson34
 46South Carolina21
  1Clemson38
 30South Carolina13

128Connecticut22
 26Temple41
125Connecticut17
 40Temple38

 53Duke32
 89Wake Forest28
 50Duke34
 59Wake Forest24

 83FIU26
 44Marshall30
 90FIU29
 71Marshall28

 57FL-Atlantic32
111Charlotte24
 76FL-Atlantic41
122Charlotte14

 77Florida St.25
 32Florida29
 49Florida St.24
 23Florida28

  8Fresno St.34
125SJSU17
 21Fresno St.42
121SJSU7

  4Georgia36
 45Georgia Tech27
  4Georgia41
 28Georgia Tech17

114Georgia State26
 69Georgia Southern34
119Georgia State27
 77Georgia Southern38

 59Indiana29
 37Purdue32
 67Indiana29
 54Purdue28

 31Iowa St.26
 75Kansas St.22
 15Iowa St.31
 51Kansas St.20

 99LA-Monroe33
 97LA-Lafayette35
113LA-Monroe35
102LA-Lafayette34

120Liberty36
122New Mexico St.34
118Liberty45
129New Mexico St.28

 93LA Tech29
113Western Kentucky25
 94LA Tech34
108Western Kentucky20

102Louisville24
 40Kentucky32
 93Louisville27
 57Kentucky31

 36Miami-FL28
 41Pittsburgh26
 25Miami-FL34
 38Pittsburgh24

 35Michigan St.27
124Rutgers16
 26Michigan St.41
117Rutgers10

 79Middle Tenn.25
 30UAB30
 97Middle Tenn.27
 65UAB31

112New Mexico23
 84Wyoming29
105New Mexico24
 88Wyoming31

 98North Carolina26
 27North Carolina St.36
 96North Carolina24
 34North Carolina St.38

 38Northwestern35
118Illinois23
 47Northwestern38
 98Illinois21

  9Ohio St.27
  3Michigan31
  5Ohio St.21
  3Michigan27

 13Penn State33
 65Maryland25
  8Penn State41
 58Maryland17

129Rice30
109Old Dominion36
124Rice31
106Old Dominion28

 62SDSU34
104Hawaii26
 61SDSU38
103Hawaii24

 55USC25
  6Notre Dame33
 39USC24
 13Notre Dame31

 61TCU30
 39Oklahoma St.33
 32TCU34
 33Oklahoma St.31

 19Texas A&M27
 11LSU28
 20Texas A&M27
 14LSU28

126Texas State23
 70Arkansas St.33
131Texas State21
 95Arkansas St.38

 48Texas Tech35
 90Baylor30
 36Texas Tech38
 63Baylor27

 85Tulane29
 95Navy26
 83Tulane34
101Navy24

105Tulsa31
 94SMU32
 99Tulsa32
 87SMU31

 80UCLA27
 24Stanford34
 81UCLA24
 24Stanford35

115UNLV28
 82Nevada36
107UNLV28
 78Nevada34

 17Utah28
 67BYU22
 10Utah38
 72BYU14

130UTEP24
 91Southern Miss.35
127UTEP21
 89Southern Miss.34

131UTSA22
 60North Texas35
130UTSA20
 74North Texas35

 58Vanderbilt25
 56Tennessee27
 37Vanderbilt35
 79Tennessee20

 25Wisconsin30
 63Minnesota25
 22Wisconsin34
 70Minnesota21


Key
Close
game
                        Certain
victory
                       


Follow us on Twitter at @TFGridiron and @TFGLiveOdds.