Saturday, December 14, 2019

Week 17: Saturday Predictions

 26Navy31
 59Army26


Key
Close
game
                        Certain
victory
                       


Follow us on Twitter at @TFGridiron and @TFGLiveOdds.

Monday, December 9, 2019

Week 17: Top 25 — TFG

Mouse over column headers for definitions, or see this page
Rank +/- Team WinPct SoS Adjusted
Off. Def. Pace
1 -- Clemson  ( 12 - 0 ) 0.974 0.470 72 28.0 5 7.2 1 163.0 95
2 -- Ohio State  ( 13 - 0 ) 0.966 0.661 10 34.2 1 9.7 5 172.9 38
3 +1 Alabama  ( 9 - 2 ) 0.934 0.622 16 32.4 2 12.0 14 162.5 98
4 -1 Georgia  ( 10 - 2 ) 0.929 0.657 11 21.7 23 8.3 2 159.5 112
5 +3 LSU  ( 12 - 0 ) 0.923 0.686 7 32.0 3 12.6 15 171.7 45
6 -- Wisconsin  ( 10 - 3 ) 0.920 0.697 6 26.4 6 10.5 8 154.1 126
7 -- Michigan  ( 9 - 3 ) 0.912 0.684 9 25.6 7 10.6 9 165.2 81
8 -3 Utah  ( 10 - 2 ) 0.902 0.524 59 23.7 13 10.3 6 154.4 125
9 -- Penn State  ( 9 - 2 ) 0.899 0.649 13 21.4 27 9.4 4 168.8 61
10 -- Auburn  ( 8 - 3 ) 0.884 0.750 1 22.3 19 10.4 7 177.6 16
11 -- Florida  ( 8 - 2 ) 0.881 0.655 12 24.6 10 11.6 13 158.8 113
12 +2 Oregon  ( 10 - 2 ) 0.876 0.556 46 23.5 14 11.3 11 172.1 44
13 -1 Notre Dame  ( 10 - 2 ) 0.866 0.544 54 22.0 20 10.9 10 171.3 47
14 -1 Iowa  ( 9 - 3 ) 0.857 0.622 17 17.2 58 8.8 3 160.2 110
15 -- Oklahoma  ( 11 - 1 ) 0.809 0.584 34 29.3 4 17.0 57 161.8 101
16 -- Appalachian State  ( 11 - 1 ) 0.799 0.384 108 21.6 25 12.8 18 166.7 69
17 -- Washington  ( 6 - 5 ) 0.770 0.575 39 20.7 30 13.2 20 164.1 90
18 +7 FL-Atlantic  ( 9 - 3 ) 0.765 0.454 76 21.7 24 13.9 25 176.1 21
19 +1 Memphis  ( 11 - 1 ) 0.760 0.490 69 24.8 8 16.1 46 173.2 37
20 -2 Baylor  ( 10 - 2 ) 0.759 0.554 47 19.6 41 12.7 16 176.4 20
21 -2 Minnesota  ( 9 - 2 ) 0.756 0.564 43 24.7 9 16.2 47 156.4 121
22 +1 Boise State  ( 11 - 1 ) 0.755 0.401 103 21.9 21 14.3 28 164.8 86
23 -2 UCF  ( 8 - 3 ) 0.751 0.426 85 23.9 11 15.8 40 187.5 1
24 -2 Texas A&M  ( 6 - 5 ) 0.728 0.701 4 20.1 36 13.9 26 164.9 84
25 -1 Air Force  ( 9 - 2 ) 0.711 0.442 82 22.3 18 15.9 43 150.3 130
Rankings through games of 2019-12-08

New entries: none.

Dropped out: none.


Follow us on Twitter at @TFGridiron and @TFGLiveOdds.

Week 17: Full Rankings — TFG

Biggest jumps: FL-Atlantic (0.064); Oregon (0.036); LSU (0.022); Miami-OH (0.021); Boise State (0.018)

Biggest drops: UAB (-0.071); Hawaii (-0.024); Utah (-0.024); Tennessee (-0.021); Georgia (-0.019)

Full rankings after the jump.

Week 17: Top 25 — RBA

Mouse over column headers for definitions, or see this page
Rank +/- Team WinPct SoS Adjusted
Off. Def. Pace
1 -- Ohio State  ( 13 - 0 ) 0.929 0.536 45 30.3 2 7.2 1 163.8 109
2 -- Wisconsin  ( 10 - 3 ) 0.929 0.536 44 23.8 8 7.8 5 160.0 125
3 -- Clemson  ( 12 - 0 ) 0.897 0.540 36 25.2 5 7.7 4 169.9 47
4 -- Penn State  ( 9 - 2 ) 0.894 0.539 37 22.1 17 7.6 2 165.8 86
5 -- Alabama  ( 9 - 2 ) 0.892 0.553 10 28.9 3 10.2 13 158.3 126
6 -- Oregon  ( 10 - 2 ) 0.878 0.533 51 23.8 7 8.7 7 178.0 3
7 -- Iowa  ( 9 - 3 ) 0.875 0.529 54 19.7 30 7.7 3 163.1 116
8 -- LSU  ( 12 - 0 ) 0.870 0.559 7 28.6 4 9.9 11 160.7 121
9 -- Georgia  ( 10 - 2 ) 0.858 0.547 28 23.1 10 7.8 6 160.0 124
10 -- Florida  ( 8 - 2 ) 0.840 0.562 4 21.2 22 9.8 10 160.4 123
11 -- Notre Dame  ( 10 - 2 ) 0.835 0.564 2 22.4 13 10.3 14 165.3 91
12 -- Michigan  ( 9 - 3 ) 0.821 0.553 13 22.9 11 10.1 12 164.0 104
13 -- Utah  ( 10 - 2 ) 0.819 0.501 66 22.8 12 9.7 9 166.7 80
14 -- Auburn  ( 8 - 3 ) 0.816 0.563 3 22.2 16 9.7 8 162.4 119
15 -- Oklahoma  ( 11 - 1 ) 0.816 0.543 34 30.5 1 13.7 36 171.8 25
16 -- Iowa State  ( 6 - 5 ) 0.795 0.549 22 24.4 6 12.3 23 171.1 30
17 -- Missouri  ( 5 - 6 ) 0.773 0.520 59 19.3 32 12.4 25 174.4 11
18 -- UCF  ( 8 - 3 ) 0.758 0.471 85 22.2 15 13.7 37 167.3 76
19 -- Washington  ( 6 - 5 ) 0.743 0.545 31 21.5 20 12.4 24 167.5 72
20 -- Texas  ( 7 - 5 ) 0.720 0.537 42 22.3 14 15.2 50 171.6 26
21 -- TCU  ( 4 - 7 ) 0.712 0.503 65 19.8 28 12.0 21 170.8 34
22 -- Duke  ( 4 - 7 ) 0.709 0.527 57 21.1 23 15.1 49 169.6 49
23 -- Michigan State  ( 6 - 6 ) 0.704 0.553 11 16.1 67 10.9 15 165.7 89
24 -- Cincinnati  ( 10 - 3 ) 0.703 0.492 72 18.1 42 11.7 17 170.3 40
25 -- Boise State  ( 11 - 1 ) 0.677 0.459 101 19.0 34 13.8 38 169.6 50
Rankings through games of 2019-12-08

New entries: none.

Dropped out: none.


Follow us on Twitter at @TFGridiron and @TFGLiveOdds.

Week 17: Full Rankings — RBA

Biggest jumps:

Biggest drops:

Full rankings after the jump.

Saturday, December 7, 2019

Week 16: Saturday Predictions

 16Appalachian State28
 30LA-Lafayette25

 23Boise State36
 60Hawaii30

 82Central Michigan29
 95Miami-OH28

  1Clemson35
 35Virginia22

 25FL-Atlantic30
 75UAB24

  8LSU30
  3Georgia31

 20Memphis32
 31Cincinnati28

 15Oklahoma35
 18Baylor31

  6Wisconsin29
  2Ohio State36


Key
Close
game
                        Certain
victory
                       


Follow us on Twitter at @TFGridiron and @TFGLiveOdds.

Friday, December 6, 2019

Week 16: Friday Predictions

 14Oregon25
  5Utah29


Key
Close
game
                        Certain
victory
                       


Follow us on Twitter at @TFGridiron and @TFGLiveOdds.

Monday, December 2, 2019

Week 16: Top 25 — TFG

Mouse over column headers for definitions, or see this page
Rank +/- Team WinPct SoS Adjusted
Off. Def. Pace
1 -- Clemson  ( 11 - 0 ) 0.973 0.459 73 26.8 5 7.0 1 161.8 101
2 -- Ohio State  ( 12 - 0 ) 0.966 0.618 20 34.4 1 9.8 6 171.9 42
3 +1 Georgia  ( 10 - 1 ) 0.948 0.613 24 23.0 16 7.7 2 159.2 112
4 -1 Alabama  ( 9 - 2 ) 0.934 0.618 19 32.4 2 12.0 14 162.6 97
5 -- Utah  ( 10 - 1 ) 0.926 0.486 68 24.5 11 9.5 5 153.4 126
6 +1 Wisconsin  ( 10 - 2 ) 0.924 0.641 11 26.7 6 10.4 8 152.9 128
7 -1 Michigan  ( 9 - 3 ) 0.913 0.688 6 25.7 7 10.6 9 165.4 80
8 +5 LSU  ( 11 - 0 ) 0.901 0.657 9 30.6 3 13.3 19 171.6 43
9 -1 Penn State  ( 9 - 2 ) 0.900 0.652 10 21.5 24 9.4 4 169.0 61
10 +2 Auburn  ( 8 - 3 ) 0.887 0.748 2 22.5 17 10.4 7 177.7 16
11 -1 Florida  ( 8 - 2 ) 0.886 0.660 8 24.9 9 11.5 12 158.9 114
12 -1 Notre Dame  ( 10 - 2 ) 0.871 0.551 49 22.3 19 10.9 10 171.4 44
13 -4 Iowa  ( 9 - 3 ) 0.858 0.625 16 17.3 59 8.8 3 160.3 110
14 -- Oregon  ( 9 - 2 ) 0.841 0.516 60 21.7 23 11.6 13 170.9 48
15 -- Oklahoma  ( 10 - 1 ) 0.803 0.571 42 29.4 4 17.4 62 161.8 100
16 +2 Appalachian State  ( 10 - 1 ) 0.797 0.360 114 20.7 29 12.3 15 165.3 81
17 +2 Washington  ( 6 - 5 ) 0.779 0.581 38 21.1 28 13.1 18 164.1 90
18 +6 Baylor  ( 10 - 1 ) 0.771 0.518 57 20.0 39 12.7 16 176.4 20
19 -2 Minnesota  ( 9 - 2 ) 0.758 0.568 43 24.8 10 16.1 46 156.5 121
20 +1 Memphis  ( 10 - 1 ) 0.758 0.477 69 25.0 8 16.3 49 170.9 46
21 +2 UCF  ( 8 - 3 ) 0.747 0.422 86 23.7 13 15.8 42 187.7 1
22 -6 Texas A&M  ( 6 - 5 ) 0.737 0.698 4 20.4 34 13.8 23 165.1 83
23 -3 Boise State  ( 10 - 1 ) 0.736 0.395 104 22.2 21 15.1 36 166.2 74
24 NA Air Force  ( 9 - 2 ) 0.711 0.444 80 22.2 20 15.8 40 150.1 130
25 NA FL-Atlantic  ( 8 - 3 ) 0.701 0.461 72 20.4 33 14.8 32 175.5 22
Rankings through games of 2019-12-01

New entries: Air Force, FL-Atlantic.

Dropped out: Iowa State, Navy.


Follow us on Twitter at @TFGridiron and @TFGLiveOdds.

Week 16: Full Rankings — TFG

Biggest jumps: Central Michigan (0.079); Northwestern (0.066); Baylor (0.061); Ohio (0.059); Georgia Southern (0.057)

Biggest drops: Illinois (-0.100); Louisville (-0.074); Army (-0.068); Kansas (-0.065); Miami-FL (-0.060)

Full rankings after the jump.

Week 16: Top 25 — RBA

Mouse over column headers for definitions, or see this page
Rank +/- Team WinPct SoS Adjusted
Off. Def. Pace
1 -- Ohio State  ( 12 - 0 ) 0.929 0.536 45 30.3 2 7.2 1 163.8 109
2 -- Wisconsin  ( 10 - 2 ) 0.929 0.536 44 23.8 7 7.8 6 160.0 124
3 -- Clemson  ( 11 - 0 ) 0.897 0.540 36 25.2 5 7.7 4 169.9 47
4 -- Penn State  ( 9 - 2 ) 0.894 0.539 37 22.1 17 7.6 2 165.8 87
5 -- Alabama  ( 9 - 2 ) 0.892 0.553 10 28.9 3 10.2 13 158.3 126
6 -- Oregon  ( 9 - 2 ) 0.878 0.533 51 23.8 8 8.7 7 178.0 3
7 -- Iowa  ( 9 - 3 ) 0.875 0.529 54 19.7 30 7.7 3 163.1 116
8 -- LSU  ( 11 - 0 ) 0.870 0.559 7 28.6 4 9.9 11 160.7 121
9 -- Georgia  ( 10 - 1 ) 0.858 0.547 28 23.1 10 7.8 5 160.0 125
10 -- Florida  ( 8 - 2 ) 0.840 0.562 4 21.2 22 9.8 10 160.4 123
11 -- Notre Dame  ( 10 - 2 ) 0.835 0.564 2 22.4 13 10.3 14 165.3 92
12 -- Michigan  ( 9 - 3 ) 0.821 0.553 13 22.9 11 10.1 12 164.0 105
13 -- Utah  ( 10 - 1 ) 0.819 0.501 66 22.8 12 9.7 8 166.7 80
14 -- Auburn  ( 8 - 3 ) 0.816 0.563 3 22.2 16 9.7 9 162.4 119
15 -- Oklahoma  ( 10 - 1 ) 0.816 0.543 34 30.5 1 13.7 35 171.8 24
16 -- Iowa State  ( 6 - 5 ) 0.795 0.549 21 24.4 6 12.3 23 171.1 30
17 -- Missouri  ( 5 - 6 ) 0.773 0.520 59 19.3 32 12.4 25 174.4 10
18 -- UCF  ( 8 - 3 ) 0.758 0.471 85 22.2 15 13.7 37 167.3 75
19 -- Washington  ( 6 - 5 ) 0.743 0.545 31 21.5 20 12.4 24 167.5 71
20 -- Texas  ( 7 - 5 ) 0.720 0.537 42 22.3 14 15.2 50 171.6 26
21 -- TCU  ( 4 - 7 ) 0.712 0.503 65 19.8 28 12.0 20 170.8 33
22 -- Duke  ( 4 - 7 ) 0.709 0.527 57 21.1 23 15.1 49 169.6 49
23 -- Michigan State  ( 6 - 6 ) 0.704 0.553 11 16.1 67 10.9 15 165.7 88
24 -- Cincinnati  ( 10 - 2 ) 0.703 0.492 72 18.1 43 11.7 18 170.3 40
25 -- Boise State  ( 10 - 1 ) 0.677 0.459 101 19.0 34 13.8 38 169.6 50
Rankings through games of 2019-12-01

New entries: none.

Dropped out: none.


Follow us on Twitter at @TFGridiron and @TFGLiveOdds.

Week 16: Full Rankings — RBA

Biggest jumps:

Biggest drops:

Full rankings after the jump.

Saturday, November 30, 2019

Week 15: Saturday Predictions

 32Air Force28
 44Wyoming25

 52Arizona State33
 98Arizona27

 12Auburn26
  3Alabama34

109Coastal Carolina30
124Texas State26

 92Duke24
 38Miami-FL30

115East Carolina29
 77Tulsa36

 31FL-Atlantic31
 62Southern Miss.27

 10Florida33
 60Florida State23

 75Georgia Southern32
 94Georgia State29

105Georgia Tech17
  4Georgia34

 73Hawaii27
 47Army30

 67Houston28
 25Navy33

 54Illinois28
 96Northwestern24

 99Kansas25
 24Baylor34

 35Kansas State27
 22Iowa State30

 53Kentucky30
 66Louisville29

 29LA-Lafayette36
104LA-Monroe27

116Liberty35
125New Mexico State28

 69LA Tech35
121UTSA25

 13LSU36
 16Texas A&M30

 61Marshall28
 86FIU25

  6Michigan29
  2Ohio State35

 42Michigan State29
112Maryland21

 17Minnesota27
  7Wisconsin32

114Nevada30
117UNLV28

120New Mexico25
 72Utah State34

103North Carolina State27
 51North Carolina33

100North Texas26
 74UAB30

 34Oklahoma State32
 15Oklahoma39

123Old Dominion26
 91Charlotte32

 14Oregon38
 88Oregon State26

  8Penn State38
127Rutgers14

 64Pittsburgh28
 78Boston College26

 68Purdue27
 30Indiana32

 59SDSU25
 63BYU23

102SJSU32
 76Fresno State35

 50SMU35
 46Tulane37

 49South Carolina19
  1Clemson35

 80Stanford21
 11Notre Dame33

 93Syracuse29
 65Wake Forest32

 57Temple36
128Connecticut20

 45Tennessee31
119Vanderbilt22

 81UCLA27
 82California26

  5Utah33
 87Colorado19

126UTEP24
118Rice31

 37Western Kentucky30
 95Middle Tenn.24


Key
Close
game
                        Certain
victory
                       


Follow us on Twitter at @TFGridiron and @TFGLiveOdds.

Friday, November 29, 2019

Week 15: Friday Predictions

110Arkansas25
 56Missouri33

 83Ball State30
 89Miami-OH28

 58Buffalo36
129Bowling Green21

 97Central Michigan33
101Toledo31

106Colorado State25
 20Boise State37

 90Eastern Michigan31
108Kent State28

 21Memphis31
 28Cincinnati29

 48Nebraska21
  9Iowa28

122South Alabama24
 79Arkansas State32

 40TCU31
 84West Virginia26

 33Texas34
 55Texas Tech31

 85Troy26
 18Appalachian State35

 23UCF38
111South Florida25

 41Virginia28
 26Virginia Tech30

 19Washington35
 36Washington State32


Key
Close
game
                        Certain
victory
                       


Follow us on Twitter at @TFGridiron and @TFGLiveOdds.

Thursday, November 28, 2019

Week 15: Thursday Predictions

 39Mississippi State29
 43Mississippi28


Key
Close
game
                        Certain
victory
                       


Follow us on Twitter at @TFGridiron and @TFGLiveOdds.

Week 15 TFG Projections: SEC,Pac-12,Mountain West,Sun Belt

Projected conference champions
  • Mountain West: Boise State
  • Pac-12: Utah
  • SEC: Georgia
  • Sun Belt: Appalachian State
Full projected conference standings after the jump.

Week 15 RBA Projections: SEC,Pac-12,Mountain West,Sun Belt

Projected conference champions
  • Mountain West: Boise State
  • Pac-12: Oregon
  • SEC: LSU
  • Sun Belt: Appalachian State
Full projected conference standings after the jump.

Wednesday, November 27, 2019

Week 15 TFG Projections: Big Ten,Big XII,Mid-American,Independents

Projected conference champions
  • Big Ten: Ohio State
  • Big XII: Oklahoma
  • Independents: BYU
  • Mid-American: Western Michigan
Full projected conference standings after the jump.

Week 15 RBA Projections: Big Ten,Big XII,Mid-American,Independents

Projected conference champions
  • Big Ten: Ohio State
  • Big XII: Oklahoma
  • Independents: BYU
  • Mid-American: Western Michigan
Full projected conference standings after the jump.

Tuesday, November 26, 2019

Week 15: Tuesday Predictions

131Akron22
 70Ohio37

107Northern Ill.27
 71Western Michigan32


Key
Close
game
                        Certain
victory
                       


Follow us on Twitter at @TFGridiron and @TFGLiveOdds.

Week 15 TFG Projections: ACC,American Athletic,Conference-USA

Projected conference champions
  • ACC: Clemson
  • American Athletic: Memphis
  • Conference-USA: FL-Atlantic
Full projected conference standings after the jump.

Week 15 RBA Projections: ACC,American Athletic,Conference-USA

Projected conference champions
  • ACC: Clemson
  • American Athletic: Cincinnati
  • Conference-USA: FL-Atlantic
Full projected conference standings after the jump.

Week 15: Undefeated ... but for how long? — TFG

Odds as of games through 2019-11-24

Week 15: Undefeated ... but for how long? — RBA

Odds as of games through 2019-11-24

Monday, November 25, 2019

Week 15: Top 25 — TFG

Mouse over column headers for definitions, or see this page
Rank +/- Team WinPct SoS Adjusted
Off. Def. Pace
1 -- Clemson  ( 10 - 0 ) 0.971 0.475 70 27.2 5 7.3 1 162.8 98
2 -- Ohio State  ( 11 - 0 ) 0.965 0.568 45 32.9 1 9.5 6 171.0 49
3 -- Alabama  ( 9 - 1 ) 0.947 0.583 35 31.2 2 10.6 10 161.6 103
4 -- Georgia  ( 9 - 1 ) 0.944 0.657 10 22.7 16 7.9 2 157.6 117
5 -- Utah  ( 9 - 1 ) 0.928 0.502 64 23.1 14 8.9 4 154.3 127
6 +1 Michigan  ( 9 - 2 ) 0.927 0.637 14 25.7 7 9.9 8 164.8 82
7 -1 Wisconsin  ( 9 - 2 ) 0.921 0.624 17 26.8 6 10.7 11 152.5 128
8 -- Penn State  ( 8 - 2 ) 0.913 0.721 1 22.9 15 9.5 5 170.2 53
9 -- Iowa  ( 8 - 3 ) 0.883 0.642 12 17.6 58 8.2 3 159.3 111
10 +1 Florida  ( 7 - 2 ) 0.882 0.668 9 24.3 12 11.4 12 160.2 106
11 +3 Notre Dame  ( 9 - 2 ) 0.881 0.567 46 22.4 20 10.5 9 169.5 61
12 -- Auburn  ( 7 - 3 ) 0.878 0.702 4 20.3 32 9.7 7 176.9 20
13 -3 LSU  ( 10 - 0 ) 0.877 0.640 13 30.0 3 14.3 26 172.0 42
14 -1 Oregon  ( 8 - 2 ) 0.840 0.533 58 22.7 17 12.2 13 171.3 46
15 -- Oklahoma  ( 9 - 1 ) 0.796 0.574 39 29.9 4 17.9 70 163.5 95
16 +2 Texas A&M  ( 6 - 4 ) 0.787 0.655 11 22.0 25 13.5 20 165.4 75
17 -1 Minnesota  ( 9 - 1 ) 0.777 0.504 62 25.4 8 15.9 45 155.7 123
18 +1 Appalachian State  ( 9 - 1 ) 0.776 0.354 113 20.2 33 12.7 16 165.4 76
19 -2 Washington  ( 5 - 5 ) 0.764 0.573 40 21.3 26 13.7 23 165.1 78
20 +2 Boise State  ( 9 - 1 ) 0.753 0.400 99 22.2 22 14.6 32 167.6 69
21 NA Memphis  ( 9 - 1 ) 0.735 0.451 75 24.5 11 16.7 52 170.5 50
22 -2 Iowa State  ( 6 - 4 ) 0.735 0.585 34 22.3 21 15.2 37 168.5 64
23 -2 UCF  ( 7 - 3 ) 0.727 0.445 77 24.5 10 17.0 54 188.6 1
24 NA Baylor  ( 9 - 1 ) 0.711 0.554 49 18.8 43 13.4 19 176.0 23
25 NA Navy  ( 7 - 2 ) 0.707 0.499 65 22.6 18 16.2 47 156.8 118
Rankings through games of 2019-11-24

New entries: Memphis, Baylor, Navy.

Dropped out: Cincinnati, Indiana, FL-Atlantic.


Follow us on Twitter at @TFGridiron and @TFGLiveOdds.