Monday, September 17, 2018

Week 5: Top 25 — TFG

Mouse over column headers for definitions, or see this page
Rank +/- Team WinPct SoS Adjusted
Off. Def. Pace
1 -- Alabama  ( 3 - 0 ) 0.981 0.631 19 30.5 2 7.0 1 167.5 80
2 -- Georgia  ( 2 - 0 ) 0.947 0.652 13 28.3 5 9.6 5 158.9 120
3 -- Ohio St.  ( 3 - 0 ) 0.921 0.488 65 28.0 6 11.1 10 177.3 25
4 +1 Penn State  ( 3 - 0 ) 0.921 0.484 66 28.4 4 11.3 13 177.3 26
5 +6 Clemson  ( 2 - 0 ) 0.919 0.624 21 23.0 16 9.2 4 167.6 79
6 -2 Wisconsin  ( 2 - 1 ) 0.903 0.483 67 24.4 7 10.6 8 154.9 127
7 +2 Washington  ( 1 - 1 ) 0.901 0.709 5 24.1 9 10.5 7 160.5 113
8 +8 Oklahoma St.  ( 2 - 0 ) 0.897 0.567 35 29.2 3 12.9 22 186.4 7
9 +1 Iowa  ( 2 - 0 ) 0.896 0.601 27 20.3 27 9.1 3 159.7 116
10 -4 Auburn  ( 1 - 1 ) 0.895 0.820 1 23.1 14 10.3 6 177.8 22
11 -3 Virginia Tech  ( 1 - 0 ) 0.894 0.556 37 18.0 55 8.1 2 168.0 77
12 -5 Oklahoma  ( 3 - 0 ) 0.888 0.615 25 33.4 1 15.3 45 169.1 69
13 +4 LSU  ( 2 - 0 ) 0.864 0.763 4 21.7 21 10.8 9 161.0 111
14 +4 Mississippi St.  ( 2 - 0 ) 0.863 0.492 64 23.4 13 11.7 17 161.8 103
15 -3 Stanford  ( 2 - 0 ) 0.860 0.602 26 23.1 15 11.7 16 153.1 128
16 -1 TCU  ( 1 - 1 ) 0.837 0.686 9 21.2 25 11.4 14 173.5 38
17 -4 Michigan  ( 2 - 1 ) 0.828 0.519 52 20.1 28 11.1 11 156.8 124
18 -4 Boise St.  ( 2 - 1 ) 0.817 0.518 53 24.0 10 13.7 30 165.9 91
19 -- Washington St.  ( 2 - 0 ) 0.789 0.396 98 21.0 26 12.8 20 171.4 54
20 NA Texas A&M  ( 1 - 1 ) 0.782 0.583 31 23.9 12 14.8 39 170.5 61
21 -1 North Carolina St.  ( 1 - 0 ) 0.779 0.439 84 21.8 20 13.6 28 166.5 88
22 -- Appalachian St.  ( 1 - 1 ) 0.773 0.356 112 22.8 17 14.4 35 164.3 96
23 -2 Notre Dame  ( 3 - 0 ) 0.767 0.554 38 19.9 31 12.7 19 177.6 23
24 NA Minnesota  ( 3 - 0 ) 0.761 0.379 102 17.4 65 11.2 12 159.4 119
25 -2 UCF  ( 1 - 0 ) 0.750 0.377 104 24.2 8 16.0 51 179.2 16
Rankings through games of 2018-09-16

New entries: Texas A&M, Minnesota.

Dropped out: Michigan St., Utah.


Follow us on Twitter at @TFGridiron and @TFGLiveOdds.

Week 5: Full Rankings — TFG

Biggest jumps: BYU (0.178); Tennessee (0.175); Kansas (0.171); Florida (0.161); Syracuse (0.141)

Biggest drops: Oregon (-0.156); USC (-0.129); Colorado St. (-0.109); Mississippi (-0.100); Arkansas (-0.096)

Full rankings after the jump.

Week 5: Top 25 — RBA

Mouse over column headers for definitions, or see this page
Rank +/- Team WinPct SoS Adjusted
Off. Def. Pace
1 -- Alabama  ( 3 - 0 ) 0.958 0.556 8 30.0 1 5.2 1 158.1 129
2 -- Wisconsin  ( 2 - 1 ) 0.877 0.537 45 21.4 18 9.4 7 160.3 121
3 +1 Ohio St.  ( 3 - 0 ) 0.860 0.537 46 27.9 3 10.5 12 162.9 115
4 +9 Michigan  ( 2 - 1 ) 0.858 0.551 16 23.0 14 9.8 9 164.3 104
5 -- Georgia  ( 2 - 0 ) 0.853 0.547 28 26.8 4 8.9 5 160.2 123
6 -- Oklahoma  ( 3 - 0 ) 0.850 0.544 30 29.7 2 12.2 21 172.4 21
7 +4 Penn State  ( 3 - 0 ) 0.849 0.537 43 26.5 5 10.6 15 165.6 90
8 -5 Clemson  ( 2 - 0 ) 0.837 0.541 36 20.8 24 8.6 4 169.9 44
9 -2 Washington  ( 1 - 1 ) 0.820 0.544 31 21.4 19 9.0 6 168.2 66
10 -- Auburn  ( 1 - 1 ) 0.815 0.565 3 22.1 15 10.5 13 162.1 119
11 -3 Virginia Tech  ( 1 - 0 ) 0.813 0.524 57 18.0 53 6.7 2 162.5 118
12 -3 Stanford  ( 2 - 0 ) 0.806 0.543 33 21.3 20 9.7 8 164.2 106
13 -1 TCU  ( 1 - 1 ) 0.786 0.500 66 21.2 22 10.5 14 171.2 32
14 -- Iowa  ( 2 - 0 ) 0.779 0.528 55 18.4 46 8.5 3 163.4 114
15 +1 Oklahoma St.  ( 2 - 0 ) 0.774 0.551 17 26.0 6 12.5 26 176.7 5
16 +5 Boise St.  ( 2 - 1 ) 0.766 0.455 108 23.3 10 13.6 39 169.8 45
17 +1 LSU  ( 2 - 0 ) 0.752 0.559 6 20.6 26 11.6 18 159.9 125
18 -1 Washington St.  ( 2 - 0 ) 0.744 0.538 39 19.1 37 11.8 19 174.4 12
19 NA Mississippi St.  ( 2 - 0 ) 0.742 0.559 5 24.3 7 11.1 16 164.5 101
20 +2 USC  ( 1 - 2 ) 0.729 0.537 44 19.8 31 13.6 40 168.2 64
21 -2 South Carolina  ( 1 - 1 ) 0.728 0.554 12 20.6 27 12.4 25 159.5 126
22 +1 Iowa St.  ( 0 - 2 ) 0.727 0.553 13 17.0 63 10.1 11 171.9 27
23 +2 Duke  ( 3 - 0 ) 0.720 0.526 56 19.7 33 12.3 22 169.3 50
24 NA Utah  ( 1 - 1 ) 0.699 0.499 67 15.1 87 10.0 10 167.4 73
25 NA UCF  ( 1 - 0 ) 0.698 0.468 90 23.5 9 14.4 45 165.8 85
Rankings through games of 2018-09-16

New entries: Mississippi St., Utah, UCF.

Dropped out: Notre Dame, Oregon, Miami-FL.


Follow us on Twitter at @TFGridiron and @TFGLiveOdds.

Week 5: Full Rankings — RBA

Biggest jumps: Kansas (0.145); North Texas (0.103); Houston (0.093); Georgia Southern (0.087); Syracuse (0.081)

Biggest drops: Troy (-0.139); Florida (-0.106); Oregon (-0.087); Middle Tenn. (-0.085); Western Kentucky (-0.082)

Full rankings after the jump.

Saturday, September 15, 2018

Week 4: Saturday Predictions

 22Appalachian St.37
 90Southern Miss.22
 41Appalachian St.41
 94Southern Miss.17

 79Arkansas36
 81North Texas31
 73Arkansas38
 97North Texas31

 69Army35
 88Hawaii28
 65Army38
 84Hawaii28

  6Auburn30
 17LSU23
 10Auburn24
 18LSU21

 71Baylor28
 28Duke30
 66Baylor24
 25Duke34

 84Buffalo30
 82Eastern Michigan27
 87Buffalo28
 85Eastern Michigan24

127Charlotte26
114Old Dominion29
126Charlotte21
120Old Dominion24

 11Clemson34
 92Georgia Southern18
  3Clemson49
112Georgia Southern10

 95FIU35
104Massachusetts29
 92FIU35
107Massachusetts24

 68Florida31
 83Colorado St.25
 47Florida34
 91Colorado St.21

  2Georgia41
102Middle Tenn.17
  5Georgia52
 99Middle Tenn.6

115Illinois26
 42South Florida39
114Illinois20
 40South Florida35

 49Indiana40
124Ball St.21
 57Indiana41
125Ball St.13

 33Iowa St.25
  7Oklahoma35
 23Iowa St.24
  6Oklahoma35

109Kansas26
119Rutgers22
119Kansas25
100Rutgers24

 50Kansas St.33
120UTSA20
 37Kansas St.45
118UTSA10

 31Louisville39
107Western Kentucky24
 31Louisville41
 80Western Kentucky17

 65Maryland30
 58Temple28
 75Maryland31
 68Temple24

 13Michigan39
100SMU21
 13Michigan49
 98SMU10

 35Minnesota31
105Miami-OH19
 54Minnesota41
103Miami-OH17

 41Mississippi27
  1Alabama37
 50Mississippi17
  1Alabama41

 18Mississippi St.40
112LA-Lafayette20
 27Mississippi St.52
116LA-Lafayette14

 61Nebraska33
 56Troy30
 72Nebraska34
 62Troy28

101Nevada36
 93Oregon St.32
 95Nevada35
106Oregon St.24

125New Mexico St.30
 99New Mexico32
124New Mexico St.31
111New Mexico27

 98North Carolina27
 23UCF36
 69North Carolina27
 26UCF31

 20North Carolina St.35
 38West Virginia28
 38North Carolina St.34
 42West Virginia27

 94Northern Ill.30
111Central Michigan23
 83Northern Ill.34
104Central Michigan20

 37Northwestern33
110Akron20
 28Northwestern45
110Akron10

 21Notre Dame31
 44Vanderbilt23
 15Notre Dame38
 56Vanderbilt17

 16Oklahoma St.39
 14Boise St.33
 16Oklahoma St.38
 21Boise St.31

 46Oregon42
129SJSU20
 20Oregon55
127SJSU10

  5Penn State49
128Kent St.15
 11Penn State56
130Kent St.3

 74Pittsburgh30
 53Georgia Tech29
 48Pittsburgh35
 60Georgia Tech28

 54Purdue31
 34Missouri30
 52Purdue31
 49Missouri27

 52SDSU28
 27Arizona St.29
 53SDSU28
 35Arizona St.31

113South Alabama39
130Texas State22
101South Alabama31
129Texas State17

 29South Carolina33
 72Marshall24
 19South Carolina38
 70Marshall20

 87Syracuse29
 55Florida St.30
 89Syracuse24
 29Florida St.34

 15TCU26
  3Ohio St.34
 12TCU29
  4Ohio St.28

 96Tennessee36
126UTEP21
 86Tennessee41
128UTEP14

 43Texas28
 26USC27
 44Texas27
 22USC24

 32Texas A&M45
108LA-Monroe27
 30Texas A&M49
109LA-Monroe17

 66Texas Tech31
 45Houston33
 46Texas Tech34
 55Houston31

 70Toledo29
 30Miami-FL32
 58Toledo27
 24Miami-FL31

 89Tulsa33
 86Arkansas St.31
 88Tulsa34
 79Arkansas St.31

117UAB26
 78Tulane30
113UAB27
 90Tulane28

 67UCLA28
 40Fresno St.30
 81UCLA27
 33Fresno St.34

 25Utah25
  9Washington29
 32Utah27
  7Washington28

 91Virginia28
 59Ohio29
102Virginia27
 59Ohio31

  8Virginia Tech37
 77East Carolina22
  8Virginia Tech49
105East Carolina10

  4Wisconsin33
 73BYU16
  2Wisconsin38
 78BYU10


Key
Close
game
                        Certain
victory
                       


Follow us on Twitter at @TFGridiron and @TFGLiveOdds.

Friday, September 14, 2018

Week 4: Friday Predictions

 48Memphis36
122Georgia State22
 39Memphis52
123Georgia State10


Key
Close
game
                        Certain
victory
                       


Follow us on Twitter at @TFGridiron and @TFGLiveOdds.

Thursday, September 13, 2018

Week 4: Thursday Predictions

 39Wake Forest30
 36Boston College27
 45Wake Forest28
 43Boston College27


Key
Close
game
                        Certain
victory
                       


Follow us on Twitter at @TFGridiron and @TFGLiveOdds.

Monday, September 10, 2018

Week 4: Top 25 — TFG

Mouse over column headers for definitions, or see this page
Rank +/- Team WinPct SoS Adjusted
Off. Def. Pace
1 -- Alabama  ( 2 - 0 ) 0.972 0.639 23 27.3 6 7.2 1 167.1 84
2 +1 Georgia  ( 1 - 0 ) 0.945 0.741 6 28.6 5 9.8 6 161.2 108
3 +3 Ohio St.  ( 2 - 0 ) 0.942 0.464 71 29.2 3 10.2 9 176.2 25
4 -2 Wisconsin  ( 2 - 0 ) 0.936 0.456 75 24.4 9 8.9 3 155.7 125
5 +3 Penn State  ( 2 - 0 ) 0.925 0.626 27 28.9 4 11.2 11 176.1 26
6 +1 Auburn  ( 1 - 0 ) 0.912 0.800 2 23.0 14 9.5 5 175.2 32
7 -2 Oklahoma  ( 2 - 0 ) 0.906 0.585 33 33.5 1 14.3 35 169.8 66
8 +4 Virginia Tech  ( 1 - 0 ) 0.898 0.553 42 18.3 51 8.1 2 168.6 72
9 -- Washington  ( 0 - 1 ) 0.893 0.757 4 25.1 7 11.3 12 161.7 104
10 -- Iowa  ( 2 - 0 ) 0.890 0.597 29 20.6 31 9.4 4 160.1 113
11 -7 Clemson  ( 1 - 0 ) 0.886 0.695 11 21.8 20 10.1 7 165.4 94
12 -1 Stanford  ( 2 - 0 ) 0.875 0.636 24 23.5 13 11.3 14 154.4 127
13 +5 Michigan  ( 1 - 1 ) 0.861 0.588 31 20.0 32 10.1 8 157.3 124
14 +1 Boise St.  ( 2 - 0 ) 0.846 0.385 99 24.9 8 13.1 23 165.7 90
15 -1 TCU  ( 1 - 0 ) 0.846 0.537 48 20.8 26 11.0 10 171.6 57
16 -- Oklahoma St.  ( 1 - 0 ) 0.843 0.454 76 29.4 2 15.6 42 188.9 2
17 +2 LSU  ( 1 - 0 ) 0.834 0.665 16 20.7 30 11.3 13 158.2 121
18 +6 Mississippi St.  ( 1 - 0 ) 0.831 0.627 26 21.9 19 12.0 16 163.8 99
19 +3 Washington St.  ( 2 - 0 ) 0.795 0.383 100 20.8 27 12.5 18 171.7 55
20 NA North Carolina St.  ( 1 - 0 ) 0.784 0.446 85 22.2 17 13.7 28 166.7 85
21 -8 Notre Dame  ( 2 - 0 ) 0.782 0.555 41 21.1 23 13.1 24 175.5 29
22 NA Appalachian St.  ( 1 - 1 ) 0.771 0.355 106 23.5 12 14.9 39 164.2 97
23 -- UCF  ( 1 - 0 ) 0.743 0.373 101 24.2 10 16.2 47 179.1 17
24 NA Michigan St.  ( 1 - 1 ) 0.742 0.655 20 19.3 39 13.0 21 162.5 101
25 NA Utah  ( 1 - 0 ) 0.735 0.527 51 18.4 47 12.5 19 168.0 77
Rankings through games of 2018-09-09

New entries: North Carolina St., Appalachian St., Michigan St., Utah.

Dropped out: Miami-FL, USC, Northwestern, Iowa St..


Follow us on Twitter at @TFGridiron and @TFGLiveOdds.

Week 4: Full Rankings — TFG

Biggest jumps: Cincinnati (0.194); Missouri (0.159); East Carolina (0.148); Kansas (0.117); New Mexico (0.105)

Biggest drops: Florida St. (-0.178); Western Michigan (-0.164); Pittsburgh (-0.161); Miami-OH (-0.156); Nevada (-0.130)

Full rankings after the jump.

Week 4: Top 25 — RBA

Mouse over column headers for definitions, or see this page
Rank +/- Team WinPct SoS Adjusted
Off. Def. Pace
1 -- Alabama  ( 2 - 0 ) 0.947 0.556 9 28.2 2 5.7 1 158.1 129
2 +3 Wisconsin  ( 2 - 0 ) 0.885 0.536 46 22.8 11 8.2 4 160.4 121
3 +1 Clemson  ( 1 - 0 ) 0.862 0.542 35 21.4 22 9.0 6 170.0 43
4 -1 Ohio St.  ( 2 - 0 ) 0.846 0.536 49 27.5 3 10.4 15 162.8 116
5 +1 Georgia  ( 1 - 0 ) 0.844 0.548 25 25.5 6 10.1 10 160.2 122
6 +3 Oklahoma  ( 2 - 0 ) 0.843 0.544 30 30.0 1 12.2 23 172.4 21
7 -- Washington  ( 0 - 1 ) 0.821 0.544 31 22.0 17 10.1 9 168.3 64
8 -- Virginia Tech  ( 1 - 0 ) 0.812 0.523 57 18.0 49 6.7 2 162.5 118
9 +5 Stanford  ( 2 - 0 ) 0.808 0.544 32 21.3 23 9.7 7 164.2 106
10 -- Auburn  ( 1 - 0 ) 0.805 0.564 3 22.7 12 10.4 14 162.0 119
11 -9 Penn State  ( 2 - 0 ) 0.800 0.538 40 26.1 4 10.3 12 165.5 90
12 -1 TCU  ( 1 - 0 ) 0.790 0.499 66 21.2 25 10.3 13 171.2 32
13 -1 Michigan  ( 1 - 1 ) 0.787 0.552 13 22.8 10 8.0 3 164.3 104
14 +4 Iowa  ( 2 - 0 ) 0.776 0.528 55 18.4 42 8.5 5 163.4 114
15 -- Notre Dame  ( 2 - 0 ) 0.759 0.567 2 17.4 60 11.6 18 165.1 97
16 -- Oklahoma St.  ( 1 - 0 ) 0.758 0.549 21 25.6 5 13.3 36 176.7 5
17 +7 Washington St.  ( 2 - 0 ) 0.742 0.539 38 19.1 37 11.8 20 174.4 12
18 -1 LSU  ( 1 - 0 ) 0.735 0.559 6 20.6 30 11.6 19 159.8 125
19 NA South Carolina  ( 1 - 1 ) 0.729 0.553 12 20.6 29 12.4 25 159.5 126
20 -1 Oregon  ( 1 - 0 ) 0.727 0.536 47 22.5 13 16.4 60 178.5 3
21 NA Boise St.  ( 2 - 0 ) 0.726 0.455 108 24.2 7 12.6 29 169.8 45
22 -9 USC  ( 1 - 1 ) 0.726 0.536 45 21.3 24 12.5 28 168.1 68
23 -2 Iowa St.  ( 0 - 1 ) 0.717 0.552 14 16.9 63 10.0 8 172.0 24
24 -2 Miami-FL  ( 0 - 1 ) 0.711 0.552 15 19.2 36 12.4 26 164.4 103
25 NA Duke  ( 2 - 0 ) 0.706 0.526 56 18.8 40 11.3 17 169.3 50
Rankings through games of 2018-09-09

New entries: South Carolina, Boise St., Duke.

Dropped out: Michigan St., Northwestern, UCF.


Follow us on Twitter at @TFGridiron and @TFGLiveOdds.