Tuesday, October 23, 2018

Week 10: Tuesday Predictions

124South Alabama25
 60Troy34
118South Alabama27
 80Troy34


Key
Close
game
                        Certain
victory
                       


Follow us on Twitter at @TFGridiron and @TFGLiveOdds.

Week 10 TFG Projections: ACC,American Athletic,Conference-USA

Projected conference champions
  • ACC: Clemson
  • American Athletic: UCF
  • Conference-USA: UAB
Full projected conference standings after the jump.

Week 10 RBA Projections: ACC,American Athletic,Conference-USA

Projected conference champions
  • ACC: Clemson
  • American Athletic: UCF
  • Conference-USA: UAB
Full projected conference standings after the jump.

Week 10: Undefeated ... but for how long? — TFG

Odds as of games through 2018-10-21

Week 10: Undefeated ... but for how long? — RBA

Odds as of games through 2018-10-21

Monday, October 22, 2018

Week 10: Top 25 — TFG

Mouse over column headers for definitions, or see this page
Rank +/- Team WinPct SoS Adjusted
Off. Def. Pace
1 +1 Clemson  ( 6 - 0 ) 0.950 0.589 34 24.2 5 8.0 1 167.8 79
2 -1 Alabama  ( 8 - 0 ) 0.946 0.540 49 30.4 2 10.3 6 161.8 104
3 -- Michigan  ( 7 - 1 ) 0.909 0.592 32 23.6 8 9.9 3 155.2 126
4 +1 Georgia  ( 5 - 1 ) 0.900 0.660 10 25.9 3 11.3 10 159.1 112
5 +3 LSU  ( 6 - 1 ) 0.885 0.713 3 21.9 15 10.2 5 171.1 58
6 +4 Iowa  ( 5 - 1 ) 0.879 0.605 25 21.1 26 10.0 4 157.8 120
7 +2 Oklahoma  ( 6 - 1 ) 0.857 0.620 19 33.9 1 17.3 64 170.3 65
8 -2 Penn State  ( 5 - 2 ) 0.857 0.526 58 24.4 4 12.5 15 180.1 15
9 -5 Ohio St.  ( 7 - 1 ) 0.856 0.527 57 24.0 6 12.3 13 177.1 28
10 +1 Washington  ( 5 - 2 ) 0.845 0.603 26 22.1 11 11.7 11 159.3 110
11 -4 Appalachian St.  ( 4 - 1 ) 0.839 0.318 121 20.8 30 11.2 7 166.8 85
12 -- Wisconsin  ( 5 - 2 ) 0.825 0.538 51 22.9 9 12.8 17 154.9 127
13 +4 Fresno St.  ( 5 - 1 ) 0.821 0.416 90 17.2 62 9.7 2 162.6 100
14 -1 Notre Dame  ( 7 - 0 ) 0.811 0.566 42 21.7 18 12.6 16 173.7 39
15 +1 Utah  ( 4 - 2 ) 0.785 0.619 20 21.1 25 12.9 18 168.9 75
16 +6 Auburn  ( 4 - 3 ) 0.777 0.642 14 17.9 49 11.2 8 173.5 42
17 +2 Florida  ( 5 - 1 ) 0.774 0.640 16 20.8 28 13.1 22 164.9 89
18 NA Purdue  ( 4 - 3 ) 0.771 0.561 44 19.7 37 12.5 14 172.8 46
19 +2 Texas A&M  ( 4 - 2 ) 0.770 0.675 8 21.8 16 13.8 29 167.1 84
20 +3 UCF  ( 6 - 0 ) 0.766 0.360 110 22.0 14 14.1 35 181.4 13
21 -7 North Carolina St.  ( 4 - 1 ) 0.751 0.609 24 21.2 23 14.0 34 165.9 87
22 -7 Mississippi St.  ( 3 - 3 ) 0.751 0.655 11 16.9 69 11.2 9 158.7 115
23 -5 Texas  ( 6 - 1 ) 0.751 0.603 27 19.5 38 12.9 19 179.9 16
24 -- Miami-FL  ( 4 - 2 ) 0.750 0.555 46 20.4 34 13.5 27 162.3 102
25 NA Stanford  ( 4 - 2 ) 0.734 0.641 15 21.1 24 14.4 37 157.9 118
Rankings through games of 2018-10-21

New entries: Purdue, Stanford.

Dropped out: Army, TCU.


Follow us on Twitter at @TFGridiron and @TFGLiveOdds.

Week 10: Full Rankings — TFG

Biggest jumps: Purdue (0.103); California (0.101); Virginia (0.082); Marshall (0.080); Arkansas (0.072)

Biggest drops: Minnesota (-0.099); South Florida (-0.098); Maryland (-0.093); Oregon St. (-0.079); Duke (-0.072)

Full rankings after the jump.

Week 10: Top 25 — RBA

Mouse over column headers for definitions, or see this page
Rank +/- Team WinPct SoS Adjusted
Off. Def. Pace
1 -- Alabama  ( 8 - 0 ) 0.912 0.555 9 31.6 1 9.9 6 158.1 129
2 -- Georgia  ( 5 - 1 ) 0.887 0.547 26 26.0 3 9.7 5 160.2 123
3 -- Ohio St.  ( 7 - 1 ) 0.870 0.535 49 25.8 5 10.9 11 163.2 116
4 +2 Clemson  ( 6 - 0 ) 0.867 0.540 37 23.5 8 8.2 1 170.0 45
5 -1 Michigan  ( 7 - 1 ) 0.855 0.552 13 24.1 7 9.3 3 164.1 108
6 -1 Penn State  ( 5 - 2 ) 0.833 0.538 41 24.2 6 11.3 14 166.0 84
7 +5 Iowa  ( 5 - 1 ) 0.801 0.528 55 21.0 19 8.9 2 163.2 115
8 -- Oklahoma  ( 6 - 1 ) 0.793 0.543 33 29.1 2 14.4 46 172.2 21
9 -2 Wisconsin  ( 5 - 2 ) 0.786 0.537 42 22.1 13 11.6 17 160.2 122
10 -1 Washington  ( 5 - 2 ) 0.782 0.543 34 20.5 23 10.5 9 168.0 69
11 NA Utah  ( 4 - 2 ) 0.781 0.499 67 18.5 40 9.5 4 167.3 76
12 +3 Mississippi St.  ( 3 - 3 ) 0.766 0.562 4 20.0 31 11.1 13 164.3 103
13 -2 LSU  ( 6 - 1 ) 0.764 0.560 7 20.7 21 11.4 16 160.2 124
14 -- TCU  ( 2 - 4 ) 0.750 0.503 65 18.1 44 10.4 7 171.1 33
15 +5 Duke  ( 4 - 2 ) 0.749 0.526 56 17.1 60 12.6 26 169.3 51
16 -3 UCF  ( 6 - 0 ) 0.749 0.468 90 23.3 9 13.4 37 166.3 81
17 +1 Notre Dame  ( 7 - 0 ) 0.748 0.566 2 18.2 43 11.0 12 165.3 95
18 -2 Miami-FL  ( 4 - 2 ) 0.745 0.551 15 20.2 29 12.2 20 164.2 104
19 -- South Carolina  ( 3 - 3 ) 0.733 0.552 10 20.1 30 11.7 18 159.8 125
20 +1 Florida  ( 5 - 1 ) 0.726 0.561 5 20.8 20 12.6 25 160.3 121
21 -4 Stanford  ( 4 - 2 ) 0.717 0.544 31 20.4 25 12.4 23 164.2 105
22 -12 Auburn  ( 4 - 3 ) 0.716 0.564 3 17.0 62 10.4 8 162.2 119
23 +2 West Virginia  ( 4 - 1 ) 0.714 0.536 46 21.4 16 13.9 40 171.9 26
24 -- Texas A&M  ( 4 - 2 ) 0.713 0.547 25 20.2 28 12.5 24 174.3 12
25 NA Oklahoma St.  ( 3 - 3 ) 0.710 0.549 21 22.7 12 16.1 60 176.6 6
Rankings through games of 2018-10-21

New entries: Utah, Oklahoma St..

Dropped out: Boise St., Washington St..


Follow us on Twitter at @TFGridiron and @TFGLiveOdds.

Week 10: Full Rankings — RBA

Biggest jumps: Purdue (0.097); UCLA (0.090); Utah (0.069); UTEP (0.061); Charlotte (0.058)

Biggest drops: Auburn (-0.082); Southern Miss. (-0.057); California (-0.043); SJSU (-0.040); Hawaii (-0.039)

Full rankings after the jump.

Saturday, October 20, 2018

Week 9: Saturday Predictions

  7Appalachian St.42
110LA-Lafayette22
 29Appalachian St.52
117LA-Lafayette13

 90Arkansas32
 91Tulsa29
102Arkansas34
 95Tulsa28

 20Army30
 88Miami-OH20
 52Army41
106Miami-OH17

121Ball St.26
 74Eastern Michigan31
119Ball St.24
 76Eastern Michigan28

103Central Michigan30
 80Western Michigan32
105Central Michigan28
 96Western Michigan31

  2Clemson32
 14North Carolina St.25
  6Clemson35
 28North Carolina St.20

 28Duke27
 59Virginia21
 20Duke31
 80Virginia20

113East Carolina26
 23UCF37
104East Carolina17
 13UCF45

 84FIU38
131Rice22
 72FIU42
123Rice20

 60Florida St.32
 76Wake Forest26
 51Florida St.31
 54Wake Forest24

107Hawaii34
 97Nevada33
 82Hawaii35
108Nevada31

 61Indiana27
  6Penn State35
 63Indiana21
  5Penn State41

 10Iowa32
 48Maryland23
 12Iowa41
 58Maryland17

130Kent St.25
114Akron29
125Kent St.24
111Akron25

 26Kentucky29
 64Vanderbilt22
 38Kentucky31
 42Vanderbilt21

120LA-Monroe38
129Texas State30
120LA-Monroe38
130Texas State27

 69LA Tech37
125UTEP21
 75LA Tech41
131UTEP14

  8LSU28
 15Mississippi St.23
 11LSU27
 15Mississippi St.20

 79Marshall32
 65FL-Atlantic31
 84Marshall31
 79FL-Atlantic28

105Massachusetts38
106Coastal Carolina35
114Massachusetts38
113Coastal Carolina34

 35Michigan St.22
  3Michigan28
 39Michigan St.20
  4Michigan27

 96Middle Tenn.30
118Charlotte23
109Middle Tenn.38
129Charlotte17

 62Mississippi28
 22Auburn30
 53Mississippi21
 10Auburn34

 43Missouri38
 57Memphis32
 37Missouri38
 55Memphis27

 92Navy29
 49Houston33
 89Navy28
 47Houston29

 78Nebraska28
 40Minnesota30
 71Nebraska24
 62Minnesota28

 94New Mexico22
 17Fresno St.29
 93New Mexico21
 41Fresno St.31

123New Mexico St.26
 81Georgia Southern32
128New Mexico St.21
 83Georgia Southern34

 82Ohio40
119Bowling Green30
 69Ohio45
122Bowling Green27

108Oregon St.33
 99California31
112Oregon St.31
 85California28

 36Purdue26
  4Ohio St.32
 50Purdue24
  3Ohio St.35

127Rutgers20
 50Northwestern32
124Rutgers21
 49Northwestern38

 42SDSU36
128SJSU18
 44SDSU41
121SJSU14

 55South Florida39
126Connecticut21
 46South Florida42
127Connecticut14

 98Southern Miss.29
122UTSA23
 70Southern Miss.35
115UTSA20

 63Syracuse39
112North Carolina27
 48Syracuse41
100North Carolina24

 25TCU30
  9Oklahoma36
 14TCU31
  8Oklahoma35

 29Temple29
 52Cincinnati24
 45Temple34
 64Cincinnati21

 73Tennessee21
  1Alabama35
 98Tennessee20
  1Alabama49

 51Texas Tech38
102Kansas26
 59Texas Tech42
 73Kansas31

 72Toledo35
 71Buffalo32
 78Toledo35
 88Buffalo28

 85Tulane34
 95SMU28
 86Tulane34
 97SMU28

 47UAB29
 54North Texas26
 68UAB31
 67North Texas24

 67UCLA33
 83Arizona28
 94UCLA27
 60Arizona31

 16Utah30
 44USC24
 26Utah31
 34USC24

 11Washington31
 46Colorado23
  9Washington34
 32Colorado17

 34Washington St.38
 53Oregon32
 23Washington St.35
 40Oregon31

116Western Kentucky32
111Old Dominion28
 92Western Kentucky31
103Old Dominion24

 12Wisconsin37
117Illinois18
  7Wisconsin45
 99Illinois13

100Wyoming24
 37Utah St.30
 77Wyoming24
 56Utah St.31


Key
Close
game
                        Certain
victory
                       


Follow us on Twitter at @TFGridiron and @TFGLiveOdds.

Friday, October 19, 2018

Week 9: Friday Predictions

 31Boise St.38
101Colorado St.24
 22Boise St.42
101Colorado St.17

109UNLV29
 70Air Force34
107UNLV28
 66Air Force34


Key
Close
game
                        Certain
victory
                       


Follow us on Twitter at @TFGridiron and @TFGLiveOdds.

Thursday, October 18, 2018

Week 9: Thursday Predictions

 39Arizona St.31
 27Stanford29
 35Arizona St.27
 17Stanford28

 87Arkansas St.30
115Georgia State23
 91Arkansas St.35
116Georgia State20


Key
Close
game
                        Certain
victory
                       


Follow us on Twitter at @TFGridiron and @TFGLiveOdds.

Week 9 TFG Projections: SEC,Pac-12,Mountain West,Sun Belt

Projected conference champions
  • Mountain West: Fresno St.
  • Pac-12: Washington
  • SEC: Alabama
  • Sun Belt: Appalachian St.
Full projected conference standings after the jump.

Week 9 RBA Projections: SEC,Pac-12,Mountain West,Sun Belt

Projected conference champions
  • Mountain West: Boise St.
  • Pac-12: Washington
  • SEC: Alabama
  • Sun Belt: Appalachian St.
Full projected conference standings after the jump.

Wednesday, October 17, 2018

Week 9 TFG Projections: Big Ten,Big XII,Mid-American,Independents

Projected conference champions
  • Big Ten: Ohio St.
  • Big XII: Oklahoma
  • Independents: Army
  • Mid-American: Buffalo
Full projected conference standings after the jump.

Week 9 RBA Projections: Big Ten,Big XII,Mid-American,Independents

Projected conference champions
  • Big Ten: Ohio St.
  • Big XII: Texas
  • Independents: BYU
  • Mid-American: Buffalo
Full projected conference standings after the jump.

Tuesday, October 16, 2018

Week 9 TFG Projections: ACC,American Athletic,Conference-USA

Projected conference champions
  • ACC: Clemson
  • American Athletic: UCF
  • Conference-USA: UAB
Full projected conference standings after the jump.

Week 9 RBA Projections: ACC,American Athletic,Conference-USA

Projected conference champions
  • ACC: Clemson
  • American Athletic: UCF
  • Conference-USA: UAB
Full projected conference standings after the jump.

Week 9: Undefeated ... but for how long? — TFG

Odds as of games through 2018-10-14

Week 9: Undefeated ... but for how long? — RBA

Odds as of games through 2018-10-14

Monday, October 15, 2018

Week 9: Top 25 — TFG

Mouse over column headers for definitions, or see this page
Rank +/- Team WinPct SoS Adjusted
Off. Def. Pace
1 -- Alabama  ( 7 - 0 ) 0.948 0.511 57 29.2 2 9.8 2 161.4 109
2 -- Clemson  ( 5 - 0 ) 0.937 0.566 42 23.8 8 8.7 1 167.0 80
3 +3 Michigan  ( 6 - 1 ) 0.908 0.593 34 24.4 6 10.3 3 154.2 128
4 -- Ohio St.  ( 7 - 0 ) 0.903 0.535 52 25.8 3 11.1 5 175.5 34
5 -2 Georgia  ( 5 - 1 ) 0.893 0.638 15 25.3 5 11.4 9 158.1 119
6 -1 Penn State  ( 4 - 2 ) 0.884 0.546 49 25.8 4 12.0 15 179.0 19
7 +4 Appalachian St.  ( 3 - 1 ) 0.868 0.335 115 22.6 12 11.1 7 166.0 84
8 +6 LSU  ( 5 - 1 ) 0.862 0.702 2 22.3 15 11.2 8 171.6 59
9 -- Oklahoma  ( 5 - 1 ) 0.855 0.633 19 32.8 1 16.8 58 172.1 54
10 +2 Iowa  ( 4 - 1 ) 0.845 0.634 18 22.2 17 11.7 12 161.6 107
11 -3 Washington  ( 4 - 2 ) 0.837 0.605 28 21.7 22 11.7 11 161.0 111
12 -5 Wisconsin  ( 4 - 2 ) 0.833 0.588 39 22.2 16 12.1 16 154.9 126
13 -- Notre Dame  ( 7 - 0 ) 0.814 0.575 40 21.3 25 12.2 17 173.8 40
14 +2 North Carolina St.  ( 4 - 0 ) 0.807 0.481 71 23.0 9 13.4 24 165.2 89
15 -- Mississippi St.  ( 3 - 2 ) 0.799 0.592 37 18.6 46 11.1 6 158.8 116
16 NA Utah  ( 3 - 2 ) 0.783 0.611 27 19.3 39 11.9 13 169.1 74
17 NA Fresno St.  ( 4 - 1 ) 0.782 0.441 85 16.7 77 10.3 4 162.2 105
18 -1 Texas  ( 6 - 1 ) 0.776 0.621 24 20.0 35 12.5 19 178.8 20
19 +2 Florida  ( 5 - 1 ) 0.769 0.635 17 20.4 29 13.0 22 163.8 98
20 NA Army  ( 4 - 2 ) 0.761 0.447 84 21.5 24 13.9 33 143.5 130
21 -1 Texas A&M  ( 4 - 2 ) 0.761 0.644 13 21.0 26 13.6 28 166.4 82
22 -12 Auburn  ( 3 - 3 ) 0.753 0.637 16 17.5 57 11.5 10 173.0 46
23 -5 UCF  ( 5 - 0 ) 0.750 0.390 100 22.9 10 15.2 44 179.9 16
24 -1 Miami-FL  ( 4 - 2 ) 0.740 0.527 53 20.0 33 13.5 26 163.9 96
25 -- TCU  ( 2 - 3 ) 0.734 0.663 6 17.4 60 11.9 14 171.8 56
Rankings through games of 2018-10-14

New entries: Utah, Fresno St., Army.

Dropped out: West Virginia, Boise St., Kentucky.


Follow us on Twitter at @TFGridiron and @TFGLiveOdds.

Week 9: Full Rankings — TFG

Biggest jumps: UAB (0.166); LA Tech (0.138); Army (0.106); North Texas (0.095); UCLA (0.082)

Biggest drops: California (-0.108); Wyoming (-0.096); Illinois (-0.086); Western Kentucky (-0.084); Auburn (-0.083)

Full rankings after the jump.

Week 9: Top 25 — RBA

Mouse over column headers for definitions, or see this page
Rank +/- Team WinPct SoS Adjusted
Off. Def. Pace
1 -- Alabama  ( 7 - 0 ) 0.909 0.555 9 31.3 1 9.5 3 158.1 129
2 +1 Georgia  ( 5 - 1 ) 0.886 0.547 26 26.0 4 9.7 4 160.2 123
3 -1 Ohio St.  ( 7 - 0 ) 0.878 0.535 49 26.7 3 10.0 6 163.1 116
4 +2 Michigan  ( 6 - 1 ) 0.856 0.552 13 24.6 7 9.9 5 164.1 108
5 -- Penn State  ( 4 - 2 ) 0.842 0.539 38 25.1 6 11.0 11 165.8 87
6 +2 Clemson  ( 5 - 0 ) 0.825 0.541 37 23.2 9 8.8 1 170.0 45
7 -- Wisconsin  ( 4 - 2 ) 0.824 0.538 41 21.4 16 11.1 13 160.2 122
8 +1 Oklahoma  ( 5 - 1 ) 0.819 0.543 34 28.8 2 14.5 45 172.3 21
9 -5 Washington  ( 4 - 2 ) 0.811 0.544 33 20.4 27 10.7 9 168.0 69
10 +1 Auburn  ( 3 - 3 ) 0.798 0.564 3 16.9 63 10.7 10 162.1 119
11 +1 LSU  ( 5 - 1 ) 0.792 0.561 5 20.9 20 11.8 19 160.2 124
12 -2 Iowa  ( 4 - 1 ) 0.783 0.528 55 21.4 14 10.4 8 163.3 114
13 +1 UCF  ( 5 - 0 ) 0.768 0.467 91 24.1 8 13.9 40 166.1 82
14 +1 TCU  ( 2 - 3 ) 0.768 0.501 65 18.0 48 10.1 7 171.2 33
15 +2 Mississippi St.  ( 3 - 2 ) 0.755 0.560 6 20.7 24 11.1 14 164.3 102
16 -3 Miami-FL  ( 4 - 2 ) 0.749 0.551 15 20.2 30 12.2 20 164.2 104
17 -1 Stanford  ( 3 - 2 ) 0.749 0.545 31 21.2 18 13.3 32 164.2 106
18 +2 Notre Dame  ( 7 - 0 ) 0.746 0.566 2 18.2 44 11.0 12 165.3 94
19 -- South Carolina  ( 3 - 3 ) 0.737 0.552 12 20.1 31 11.7 18 159.8 125
20 +5 Duke  ( 4 - 1 ) 0.734 0.527 56 20.0 33 11.5 17 169.2 52
21 +2 Florida  ( 5 - 1 ) 0.729 0.561 4 20.8 23 12.6 24 160.3 121
22 -1 Boise St.  ( 4 - 2 ) 0.728 0.455 108 20.3 28 13.5 35 169.8 48
23 +1 Washington St.  ( 4 - 1 ) 0.722 0.539 40 21.3 17 14.7 47 174.3 11
24 NA Texas A&M  ( 4 - 2 ) 0.717 0.547 28 20.2 29 12.5 23 174.3 12
25 -7 West Virginia  ( 4 - 1 ) 0.713 0.536 47 21.4 15 13.9 39 171.9 25
Rankings through games of 2018-10-14

New entries: Texas A&M.

Dropped out: Oklahoma St..


Follow us on Twitter at @TFGridiron and @TFGLiveOdds.