Wednesday, October 31, 2018

Week 11: Wednesday Predictions

 70Toledo40
124Ball St.27
 88Toledo42
118Ball St.21


Key
Close
game
                        Certain
victory
                       


Follow us on Twitter at @TFGridiron and @TFGLiveOdds.

Week 11 TFG Projections: Big Ten,Big XII,Mid-American,Independents

Projected conference champions
  • Big Ten: Michigan
  • Big XII: Oklahoma
  • Independents: Army
  • Mid-American: Buffalo
Full projected conference standings after the jump.

Week 11 RBA Projections: Big Ten,Big XII,Mid-American,Independents

Projected conference champions
  • Big Ten: Michigan
  • Big XII: Oklahoma
  • Independents: BYU
  • Mid-American: Buffalo
Full projected conference standings after the jump.

Tuesday, October 30, 2018

Week 11: Tuesday Predictions

121Bowling Green33
131Kent St.29
121Bowling Green31
130Kent St.24

 65Buffalo29
 82Miami-OH25
 82Buffalo31
104Miami-OH21


Key
Close
game
                        Certain
victory
                       


Follow us on Twitter at @TFGridiron and @TFGLiveOdds.

Week 11 TFG Projections: ACC,American Athletic,Conference-USA

Projected conference champions
  • ACC: Clemson
  • American Athletic: UCF
  • Conference-USA: UAB
Full projected conference standings after the jump.

Week 11 RBA Projections: ACC,American Athletic,Conference-USA

Projected conference champions
  • ACC: Clemson
  • American Athletic: UCF
  • Conference-USA: UAB
Full projected conference standings after the jump.

Week 11: Undefeated ... but for how long? — TFG

Odds as of games through 2018-10-28

Week 11: Undefeated ... but for how long? — RBA

Odds as of games through 2018-10-28

Monday, October 29, 2018

Week 11: Top 25 — TFG

Mouse over column headers for definitions, or see this page
Rank +/- Team WinPct SoS Adjusted
Off. Def. Pace
1 -- Clemson  ( 7 - 0 ) 0.960 0.598 27 25.3 4 7.7 1 170.4 63
2 -- Alabama  ( 8 - 0 ) 0.944 0.525 58 29.5 2 10.2 4 162.0 101
3 -- Michigan  ( 7 - 1 ) 0.908 0.583 33 23.1 9 9.7 2 155.0 126
4 -- Georgia  ( 6 - 1 ) 0.908 0.675 5 26.5 3 11.2 9 158.8 113
5 -- LSU  ( 6 - 1 ) 0.881 0.708 3 21.8 17 10.3 6 171.3 55
6 -- Iowa  ( 5 - 2 ) 0.863 0.633 17 20.4 32 10.2 5 159.2 111
7 -- Oklahoma  ( 7 - 1 ) 0.858 0.577 34 33.3 1 16.9 60 169.5 73
8 +1 Ohio St.  ( 7 - 1 ) 0.851 0.525 57 23.6 7 12.3 15 177.1 26
9 -1 Penn State  ( 6 - 2 ) 0.850 0.561 43 23.7 6 12.4 16 182.1 11
10 +3 Fresno St.  ( 6 - 1 ) 0.824 0.391 98 18.0 50 10.1 3 161.7 104
11 +4 Utah  ( 5 - 2 ) 0.815 0.599 25 21.3 22 12.2 13 168.5 78
12 +2 Notre Dame  ( 8 - 0 ) 0.805 0.532 50 21.1 24 12.4 17 173.9 40
13 -3 Washington  ( 5 - 3 ) 0.805 0.565 39 20.4 33 12.0 11 157.4 121
14 +8 Mississippi St.  ( 4 - 3 ) 0.775 0.653 12 17.5 62 11.0 7 158.0 117
15 +1 Auburn  ( 4 - 3 ) 0.771 0.632 18 17.7 54 11.2 8 174.4 39
16 +4 UCF  ( 6 - 0 ) 0.769 0.371 106 22.2 14 14.2 32 181.6 13
17 -5 Wisconsin  ( 5 - 3 ) 0.764 0.525 55 21.2 23 13.7 26 154.8 127
18 -7 Appalachian St.  ( 4 - 2 ) 0.762 0.361 113 19.5 36 12.6 18 166.3 84
19 NA West Virginia  ( 5 - 1 ) 0.759 0.526 53 22.6 12 14.7 37 170.1 69
20 -3 Florida  ( 5 - 2 ) 0.744 0.690 4 20.4 31 13.6 25 163.9 93
21 NA Army  ( 6 - 2 ) 0.736 0.443 83 22.0 15 15.0 40 147.5 130
22 -4 Purdue  ( 4 - 4 ) 0.735 0.570 38 18.7 42 12.7 19 173.5 42
23 -2 North Carolina St.  ( 4 - 2 ) 0.728 0.612 21 21.6 18 14.9 39 165.9 85
24 NA UAB  ( 6 - 1 ) 0.724 0.261 129 17.2 67 12.0 12 163.2 98
25 NA Temple  ( 5 - 2 ) 0.722 0.441 84 19.1 40 13.3 21 176.5 32
Rankings through games of 2018-10-28

New entries: West Virginia, Army, UAB, Temple.

Dropped out: Texas A&M, Texas, Miami-FL, Stanford.


Follow us on Twitter at @TFGridiron and @TFGLiveOdds.

Week 11: Full Rankings — TFG

Biggest jumps: Georgia Southern (0.136); Middle Tenn. (0.101); Arizona (0.093); UAB (0.077); Georgia Tech (0.071)

Biggest drops: Baylor (-0.107); Duke (-0.085); Colorado (-0.078); Virginia Tech (-0.078); Appalachian St. (-0.077)

Full rankings after the jump.

Week 11: Top 25 — RBA

Mouse over column headers for definitions, or see this page
Rank +/- Team WinPct SoS Adjusted
Off. Def. Pace
1 -- Alabama  ( 8 - 0 ) 0.915 0.554 9 31.6 1 9.9 6 158.1 128
2 +2 Clemson  ( 7 - 0 ) 0.887 0.541 35 24.4 6 7.9 1 170.1 45
3 -1 Georgia  ( 6 - 1 ) 0.873 0.548 25 26.3 4 9.6 5 160.2 123
4 -1 Ohio St.  ( 7 - 1 ) 0.868 0.535 49 25.8 5 10.9 10 163.2 116
5 -- Michigan  ( 7 - 1 ) 0.854 0.552 11 24.1 8 9.3 4 164.1 108
6 +1 Iowa  ( 5 - 2 ) 0.834 0.528 55 21.0 20 8.9 2 163.3 114
7 -1 Penn State  ( 6 - 2 ) 0.816 0.538 40 24.2 7 11.2 12 166.1 83
8 -- Oklahoma  ( 7 - 1 ) 0.799 0.543 34 29.8 2 13.7 36 172.1 20
9 +1 Washington  ( 5 - 3 ) 0.787 0.543 33 18.7 44 10.2 7 167.8 70
10 +1 Utah  ( 5 - 2 ) 0.778 0.499 67 19.9 27 9.0 3 167.3 76
11 -2 Wisconsin  ( 5 - 3 ) 0.773 0.537 44 21.2 18 12.1 17 160.2 124
12 +1 LSU  ( 6 - 1 ) 0.760 0.560 7 20.7 23 11.4 13 160.2 122
13 -1 Mississippi St.  ( 4 - 3 ) 0.756 0.562 5 20.5 24 10.9 9 164.2 105
14 +2 UCF  ( 6 - 0 ) 0.743 0.468 90 23.3 10 13.4 32 166.3 81
15 -1 TCU  ( 2 - 5 ) 0.741 0.502 65 17.4 54 12.2 19 171.1 33
16 +3 South Carolina  ( 4 - 3 ) 0.741 0.552 10 18.9 40 13.2 29 159.7 125
17 -- Notre Dame  ( 8 - 0 ) 0.738 0.565 2 19.5 37 11.5 14 165.3 94
18 +3 Stanford  ( 4 - 3 ) 0.727 0.544 32 21.0 21 13.4 34 164.2 104
19 +1 Florida  ( 5 - 2 ) 0.725 0.562 4 20.8 22 12.5 22 160.3 121
20 -2 Miami-FL  ( 4 - 3 ) 0.723 0.551 13 19.5 36 12.2 18 164.3 103
21 +3 Texas A&M  ( 4 - 3 ) 0.721 0.547 29 19.8 28 12.5 23 174.2 12
22 -- Auburn  ( 4 - 3 ) 0.714 0.564 3 17.0 64 10.4 8 162.2 119
23 -- West Virginia  ( 5 - 1 ) 0.706 0.535 47 23.4 9 13.1 27 171.9 25
24 NA Washington St.  ( 6 - 1 ) 0.701 0.539 38 22.1 13 14.6 44 174.2 11
25 NA Purdue  ( 4 - 4 ) 0.701 0.548 24 17.5 52 12.0 16 172.7 18
Rankings through games of 2018-10-28

New entries: Washington St., Purdue.

Dropped out: Duke, Oklahoma St..


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Week 11: Full Rankings — RBA

Biggest jumps: California (0.126); Texas Tech (0.093); BYU (0.079); Virginia (0.052); Arkansas (0.050)

Biggest drops: Duke (-0.110); Oregon St. (-0.068); Minnesota (-0.060); Tulsa (-0.052); Kansas (-0.049)

Full rankings after the jump.

Saturday, October 27, 2018

Week 10: Saturday Predictions

 75Air Force29
 30Boise St.32
 68Air Force27
 29Boise St.31

116Akron29
111Central Michigan26
113Akron27
105Central Michigan24

 85Arizona32
 49Oregon34
 65Arizona28
 39Oregon35

 79Arkansas27
 64Vanderbilt26
 98Arkansas20
 43Vanderbilt35

 81BYU27
 90Northern Ill.24
 88BYU31
 89Northern Ill.24

 88California22
 10Washington30
 92California21
 10Washington35

118Charlotte26
 96Southern Miss.28
122Charlotte27
 84Southern Miss.34

 48Colorado41
120Oregon St.24
 36Colorado49
112Oregon St.17

126Connecticut33
108Massachusetts34
130Connecticut28
111Massachusetts31

 71Eastern Michigan26
 27Army29
 76Eastern Michigan24
 45Army28

 52Florida St.20
  1Clemson30
 51Florida St.17
  4Clemson31

 13Fresno St.38
110Hawaii20
 35Fresno St.38
 90Hawaii20

  4Georgia31
 17Florida26
  2Georgia31
 20Florida17

113Georgia State31
104Coastal Carolina29
119Georgia State31
115Coastal Carolina27

 50Houston38
 72South Florida32
 47Houston35
 46South Florida31

 33Iowa St.31
 40Texas Tech28
 32Iowa St.31
 55Texas Tech27

107Kansas23
 34TCU30
 73Kansas20
 14TCU38

105LA-Lafayette31
 86Arkansas St.33
114LA-Lafayette31
 93Arkansas St.35

 87Louisville33
 89Wake Forest30
 78Louisville28
 60Wake Forest31

 62Maryland32
114Illinois22
 56Maryland41
107Illinois17

 42Michigan St.25
 18Purdue26
 41Michigan St.24
 27Purdue25

 22Mississippi St.26
 19Texas A&M25
 12Mississippi St.31
 24Texas A&M21

 31Missouri30
 26Kentucky27
 38Missouri31
 42Kentucky27

 91Navy24
 14Notre Dame35
 86Navy21
 17Notre Dame28

 95Nevada25
 53SDSU27
 94Nevada24
 49SDSU31

 51North Texas41
131Rice22
 62North Texas45
123Rice17

 54Northwestern25
 12Wisconsin29
 50Northwestern24
  9Wisconsin27

  7Oklahoma44
 68Kansas St.27
  8Oklahoma42
 57Kansas St.21

 35Oklahoma St.34
 23Texas32
 25Oklahoma St.32
 33Texas31

109Old Dominion30
 92Middle Tenn.32
104Old Dominion29
109Middle Tenn.28

  8Penn State30
  6Iowa27
  6Penn State27
  7Iowa21

 80Pittsburgh25
 38Duke27
 64Pittsburgh24
 15Duke31

127SJSU31
106UNLV32
127SJSU31
110UNLV38

 93SMU27
 47Cincinnati31
 97SMU27
 63Cincinnati31

 36South Carolina31
 69Tennessee24
 19South Carolina41
 85Tennessee17

 44USC32
 46Arizona St.29
 30USC31
 40Arizona St.24

 25Stanford32
 32Washington St.28
 21Stanford31
 31Washington St.27

 59Syracuse31
 21North Carolina St.34
 54Syracuse28
 28North Carolina St.27

130Texas State33
121New Mexico St.34
131Texas State34
129New Mexico St.31

101Tulsa27
 94Tulane26
101Tulsa27
 91Tulane28

 41Utah St.37
100New Mexico25
 53Utah St.41
 95New Mexico17

125UTEP21
 39UAB32
125UTEP20
 67UAB35

 45Virginia33
103North Carolina22
 82Virginia34
 99North Carolina28

115Western Kentucky27
 84FIU29
102Western Kentucky27
 77FIU28


Key
Close
game
                        Certain
victory
                       


Follow us on Twitter at @TFGridiron and @TFGLiveOdds.

Friday, October 26, 2018

Week 10: Friday Predictions

 43Boston College27
 24Miami-FL28
 44Boston College24
 18Miami-FL28

 99Colorado St.27
 98Wyoming26
100Colorado St.24
 83Wyoming28

 74FL-Atlantic33
 78LA Tech29
 75FL-Atlantic34
 71LA Tech28

 56Minnesota30
 55Indiana27
 58Minnesota28
 66Indiana27

 65UCLA28
 15Utah32
 74UCLA21
 11Utah34


Key
Close
game
                        Certain
victory
                       


Follow us on Twitter at @TFGridiron and @TFGLiveOdds.

Thursday, October 25, 2018

Week 10: Thursday Predictions

 83Georgia Southern22
 11Appalachian St.29
 87Georgia Southern20
 26Appalachian St.35

 73Ohio38
119Ball St.27
 72Ohio38
116Ball St.21

 37Virginia Tech32
 57Georgia Tech28
 37Virginia Tech31
 34Georgia Tech27

 29West Virginia36
 61Baylor28
 23West Virginia42
 61Baylor24

 77Western Michigan36
 76Toledo32
 96Western Michigan34
 79Toledo35


Key
Close
game
                        Certain
victory
                       


Follow us on Twitter at @TFGridiron and @TFGLiveOdds.

Week 10 TFG Projections: SEC,Pac-12,Mountain West,Sun Belt

Projected conference champions
  • Mountain West: Fresno St.
  • Pac-12: Washington
  • SEC: Alabama
  • Sun Belt: Appalachian St.
Full projected conference standings after the jump.

Week 10 RBA Projections: SEC,Pac-12,Mountain West,Sun Belt

Projected conference champions
  • Mountain West: Fresno St.
  • Pac-12: Washington
  • SEC: Alabama
  • Sun Belt: Appalachian St.
Full projected conference standings after the jump.

Wednesday, October 24, 2018

Week 10 TFG Projections: Big Ten,Big XII,Mid-American,Independents

Projected conference champions
  • Big Ten: Michigan
  • Big XII: Oklahoma
  • Independents: Army
  • Mid-American: Buffalo
Full projected conference standings after the jump.

Week 10 RBA Projections: Big Ten,Big XII,Mid-American,Independents

Projected conference champions
  • Big Ten: Michigan
  • Big XII: Oklahoma
  • Independents: Army
  • Mid-American: Buffalo
Full projected conference standings after the jump.

Tuesday, October 23, 2018

Week 10: Tuesday Predictions

124South Alabama25
 60Troy34
118South Alabama27
 80Troy34


Key
Close
game
                        Certain
victory
                       


Follow us on Twitter at @TFGridiron and @TFGLiveOdds.

Week 10 TFG Projections: ACC,American Athletic,Conference-USA

Projected conference champions
  • ACC: Clemson
  • American Athletic: UCF
  • Conference-USA: UAB
Full projected conference standings after the jump.

Week 10 RBA Projections: ACC,American Athletic,Conference-USA

Projected conference champions
  • ACC: Clemson
  • American Athletic: UCF
  • Conference-USA: UAB
Full projected conference standings after the jump.

Week 10: Undefeated ... but for how long? — TFG

Odds as of games through 2018-10-21

Week 10: Undefeated ... but for how long? — RBA

Odds as of games through 2018-10-21

Monday, October 22, 2018

Week 10: Top 25 — TFG

Mouse over column headers for definitions, or see this page
Rank +/- Team WinPct SoS Adjusted
Off. Def. Pace
1 +1 Clemson  ( 6 - 0 ) 0.950 0.589 34 24.2 5 8.0 1 167.8 79
2 -1 Alabama  ( 8 - 0 ) 0.946 0.540 49 30.4 2 10.3 6 161.8 104
3 -- Michigan  ( 7 - 1 ) 0.909 0.592 32 23.6 8 9.9 3 155.2 126
4 +1 Georgia  ( 5 - 1 ) 0.900 0.660 10 25.9 3 11.3 10 159.1 112
5 +3 LSU  ( 6 - 1 ) 0.885 0.713 3 21.9 15 10.2 5 171.1 58
6 +4 Iowa  ( 5 - 1 ) 0.879 0.605 25 21.1 26 10.0 4 157.8 120
7 +2 Oklahoma  ( 6 - 1 ) 0.857 0.620 19 33.9 1 17.3 64 170.3 65
8 -2 Penn State  ( 5 - 2 ) 0.857 0.526 58 24.4 4 12.5 15 180.1 15
9 -5 Ohio St.  ( 7 - 1 ) 0.856 0.527 57 24.0 6 12.3 13 177.1 28
10 +1 Washington  ( 5 - 2 ) 0.845 0.603 26 22.1 11 11.7 11 159.3 110
11 -4 Appalachian St.  ( 4 - 1 ) 0.839 0.318 121 20.8 30 11.2 7 166.8 85
12 -- Wisconsin  ( 5 - 2 ) 0.825 0.538 51 22.9 9 12.8 17 154.9 127
13 +4 Fresno St.  ( 5 - 1 ) 0.821 0.416 90 17.2 62 9.7 2 162.6 100
14 -1 Notre Dame  ( 7 - 0 ) 0.811 0.566 42 21.7 18 12.6 16 173.7 39
15 +1 Utah  ( 4 - 2 ) 0.785 0.619 20 21.1 25 12.9 18 168.9 75
16 +6 Auburn  ( 4 - 3 ) 0.777 0.642 14 17.9 49 11.2 8 173.5 42
17 +2 Florida  ( 5 - 1 ) 0.774 0.640 16 20.8 28 13.1 22 164.9 89
18 NA Purdue  ( 4 - 3 ) 0.771 0.561 44 19.7 37 12.5 14 172.8 46
19 +2 Texas A&M  ( 4 - 2 ) 0.770 0.675 8 21.8 16 13.8 29 167.1 84
20 +3 UCF  ( 6 - 0 ) 0.766 0.360 110 22.0 14 14.1 35 181.4 13
21 -7 North Carolina St.  ( 4 - 1 ) 0.751 0.609 24 21.2 23 14.0 34 165.9 87
22 -7 Mississippi St.  ( 3 - 3 ) 0.751 0.655 11 16.9 69 11.2 9 158.7 115
23 -5 Texas  ( 6 - 1 ) 0.751 0.603 27 19.5 38 12.9 19 179.9 16
24 -- Miami-FL  ( 4 - 2 ) 0.750 0.555 46 20.4 34 13.5 27 162.3 102
25 NA Stanford  ( 4 - 2 ) 0.734 0.641 15 21.1 24 14.4 37 157.9 118
Rankings through games of 2018-10-21

New entries: Purdue, Stanford.

Dropped out: Army, TCU.


Follow us on Twitter at @TFGridiron and @TFGLiveOdds.