Saturday, September 14, 2019

Week 4: Saturday Predictions

 73Arizona31
 31Texas Tech34
 62Arizona35
 57Texas Tech34

105Arkansas35
107Colorado State30
 90Arkansas35
105Colorado State21

  8Auburn40
126Kent State14
  8Auburn45
126Kent State3

117Ball State28
 70FL-Atlantic34
122Ball State24
 79FL-Atlantic34

130Bowling Green24
101LA Tech32
124Bowling Green24
 93LA Tech34

 72BYU26
 22USC31
 64BYU27
 40USC28

 45California33
 93North Texas24
 60California38
 85North Texas21

129Central Michigan25
121Akron27
112Central Michigan28
125Akron17

 96Charlotte48
125Massachusetts30
117Charlotte31
116Massachusetts27

 67Cincinnati28
 80Miami-OH24
 48Cincinnati38
 89Miami-OH17

 63Colorado33
 76Air Force28
 61Colorado35
 70Air Force27

  6Georgia35
 55Arkansas State21
  4Georgia52
 97Arkansas State7

 83Illinois31
 85Eastern Michigan27
 81Illinois31
 80Eastern Michigan27

 52Indiana26
  4Ohio State38
 67Indiana21
  7Ohio State38

 21Iowa State24
  5Iowa26
 28Iowa State29
  5Iowa28

 30Kentucky28
 29Florida25
 31Kentucky25
 16Florida24

127Liberty27
 90Buffalo30
123Liberty27
 99Buffalo35

 75Marshall27
 66Ohio24
 75Marshall20
 27Ohio27

 27Michigan State26
 38Arizona State23
 26Michigan State31
 43Arizona State21

 69Middle Tenn.30
 81Duke26
 87Middle Tenn.28
 63Duke34

 32Minnesota36
109Georgia Southern22
 55Minnesota38
 72Georgia Southern21

 13Mississippi State27
 18Kansas State23
 14Mississippi State35
 45Kansas State17

 89Navy36
119East Carolina26
 95Navy35
106East Carolina31

 49Nebraska33
 92Northern Ill.25
 66Nebraska35
 96Northern Ill.21

123New Mexico State23
 79SDSU32
131New Mexico State21
 76SDSU38

 40Northwestern38
112UNLV22
 46Northwestern38
108UNLV17

 24Notre Dame38
113New Mexico20
 12Notre Dame45
110New Mexico13

  7Penn State35
 54Pittsburgh21
 10Penn State35
 53Pittsburgh17

 46Purdue31
 42TCU28
 69Purdue28
 32TCU27

118Rice20
 17Texas39
119Rice17
 20Texas35

 62SMU37
120Texas State24
 83SMU41
129Texas State20

114South Alabama26
 43Memphis35
121South Alabama24
 51Memphis42

 48South Carolina23
  2Alabama35
 47South Carolina21
  1Alabama38

 57Syracuse23
  1Clemson36
 37Syracuse24
  2Clemson41

 51Temple32
 28Maryland34
 41Temple34
 58Maryland28

 60Troy30
 86Southern Miss.24
 73Troy34
 84Southern Miss.24

 99Tulsa31
 41Oklahoma State35
101Tulsa27
 36Oklahoma State38

 12UCF36
 39Stanford26
 17UCF35
 19Stanford24

 88UCLA31
 16Oklahoma43
 78UCLA28
 13Oklahoma45

128UTSA18
 35Army31
127UTSA14
 23Army42

 36Virginia34
 64Florida State26
 52Virginia31
 49Florida State21

 19Washington38
 94Hawaii22
 15Washington45
 91Hawaii24

 47West Virginia28
 26North Carolina State29
 22West Virginia38
 34North Carolina State27

 98Western Kentucky28
 95Louisville30
100Western Kentucky31
102Louisville24

110Western Michigan37
106Georgia State35
111Western Michigan38
118Georgia State28


Key
Close
game
                        Certain
victory
                       


Follow us on Twitter at @TFGridiron and @TFGLiveOdds.

Friday, September 13, 2019

Week 4: Friday Predictions

 53Boston College30
 97Kansas21
 38Boston College38
 82Kansas20

 68Houston29
 14Washington State40
 71Houston31
 21Washington State45

 56Wake Forest37
 78North Carolina30
 44Wake Forest35
 92North Carolina24


Key
Close
game
                        Certain
victory
                       


Follow us on Twitter at @TFGridiron and @TFGLiveOdds.

Monday, September 9, 2019

Week 4: Top 25 — TFG

Mouse over column headers for definitions, or see this page
Rank +/- Team WinPct SoS Adjusted
Off. Def. Pace
1 +1 Clemson  ( 2 - 0 ) 0.966 0.641 19 28.2 4 8.0 2 173.3 38
2 -1 Alabama  ( 2 - 0 ) 0.958 0.510 59 30.1 2 9.3 5 160.6 109
3 +2 Wisconsin  ( 2 - 0 ) 0.957 0.333 118 25.5 6 7.9 1 153.8 125
4 +3 Ohio State  ( 2 - 0 ) 0.937 0.580 32 29.5 3 10.7 9 176.0 25
5 +3 Iowa  ( 2 - 0 ) 0.929 0.510 58 21.9 22 8.3 3 157.3 122
6 -2 Georgia  ( 1 - 0 ) 0.913 0.590 28 24.9 9 10.3 6 157.8 119
7 +2 Penn State  ( 1 - 0 ) 0.905 0.584 30 24.6 11 10.5 8 172.6 46
8 +3 Auburn  ( 2 - 0 ) 0.903 0.681 8 21.0 24 9.1 4 171.3 52
9 -6 LSU  ( 2 - 0 ) 0.902 0.625 22 26.6 5 11.5 11 174.1 32
10 -4 Michigan  ( 2 - 0 ) 0.880 0.641 20 25.5 7 12.1 14 167.4 68
11 -1 Texas A&M  ( 1 - 1 ) 0.847 0.697 4 24.1 14 12.7 17 165.6 81
12 +5 UCF  ( 1 - 0 ) 0.840 0.455 79 25.3 8 13.5 27 183.2 8
13 +3 Mississippi State  ( 2 - 0 ) 0.840 0.555 42 22.2 21 11.9 12 159.5 113
14 +1 Washington State  ( 1 - 0 ) 0.830 0.390 100 23.9 15 13.1 19 164.1 93
15 NA Oregon  ( 1 - 1 ) 0.821 0.545 46 24.6 10 13.9 30 175.6 26
16 -2 Oklahoma  ( 1 - 0 ) 0.816 0.618 24 34.3 1 19.6 85 165.2 86
17 +4 Texas  ( 1 - 1 ) 0.805 0.684 7 24.3 13 14.3 32 178.6 15
18 NA Kansas State  ( 1 - 0 ) 0.802 0.332 120 18.9 48 11.1 10 158.2 117
19 -6 Washington  ( 0 - 1 ) 0.785 0.667 13 20.1 32 12.4 15 161.1 107
20 -1 Utah  ( 2 - 0 ) 0.773 0.522 54 21.7 23 13.7 29 156.3 123
21 NA Iowa State  ( 0 - 0 ) 0.764 0.663 14 20.9 25 13.4 24 164.3 91
22 NA USC  ( 2 - 0 ) 0.760 0.619 23 23.1 18 15.0 40 170.9 54
23 -5 Appalachian State  ( 1 - 0 ) 0.755 0.326 122 22.5 19 14.8 38 165.1 87
24 -12 Notre Dame  ( 1 - 0 ) 0.751 0.511 57 18.3 52 12.1 13 170.5 59
25 NA Missouri  ( 1 - 1 ) 0.747 0.590 29 22.3 20 14.8 36 176.2 22
Rankings through games of 2019-09-08

New entries: Oregon, Kansas State, Iowa State, USC, Missouri.

Dropped out: North Carolina State, Syracuse, Stanford, Florida, West Virginia.


Follow us on Twitter at @TFGridiron and @TFGLiveOdds.

Week 4: Full Rankings — TFG

Biggest jumps: Kansas State (0.306); Maryland (0.215); Texas Tech (0.201); Oregon (0.171); Baylor (0.124)

Biggest drops: Syracuse (-0.230); Cincinnati (-0.227); UAB (-0.222); Nevada (-0.208); West Virginia (-0.178)

Full rankings after the jump.

Week 4: Top 25 — RBA

Mouse over column headers for definitions, or see this page
Rank +/- Team WinPct SoS Adjusted
Off. Def. Pace
1 +1 Alabama  ( 2 - 0 ) 0.928 0.555 8 29.4 2 8.6 2 158.2 126
2 -1 Clemson  ( 2 - 0 ) 0.922 0.541 35 27.8 3 7.8 1 170.0 45
3 +8 LSU  ( 2 - 0 ) 0.895 0.561 6 26.4 5 9.5 7 160.6 121
4 +1 Georgia  ( 1 - 0 ) 0.843 0.548 26 27.6 4 10.3 10 160.0 125
5 -1 Iowa  ( 2 - 0 ) 0.830 0.528 55 20.4 23 9.0 4 163.1 115
6 +16 Wisconsin  ( 2 - 0 ) 0.813 0.537 43 24.1 8 9.5 6 160.1 124
7 -- Ohio State  ( 2 - 0 ) 0.805 0.536 47 25.9 6 10.2 9 163.8 110
8 +1 Auburn  ( 2 - 0 ) 0.794 0.565 3 18.3 46 8.9 3 162.3 119
9 -3 Michigan  ( 2 - 0 ) 0.793 0.553 12 22.1 13 11.0 13 164.0 104
10 -2 Penn State  ( 1 - 0 ) 0.792 0.539 39 21.5 14 10.8 12 165.8 86
11 +7 Utah  ( 2 - 0 ) 0.792 0.501 67 20.8 21 11.3 14 166.9 78
12 -2 Notre Dame  ( 1 - 0 ) 0.778 0.565 2 19.2 32 10.7 11 165.4 93
13 -1 Oklahoma  ( 1 - 0 ) 0.763 0.543 33 30.4 1 16.6 68 172.1 21
14 -11 Mississippi State  ( 2 - 0 ) 0.760 0.561 5 21.3 17 11.4 16 163.8 108
15 -1 Washington  ( 0 - 1 ) 0.758 0.544 32 17.6 56 11.3 15 167.6 72
16 +3 Florida  ( 1 - 0 ) 0.749 0.563 4 21.2 18 12.5 25 160.4 122
17 -- UCF  ( 1 - 0 ) 0.748 0.469 89 23.7 9 12.7 28 166.8 79
18 -3 Texas A&M  ( 1 - 1 ) 0.740 0.547 27 21.0 19 12.0 20 174.1 12
19 +6 Stanford  ( 1 - 1 ) 0.729 0.543 34 18.7 39 14.2 44 164.1 103
20 NA Texas  ( 1 - 1 ) 0.728 0.538 42 20.0 26 12.7 27 171.4 29
21 -1 Washington State  ( 1 - 0 ) 0.726 0.535 49 23.6 10 12.8 29 173.9 14
22 -6 West Virginia  ( 0 - 1 ) 0.716 0.536 46 20.9 20 13.9 40 172.1 22
23 -- Army  ( 1 - 1 ) 0.706 0.453 111 18.2 48 12.5 24 158.0 127
24 NA Miami-FL  ( 0 - 2 ) 0.706 0.550 16 17.1 60 14.0 42 163.8 109
25 -1 Boise State  ( 2 - 0 ) 0.703 0.458 103 18.8 38 12.2 22 169.6 49
Rankings through games of 2019-09-08

New entries: Texas, Miami-FL.

Dropped out: Missouri, Fresno State.


Follow us on Twitter at @TFGridiron and @TFGLiveOdds.

Week 4: Full Rankings — RBA

Biggest jumps: LSU (0.115); Wyoming (0.108); Rutgers (0.106); Wisconsin (0.100); LA-Lafayette (0.089)

Biggest drops: Mississippi State (-0.132); South Florida (-0.117); FIU (-0.113); Missouri (-0.093); Houston (-0.086)

Full rankings after the jump.

Saturday, December 8, 2018

Week 16: Saturday Predictions

 29Army31
 92Navy24
 44Army38
 97Navy21


Key
Close
game
                        Certain
victory
                       


Follow us on Twitter at @TFGridiron and @TFGLiveOdds.

Monday, December 3, 2018

Week 16: Top 25 — TFG

Mouse over column headers for definitions, or see this page
Rank +/- Team WinPct SoS Adjusted
Off. Def. Pace
1 -- Alabama  ( 12 - 0 ) 0.962 0.658 10 31.3 2 9.3 3 164.3 91
2 -- Clemson  ( 12 - 0 ) 0.952 0.554 48 25.5 5 8.3 1 169.9 64
3 -- Georgia  ( 10 - 2 ) 0.916 0.695 3 28.3 3 11.5 12 158.8 111
4 -- Michigan  ( 10 - 2 ) 0.897 0.584 31 24.8 8 11.0 7 155.4 126
5 -- Mississippi St.  ( 7 - 4 ) 0.873 0.626 19 18.1 53 8.8 2 155.1 127
6 -- Ohio St.  ( 12 - 1 ) 0.859 0.561 44 26.8 4 13.6 21 181.4 9
7 -- Notre Dame  ( 12 - 0 ) 0.841 0.544 52 21.0 23 11.2 9 171.9 53
8 -- Penn State  ( 9 - 3 ) 0.836 0.566 42 20.9 24 11.3 10 175.8 38
9 +1 Iowa  ( 7 - 4 ) 0.833 0.547 49 19.6 32 10.7 5 159.4 109
10 +1 Fresno St.  ( 10 - 2 ) 0.821 0.435 82 17.9 57 10.1 4 162.7 99
11 -2 UCF  ( 11 - 0 ) 0.820 0.452 75 24.0 10 13.6 20 182.0 8
12 +1 Washington  ( 9 - 3 ) 0.814 0.572 40 19.8 31 11.4 11 157.5 118
13 +1 Missouri  ( 7 - 4 ) 0.798 0.663 7 21.9 18 13.1 19 177.8 23
14 -2 Appalachian St.  ( 9 - 2 ) 0.795 0.330 120 19.3 36 11.6 14 163.8 94
15 +1 LSU  ( 8 - 3 ) 0.795 0.655 11 20.2 26 12.2 15 176.3 36
16 -1 Auburn  ( 6 - 5 ) 0.795 0.696 1 18.5 46 11.1 8 169.4 67
17 -- Oklahoma  ( 12 - 1 ) 0.793 0.578 35 32.7 1 19.7 89 173.1 47
18 -- Boise St.  ( 10 - 3 ) 0.772 0.474 70 23.2 12 14.6 35 168.2 74
19 -- Texas A&M  ( 7 - 4 ) 0.764 0.693 4 25.0 7 16.0 49 171.3 54
20 +1 West Virginia  ( 7 - 3 ) 0.761 0.581 32 25.0 6 16.2 51 178.6 19
21 +1 Cincinnati  ( 9 - 2 ) 0.753 0.427 89 17.6 65 11.5 13 167.8 76
22 -2 Utah  ( 8 - 4 ) 0.745 0.592 26 19.1 39 12.8 18 166.6 82
23 NA North Carolina St.  ( 8 - 3 ) 0.737 0.459 73 21.0 22 14.3 31 166.1 84
24 -1 Temple  ( 8 - 3 ) 0.735 0.420 93 20.1 27 13.7 23 179.1 16
25 -1 Washington St.  ( 9 - 2 ) 0.734 0.517 61 23.5 11 16.0 45 168.5 70
Rankings through games of 2018-12-02

New entries: North Carolina St..

Dropped out: Florida.


Follow us on Twitter at @TFGridiron and @TFGLiveOdds.

Week 16: Full Rankings — TFG

Biggest jumps: Virginia Tech (0.070); North Carolina St. (0.065); South Carolina (0.036); Northern Ill. (0.015); Boston College (0.015)

Biggest drops: Marshall (-0.066); East Carolina (-0.053); Akron (-0.025); Northwestern (-0.022); Utah (-0.019)

Full rankings after the jump.

Week 16: Top 25 — RBA

Mouse over column headers for definitions, or see this page
Rank +/- Team WinPct SoS Adjusted
Off. Def. Pace
1 +1 Alabama  ( 12 - 0 ) 0.917 0.555 8 31.4 1 9.6 4 158.1 127
2 -1 Clemson  ( 12 - 0 ) 0.916 0.540 36 27.2 4 8.0 2 170.1 45
3 -- Michigan  ( 10 - 2 ) 0.866 0.552 12 23.9 8 9.9 5 164.0 105
4 +2 Georgia  ( 10 - 2 ) 0.860 0.549 22 29.2 3 11.6 17 160.0 125
5 -- Iowa  ( 7 - 4 ) 0.857 0.528 54 22.5 13 9.1 3 163.3 115
6 -2 Mississippi St.  ( 7 - 4 ) 0.851 0.561 5 23.3 11 8.0 1 163.9 107
7 -- Ohio St.  ( 12 - 1 ) 0.811 0.535 49 25.9 5 12.2 19 163.7 113
8 +1 LSU  ( 8 - 3 ) 0.792 0.560 7 20.8 26 11.2 14 160.5 121
9 +2 Penn State  ( 9 - 3 ) 0.785 0.539 39 21.6 19 10.3 8 165.9 86
10 -- Notre Dame  ( 12 - 0 ) 0.785 0.564 3 19.4 35 10.3 9 165.4 94
11 +2 Auburn  ( 6 - 5 ) 0.772 0.566 2 18.6 43 10.4 11 162.1 119
12 -4 Utah  ( 8 - 4 ) 0.772 0.499 67 19.5 33 10.3 10 167.1 76
13 +2 UCF  ( 11 - 0 ) 0.771 0.469 88 23.8 9 13.4 32 166.6 79
14 -2 Oklahoma  ( 12 - 1 ) 0.766 0.542 34 29.8 2 16.4 64 172.2 20
15 -1 Washington  ( 9 - 3 ) 0.758 0.542 33 19.2 38 10.7 12 167.6 72
16 -- West Virginia  ( 7 - 3 ) 0.757 0.537 42 24.1 7 13.2 28 172.1 23
17 -- Missouri  ( 7 - 4 ) 0.755 0.522 59 23.4 10 11.5 16 174.4 10
18 -- Washington St.  ( 9 - 2 ) 0.740 0.537 41 22.0 15 13.2 27 174.0 13
19 -- Texas A&M  ( 7 - 4 ) 0.735 0.547 29 21.8 17 13.0 24 174.3 11
20 +1 Miami-FL  ( 6 - 5 ) 0.725 0.549 19 19.6 32 11.2 15 164.1 104
21 -1 Fresno St.  ( 10 - 2 ) 0.721 0.489 74 17.1 58 10.2 6 168.7 57
22 +1 Iowa St.  ( 7 - 4 ) 0.715 0.549 20 17.6 54 11.6 18 171.4 27
23 +2 Florida  ( 7 - 3 ) 0.713 0.563 4 21.5 20 12.4 20 160.5 122
24 -- Wisconsin  ( 7 - 5 ) 0.712 0.536 47 19.4 34 14.0 39 160.3 123
25 NA Boise St.  ( 10 - 3 ) 0.710 0.457 106 21.0 24 13.3 30 169.6 49
Rankings through games of 2018-12-02

New entries: Boise St..

Dropped out: Stanford.


Follow us on Twitter at @TFGridiron and @TFGLiveOdds.