Saturday, December 10, 2016

Week 15: Saturday Predictions

 99Army24
 42Navy32
 87Army21
 39Navy35


Key
Close
game
                        Certain
victory
                       


Follow us on Twitter at @TFGridiron and @TFGLiveOdds.

Monday, December 5, 2016

Week 15: Top 25 — TFG

Mouse over column headers for definitions, or see this page
Rank +/- Team WinPct SoS Adjusted
Off. Def. Pace
1 -- Alabama  ( 12 - 0 ) 0.980 0.682 4 29.0 1 6.7 1 163.7 102
2 -- Ohio St.  ( 11 - 1 ) 0.962 0.611 21 27.0 2 8.0 2 170.8 65
3 -- Michigan  ( 10 - 2 ) 0.953 0.570 42 25.7 5 8.3 3 161.9 107
4 -- Clemson  ( 11 - 1 ) 0.902 0.607 23 24.6 8 10.7 8 179.2 25
5 +1 Washington  ( 11 - 1 ) 0.898 0.532 59 26.0 4 11.5 11 165.6 97
6 -1 Wisconsin  ( 10 - 3 ) 0.873 0.591 30 20.4 26 9.9 5 160.4 112
7 -- Auburn  ( 7 - 4 ) 0.866 0.685 3 19.8 34 9.8 4 167.5 87
8 -- LSU  ( 6 - 4 ) 0.846 0.710 2 19.9 31 10.5 7 154.6 124
9 +1 Penn State  ( 11 - 2 ) 0.841 0.585 34 24.0 10 12.8 20 169.1 78
10 -1 Florida St.  ( 8 - 3 ) 0.830 0.621 18 22.4 16 12.3 18 166.2 94
11 +1 Oklahoma  ( 10 - 2 ) 0.821 0.543 53 26.5 3 14.9 42 172.6 55
12 -1 Louisville  ( 9 - 3 ) 0.817 0.495 71 24.9 7 14.2 34 170.6 66
13 +1 USC  ( 9 - 3 ) 0.803 0.626 13 20.7 24 12.2 17 170.1 72
14 -1 Western Kentucky  ( 9 - 3 ) 0.802 0.391 98 23.8 11 14.0 30 171.6 58
15 +5 Temple  ( 9 - 3 ) 0.793 0.424 85 18.7 44 11.3 10 154.2 125
16 -1 Western Michigan  ( 12 - 0 ) 0.790 0.349 114 24.1 9 14.7 38 158.2 119
17 +1 Iowa  ( 8 - 3 ) 0.782 0.532 58 18.3 50 11.3 9 163.8 101
18 +1 Virginia Tech  ( 8 - 4 ) 0.782 0.559 47 20.2 30 12.5 19 173.6 51
19 -2 Florida  ( 8 - 4 ) 0.756 0.624 16 16.0 70 10.5 6 157.2 122
20 +1 Memphis  ( 7 - 4 ) 0.755 0.495 70 20.4 29 13.3 24 179.4 22
21 +1 Miami-FL  ( 7 - 4 ) 0.753 0.577 38 18.4 49 12.1 14 170.6 67
22 +1 Texas A&M  ( 7 - 4 ) 0.747 0.637 11 19.7 35 13.1 22 181.6 17
23 -7 Colorado  ( 9 - 3 ) 0.747 0.638 10 17.4 57 11.6 12 183.8 11
24 +1 Stanford  ( 9 - 3 ) 0.742 0.568 43 18.0 53 12.1 15 158.8 118
25 -1 Washington St.  ( 8 - 3 ) 0.742 0.562 44 21.7 19 14.6 37 176.9 35
Rankings through games of 2016-12-04

New entries: none.

Dropped out: none.


Follow us on Twitter at @TFGridiron and @TFGLiveOdds.

Week 15: Full Rankings — TFG

Biggest jumps: LA-Lafayette (0.071); Idaho (0.059); Kansas St. (0.053); Ohio (0.037); Georgia Southern (0.030)

Biggest drops: TCU (-0.060); Colorado (-0.050); Navy (-0.040); Georgia State (-0.037); Florida (-0.031)

Full rankings after the jump.

Week 15: Top 25 — RBA

Mouse over column headers for definitions, or see this page
Rank +/- Team WinPct SoS Adjusted
Off. Def. Pace
1 -- Alabama  ( 12 - 0 ) 0.960 0.555 9 26.0 5 5.1 1 157.8 128
2 -- Ohio St.  ( 11 - 1 ) 0.922 0.531 52 25.3 7 7.0 2 162.2 116
3 -- Michigan  ( 10 - 2 ) 0.877 0.548 20 23.9 13 8.3 4 164.9 99
4 +1 LSU  ( 6 - 4 ) 0.859 0.555 8 27.2 1 10.6 9 160.1 124
5 -1 USC  ( 9 - 3 ) 0.854 0.535 44 25.5 6 9.1 5 167.8 67
6 +1 Washington  ( 11 - 1 ) 0.839 0.545 28 27.0 2 11.1 15 169.1 56
7 +3 Clemson  ( 11 - 1 ) 0.830 0.535 47 22.5 15 10.0 8 170.1 42
8 -2 Wisconsin  ( 10 - 3 ) 0.826 0.536 39 20.5 34 9.3 6 161.1 120
9 -1 Auburn  ( 7 - 4 ) 0.822 0.557 6 21.5 23 9.7 7 161.5 119
10 +3 Oklahoma  ( 10 - 2 ) 0.790 0.546 25 26.6 3 13.2 28 172.9 19
11 -- Louisville  ( 9 - 3 ) 0.783 0.489 74 24.1 12 13.1 25 165.7 86
12 -- Stanford  ( 9 - 3 ) 0.779 0.542 32 19.7 40 11.6 18 165.1 94
13 -4 Florida  ( 8 - 4 ) 0.779 0.560 3 16.0 72 8.2 3 160.9 121
14 -- Washington St.  ( 8 - 3 ) 0.774 0.540 34 24.4 10 13.0 24 174.7 10
15 +1 Miami-FL  ( 7 - 4 ) 0.771 0.550 16 20.6 32 10.9 13 164.1 109
16 -1 Colorado  ( 9 - 3 ) 0.768 0.552 13 19.9 38 10.7 11 171.0 35
17 +2 Texas A&M  ( 7 - 4 ) 0.758 0.547 24 19.4 45 10.7 10 174.6 11
18 -1 Western Michigan  ( 12 - 0 ) 0.757 0.465 90 24.5 8 14.5 43 169.0 58
19 -1 Florida St.  ( 8 - 3 ) 0.755 0.541 33 20.7 30 11.1 14 166.0 83
20 -- Houston  ( 8 - 3 ) 0.738 0.469 87 20.4 37 13.3 30 177.7 5
21 -- BYU  ( 7 - 4 ) 0.737 0.500 65 18.4 52 10.8 12 172.1 25
22 +3 West Virginia  ( 9 - 2 ) 0.729 0.536 41 19.6 42 11.5 17 171.9 26
23 NA Penn State  ( 11 - 2 ) 0.725 0.533 49 21.2 25 12.8 23 165.2 93
24 NA Virginia Tech  ( 8 - 4 ) 0.718 0.521 58 19.4 46 12.3 21 162.0 117
25 -2 Arkansas  ( 6 - 5 ) 0.717 0.574 1 22.3 16 15.1 46 164.0 111
Rankings through games of 2016-12-04

New entries: Penn State, Virginia Tech.

Dropped out: Kansas St., North Carolina.


Follow us on Twitter at @TFGridiron and @TFGLiveOdds.

Week 15: Full Rankings — RBA

Biggest jumps: Western Kentucky (0.044); Virginia Tech (0.043); Temple (0.038); Penn State (0.033); Clemson (0.027)

Biggest drops: SDSU (-0.092); Kansas St. (-0.075); Florida (-0.033); Baylor (-0.033); LA Tech (-0.032)

Full rankings after the jump.

Saturday, December 3, 2016

Week 14: Saturday Predictions

 17Florida17
  1Alabama28
  9Florida17
  1Alabama31

 79Georgia Southern26
 56Troy30
 81Georgia Southern28
 71Troy27

 94Idaho29
109Georgia State28
118Idaho34
110Georgia State24

123LA-Monroe27
104LA-Lafayette34
124LA-Monroe27
109LA-Lafayette28

 37Navy28
 20Temple29
 43Navy35
 38Temple31

 12Oklahoma37
 34Oklahoma St.31
 13Oklahoma41
 34Oklahoma St.31

 10Penn State25
  5Wisconsin27
 27Penn State24
  6Wisconsin27

 95South Alabama33
121New Mexico St.27
 85South Alabama35
123New Mexico St.24

 40TCU28
 47Kansas St.27
 37TCU34
 22Kansas St.27

129Texas State20
 57Arkansas St.37
129Texas State17
 74Arkansas St.41

 19Virginia Tech25
  4Clemson32
 31Virginia Tech28
 10Clemson31

 30West Virginia33
 58Baylor28
 25West Virginia38
 39Baylor24

 13Western Kentucky35
 45LA Tech29
 49Western Kentucky42
 53LA Tech34


Key
Close
game
                        Certain
victory
                       


Follow us on Twitter at @TFGridiron and @TFGLiveOdds.

Friday, December 2, 2016

Week 14: Friday Predictions

 80Ohio22
 15Western Michigan32
 68Ohio24
 17Western Michigan34

  6Washington31
 16Colorado26
  7Washington31
 15Colorado20


Key
Close
game
                        Certain
victory
                       


Follow us on Twitter at @TFGridiron and @TFGLiveOdds.

Thursday, December 1, 2016

Week 14 TFG Projections: SEC,Pac-12,Mountain West,Sun Belt

Projected conference champions
  • Mountain West: SDSU
  • Pac-12: Washington
  • SEC: Alabama
  • Sun Belt: Troy
Full projected conference standings after the jump.

Week 14 RBA Projections: SEC,Pac-12,Mountain West,Sun Belt

Projected conference champions
  • Mountain West: Boise St.
  • Pac-12: Washington
  • SEC: Alabama
  • Sun Belt: Appalachian St.
Full projected conference standings after the jump.

Wednesday, November 30, 2016

Week 14 TFG Projections: Big Ten,Big XII,Mid-American,Independents

Projected conference champions
  • Big Ten: Ohio St.
  • Big XII: Oklahoma
  • Independents: BYU
  • Mid-American: Western Michigan
Full projected conference standings after the jump.

Week 14 RBA Projections: Big Ten,Big XII,Mid-American,Independents

Projected conference champions
  • Big Ten: Ohio St.
  • Big XII: Oklahoma
  • Independents: BYU
  • Mid-American: Western Michigan
Full projected conference standings after the jump.

Tuesday, November 29, 2016

Week 14 TFG Projections: ACC,American Athletic,Conference-USA

Projected conference champions
  • ACC: Clemson
  • American Athletic: Temple
  • Conference-USA: Western Kentucky
Full projected conference standings after the jump.

Week 14 RBA Projections: ACC,American Athletic,Conference-USA

Projected conference champions
  • ACC: Clemson
  • American Athletic: Navy
  • Conference-USA: Western Kentucky
Full projected conference standings after the jump.

Week 14: Undefeated ... but for how long? — TFG

Odds as of games through 2016-11-27

Week 14: Undefeated ... but for how long? — RBA

Odds as of games through 2016-11-27

Monday, November 28, 2016

Week 14: Top 25 — TFG

Mouse over column headers for definitions, or see this page
Rank +/- Team WinPct SoS Adjusted
Off. Def. Pace
1 -- Alabama  ( 11 - 0 ) 0.979 0.680 4 26.5 2 6.2 1 163.9 101
2 -- Ohio St.  ( 11 - 1 ) 0.962 0.611 20 27.3 1 8.1 2 170.6 65
3 -- Michigan  ( 10 - 2 ) 0.956 0.573 39 26.3 4 8.3 3 161.7 108
4 +1 Clemson  ( 10 - 1 ) 0.910 0.594 27 24.2 10 10.1 7 179.8 20
5 -1 Wisconsin  ( 10 - 2 ) 0.890 0.567 41 19.9 33 9.1 4 161.0 111
6 +4 Washington  ( 10 - 1 ) 0.873 0.512 63 24.7 8 12.0 13 166.9 89
7 -1 Auburn  ( 7 - 4 ) 0.865 0.684 3 20.0 32 9.9 6 167.2 85
8 -1 LSU  ( 6 - 4 ) 0.850 0.712 2 20.3 29 10.6 8 154.5 124
9 +3 Florida St.  ( 8 - 3 ) 0.841 0.626 14 23.2 13 12.4 19 166.2 95
10 +3 Penn State  ( 10 - 2 ) 0.830 0.554 48 22.4 16 12.4 20 169.8 76
11 -3 Louisville  ( 9 - 3 ) 0.820 0.498 69 25.1 6 14.2 33 170.6 66
12 -1 Oklahoma  ( 9 - 2 ) 0.815 0.537 53 26.3 3 15.0 41 173.7 51
13 +7 Western Kentucky  ( 8 - 3 ) 0.805 0.359 109 23.4 12 13.7 28 170.2 72
14 +2 USC  ( 9 - 3 ) 0.804 0.625 15 20.9 23 12.3 18 169.9 74
15 +2 Western Michigan  ( 11 - 0 ) 0.803 0.344 116 24.3 9 14.3 35 158.1 120
16 -1 Colorado  ( 9 - 2 ) 0.797 0.605 23 18.2 51 10.9 9 185.5 9
17 -8 Florida  ( 8 - 3 ) 0.787 0.557 47 15.2 79 9.3 5 157.2 122
18 NA Iowa  ( 8 - 3 ) 0.782 0.535 54 18.5 49 11.5 10 163.7 103
19 +5 Virginia Tech  ( 8 - 3 ) 0.775 0.516 61 19.2 39 12.1 17 174.3 45
20 +2 Temple  ( 8 - 3 ) 0.765 0.395 97 18.7 45 12.0 12 154.2 125
21 +4 Memphis  ( 7 - 4 ) 0.756 0.500 68 20.3 30 13.3 26 179.3 24
22 -1 Miami-FL  ( 7 - 4 ) 0.753 0.579 35 18.5 47 12.1 16 170.5 68
23 -5 Texas A&M  ( 7 - 4 ) 0.747 0.635 10 19.8 35 13.2 22 181.5 17
24 -5 Washington St.  ( 8 - 3 ) 0.746 0.558 46 21.7 20 14.5 36 176.4 37
25 -2 Stanford  ( 9 - 3 ) 0.742 0.569 40 18.0 54 12.1 15 158.6 118
Rankings through games of 2016-11-27

New entries: Iowa.

Dropped out: SDSU.


Follow us on Twitter at @TFGridiron and @TFGLiveOdds.

Week 14: Full Rankings — TFG

Biggest jumps: Colorado St. (0.105); New Mexico (0.069); Mississippi St. (0.059); Nevada (0.055); Kentucky (0.054)

Biggest drops: Nebraska (-0.082); SDSU (-0.076); Arizona St. (-0.071); Mississippi (-0.069); Virginia (-0.067)

Full rankings after the jump.

Week 14: Top 25 — RBA

Mouse over column headers for definitions, or see this page
Rank +/- Team WinPct SoS Adjusted
Off. Def. Pace
1 -- Alabama  ( 11 - 0 ) 0.959 0.554 9 25.5 7 5.1 1 157.8 128
2 -- Ohio St.  ( 11 - 1 ) 0.921 0.531 52 25.3 8 7.0 2 162.2 116
3 -- Michigan  ( 10 - 2 ) 0.877 0.548 21 23.9 12 8.3 4 164.9 97
4 +2 USC  ( 9 - 3 ) 0.861 0.535 45 25.5 6 9.1 6 167.8 67
5 -1 LSU  ( 6 - 4 ) 0.857 0.555 8 27.2 1 10.6 10 160.1 124
6 -1 Wisconsin  ( 10 - 2 ) 0.841 0.536 43 20.1 37 8.5 5 161.1 120
7 +1 Washington  ( 10 - 1 ) 0.830 0.546 27 26.8 2 11.3 15 169.1 55
8 -1 Auburn  ( 7 - 4 ) 0.820 0.557 6 21.5 23 9.7 8 161.5 119
9 +2 Florida  ( 8 - 3 ) 0.812 0.559 3 16.0 72 7.9 3 160.9 121
10 -1 Clemson  ( 10 - 1 ) 0.803 0.534 47 22.3 16 9.7 7 170.1 41
11 -1 Louisville  ( 9 - 3 ) 0.784 0.488 74 24.1 11 13.1 24 165.7 86
12 -- Stanford  ( 9 - 3 ) 0.783 0.542 32 19.7 40 11.6 17 165.1 95
13 +1 Oklahoma  ( 9 - 2 ) 0.779 0.546 25 26.7 3 13.5 29 173.0 18
14 -1 Washington St.  ( 8 - 3 ) 0.777 0.540 34 24.4 10 13.0 23 174.7 10
15 -- Colorado  ( 9 - 2 ) 0.776 0.553 13 20.0 38 10.6 9 171.0 36
16 -- Miami-FL  ( 7 - 4 ) 0.767 0.550 15 20.6 32 10.9 13 164.1 110
17 -- Western Michigan  ( 11 - 0 ) 0.762 0.465 91 25.2 9 14.4 39 169.1 57
18 -- Florida St.  ( 8 - 3 ) 0.758 0.541 33 20.7 29 11.1 14 166.0 83
19 -- Texas A&M  ( 7 - 4 ) 0.753 0.547 23 19.4 44 10.7 11 174.6 11
20 +4 Houston  ( 8 - 3 ) 0.739 0.469 87 20.4 35 13.3 28 177.7 5
21 +4 BYU  ( 7 - 4 ) 0.735 0.500 65 18.4 52 10.8 12 172.1 25
22 NA Kansas St.  ( 6 - 4 ) 0.732 0.533 48 20.8 28 14.9 44 165.5 89
23 -1 Arkansas  ( 6 - 5 ) 0.717 0.574 1 22.3 15 15.1 46 164.0 111
24 -3 North Carolina  ( 6 - 4 ) 0.709 0.530 53 21.0 27 14.2 37 167.6 70
25 -2 West Virginia  ( 8 - 2 ) 0.706 0.537 39 20.0 39 11.8 18 171.8 27
Rankings through games of 2016-11-27

New entries: Kansas St..

Dropped out: Mississippi.


Follow us on Twitter at @TFGridiron and @TFGLiveOdds.

Week 14: Full Rankings — RBA

Biggest jumps: Oregon St. (0.121); Iowa St. (0.096); Arkansas St. (0.087); Pittsburgh (0.087); LA-Lafayette (0.053)

Biggest drops: Mississippi (-0.129); Buffalo (-0.104); Texas Tech (-0.104); Arizona (-0.077); Texas (-0.068)

Full rankings after the jump.

Saturday, November 26, 2016

Week 13: Saturday Predictions

  1Alabama30
  6Auburn22
  1Alabama28
  7Auburn17

 29BYU31
 82Utah St.23
 25BYU41
 95Utah St.10

 66California33
 53UCLA35
 62California31
 38UCLA34

  5Clemson32
 78South Carolina19
  9Clemson35
 64South Carolina14

 15Colorado29
 39Utah26
 15Colorado31
 33Utah24

124Connecticut21
115Tulane22
112Connecticut24
114Tulane21

 12Florida St.23
  9Florida24
 18Florida St.28
 11Florida27

125Fresno St.25
106SJSU28
125Fresno St.27
116SJSU24

 49Georgia27
 50Georgia Tech25
 32Georgia31
 49Georgia Tech21

118Hawaii29
117Massachusetts30
113Hawaii31
109Massachusetts21

 97Idaho28
 89South Alabama29
119Idaho31
 90South Alabama28

 70Indiana38
110Purdue30
 68Indiana38
107Purdue24

 69Iowa St.25
 35West Virginia30
 67Iowa St.27
 23West Virginia34

 43Kansas St.33
123Kansas21
 26Kansas St.52
122Kansas13

107LA-Lafayette23
 51Arkansas St.31
118LA-Lafayette21
 93Arkansas St.34

  8Louisville37
 73Kentucky25
 10Louisville41
 59Kentucky17

101Marshall23
 20Western Kentucky36
 85Marshall31
 53Western Kentucky38

 96Maryland29
128Rutgers22
 87Maryland34
111Rutgers17

 21Miami-FL29
 71Duke22
 16Miami-FL38
 71Duke20

 81Middle Tenn.34
120FL-Atlantic28
 78Middle Tenn.38
127FL-Atlantic21

 27Mississippi38
 61Mississippi St.31
 20Mississippi35
 58Mississippi St.24

 88New Mexico33
 65Wyoming38
 79New Mexico35
 75Wyoming34

119New Mexico St.21
 34Appalachian St.35
124New Mexico St.20
 66Appalachian St.38

 45Northwestern30
114Illinois20
 37Northwestern38
 86Illinois17

  2Ohio St.28
  3Michigan27
  2Ohio St.28
  3Michigan14

 74Old Dominion31
112FIU26
101Old Dominion38
120FIU21

 77Oregon St.32
 54Oregon36
 91Oregon St.27
 43Oregon41

 13Penn State31
 46Michigan St.27
 36Penn State31
 48Michigan St.24

 32Pittsburgh39
103Syracuse27
 45Pittsburgh42
 98Syracuse17

 14SDSU29
 56Colorado St.24
 27SDSU42
 77Colorado St.21

 90SMU27
 44Navy35
 92SMU28
 52Navy35

 47South Florida32
 62UCF29
 46South Florida38
 73UCF20

 16USC29
 37Notre Dame26
  6USC34
 28Notre Dame21

 23Stanford33
121Rice19
 12Stanford52
121Rice7

 22Temple33
 94East Carolina23
 44Temple41
 88East Carolina20

129Texas State22
 64Troy39
129Texas State20
 61Troy41

100UNLV32
108Nevada31
103UNLV34
106Nevada28

126UTEP25
111North Texas31
128UTEP28
117North Texas34

 87UTSA30
113Charlotte26
 76UTSA38
126Charlotte24

 68Vanderbilt25
 31Tennessee31
 81Vanderbilt21
 29Tennessee28

 24Virginia Tech32
 84Virginia23
 31Virginia Tech34
 70Virginia20

 83Wake Forest20
 92Boston College19
 80Wake Forest21
 94Boston College17

  4Wisconsin29
 59Minnesota21
  5Wisconsin28
 56Minnesota14


Key
Close
game
                        Certain
victory
                       


Follow us on Twitter at @TFGridiron and @TFGLiveOdds.