Week 15: Saturday Predictions

99 Army 24  42 Navy 32

87 Army 21  39 Navy 35

Key
Close game							Certain victory

Follow us on Twitter at @TFGridiron and @TFGLiveOdds.

Week 15: Top 25 — TFG

Mouse over column headers for definitions, or see this page

Rank	+/-	Team	WinPct	SoS		Adjusted
						Off.		Def.		Pace
1	--	Alabama  ( 12 - 0 )	0.980	0.682	4	29.0	1	6.7	1	163.7	102
2	--	Ohio St.  ( 11 - 1 )	0.962	0.611	21	27.0	2	8.0	2	170.8	65
3	--	Michigan  ( 10 - 2 )	0.953	0.570	42	25.7	5	8.3	3	161.9	107
4	--	Clemson  ( 11 - 1 )	0.902	0.607	23	24.6	8	10.7	8	179.2	25
5	+1	Washington  ( 11 - 1 )	0.898	0.532	59	26.0	4	11.5	11	165.6	97
6	-1	Wisconsin  ( 10 - 3 )	0.873	0.591	30	20.4	26	9.9	5	160.4	112
7	--	Auburn  ( 7 - 4 )	0.866	0.685	3	19.8	34	9.8	4	167.5	87
8	--	LSU  ( 6 - 4 )	0.846	0.710	2	19.9	31	10.5	7	154.6	124
9	+1	Penn State  ( 11 - 2 )	0.841	0.585	34	24.0	10	12.8	20	169.1	78
10	-1	Florida St.  ( 8 - 3 )	0.830	0.621	18	22.4	16	12.3	18	166.2	94
11	+1	Oklahoma  ( 10 - 2 )	0.821	0.543	53	26.5	3	14.9	42	172.6	55
12	-1	Louisville  ( 9 - 3 )	0.817	0.495	71	24.9	7	14.2	34	170.6	66
13	+1	USC  ( 9 - 3 )	0.803	0.626	13	20.7	24	12.2	17	170.1	72
14	-1	Western Kentucky  ( 9 - 3 )	0.802	0.391	98	23.8	11	14.0	30	171.6	58
15	+5	Temple  ( 9 - 3 )	0.793	0.424	85	18.7	44	11.3	10	154.2	125
16	-1	Western Michigan  ( 12 - 0 )	0.790	0.349	114	24.1	9	14.7	38	158.2	119
17	+1	Iowa  ( 8 - 3 )	0.782	0.532	58	18.3	50	11.3	9	163.8	101
18	+1	Virginia Tech  ( 8 - 4 )	0.782	0.559	47	20.2	30	12.5	19	173.6	51
19	-2	Florida  ( 8 - 4 )	0.756	0.624	16	16.0	70	10.5	6	157.2	122
20	+1	Memphis  ( 7 - 4 )	0.755	0.495	70	20.4	29	13.3	24	179.4	22
21	+1	Miami-FL  ( 7 - 4 )	0.753	0.577	38	18.4	49	12.1	14	170.6	67
22	+1	Texas A&M  ( 7 - 4 )	0.747	0.637	11	19.7	35	13.1	22	181.6	17
23	-7	Colorado  ( 9 - 3 )	0.747	0.638	10	17.4	57	11.6	12	183.8	11
24	+1	Stanford  ( 9 - 3 )	0.742	0.568	43	18.0	53	12.1	15	158.8	118
25	-1	Washington St.  ( 8 - 3 )	0.742	0.562	44	21.7	19	14.6	37	176.9	35

Rankings through games of 2016-12-04

New entries: none.

Dropped out: none.


Follow us on Twitter at @TFGridiron and @TFGLiveOdds.

Week 15: Full Rankings — TFG

Biggest jumps: LA-Lafayette (0.071); Idaho (0.059); Kansas St. (0.053); Ohio (0.037); Georgia Southern (0.030)

Biggest drops: TCU (-0.060); Colorado (-0.050); Navy (-0.040); Georgia State (-0.037); Florida (-0.031)

Full rankings after the jump.

Week 15: Top 25 — RBA

Mouse over column headers for definitions, or see this page

Rank	+/-	Team	WinPct	SoS		Adjusted
						Off.		Def.		Pace
1	--	Alabama  ( 12 - 0 )	0.960	0.555	9	26.0	5	5.1	1	157.8	128
2	--	Ohio St.  ( 11 - 1 )	0.922	0.531	52	25.3	7	7.0	2	162.2	116
3	--	Michigan  ( 10 - 2 )	0.877	0.548	20	23.9	13	8.3	4	164.9	99
4	+1	LSU  ( 6 - 4 )	0.859	0.555	8	27.2	1	10.6	9	160.1	124
5	-1	USC  ( 9 - 3 )	0.854	0.535	44	25.5	6	9.1	5	167.8	67
6	+1	Washington  ( 11 - 1 )	0.839	0.545	28	27.0	2	11.1	15	169.1	56
7	+3	Clemson  ( 11 - 1 )	0.830	0.535	47	22.5	15	10.0	8	170.1	42
8	-2	Wisconsin  ( 10 - 3 )	0.826	0.536	39	20.5	34	9.3	6	161.1	120
9	-1	Auburn  ( 7 - 4 )	0.822	0.557	6	21.5	23	9.7	7	161.5	119
10	+3	Oklahoma  ( 10 - 2 )	0.790	0.546	25	26.6	3	13.2	28	172.9	19
11	--	Louisville  ( 9 - 3 )	0.783	0.489	74	24.1	12	13.1	25	165.7	86
12	--	Stanford  ( 9 - 3 )	0.779	0.542	32	19.7	40	11.6	18	165.1	94
13	-4	Florida  ( 8 - 4 )	0.779	0.560	3	16.0	72	8.2	3	160.9	121
14	--	Washington St.  ( 8 - 3 )	0.774	0.540	34	24.4	10	13.0	24	174.7	10
15	+1	Miami-FL  ( 7 - 4 )	0.771	0.550	16	20.6	32	10.9	13	164.1	109
16	-1	Colorado  ( 9 - 3 )	0.768	0.552	13	19.9	38	10.7	11	171.0	35
17	+2	Texas A&M  ( 7 - 4 )	0.758	0.547	24	19.4	45	10.7	10	174.6	11
18	-1	Western Michigan  ( 12 - 0 )	0.757	0.465	90	24.5	8	14.5	43	169.0	58
19	-1	Florida St.  ( 8 - 3 )	0.755	0.541	33	20.7	30	11.1	14	166.0	83
20	--	Houston  ( 8 - 3 )	0.738	0.469	87	20.4	37	13.3	30	177.7	5
21	--	BYU  ( 7 - 4 )	0.737	0.500	65	18.4	52	10.8	12	172.1	25
22	+3	West Virginia  ( 9 - 2 )	0.729	0.536	41	19.6	42	11.5	17	171.9	26
23	NA	Penn State  ( 11 - 2 )	0.725	0.533	49	21.2	25	12.8	23	165.2	93
24	NA	Virginia Tech  ( 8 - 4 )	0.718	0.521	58	19.4	46	12.3	21	162.0	117
25	-2	Arkansas  ( 6 - 5 )	0.717	0.574	1	22.3	16	15.1	46	164.0	111

Rankings through games of 2016-12-04

New entries: Penn State, Virginia Tech.

Dropped out: Kansas St., North Carolina.


Follow us on Twitter at @TFGridiron and @TFGLiveOdds.

Week 15: Full Rankings — RBA

Biggest jumps: Western Kentucky (0.044); Virginia Tech (0.043); Temple (0.038); Penn State (0.033); Clemson (0.027)

Biggest drops: SDSU (-0.092); Kansas St. (-0.075); Florida (-0.033); Baylor (-0.033); LA Tech (-0.032)

Full rankings after the jump.

Week 14: Saturday Predictions

17 Florida 17   1 Alabama 28

9 Florida 17   1 Alabama 31

79 Georgia Southern 26  56 Troy 30

81 Georgia Southern 28  71 Troy 27

94 Idaho 29 109 Georgia State 28

118 Idaho 34 110 Georgia State 24

123 LA-Monroe 27 104 LA-Lafayette 34

124 LA-Monroe 27 109 LA-Lafayette 28

37 Navy 28  20 Temple 29

43 Navy 35  38 Temple 31

12 Oklahoma 37  34 Oklahoma St. 31

13 Oklahoma 41  34 Oklahoma St. 31

10 Penn State 25   5 Wisconsin 27

27 Penn State 24   6 Wisconsin 27

95 South Alabama 33 121 New Mexico St. 27

85 South Alabama 35 123 New Mexico St. 24

40 TCU 28  47 Kansas St. 27

37 TCU 34  22 Kansas St. 27

129 Texas State 20  57 Arkansas St. 37

129 Texas State 17  74 Arkansas St. 41

19 Virginia Tech 25   4 Clemson 32

31 Virginia Tech 28  10 Clemson 31

30 West Virginia 33  58 Baylor 28

25 West Virginia 38  39 Baylor 24

13 Western Kentucky 35  45 LA Tech 29

49 Western Kentucky 42  53 LA Tech 34

Key
Close game							Certain victory

Follow us on Twitter at @TFGridiron and @TFGLiveOdds.

Week 14: Friday Predictions

80 Ohio 22  15 Western Michigan 32

68 Ohio 24  17 Western Michigan 34

6 Washington 31  16 Colorado 26

7 Washington 31  15 Colorado 20

Key
Close game							Certain victory

Follow us on Twitter at @TFGridiron and @TFGLiveOdds.

Week 14 TFG Projections: SEC,Pac-12,Mountain West,Sun Belt

Projected conference champions

• Mountain West: SDSU
• Pac-12: Washington
• SEC: Alabama
• Sun Belt: Troy

Full projected conference standings after the jump.

Week 14 RBA Projections: SEC,Pac-12,Mountain West,Sun Belt

Projected conference champions

• Mountain West: Boise St.
• Pac-12: Washington
• SEC: Alabama
• Sun Belt: Appalachian St.

Full projected conference standings after the jump.

Week 14 TFG Projections: Big Ten,Big XII,Mid-American,Independents

Projected conference champions

• Big Ten: Ohio St.
• Big XII: Oklahoma
• Independents: BYU
• Mid-American: Western Michigan

Full projected conference standings after the jump.

Week 14 RBA Projections: Big Ten,Big XII,Mid-American,Independents

Projected conference champions

• Big Ten: Ohio St.
• Big XII: Oklahoma
• Independents: BYU
• Mid-American: Western Michigan

Full projected conference standings after the jump.

Week 14 TFG Projections: ACC,American Athletic,Conference-USA

Projected conference champions

• ACC: Clemson
• American Athletic: Temple
• Conference-USA: Western Kentucky

Full projected conference standings after the jump.

Week 14 RBA Projections: ACC,American Athletic,Conference-USA

Projected conference champions

• ACC: Clemson
• American Athletic: Navy
• Conference-USA: Western Kentucky

Full projected conference standings after the jump.

Week 14: Undefeated ... but for how long? — TFG

Odds as of games through 2016-11-27

Week 14: Undefeated ... but for how long? — RBA

Odds as of games through 2016-11-27

Week 14: Top 25 — TFG

Mouse over column headers for definitions, or see this page

Rank	+/-	Team	WinPct	SoS		Adjusted
						Off.		Def.		Pace
1	--	Alabama  ( 11 - 0 )	0.979	0.680	4	26.5	2	6.2	1	163.9	101
2	--	Ohio St.  ( 11 - 1 )	0.962	0.611	20	27.3	1	8.1	2	170.6	65
3	--	Michigan  ( 10 - 2 )	0.956	0.573	39	26.3	4	8.3	3	161.7	108
4	+1	Clemson  ( 10 - 1 )	0.910	0.594	27	24.2	10	10.1	7	179.8	20
5	-1	Wisconsin  ( 10 - 2 )	0.890	0.567	41	19.9	33	9.1	4	161.0	111
6	+4	Washington  ( 10 - 1 )	0.873	0.512	63	24.7	8	12.0	13	166.9	89
7	-1	Auburn  ( 7 - 4 )	0.865	0.684	3	20.0	32	9.9	6	167.2	85
8	-1	LSU  ( 6 - 4 )	0.850	0.712	2	20.3	29	10.6	8	154.5	124
9	+3	Florida St.  ( 8 - 3 )	0.841	0.626	14	23.2	13	12.4	19	166.2	95
10	+3	Penn State  ( 10 - 2 )	0.830	0.554	48	22.4	16	12.4	20	169.8	76
11	-3	Louisville  ( 9 - 3 )	0.820	0.498	69	25.1	6	14.2	33	170.6	66
12	-1	Oklahoma  ( 9 - 2 )	0.815	0.537	53	26.3	3	15.0	41	173.7	51
13	+7	Western Kentucky  ( 8 - 3 )	0.805	0.359	109	23.4	12	13.7	28	170.2	72
14	+2	USC  ( 9 - 3 )	0.804	0.625	15	20.9	23	12.3	18	169.9	74
15	+2	Western Michigan  ( 11 - 0 )	0.803	0.344	116	24.3	9	14.3	35	158.1	120
16	-1	Colorado  ( 9 - 2 )	0.797	0.605	23	18.2	51	10.9	9	185.5	9
17	-8	Florida  ( 8 - 3 )	0.787	0.557	47	15.2	79	9.3	5	157.2	122
18	NA	Iowa  ( 8 - 3 )	0.782	0.535	54	18.5	49	11.5	10	163.7	103
19	+5	Virginia Tech  ( 8 - 3 )	0.775	0.516	61	19.2	39	12.1	17	174.3	45
20	+2	Temple  ( 8 - 3 )	0.765	0.395	97	18.7	45	12.0	12	154.2	125
21	+4	Memphis  ( 7 - 4 )	0.756	0.500	68	20.3	30	13.3	26	179.3	24
22	-1	Miami-FL  ( 7 - 4 )	0.753	0.579	35	18.5	47	12.1	16	170.5	68
23	-5	Texas A&M  ( 7 - 4 )	0.747	0.635	10	19.8	35	13.2	22	181.5	17
24	-5	Washington St.  ( 8 - 3 )	0.746	0.558	46	21.7	20	14.5	36	176.4	37
25	-2	Stanford  ( 9 - 3 )	0.742	0.569	40	18.0	54	12.1	15	158.6	118

Rankings through games of 2016-11-27

New entries: Iowa.

Dropped out: SDSU.


Follow us on Twitter at @TFGridiron and @TFGLiveOdds.

Week 14: Full Rankings — TFG

Biggest jumps: Colorado St. (0.105); New Mexico (0.069); Mississippi St. (0.059); Nevada (0.055); Kentucky (0.054)

Biggest drops: Nebraska (-0.082); SDSU (-0.076); Arizona St. (-0.071); Mississippi (-0.069); Virginia (-0.067)

Full rankings after the jump.

Week 14: Top 25 — RBA

Mouse over column headers for definitions, or see this page

Rank	+/-	Team	WinPct	SoS		Adjusted
						Off.		Def.		Pace
1	--	Alabama  ( 11 - 0 )	0.959	0.554	9	25.5	7	5.1	1	157.8	128
2	--	Ohio St.  ( 11 - 1 )	0.921	0.531	52	25.3	8	7.0	2	162.2	116
3	--	Michigan  ( 10 - 2 )	0.877	0.548	21	23.9	12	8.3	4	164.9	97
4	+2	USC  ( 9 - 3 )	0.861	0.535	45	25.5	6	9.1	6	167.8	67
5	-1	LSU  ( 6 - 4 )	0.857	0.555	8	27.2	1	10.6	10	160.1	124
6	-1	Wisconsin  ( 10 - 2 )	0.841	0.536	43	20.1	37	8.5	5	161.1	120
7	+1	Washington  ( 10 - 1 )	0.830	0.546	27	26.8	2	11.3	15	169.1	55
8	-1	Auburn  ( 7 - 4 )	0.820	0.557	6	21.5	23	9.7	8	161.5	119
9	+2	Florida  ( 8 - 3 )	0.812	0.559	3	16.0	72	7.9	3	160.9	121
10	-1	Clemson  ( 10 - 1 )	0.803	0.534	47	22.3	16	9.7	7	170.1	41
11	-1	Louisville  ( 9 - 3 )	0.784	0.488	74	24.1	11	13.1	24	165.7	86
12	--	Stanford  ( 9 - 3 )	0.783	0.542	32	19.7	40	11.6	17	165.1	95
13	+1	Oklahoma  ( 9 - 2 )	0.779	0.546	25	26.7	3	13.5	29	173.0	18
14	-1	Washington St.  ( 8 - 3 )	0.777	0.540	34	24.4	10	13.0	23	174.7	10
15	--	Colorado  ( 9 - 2 )	0.776	0.553	13	20.0	38	10.6	9	171.0	36
16	--	Miami-FL  ( 7 - 4 )	0.767	0.550	15	20.6	32	10.9	13	164.1	110
17	--	Western Michigan  ( 11 - 0 )	0.762	0.465	91	25.2	9	14.4	39	169.1	57
18	--	Florida St.  ( 8 - 3 )	0.758	0.541	33	20.7	29	11.1	14	166.0	83
19	--	Texas A&M  ( 7 - 4 )	0.753	0.547	23	19.4	44	10.7	11	174.6	11
20	+4	Houston  ( 8 - 3 )	0.739	0.469	87	20.4	35	13.3	28	177.7	5
21	+4	BYU  ( 7 - 4 )	0.735	0.500	65	18.4	52	10.8	12	172.1	25
22	NA	Kansas St.  ( 6 - 4 )	0.732	0.533	48	20.8	28	14.9	44	165.5	89
23	-1	Arkansas  ( 6 - 5 )	0.717	0.574	1	22.3	15	15.1	46	164.0	111
24	-3	North Carolina  ( 6 - 4 )	0.709	0.530	53	21.0	27	14.2	37	167.6	70
25	-2	West Virginia  ( 8 - 2 )	0.706	0.537	39	20.0	39	11.8	18	171.8	27

Rankings through games of 2016-11-27

New entries: Kansas St..

Dropped out: Mississippi.


Follow us on Twitter at @TFGridiron and @TFGLiveOdds.

Week 14: Full Rankings — RBA

Biggest jumps: Oregon St. (0.121); Iowa St. (0.096); Arkansas St. (0.087); Pittsburgh (0.087); LA-Lafayette (0.053)

Biggest drops: Mississippi (-0.129); Buffalo (-0.104); Texas Tech (-0.104); Arizona (-0.077); Texas (-0.068)

Full rankings after the jump.

Week 13: Saturday Predictions

1 Alabama 30   6 Auburn 22

1 Alabama 28   7 Auburn 17

29 BYU 31  82 Utah St. 23

25 BYU 41  95 Utah St. 10

66 California 33  53 UCLA 35

62 California 31  38 UCLA 34

5 Clemson 32  78 South Carolina 19

9 Clemson 35  64 South Carolina 14

15 Colorado 29  39 Utah 26

15 Colorado 31  33 Utah 24

124 Connecticut 21 115 Tulane 22

112 Connecticut 24 114 Tulane 21

12 Florida St. 23   9 Florida 24

18 Florida St. 28  11 Florida 27

125 Fresno St. 25 106 SJSU 28

125 Fresno St. 27 116 SJSU 24

49 Georgia 27  50 Georgia Tech 25

32 Georgia 31  49 Georgia Tech 21

118 Hawaii 29 117 Massachusetts 30

113 Hawaii 31 109 Massachusetts 21

97 Idaho 28  89 South Alabama 29

119 Idaho 31  90 South Alabama 28

70 Indiana 38 110 Purdue 30

68 Indiana 38 107 Purdue 24

69 Iowa St. 25  35 West Virginia 30

67 Iowa St. 27  23 West Virginia 34

43 Kansas St. 33 123 Kansas 21

26 Kansas St. 52 122 Kansas 13

107 LA-Lafayette 23  51 Arkansas St. 31

118 LA-Lafayette 21  93 Arkansas St. 34

8 Louisville 37  73 Kentucky 25

10 Louisville 41  59 Kentucky 17

101 Marshall 23  20 Western Kentucky 36

85 Marshall 31  53 Western Kentucky 38

96 Maryland 29 128 Rutgers 22

87 Maryland 34 111 Rutgers 17

21 Miami-FL 29  71 Duke 22

16 Miami-FL 38  71 Duke 20

81 Middle Tenn. 34 120 FL-Atlantic 28

78 Middle Tenn. 38 127 FL-Atlantic 21

27 Mississippi 38  61 Mississippi St. 31

20 Mississippi 35  58 Mississippi St. 24

88 New Mexico 33  65 Wyoming 38

79 New Mexico 35  75 Wyoming 34

119 New Mexico St. 21  34 Appalachian St. 35

124 New Mexico St. 20  66 Appalachian St. 38

45 Northwestern 30 114 Illinois 20

37 Northwestern 38  86 Illinois 17

2 Ohio St. 28   3 Michigan 27

2 Ohio St. 28   3 Michigan 14

74 Old Dominion 31 112 FIU 26

101 Old Dominion 38 120 FIU 21

77 Oregon St. 32  54 Oregon 36

91 Oregon St. 27  43 Oregon 41

13 Penn State 31  46 Michigan St. 27

36 Penn State 31  48 Michigan St. 24

32 Pittsburgh 39 103 Syracuse 27

45 Pittsburgh 42  98 Syracuse 17

14 SDSU 29  56 Colorado St. 24

27 SDSU 42  77 Colorado St. 21

90 SMU 27  44 Navy 35

92 SMU 28  52 Navy 35

47 South Florida 32  62 UCF 29

46 South Florida 38  73 UCF 20

16 USC 29  37 Notre Dame 26

6 USC 34  28 Notre Dame 21

23 Stanford 33 121 Rice 19

12 Stanford 52 121 Rice 7

22 Temple 33  94 East Carolina 23

44 Temple 41  88 East Carolina 20

129 Texas State 22  64 Troy 39

129 Texas State 20  61 Troy 41

100 UNLV 32 108 Nevada 31

103 UNLV 34 106 Nevada 28

126 UTEP 25 111 North Texas 31

128 UTEP 28 117 North Texas 34

87 UTSA 30 113 Charlotte 26

76 UTSA 38 126 Charlotte 24

68 Vanderbilt 25  31 Tennessee 31

81 Vanderbilt 21  29 Tennessee 28

24 Virginia Tech 32  84 Virginia 23

31 Virginia Tech 34  70 Virginia 20

83 Wake Forest 20  92 Boston College 19

80 Wake Forest 21  94 Boston College 17

4 Wisconsin 29  59 Minnesota 21

5 Wisconsin 28  56 Minnesota 14

Key
Close game							Certain victory

Follow us on Twitter at @TFGridiron and @TFGLiveOdds.