Week 17: Saturday Predictions

52 Arkansas St. 31  90 Middle Tenn. 27

79 Arkansas St. 35 115 Middle Tenn. 20

63 Colorado St. 28  54 Marshall 29

62 Colorado St. 35  78 Marshall 24

114 Georgia State 26  95 Western Kentucky 29

124 Georgia State 24  74 Western Kentucky 31

83 North Texas 28  33 Troy 34

96 North Texas 24  61 Troy 34

47 Oregon 29  25 Boise St. 32

28 Oregon 32  25 Boise St. 31

Key
Close game							Certain victory

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Week 17: Top 25 — TFG

Mouse over column headers for definitions, or see this page

Rank	+/-	Team	WinPct	SoS		Adjusted
						Off.		Def.		Pace
1	--	Alabama  ( 10 - 1 )	0.958	0.617	21	24.5	5	7.6	1	164.1	100
2	--	Clemson  ( 11 - 1 )	0.940	0.646	10	23.6	9	8.4	2	171.3	57
3	--	Georgia  ( 11 - 1 )	0.937	0.629	15	23.8	8	8.6	3	155.3	127
4	--	Wisconsin  ( 12 - 1 )	0.936	0.583	42	24.1	7	8.8	4	154.8	128
5	--	Penn State  ( 10 - 2 )	0.927	0.557	52	26.8	3	10.3	8	170.5	62
6	--	Ohio St.  ( 11 - 2 )	0.923	0.622	18	27.4	2	10.8	9	176.3	34
7	--	Auburn  ( 9 - 3 )	0.919	0.706	2	23.4	11	9.4	6	171.4	56
8	--	Washington  ( 9 - 2 )	0.894	0.521	64	24.3	6	10.9	10	160.6	110
9	--	Oklahoma  ( 12 - 1 )	0.865	0.564	49	30.3	1	15.1	44	170.3	64
10	--	Virginia Tech  ( 8 - 3 )	0.841	0.527	62	17.3	60	9.2	5	168.8	77
11	--	TCU  ( 9 - 3 )	0.812	0.601	29	17.6	57	10.2	7	170.4	63
12	--	Iowa  ( 7 - 5 )	0.812	0.654	7	20.8	19	12.0	15	165.3	96
13	--	Notre Dame  ( 9 - 3 )	0.809	0.652	8	23.1	12	13.4	27	174.5	43
14	--	LSU  ( 8 - 3 )	0.794	0.617	20	18.5	43	11.2	12	156.9	124
15	--	Stanford  ( 9 - 4 )	0.794	0.588	39	21.6	17	13.0	23	157.7	121
16	--	Michigan  ( 8 - 4 )	0.789	0.603	27	18.9	37	11.5	13	159.3	117
17	--	Northwestern  ( 9 - 3 )	0.783	0.549	56	18.2	49	11.2	11	179.7	21
18	--	Mississippi St.  ( 7 - 4 )	0.773	0.619	19	20.5	23	12.9	21	165.5	93
19	--	Oklahoma St.  ( 9 - 3 )	0.764	0.527	61	26.0	4	16.7	57	187.3	2
20	--	Miami-FL  ( 9 - 2 )	0.756	0.625	17	18.9	36	12.4	18	169.3	72
21	--	UCF  ( 11 - 0 )	0.754	0.445	81	22.0	15	14.4	37	176.0	38
22	--	USC  ( 11 - 2 )	0.753	0.587	41	21.8	16	14.3	32	176.0	37
23	--	Iowa St.  ( 6 - 5 )	0.735	0.579	46	17.7	55	12.1	17	169.6	70
24	--	Louisville  ( 7 - 4 )	0.728	0.526	63	23.6	10	16.3	52	169.0	75
25	--	Boise St.  ( 10 - 3 )	0.721	0.443	83	20.6	21	14.4	35	169.9	65

Rankings through games of 2017-12-10

New entries: none.

Dropped out: none.


Follow us on Twitter at @TFGridiron and @TFGLiveOdds.

Week 17: Full Rankings — TFG

Biggest jumps: Army (0.004); North Texas (0.002); Eastern Michigan (0.001)

Biggest drops: Navy (-0.002); Air Force (-0.001); FL-Atlantic (-0.001); SMU (-0.001)

Full rankings after the jump.

Week 17: Top 25 — RBA

Mouse over column headers for definitions, or see this page

Rank	+/-	Team	WinPct	SoS		Adjusted
						Off.		Def.		Pace
1	--	Alabama  ( 10 - 1 )	0.945	0.555	9	26.2	2	6.3	1	158.0	130
2	--	Wisconsin  ( 12 - 1 )	0.876	0.535	48	21.8	18	8.4	4	160.5	122
3	--	Ohio St.  ( 11 - 2 )	0.858	0.534	51	26.1	3	10.0	9	162.7	116
4	--	Clemson  ( 11 - 1 )	0.854	0.539	39	21.3	21	8.1	2	170.2	41
5	--	Penn State  ( 10 - 2 )	0.851	0.537	41	25.3	5	9.3	5	165.5	93
6	--	Georgia  ( 11 - 1 )	0.851	0.545	28	24.5	7	9.9	8	160.1	124
7	--	Auburn  ( 9 - 3 )	0.837	0.562	3	23.0	11	10.3	11	161.8	119
8	--	Washington  ( 9 - 2 )	0.832	0.544	29	23.0	10	9.9	7	168.3	63
9	--	TCU  ( 9 - 3 )	0.822	0.499	66	20.9	23	10.1	10	171.3	31
10	--	Michigan  ( 8 - 4 )	0.817	0.550	15	20.6	25	9.5	6	164.4	105
11	--	Virginia Tech  ( 8 - 3 )	0.817	0.521	57	18.0	51	8.3	3	162.4	118
12	--	Oklahoma  ( 12 - 1 )	0.798	0.543	30	28.0	1	13.3	31	172.4	21
13	--	USC  ( 11 - 2 )	0.788	0.535	47	21.8	19	11.0	14	168.2	64
14	--	Oklahoma St.  ( 9 - 3 )	0.785	0.548	22	26.1	4	14.4	44	176.7	5
15	--	Stanford  ( 9 - 4 )	0.772	0.543	33	20.9	24	11.2	17	164.5	102
16	--	Notre Dame  ( 9 - 3 )	0.765	0.566	2	21.9	16	12.2	21	165.0	99
17	--	LSU  ( 8 - 3 )	0.733	0.556	7	20.2	30	11.8	19	159.8	125
18	--	Iowa St.  ( 6 - 5 )	0.728	0.550	16	18.0	52	10.9	13	172.1	26
19	--	Washington St.  ( 8 - 3 )	0.728	0.541	34	21.8	17	13.0	26	174.6	10
20	--	Texas A&M  ( 6 - 5 )	0.711	0.547	24	21.9	15	14.1	39	174.5	11
21	--	Mississippi St.  ( 7 - 4 )	0.711	0.559	5	20.5	26	13.2	27	164.6	101
22	--	Northwestern  ( 9 - 3 )	0.706	0.519	59	17.7	57	10.6	12	176.4	6
23	--	Texas  ( 6 - 6 )	0.695	0.534	50	18.3	46	12.3	23	171.3	30
24	--	Miami-FL  ( 9 - 2 )	0.684	0.549	20	19.5	37	12.3	24	164.4	103
25	--	Boise St.  ( 10 - 3 )	0.682	0.453	105	19.4	38	13.7	36	169.8	44

Rankings through games of 2017-12-10

New entries: none.

Dropped out: none.


Follow us on Twitter at @TFGridiron and @TFGLiveOdds.

Week 17: Full Rankings — RBA

Biggest jumps:

Biggest drops: Navy (-0.014); Army (-0.013)

Full rankings after the jump.

Week 16: Saturday Predictions

57 Navy 28  61 Army 26

61 Navy 31  72 Army 27

Key
Close game							Certain victory

Follow us on Twitter at @TFGridiron and @TFGLiveOdds.

Week 16: Top 25 — TFG

Mouse over column headers for definitions, or see this page

Rank	+/-	Team	WinPct	SoS		Adjusted
						Off.		Def.		Pace
1	--	Alabama  ( 10 - 1 )	0.958	0.617	21	24.5	5	7.6	1	164.1	101
2	+4	Clemson  ( 11 - 1 )	0.940	0.646	10	23.6	10	8.4	2	171.3	57
3	+2	Georgia  ( 11 - 1 )	0.937	0.629	15	23.8	8	8.6	3	155.3	127
4	-2	Wisconsin  ( 12 - 1 )	0.936	0.583	42	24.1	7	8.8	4	154.8	129
5	-1	Penn State  ( 10 - 2 )	0.927	0.557	52	26.8	3	10.3	8	170.5	62
6	+1	Ohio St.  ( 11 - 2 )	0.922	0.622	18	27.3	2	10.8	9	176.1	35
7	-4	Auburn  ( 9 - 3 )	0.919	0.706	2	23.4	11	9.4	6	171.4	56
8	--	Washington  ( 9 - 2 )	0.894	0.521	64	24.3	6	10.9	10	160.6	110
9	--	Oklahoma  ( 12 - 1 )	0.865	0.564	49	30.3	1	15.1	43	170.3	64
10	+1	Virginia Tech  ( 8 - 3 )	0.841	0.527	62	17.3	60	9.2	5	168.9	76
11	-1	TCU  ( 9 - 3 )	0.812	0.601	29	17.7	57	10.2	7	170.4	63
12	+1	Iowa  ( 7 - 5 )	0.812	0.654	7	20.8	19	12.0	15	165.3	95
13	-1	Notre Dame  ( 9 - 3 )	0.809	0.652	8	23.0	12	13.4	27	174.3	44
14	+2	LSU  ( 8 - 3 )	0.794	0.617	20	18.5	45	11.2	11	156.9	124
15	--	Stanford  ( 9 - 4 )	0.794	0.589	39	21.6	17	13.0	24	157.7	121
16	+1	Michigan  ( 8 - 4 )	0.789	0.603	27	18.9	35	11.5	13	159.3	116
17	+1	Northwestern  ( 9 - 3 )	0.783	0.549	56	18.2	50	11.2	12	179.7	21
18	+1	Mississippi St.  ( 7 - 4 )	0.773	0.619	19	20.5	23	12.9	22	165.5	94
19	+1	Oklahoma St.  ( 9 - 3 )	0.764	0.528	61	26.0	4	16.7	59	187.3	2
20	-6	Miami-FL  ( 9 - 2 )	0.756	0.625	17	18.9	36	12.4	19	169.3	72
21	--	UCF  ( 11 - 0 )	0.754	0.446	81	21.9	15	14.4	35	175.8	38
22	--	USC  ( 11 - 2 )	0.753	0.587	41	21.8	16	14.3	32	176.0	37
23	--	Iowa St.  ( 6 - 5 )	0.735	0.579	46	17.7	58	12.1	17	169.6	70
24	NA	Louisville  ( 7 - 4 )	0.728	0.526	63	23.6	9	16.3	52	169.0	75
25	--	Boise St.  ( 10 - 3 )	0.721	0.443	83	20.6	20	14.4	36	169.9	65

Rankings through games of 2017-12-03

New entries: Louisville.

Dropped out: SDSU.


Follow us on Twitter at @TFGridiron and @TFGLiveOdds.

Week 16: Full Rankings — TFG

Biggest jumps: Appalachian St. (0.076); Florida St. (0.049); FIU (0.041); Idaho (0.037); Coastal Carolina (0.025)

Biggest drops: Miami-FL (-0.056); LA-Lafayette (-0.048); TCU (-0.032); LA-Monroe (-0.029); Georgia Southern (-0.026)

Full rankings after the jump.

Week 16: Top 25 — RBA

Mouse over column headers for definitions, or see this page

Rank	+/-	Team	WinPct	SoS		Adjusted
						Off.		Def.		Pace
1	--	Alabama  ( 10 - 1 )	0.945	0.555	9	26.2	2	6.3	1	158.0	130
2	--	Wisconsin  ( 12 - 1 )	0.876	0.535	48	21.8	19	8.4	4	160.5	122
3	+1	Ohio St.  ( 11 - 2 )	0.858	0.534	51	26.1	3	10.0	9	162.7	116
4	+1	Clemson  ( 11 - 1 )	0.854	0.539	39	21.3	21	8.1	2	170.2	42
5	-2	Penn State  ( 10 - 2 )	0.851	0.537	41	25.3	5	9.3	5	165.5	93
6	+1	Georgia  ( 11 - 1 )	0.851	0.545	28	24.5	7	9.9	8	160.1	124
7	-1	Auburn  ( 9 - 3 )	0.837	0.562	3	23.0	10	10.3	11	161.8	119
8	--	Washington  ( 9 - 2 )	0.832	0.544	29	23.0	11	9.9	7	168.3	63
9	--	TCU  ( 9 - 3 )	0.822	0.499	66	20.9	24	10.1	10	171.3	32
10	+1	Michigan  ( 8 - 4 )	0.817	0.550	15	20.6	25	9.5	6	164.4	104
11	-1	Virginia Tech  ( 8 - 3 )	0.817	0.521	57	18.0	51	8.3	3	162.4	118
12	--	Oklahoma  ( 12 - 1 )	0.797	0.543	30	28.0	1	13.3	30	172.4	21
13	--	USC  ( 11 - 2 )	0.788	0.535	47	21.8	18	11.0	14	168.2	65
14	--	Oklahoma St.  ( 9 - 3 )	0.784	0.548	22	26.1	4	14.4	44	176.7	5
15	+1	Stanford  ( 9 - 4 )	0.771	0.543	33	20.9	23	11.2	17	164.5	102
16	-1	Notre Dame  ( 9 - 3 )	0.765	0.566	2	21.9	15	12.2	21	165.0	98
17	--	LSU  ( 8 - 3 )	0.733	0.556	7	20.2	29	11.8	19	159.8	125
18	--	Iowa St.  ( 6 - 5 )	0.728	0.550	16	18.0	52	10.9	13	172.1	26
19	--	Washington St.  ( 8 - 3 )	0.728	0.541	34	21.8	17	13.0	26	174.6	10
20	+1	Texas A&M  ( 6 - 5 )	0.711	0.547	24	21.9	16	14.1	39	174.5	11
21	+1	Mississippi St.  ( 7 - 4 )	0.711	0.559	5	20.5	26	13.2	28	164.6	101
22	+1	Northwestern  ( 9 - 3 )	0.706	0.519	59	17.7	55	10.6	12	176.4	6
23	+2	Texas  ( 6 - 6 )	0.695	0.534	50	18.3	46	12.3	23	171.3	30
24	-4	Miami-FL  ( 9 - 2 )	0.684	0.549	20	19.5	38	12.3	22	164.4	105
25	-1	Boise St.  ( 10 - 3 )	0.682	0.453	105	19.4	39	13.7	36	169.8	44

Rankings through games of 2017-12-03

New entries: none.

Dropped out: none.


Follow us on Twitter at @TFGridiron and @TFGLiveOdds.

Week 16: Full Rankings — RBA

Biggest jumps: FIU (0.104); Toledo (0.075); Fresno St. (0.041); Florida St. (0.029); Wisconsin (0.023)

Biggest drops: Miami-FL (-0.039); Boise St. (-0.027); Georgia State (-0.017); Troy (-0.017); South Alabama (-0.012)

Full rankings after the jump.

Week 15: Saturday Predictions

54 Appalachian St. 31 109 LA-Lafayette 24

80 Appalachian St. 38 116 LA-Lafayette 20

51 Arkansas St. 27  36 Troy 28

82 Arkansas St. 27  60 Troy 31

3 Auburn 27   5 Georgia 26

6 Auburn 24   7 Georgia 21

6 Clemson 29  14 Miami-FL 25

5 Clemson 24  20 Miami-FL 21

113 Coastal Carolina 28 101 Georgia Southern 30

106 Coastal Carolina 28 118 Georgia Southern 27

94 FIU 31  95 Massachusetts 29

112 FIU 31  90 Massachusetts 28

43 FL-Atlantic 38  82 North Texas 33

64 FL-Atlantic 38  95 North Texas 27

47 Florida St. 36 106 LA-Monroe 28

56 Florida St. 38 103 LA-Monroe 20

114 Georgia State 24 107 Idaho 25

122 Georgia State 28 107 Idaho 24

110 New Mexico St. 30 118 South Alabama 28

110 New Mexico St. 34 108 South Alabama 24

9 Oklahoma 33  10 TCU 28

12 Oklahoma 35   9 TCU 28

35 Toledo 31 102 Akron 24

69 Toledo 38 111 Akron 20

21 UCF 33  27 Memphis 32

29 UCF 35  43 Memphis 28

2 Wisconsin 30   7 Ohio St. 28

2 Wisconsin 31   4 Ohio St. 21

Key
Close game							Certain victory

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Week 15: Friday Predictions

22 USC 28  15 Stanford 29

13 USC 32  16 Stanford 31

Key
Close game							Certain victory

Follow us on Twitter at @TFGridiron and @TFGLiveOdds.