Friday, October 31, 2014

Week 10: Friday In-Game Win Probabilities, American Athletic

Last updated: Fri Oct 31 23:40:04 2014

Tulsa20Memphis40Final
Cincinnati38Tulane14Final

Week 10: Friday Predictions

 59Memphis37
112Tulsa24
 69Memphis38
111Tulsa20

102Tulane24
 53Cincinnati28
109Tulane21
 68Cincinnati31


Key
Close
game
                        Certain
victory
                       


Follow us on Twitter at @TFGridiron and @TFGLiveOdds.

Thursday, October 30, 2014

Week 10: Thursday In-Game Win Probabilities, ACC

Last updated: Thu Oct 30 23:10:04 2014

Florida St.42Louisville31Final

Week 10: Thursday In-Game Win Probabilities, Sun Belt

Last updated: Thu Oct 30 19:16:06 2014

TroyatGeorgia Southern Later

Week 10: Thursday Predictions

 39Georgia Southern40
125Troy21
 60Georgia Southern49
126Troy17

 11Louisville29
  4Florida St.27
 17Louisville28
  4Florida St.27


Key
Close
game
                        Certain
victory
                       


Follow us on Twitter at @TFGridiron and @TFGLiveOdds.

Week 10 TFG Projections: SEC,Pac-12,Mountain West,Sun Belt

Projected conference champions
  • Mountain West: Colorado St.
  • Pac-12: Oregon
  • SEC: Alabama
  • Sun Belt: Georgia Southern
Full projected conference standings after the jump.

Week 10 RBA Projections: SEC,Pac-12,Mountain West,Sun Belt

Projected conference champions
  • Mountain West: Colorado St.
  • Pac-12: Oregon
  • SEC: Alabama
  • Sun Belt: Georgia Southern
Full projected conference standings after the jump.

Wednesday, October 29, 2014

Week 10 TFG Projections: Big Ten,Big XII,Mid-American,Independents

Projected conference champions
  • Big Ten: Ohio St.
  • Big XII: TCU
  • Independents: Notre Dame
  • Mid-American: Toledo
Full projected conference standings after the jump.

Week 10 RBA Projections: Big Ten,Big XII,Mid-American,Independents

Projected conference champions
  • Big Ten: Ohio St.
  • Big XII: Baylor
  • Independents: Notre Dame
  • Mid-American: Toledo
Full projected conference standings after the jump.

Tuesday, October 28, 2014

Week 10 TFG Projections: ACC,American Athletic,Conference-USA

Projected conference champions
  • ACC: Florida St.
  • American Athletic: UCF
  • Conference-USA: Marshall
Full projected conference standings after the jump.

Week 10 RBA Projections: ACC,American Athletic,Conference-USA

Projected conference champions
  • ACC: Florida St.
  • American Athletic: East Carolina
  • Conference-USA: Marshall
Full projected conference standings after the jump.

Week 10: Undefeated ... but for how long? -- TFG

Odds as of games through 2014-10-26

Week 10: Undefeated ... but for how long? -- RBA

Odds as of games through 2014-10-26

Monday, October 27, 2014

Week 10: Top 25 -- TFG

Mouse over column headers for definitions, or see this page
Rank +/- Team WinPct SoS Adjusted
Off. Def. Pace
1 -- Alabama  ( 7 - 1 ) 0.952 0.642 17 26.9 5 8.7 2 155.5 123
2 -- Mississippi  ( 7 - 1 ) 0.933 0.687 7 19.9 30 7.4 1 169.5 70
3 -- Auburn  ( 6 - 1 ) 0.905 0.747 2 27.1 4 11.6 12 171.0 52
4 -- Florida St.  ( 6 - 0 ) 0.902 0.584 38 28.4 1 12.4 19 167.5 80
5 +2 Georgia  ( 6 - 1 ) 0.898 0.602 33 28.1 2 12.4 20 163.7 101
6 +2 LSU  ( 6 - 2 ) 0.895 0.671 9 21.6 22 9.6 5 158.2 115
7 -1 TCU  ( 5 - 1 ) 0.890 0.573 46 25.1 9 11.4 10 181.7 12
8 -3 Mississippi St.  ( 7 - 0 ) 0.882 0.624 26 23.8 12 11.2 8 177.8 27
9 -- Ohio St.  ( 6 - 1 ) 0.864 0.501 65 27.4 3 13.7 32 170.2 62
10 -- Baylor  ( 5 - 1 ) 0.862 0.515 59 25.7 7 12.9 24 194.3 1
11 +2 Louisville  ( 5 - 2 ) 0.859 0.486 67 19.0 34 9.7 6 162.1 105
12 -1 Clemson  ( 5 - 2 ) 0.856 0.708 6 18.5 41 9.5 4 177.2 29
13 -1 Oklahoma  ( 5 - 2 ) 0.855 0.651 13 26.4 6 13.5 30 168.6 76
14 +3 Michigan St.  ( 6 - 1 ) 0.853 0.483 70 22.9 17 11.8 13 162.7 103
15 -1 Nebraska  ( 6 - 1 ) 0.849 0.555 52 23.8 13 12.4 21 173.5 41
16 -- Notre Dame  ( 6 - 1 ) 0.846 0.638 19 20.9 27 11.0 7 170.3 59
17 +3 Kansas St.  ( 5 - 1 ) 0.845 0.608 31 23.0 16 12.1 16 156.8 119
18 +3 Wisconsin  ( 4 - 2 ) 0.845 0.507 63 23.1 14 12.2 18 155.2 125
19 -1 Stanford  ( 4 - 3 ) 0.830 0.581 40 16.8 65 9.3 3 158.8 113
20 -5 Oregon  ( 6 - 1 ) 0.813 0.559 51 25.5 8 14.6 38 174.5 38
21 -2 Missouri  ( 5 - 2 ) 0.784 0.632 23 18.3 45 11.2 9 170.8 54
22 -- Marshall  ( 7 - 0 ) 0.762 0.253 125 22.4 18 14.4 36 176.3 30
23 NA Arizona St.  ( 5 - 1 ) 0.746 0.592 36 23.0 15 15.4 45 174.2 39
24 -1 USC  ( 5 - 3 ) 0.741 0.577 44 19.9 31 13.4 28 170.8 55
25 NA Miami-FL  ( 4 - 3 ) 0.737 0.669 10 21.5 23 14.6 37 161.7 107
Rankings through games of 2014-10-26

New entries: Arizona St., Miami-FL.

Dropped out: Texas A&M, UCLA.

Follow us on Twitter at @TFGridiron and @TFGLiveOdds.

Week 10: Full Rankings -- TFG

Biggest jumps: UTEP (0.110); LA-Lafayette (0.091); Miami-FL (0.071); Ball St. (0.068); Wisconsin (0.067)

Biggest drops: UTSA (-0.120); Maryland (-0.095); Virginia Tech (-0.089); Texas (-0.080); Oklahoma St. (-0.080)

Full rankings after the jump.

Week 10: Top 25 -- RBA

Mouse over column headers for definitions, or see this page
Rank +/- Team WinPct SoS Adjusted
Off. Def. Pace
1 -- Alabama  ( 7 - 1 ) 0.910 0.552 12 25.3 6 7.7 2 156.0 128
2 -- Mississippi  ( 7 - 1 ) 0.895 0.539 38 21.7 20 7.0 1 164.8 100
3 +1 Georgia  ( 6 - 1 ) 0.871 0.547 23 28.6 1 10.9 10 160.9 122
4 -1 Florida St.  ( 6 - 0 ) 0.865 0.540 35 26.9 3 10.2 8 165.8 85
5 -- Baylor  ( 5 - 1 ) 0.860 0.558 6 25.1 7 11.7 22 177.0 4
6 +4 TCU  ( 5 - 1 ) 0.860 0.480 79 24.9 9 9.5 7 169.1 46
7 +1 Ohio St.  ( 6 - 1 ) 0.851 0.525 60 27.0 2 11.2 14 161.0 120
8 +4 LSU  ( 6 - 2 ) 0.844 0.551 17 22.7 17 8.9 5 160.5 123
9 -3 Auburn  ( 6 - 1 ) 0.826 0.556 7 25.1 8 11.8 23 160.4 124
10 +1 Oklahoma  ( 5 - 2 ) 0.823 0.552 13 23.5 14 11.5 18 171.7 19
11 -4 Stanford  ( 4 - 3 ) 0.815 0.546 25 19.8 30 8.4 4 166.3 80
12 +3 Michigan St.  ( 6 - 1 ) 0.814 0.540 34 24.7 12 11.1 12 166.5 79
13 -4 Clemson  ( 5 - 2 ) 0.813 0.534 47 19.3 37 8.2 3 169.3 42
14 -- Texas A&M  ( 4 - 3 ) 0.802 0.549 20 25.5 5 12.1 29 174.0 11
15 +2 Oregon  ( 6 - 1 ) 0.797 0.530 51 24.9 10 13.9 39 177.7 2
16 +2 Mississippi St.  ( 7 - 0 ) 0.791 0.556 8 21.3 22 11.4 17 163.7 109
17 -1 Louisville  ( 5 - 2 ) 0.787 0.483 78 17.2 48 9.4 6 164.7 102
18 +1 Missouri  ( 5 - 2 ) 0.786 0.528 57 19.3 36 11.3 16 174.5 9
19 +2 Notre Dame  ( 6 - 1 ) 0.774 0.564 2 19.9 29 11.2 15 164.5 103
20 -- Arkansas  ( 3 - 4 ) 0.772 0.575 1 25.6 4 12.8 32 164.8 98
21 -8 Wisconsin  ( 4 - 2 ) 0.771 0.533 48 22.9 16 10.9 11 161.4 119
22 +2 Kansas St.  ( 5 - 1 ) 0.766 0.540 32 24.8 11 12.8 31 165.0 94
23 -1 Nebraska  ( 6 - 1 ) 0.766 0.536 43 22.9 15 12.0 28 168.0 63
24 -1 Florida  ( 3 - 3 ) 0.755 0.563 3 18.8 38 11.1 13 161.0 121
25 NA USC  ( 5 - 3 ) 0.716 0.539 39 20.7 25 13.3 36 167.1 72
Rankings through games of 2014-10-26

New entries: USC.

Dropped out: Oklahoma St..

Follow us on Twitter at @TFGridiron and @TFGLiveOdds.

Week 10: Full Rankings -- RBA

Biggest jumps: FL-Atlantic (0.063); Kent St. (0.040); TCU (0.040); South Florida (0.039); Cincinnati (0.036)

Biggest drops: Temple (-0.065); South Carolina (-0.052); BYU (-0.039); Minnesota (-0.039); Kentucky (-0.037)

Full rankings after the jump.

Saturday, October 25, 2014

Week 9: Saturday In-Game Win Probabilities, Mountain West

Last updated: Sun Oct 26 03:31:11 2014

Wyoming31Colorado St.45Final
Nevada26Hawaii18Final
SJSU31Navy41Final
UNLV20Utah St.34Final