Thursday, October 31, 2013

Week 10: Undefeated ... but for how long? -- RBA


Odds as of games through 2013-10-27


Legitimate Title Contenders

Alabama Crimson Tide
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2013 0.953 1 0.548 19 27.4 4 6.0 1 155.9 125
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2013/08/31   1 Alabama 35 vs  50 Virginia Tech 10 157 95.7%
2013/09/14   1 Alabama 49 at  13 Texas A&M 42 167 82.2%
2013/09/21 104 Colorado St. 6 at   1 Alabama 31 138 99.3%
2013/09/28  19 Mississippi 0 at   2 Alabama 25 152 89.8%
2013/10/05 125 Georgia State 3 at   1 Alabama 45 134 99.9%
2013/10/12   1 Alabama 48 at  73 Kentucky 7 158 96.9%
2013/10/19  41 Arkansas 0 at   1 Alabama 52 142 89.2%
2013/10/26  55 Tennessee 10 at   1 Alabama 45 142 94.6%
2013/11/09   4 LSU 17 at   1 Alabama 34 158 81.8%
2013/11/16   1 Alabama 41 at  26 Mississippi St. 14 159 91.3%
2013/11/30   1 Alabama 38 at  46 Auburn 17 157 94.8%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-1.4
Most difficult game left: November 9, vs LSU Tigers, 81.8%


Florida State Seminoles
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2013 0.889 2 0.547 22 28.5 2 9.5 4 165.6 82
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2013/09/02   4 Florida St. 41 at  48 Pittsburgh 13 140 21.5%
2013/09/14  73 Nevada 7 at   2 Florida St. 62 154 87.7%
2013/09/28   1 Florida St. 48 at  91 Boston College 34 163 94.8%
2013/10/05  40 Maryland 0 at   5 Florida St. 63 170 94.2%
2013/10/19   2 Florida St. 51 at   9 Clemson 14 188 52.7%
2013/10/26  57 North Carolina St. 17 at   2 Florida St. 49 169 89.5%
2013/11/02  35 Miami-FL 17 at   2 Florida St. 38 164 83.6%
2013/11/09   2 Florida St. 45 at  81 Wake Forest 20 166 95.1%
2013/11/16  50 Syracuse 10 at   2 Florida St. 45 165 88.6%
2013/11/23 120 Idaho 14 at   2 Florida St. 62 167 99.1%
2013/11/30   2 Florida St. 28 at   7 Florida 20 163 68.7%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-2.1
Most difficult game left: November 30, at Florida Gators, 68.7%


Second-Tier Hopefuls

Oregon Ducks
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2013 0.860 3 0.530 53 28.2 3 10.3 9 177.5 3
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2013/09/07   5 Oregon 59 at  82 Virginia 10 186 93.1%
2013/09/14  40 Tennessee 14 at   3 Oregon 59 175 86.2%
2013/09/28  68 California 16 at   3 Oregon 55 206 93.1%
2013/10/05   2 Oregon 57 at 104 Colorado 16 194 98.0%
2013/10/12   2 Oregon 45 at  34 Washington 24 183 85.0%
2013/10/19  66 Washington St. 38 at   3 Oregon 62 210 91.7%
2013/10/26  21 UCLA 14 at   3 Oregon 42 177 74.8%
2013/11/07   3 Oregon 31 at  10 Stanford 24 172 68.8%
2013/11/16  56 Utah 20 at   3 Oregon 41 171 87.9%
2013/11/23   3 Oregon 41 at  45 Arizona 21 174 82.7%
2013/11/29  32 Oregon St. 21 at   3 Oregon 41 174 77.9%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-2.6
Most difficult game left: November 7, at Stanford Cardinal, 68.8%


Northern Illinois Huskies
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2013 0.606 48 0.434 118 18.1 41 14.5 48 166.7 70
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2013/08/31  46 Northern Ill. 30 at  69 Iowa 27 198 65.2%
2013/09/14  52 Northern Ill. 45 at 123 Idaho 35 200 95.7%
2013/09/28  52 Northern Ill. 55 at  82 Purdue 24 175 69.3%
2013/10/05  49 Northern Ill. 38 at  87 Kent St. 24 187 74.7%
2013/10/12 117 Akron 20 at  45 Northern Ill. 27 202 88.2%
2013/10/19  46 Northern Ill. 38 at 114 Central Michigan 17 170 91.3%
2013/10/26 118 Eastern Michigan 20 at  48 Northern Ill. 59 179 93.3%
2013/11/02  48 Northern Ill. 41 at 125 Massachusetts 17 165 97.4%
2013/11/13  62 Ball St. 24 at  48 Northern Ill. 34 167 62.8%
2013/11/20  48 Northern Ill. 31 at  71 Toledo 24 167 68.8%
2013/11/26 117 Western Michigan 14 at  48 Northern Ill. 42 168 92.1%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-2.6
Most difficult game left: November 13, vs Ball State Cardinals, 62.8%


Fresno State Bulldogs
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2013 0.581 52 0.493 69 20.1 26 16.9 70 168.4 49
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2013/08/29  35 Rutgers 51 at  53 Fresno St. 52 209 50.1%
2013/09/20  42 Boise St. 40 at  51 Fresno St. 41 212 56.8%
2013/09/28  49 Fresno St. 42 at 108 Hawaii 37 210 81.8%
2013/10/05  55 Fresno St. 61 at 120 Idaho 14 213 94.9%
2013/10/19 110 UNLV 14 at  52 Fresno St. 38 179 83.6%
2013/10/26  52 Fresno St. 35 at  67 SDSU 28 194 61.7%
2013/11/02  83 Nevada 24 at  52 Fresno St. 41 170 71.3%
2013/11/09  52 Fresno St. 35 at  84 Wyoming 28 168 71.5%
2013/11/23 102 New Mexico 17 at  52 Fresno St. 45 166 82.7%
2013/11/29  52 Fresno St. 34 at  77 SJSU 27 167 67.9%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-3.5
Most difficult game left: November 29, at San Jose State Spartans, 67.9%


Ohio State Buckeyes
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2013 0.753 15 0.528 55 24.2 8 12.7 28 160.2 119
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2013/08/31 111 Buffalo 20 at  17 Ohio St. 40 163 91.9%
2013/09/07  51 SDSU 7 at  16 Ohio St. 42 164 65.0%
2013/09/14  15 Ohio St. 52 at  68 California 34 206 78.9%
2013/09/28   8 Wisconsin 24 at  11 Ohio St. 31 159 53.6%
2013/10/05  14 Ohio St. 40 at  33 Northwestern 30 172 61.9%
2013/10/19  23 Iowa 24 at  15 Ohio St. 34 156 53.4%
2013/10/26  31 Penn State 14 at  15 Ohio St. 63 177 57.5%
2013/11/02  15 Ohio St. 38 at  96 Purdue 20 166 90.0%
2013/11/16  15 Ohio St. 41 at  64 Illinois 21 164 79.0%
2013/11/23  65 Indiana 24 at  15 Ohio St. 41 165 78.9%
2013/11/30  15 Ohio St. 34 at  17 Michigan 31 163 50.4%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-3.5
Most difficult game left: November 30, at Michigan Wolverines, 50.4%


Absolute Phonies

Baylor Bears
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2013 0.827 6 0.559 5 29.3 1 13.2 31 175.1 6
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2013/09/07 107 Buffalo 13 at  34 Baylor 70 187 87.0%
2013/09/21  94 LA-Monroe 7 at  21 Baylor 70 190 78.1%
2013/10/05  57 West Virginia 42 at  12 Baylor 73 205 75.3%
2013/10/12  11 Baylor 35 at  28 Kansas St. 25 165 40.8%
2013/10/19  55 Iowa St. 7 at  10 Baylor 71 185 76.3%
2013/10/26   6 Baylor 59 at 109 Kansas 14 200 94.1%
2013/11/07   8 Oklahoma 31 at   6 Baylor 38 173 61.4%
2013/11/16  37 Texas Tech 27 vs   6 Baylor 45 177 74.8%
2013/11/23   6 Baylor 31 at  23 Oklahoma St. 34 175 29.3%
2013/11/30   6 Baylor 35 at  40 TCU 27 171 76.0%
2013/12/07  29 Texas 28 at   6 Baylor 41 171 71.2%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-13.7
Most difficult game left: November 23, at Oklahoma State Cowboys, 29.3%


Miami Hurricanes
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2013 0.680 35 0.551 13 19.1 33 13.9 42 163.4 106
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2013/08/30 115 FL-Atlantic 6 at  51 Miami-FL 34 173 87.3%
2013/09/07  11 Florida 16 at  42 Miami-FL 21 158 30.2%
2013/09/28  35 Miami-FL 49 at 106 South Florida 21 159 77.6%
2013/10/05  47 Georgia Tech 30 at  36 Miami-FL 45 157 50.1%
2013/10/17  31 Miami-FL 27 at  61 North Carolina 23 188 67.8%
2013/10/26  81 Wake Forest 21 at  35 Miami-FL 24 165 87.3%
2013/11/02  35 Miami-FL 17 at   2 Florida St. 38 164 16.4%
2013/11/09  41 Virginia Tech 21 at  35 Miami-FL 27 161 53.8%
2013/11/16  35 Miami-FL 34 at  69 Duke 24 165 75.5%
2013/11/23  94 Virginia 17 at  35 Miami-FL 35 164 85.2%
2013/11/29  35 Miami-FL 28 at  58 Pittsburgh 24 163 68.0%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-25.9
Most difficult game left: November 2, at Florida State Seminoles, 16.4%


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