Thursday, October 31, 2013

Week 10: Undefeated ... but for how long? -- TFG


Odds as of games through 2013-10-27


Legitimate Title Contenders

Alabama Crimson Tide
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2013 0.983 1 0.499 59 28.9 6 6.3 1 146.1 125
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2013/08/31   1 Alabama 35 vs  45 Virginia Tech 10 157 96.8%
2013/09/14   1 Alabama 49 at   7 Texas A&M 42 167 72.9%
2013/09/21 108 Colorado St. 6 at   1 Alabama 31 138 99.5%
2013/09/28  31 Mississippi 0 at   1 Alabama 25 152 94.0%
2013/10/05  NA Georgia State 3 at   1 Alabama 45 134 99.9%
2013/10/12   1 Alabama 48 at  76 Kentucky 7 158 97.2%
2013/10/19  66 Arkansas 0 at   1 Alabama 52 142 98.7%
2013/10/26  51 Tennessee 10 at   1 Alabama 45 142 98.6%
2013/11/09   9 LSU 23 at   1 Alabama 32 154 92.5%
2013/11/16   1 Alabama 33 at  45 Mississippi St. 18 153 97.3%
2013/11/30   1 Alabama 32 at  28 Auburn 19 156 95.3%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-1.2
Most difficult game left: November 9, vs LSU Tigers, 92.5%


Florida State Seminoles
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2013 0.944 2 0.516 56 30.6 3 10.6 6 160.2 97
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2013/09/02   6 Florida St. 41 at  30 Pittsburgh 13 140 62.7%
2013/09/14  84 Nevada 7 at   5 Florida St. 62 154 97.1%
2013/09/28   3 Florida St. 48 at  90 Boston College 34 163 96.2%
2013/10/05  52 Maryland 0 at   3 Florida St. 63 170 88.8%
2013/10/19   2 Florida St. 51 at   6 Clemson 14 188 57.6%
2013/10/26  65 North Carolina St. 17 at   2 Florida St. 49 169 97.4%
2013/11/02  33 Miami-FL 26 at   2 Florida St. 38 165 89.4%
2013/11/09   2 Florida St. 36 at  79 Wake Forest 18 163 96.1%
2013/11/16  73 Syracuse 21 at   2 Florida St. 40 165 96.1%
2013/11/23 119 Idaho 16 at   2 Florida St. 46 165 99.6%
2013/11/30   2 Florida St. 31 at  18 Florida 20 156 81.2%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-1.5
Most difficult game left: November 30, at Florida Gators, 81.2%


Ohio State Buckeyes
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2013 0.875 7 0.590 39 28.9 7 13.9 28 164.1 79
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2013/08/31 111 Buffalo 20 at  19 Ohio St. 40 163 93.6%
2013/09/07  57 SDSU 7 at  23 Ohio St. 42 164 79.8%
2013/09/14  13 Ohio St. 52 at  69 California 34 206 79.2%
2013/09/28   5 Wisconsin 24 at  19 Ohio St. 31 159 40.9%
2013/10/05  15 Ohio St. 40 at  27 Northwestern 30 172 58.0%
2013/10/19  37 Iowa 24 at  10 Ohio St. 34 156 80.2%
2013/10/26  29 Penn State 14 at  10 Ohio St. 63 177 74.7%
2013/11/02   7 Ohio St. 38 at 112 Purdue 20 162 96.4%
2013/11/16   7 Ohio St. 40 at  80 Illinois 25 161 92.6%
2013/11/23  44 Indiana 32 at   7 Ohio St. 42 174 80.9%
2013/11/30   7 Ohio St. 36 at  25 Michigan 31 163 68.8%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-2.0
Most difficult game left: November 30, at Michigan Wolverines, 68.8%


Second-Tier Hopefuls

Oregon Ducks
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2013 0.911 3 0.496 60 29.6 5 12.3 14 177.5 20
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2013/09/07   3 Oregon 59 at  64 Virginia 10 186 86.2%
2013/09/14  42 Tennessee 14 at   2 Oregon 59 175 93.6%
2013/09/28  62 California 16 at   2 Oregon 55 206 96.5%
2013/10/05   2 Oregon 57 at  96 Colorado 16 194 97.3%
2013/10/12   3 Oregon 45 at  15 Washington 24 183 65.2%
2013/10/19  68 Washington St. 38 at   3 Oregon 62 210 95.9%
2013/10/26  27 UCLA 14 at   4 Oregon 42 177 82.3%
2013/11/07   3 Oregon 33 at  10 Stanford 28 167 60.8%
2013/11/16  43 Utah 27 at   3 Oregon 38 171 85.3%
2013/11/23   3 Oregon 40 at  40 Arizona 29 179 84.2%
2013/11/29  38 Oregon St. 28 at   3 Oregon 38 170 82.7%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-2.8
Most difficult game left: November 7, at Stanford Cardinal, 60.8%


Fresno State Bulldogs
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2013 0.579 48 0.319 109 20.2 28 17.9 73 183.7 10
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2013/08/29  42 Rutgers 51 at  44 Fresno St. 52 209 48.5%
2013/09/20  45 Boise St. 40 at  50 Fresno St. 41 212 57.9%
2013/09/28  56 Fresno St. 42 at 116 Hawaii 37 210 87.0%
2013/10/05  58 Fresno St. 61 at 120 Idaho 14 213 92.4%
2013/10/19 110 UNLV 14 at  49 Fresno St. 38 179 91.4%
2013/10/26  48 Fresno St. 35 at  71 SDSU 28 194 53.5%
2013/11/02  88 Nevada 29 at  48 Fresno St. 37 178 78.7%
2013/11/09  48 Fresno St. 37 at  91 Wyoming 31 180 73.4%
2013/11/23 110 New Mexico 28 at  48 Fresno St. 39 168 85.0%
2013/11/29  48 Fresno St. 36 at  78 SJSU 30 176 70.5%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-2.9
Most difficult game left: November 29, at San Jose State Spartans, 70.5%


Northern Illinois Huskies
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2013 0.556 51 0.200 125 19.1 37 17.6 70 185.3 7
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2013/08/31  28 Northern Ill. 30 at  68 Iowa 27 198 75.2%
2013/09/14  48 Northern Ill. 45 at 123 Idaho 35 200 94.9%
2013/09/28  68 Northern Ill. 55 at  88 Purdue 24 175 55.6%
2013/10/05  54 Northern Ill. 38 at  95 Kent St. 24 187 74.5%
2013/10/12 117 Akron 20 at  52 Northern Ill. 27 202 94.9%
2013/10/19  56 Northern Ill. 38 at 115 Central Michigan 17 170 82.5%
2013/10/26 117 Eastern Michigan 20 at  52 Northern Ill. 59 179 95.6%
2013/11/02  51 Northern Ill. 35 at 125 Massachusetts 21 172 96.7%
2013/11/13  65 Ball St. 31 at  51 Northern Ill. 34 181 62.9%
2013/11/20  51 Northern Ill. 34 at  70 Toledo 31 176 60.5%
2013/11/26 118 Western Michigan 24 at  51 Northern Ill. 40 178 93.4%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-2.9
Most difficult game left: November 20, at Toledo Rockets, 60.5%


Baylor Bears
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2013 0.906 4 0.507 57 33.5 1 14.3 33 187.8 4
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2013/09/07 108 Buffalo 13 at  24 Baylor 70 187 96.1%
2013/09/21  98 LA-Monroe 7 at  17 Baylor 70 190 95.2%
2013/10/05  57 West Virginia 42 at   6 Baylor 73 205 89.8%
2013/10/12  14 Baylor 35 at  35 Kansas St. 25 165 59.6%
2013/10/19  52 Iowa St. 7 at   9 Baylor 71 185 88.5%
2013/10/26   3 Baylor 59 at  99 Kansas 14 200 94.7%
2013/11/07  20 Oklahoma 31 at   4 Baylor 42 174 76.2%
2013/11/16  39 Texas Tech 32 vs   4 Baylor 45 189 82.0%
2013/11/23   4 Baylor 44 at  23 Oklahoma St. 34 188 73.5%
2013/11/30   4 Baylor 40 at  47 TCU 25 173 87.6%
2013/12/07  26 Texas 32 at   4 Baylor 42 180 75.9%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-3.3
Most difficult game left: November 23, at Oklahoma State Cowboys, 73.5%


What are YOU doing here??

Miami Hurricanes
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2013 0.705 33 0.519 54 21.8 21 15.7 46 170.0 49
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2013/08/30 106 FL-Atlantic 6 at  61 Miami-FL 34 173 81.7%
2013/09/07   6 Florida 16 at  33 Miami-FL 21 158 27.7%
2013/09/28  26 Miami-FL 49 at 105 South Florida 21 159 90.2%
2013/10/05  49 Georgia Tech 30 at  36 Miami-FL 45 157 66.5%
2013/10/17  26 Miami-FL 27 at  72 North Carolina 23 188 70.6%
2013/10/26  81 Wake Forest 21 at  25 Miami-FL 24 165 90.7%
2013/11/02  33 Miami-FL 26 at   2 Florida St. 38 165 10.6%
2013/11/09  32 Virginia Tech 24 at  33 Miami-FL 26 165 54.0%
2013/11/16  33 Miami-FL 33 at  56 Duke 29 171 67.4%
2013/11/23  87 Virginia 24 at  33 Miami-FL 33 173 83.8%
2013/11/29  33 Miami-FL 31 at  57 Pittsburgh 27 164 67.8%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-45.6
Most difficult game left: November 2, at Florida State Seminoles, 10.6%


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