Saturday, December 8, 2018

Week 16: Saturday Predictions

 29Army31
 92Navy24
 44Army38
 97Navy21


Key
Close
game
                        Certain
victory
                       


Follow us on Twitter at @TFGridiron and @TFGLiveOdds.

Monday, December 3, 2018

Week 16: Top 25 — TFG

Mouse over column headers for definitions, or see this page
Rank +/- Team WinPct SoS Adjusted
Off. Def. Pace
1 -- Alabama  ( 12 - 0 ) 0.962 0.658 10 31.3 2 9.3 3 164.3 91
2 -- Clemson  ( 12 - 0 ) 0.952 0.554 48 25.5 5 8.3 1 169.9 64
3 -- Georgia  ( 10 - 2 ) 0.916 0.695 3 28.3 3 11.5 12 158.8 111
4 -- Michigan  ( 10 - 2 ) 0.897 0.584 31 24.8 8 11.0 7 155.4 126
5 -- Mississippi St.  ( 7 - 4 ) 0.873 0.626 19 18.1 53 8.8 2 155.1 127
6 -- Ohio St.  ( 12 - 1 ) 0.859 0.561 44 26.8 4 13.6 21 181.4 9
7 -- Notre Dame  ( 12 - 0 ) 0.841 0.544 52 21.0 23 11.2 9 171.9 53
8 -- Penn State  ( 9 - 3 ) 0.836 0.566 42 20.9 24 11.3 10 175.8 38
9 +1 Iowa  ( 7 - 4 ) 0.833 0.547 49 19.6 32 10.7 5 159.4 109
10 +1 Fresno St.  ( 10 - 2 ) 0.821 0.435 82 17.9 57 10.1 4 162.7 99
11 -2 UCF  ( 11 - 0 ) 0.820 0.452 75 24.0 10 13.6 20 182.0 8
12 +1 Washington  ( 9 - 3 ) 0.814 0.572 40 19.8 31 11.4 11 157.5 118
13 +1 Missouri  ( 7 - 4 ) 0.798 0.663 7 21.9 18 13.1 19 177.8 23
14 -2 Appalachian St.  ( 9 - 2 ) 0.795 0.330 120 19.3 36 11.6 14 163.8 94
15 +1 LSU  ( 8 - 3 ) 0.795 0.655 11 20.2 26 12.2 15 176.3 36
16 -1 Auburn  ( 6 - 5 ) 0.795 0.696 1 18.5 46 11.1 8 169.4 67
17 -- Oklahoma  ( 12 - 1 ) 0.793 0.578 35 32.7 1 19.7 89 173.1 47
18 -- Boise St.  ( 10 - 3 ) 0.772 0.474 70 23.2 12 14.6 35 168.2 74
19 -- Texas A&M  ( 7 - 4 ) 0.764 0.693 4 25.0 7 16.0 49 171.3 54
20 +1 West Virginia  ( 7 - 3 ) 0.761 0.581 32 25.0 6 16.2 51 178.6 19
21 +1 Cincinnati  ( 9 - 2 ) 0.753 0.427 89 17.6 65 11.5 13 167.8 76
22 -2 Utah  ( 8 - 4 ) 0.745 0.592 26 19.1 39 12.8 18 166.6 82
23 NA North Carolina St.  ( 8 - 3 ) 0.737 0.459 73 21.0 22 14.3 31 166.1 84
24 -1 Temple  ( 8 - 3 ) 0.735 0.420 93 20.1 27 13.7 23 179.1 16
25 -1 Washington St.  ( 9 - 2 ) 0.734 0.517 61 23.5 11 16.0 45 168.5 70
Rankings through games of 2018-12-02

New entries: North Carolina St..

Dropped out: Florida.


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Week 16: Full Rankings — TFG

Biggest jumps: Virginia Tech (0.070); North Carolina St. (0.065); South Carolina (0.036); Northern Ill. (0.015); Boston College (0.015)

Biggest drops: Marshall (-0.066); East Carolina (-0.053); Akron (-0.025); Northwestern (-0.022); Utah (-0.019)

Full rankings after the jump.

Week 16: Top 25 — RBA

Mouse over column headers for definitions, or see this page
Rank +/- Team WinPct SoS Adjusted
Off. Def. Pace
1 +1 Alabama  ( 12 - 0 ) 0.917 0.555 8 31.4 1 9.6 4 158.1 127
2 -1 Clemson  ( 12 - 0 ) 0.916 0.540 36 27.2 4 8.0 2 170.1 45
3 -- Michigan  ( 10 - 2 ) 0.866 0.552 12 23.9 8 9.9 5 164.0 105
4 +2 Georgia  ( 10 - 2 ) 0.860 0.549 22 29.2 3 11.6 17 160.0 125
5 -- Iowa  ( 7 - 4 ) 0.857 0.528 54 22.5 13 9.1 3 163.3 115
6 -2 Mississippi St.  ( 7 - 4 ) 0.851 0.561 5 23.3 11 8.0 1 163.9 107
7 -- Ohio St.  ( 12 - 1 ) 0.811 0.535 49 25.9 5 12.2 19 163.7 113
8 +1 LSU  ( 8 - 3 ) 0.792 0.560 7 20.8 26 11.2 14 160.5 121
9 +2 Penn State  ( 9 - 3 ) 0.785 0.539 39 21.6 19 10.3 8 165.9 86
10 -- Notre Dame  ( 12 - 0 ) 0.785 0.564 3 19.4 35 10.3 9 165.4 94
11 +2 Auburn  ( 6 - 5 ) 0.772 0.566 2 18.6 43 10.4 11 162.1 119
12 -4 Utah  ( 8 - 4 ) 0.772 0.499 67 19.5 33 10.3 10 167.1 76
13 +2 UCF  ( 11 - 0 ) 0.771 0.469 88 23.8 9 13.4 32 166.6 79
14 -2 Oklahoma  ( 12 - 1 ) 0.766 0.542 34 29.8 2 16.4 64 172.2 20
15 -1 Washington  ( 9 - 3 ) 0.758 0.542 33 19.2 38 10.7 12 167.6 72
16 -- West Virginia  ( 7 - 3 ) 0.757 0.537 42 24.1 7 13.2 28 172.1 23
17 -- Missouri  ( 7 - 4 ) 0.755 0.522 59 23.4 10 11.5 16 174.4 10
18 -- Washington St.  ( 9 - 2 ) 0.740 0.537 41 22.0 15 13.2 27 174.0 13
19 -- Texas A&M  ( 7 - 4 ) 0.735 0.547 29 21.8 17 13.0 24 174.3 11
20 +1 Miami-FL  ( 6 - 5 ) 0.725 0.549 19 19.6 32 11.2 15 164.1 104
21 -1 Fresno St.  ( 10 - 2 ) 0.721 0.489 74 17.1 58 10.2 6 168.7 57
22 +1 Iowa St.  ( 7 - 4 ) 0.715 0.549 20 17.6 54 11.6 18 171.4 27
23 +2 Florida  ( 7 - 3 ) 0.713 0.563 4 21.5 20 12.4 20 160.5 122
24 -- Wisconsin  ( 7 - 5 ) 0.712 0.536 47 19.4 34 14.0 39 160.3 123
25 NA Boise St.  ( 10 - 3 ) 0.710 0.457 106 21.0 24 13.3 30 169.6 49
Rankings through games of 2018-12-02

New entries: Boise St..

Dropped out: Stanford.


Follow us on Twitter at @TFGridiron and @TFGLiveOdds.

Week 16: Full Rankings — RBA

Biggest jumps: Middle Tenn. (0.060); Memphis (0.030); California (0.023); Appalachian St. (0.019); Virginia Tech (0.018)

Biggest drops: UAB (-0.059); East Carolina (-0.039); Utah (-0.025); North Carolina St. (-0.022); Stanford (-0.021)

Full rankings after the jump.

Saturday, December 1, 2018

Week 15: Saturday Predictions

 70California25
 30Stanford30
 64California24
 22Stanford31

  3Georgia29
  1Alabama34
  6Georgia20
  2Alabama24

 32North Carolina St.35
111East Carolina24
 28North Carolina St.45
 97East Carolina14

 55Pittsburgh22
  2Clemson34
 33Pittsburgh20
  1Clemson35

 37South Carolina34
113Akron23
 32South Carolina42
114Akron17

 84Virginia Tech25
 42Marshall29
 76Virginia Tech31
 71Marshall24


Key
Close
game
                        Certain
victory
                       


Follow us on Twitter at @TFGridiron and @TFGLiveOdds.

Thursday, November 29, 2018

Week 15 TFG Projections: SEC,Pac-12,Mountain West,Sun Belt

Projected conference champions
  • Mountain West: Fresno St.
  • Pac-12: Utah
  • SEC: Alabama
  • Sun Belt: Appalachian St.
Full projected conference standings after the jump.

Week 15 RBA Projections: SEC,Pac-12,Mountain West,Sun Belt

Projected conference champions
  • Mountain West: Fresno St.
  • Pac-12: Utah
  • SEC: Alabama
  • Sun Belt: Appalachian St.
Full projected conference standings after the jump.

Wednesday, November 28, 2018

Week 15 TFG Projections: Big Ten,Big XII,Mid-American,Independents

Projected conference champions
  • Big Ten: Ohio St.
  • Big XII: Oklahoma
  • Independents: BYU
  • Mid-American: Buffalo
Full projected conference standings after the jump.

Week 15 RBA Projections: Big Ten,Big XII,Mid-American,Independents

Projected conference champions
  • Big Ten: Ohio St.
  • Big XII: Oklahoma
  • Independents: BYU
  • Mid-American: Northern Ill.
Full projected conference standings after the jump.