Monday, January 19, 2015

Week 23: Top 25 — TFG

Mouse over column headers for definitions, or see this page
Rank +/- Team WinPct SoS Adjusted
Off. Def. Pace
1 -- Alabama  ( 11 - 2 ) 0.933 0.722 3 26.6 7 9.9 2 163.0 103
2 -- TCU  ( 11 - 1 ) 0.914 0.532 62 26.8 6 11.0 7 179.9 18
3 +1 Ohio St.  ( 14 - 1 ) 0.906 0.658 12 29.8 1 12.7 16 171.6 51
4 +1 Michigan St.  ( 10 - 2 ) 0.888 0.575 51 24.9 9 11.4 9 164.4 99
5 -2 Oregon  ( 12 - 2 ) 0.887 0.640 20 27.3 3 12.5 15 177.5 25
6 -- Georgia  ( 9 - 3 ) 0.884 0.664 9 27.2 4 12.7 17 165.2 93
7 -- Baylor  ( 10 - 2 ) 0.844 0.566 56 26.8 5 14.2 30 192.7 1
8 -- Arkansas  ( 6 - 6 ) 0.839 0.714 4 20.3 25 10.9 6 155.8 124
9 -- Clemson  ( 9 - 3 ) 0.832 0.587 48 17.4 58 9.5 1 172.3 46
10 -- Mississippi St.  ( 9 - 3 ) 0.829 0.662 10 20.8 23 11.5 10 178.7 21
11 -- Georgia Tech  ( 10 - 3 ) 0.827 0.674 7 27.6 2 15.3 43 159.2 114
12 -- Auburn  ( 7 - 5 ) 0.817 0.771 1 26.2 8 14.9 40 171.4 52
13 -- Florida St.  ( 12 - 1 ) 0.806 0.651 15 23.5 11 13.8 25 167.9 73
14 +1 Wisconsin  ( 10 - 3 ) 0.804 0.588 46 22.0 16 12.9 19 157.4 119
15 +1 Mississippi  ( 8 - 4 ) 0.802 0.752 2 17.0 65 10.0 3 168.5 69
16 -2 Stanford  ( 7 - 5 ) 0.802 0.580 50 17.5 55 10.4 4 156.7 122
17 -- LSU  ( 7 - 5 ) 0.798 0.688 5 17.8 50 10.6 5 157.0 120
18 -- Kansas St.  ( 8 - 4 ) 0.786 0.612 34 23.4 12 14.3 32 158.4 116
19 -- Marshall  ( 12 - 1 ) 0.780 0.356 111 22.9 13 14.2 29 178.0 24
20 -- Missouri  ( 10 - 3 ) 0.773 0.657 13 18.5 40 11.6 11 169.8 62
21 -- Louisville  ( 8 - 4 ) 0.754 0.589 45 19.5 32 12.8 18 164.9 95
22 -- USC  ( 9 - 4 ) 0.739 0.570 53 19.9 27 13.4 21 175.2 35
23 +1 Boise St.  ( 12 - 2 ) 0.738 0.444 74 24.1 10 16.4 55 175.6 30
24 +1 Oklahoma  ( 8 - 5 ) 0.737 0.587 47 22.0 15 14.9 39 171.0 56
25 -2 UCLA  ( 10 - 3 ) 0.736 0.657 14 21.6 20 14.7 36 178.7 22
Rankings through games of 2015-01-18

New entries: none.

Dropped out: none.

Follow us on Twitter at @TFGridiron and @TFGLiveOdds.

Week 23: Full Rankings — TFG

Biggest jumps: Toledo (0.044); Ohio St. (0.010); Central Michigan (0.006); Ball St. (0.004); Cincinnati (0.004)

Biggest drops: Arkansas St. (-0.027); Oregon (-0.013); Arizona (-0.007); Utah (-0.006); Oregon St. (-0.006)

Full rankings after the jump.

Week 23: Top 25 — RBA

Mouse over column headers for definitions, or see this page
Rank +/- Team WinPct SoS Adjusted
Off. Def. Pace
1 -- Alabama  ( 11 - 2 ) 0.901 0.552 12 25.4 6 8.7 2 156.6 128
2 -- Mississippi  ( 8 - 4 ) 0.884 0.539 34 21.3 24 7.6 1 165.0 94
3 -- LSU  ( 7 - 5 ) 0.870 0.550 15 22.1 19 9.4 4 160.4 125
4 -- Michigan St.  ( 10 - 2 ) 0.855 0.539 35 25.8 4 10.8 10 166.5 78
5 -- TCU  ( 11 - 1 ) 0.849 0.482 78 24.4 11 9.7 7 169.3 42
6 -- Georgia  ( 9 - 3 ) 0.844 0.547 22 29.0 1 11.7 15 161.0 122
7 +2 Ohio St.  ( 14 - 1 ) 0.837 0.526 56 27.1 2 11.9 17 161.4 118
8 -1 Florida St.  ( 12 - 1 ) 0.835 0.541 30 25.2 8 11.2 12 165.8 84
9 -1 Mississippi St.  ( 9 - 3 ) 0.834 0.553 11 21.5 21 10.9 11 164.0 106
10 -- Stanford  ( 7 - 5 ) 0.824 0.546 24 21.2 26 9.4 5 166.1 82
11 -- Auburn  ( 7 - 5 ) 0.824 0.556 7 24.9 9 12.0 18 160.6 123
12 -- Oregon  ( 12 - 2 ) 0.820 0.532 49 25.7 5 12.3 20 177.7 2
13 -- Kansas St.  ( 8 - 4 ) 0.809 0.538 36 25.4 7 13.1 29 165.0 95
14 -- Baylor  ( 10 - 2 ) 0.807 0.556 6 25.9 3 13.0 27 177.3 4
15 -- Wisconsin  ( 10 - 3 ) 0.795 0.534 46 22.6 15 11.5 14 161.3 119
16 -- Arkansas  ( 6 - 6 ) 0.783 0.574 1 24.8 10 12.8 25 164.6 101
17 -- Missouri  ( 10 - 3 ) 0.780 0.525 59 19.0 35 9.9 8 174.3 9
18 -- Oklahoma  ( 8 - 5 ) 0.777 0.549 18 22.9 14 12.6 23 171.9 22
19 -- Clemson  ( 9 - 3 ) 0.766 0.536 43 17.7 45 9.3 3 169.1 45
20 -- Florida  ( 6 - 5 ) 0.759 0.562 3 18.2 41 10.0 9 161.3 120
21 -- Texas  ( 6 - 7 ) 0.749 0.534 47 16.7 58 9.5 6 169.0 48
22 -- Nebraska  ( 8 - 4 ) 0.724 0.535 45 22.2 17 13.3 31 168.1 60
23 -- Texas A&M  ( 7 - 5 ) 0.717 0.549 19 21.5 22 13.6 33 174.1 11
24 -- Louisville  ( 8 - 4 ) 0.717 0.485 75 18.6 37 12.0 19 164.7 98
25 -- USC  ( 9 - 4 ) 0.716 0.538 39 21.2 25 13.6 34 167.6 66
Rankings through games of 2015-01-18

New entries: none.

Dropped out: none.

Follow us on Twitter at @TFGridiron and @TFGLiveOdds.

Week 23: Full Rankings — RBA

Biggest jumps: Toledo (0.007); Alabama (0.007); Ohio St. (0.004)

Biggest drops: Arkansas St. (-0.005); TCU (-0.002)

Full rankings after the jump.

Sunday, January 4, 2015

Week 21: Sunday In-Game Win Probabilities, Sun Belt

Last updated: Mon Jan 5 00:41:06 2015

Toledo63Arkansas St.44Final

Week 21: Sunday In-Game Win Probabilities, Mid-American

Last updated: Mon Jan 5 00:41:05 2015

Toledo63Arkansas St.44Final

Saturday, January 3, 2015

Week 19: Saturday In-Game Win Probabilities, SEC

Last updated: Sat Jan 3 15:43:08 2015

East Carolina20Florida28Final

Week 19: Saturday In-Game Win Probabilities, American Athletic

Last updated: Sat Jan 3 15:43:06 2015

East Carolina20Florida28Final

Week 19: Saturday Predictions

 28Florida30
 54East Carolina27
 18Florida34
 46East Carolina21


Key
Close
game
                        Certain
victory
                       


Follow us on Twitter at @TFGridiron and @TFGLiveOdds.

Friday, January 2, 2015

Week 19: Friday In-Game Win Probabilities, SEC

Last updated: Fri Jan 2 18:42:09 2015

Iowa28Tennessee45Final

Week 19: Friday In-Game Win Probabilities, Big XII

Last updated: Sat Jan 3 01:43:08 2015

Kansas St.35UCLA40Final
Washington22Oklahoma St.30Final

Week 19: Friday In-Game Win Probabilities, ACC

Last updated: Fri Jan 2 15:26:06 2015

Houston35Pittsburgh34Final