Wednesday, October 9, 2013

Week 7: Undefeated ... but for how long? -- RBA


Odds as of games through 2013-10-06




Legitimate Title Contenders

Alabama Crimson Tide
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2013 0.922 1 0.549 20 25.2 6 7.0 1 156.0 124

Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2013/08/31  50 Virginia Tech 10 vs   1 Alabama 35 157 95.7%
2013/09/14   1 Alabama 49 at  13 Texas A&M 42 167 82.2%
2013/09/21 104 Colorado St. 6 at   1 Alabama 31 138 99.2%
2013/09/28  19 Mississippi 0 at   2 Alabama 25 152 89.6%
2013/10/05 124 Georgia State 3 at   1 Alabama 45 134 99.9%
2013/10/12   1 Alabama 41 at  78 Kentucky 13 160 96.8%
2013/10/19  39 Arkansas 14 at   1 Alabama 42 160 89.5%
2013/10/26  61 Tennessee 14 at   1 Alabama 42 158 94.6%
2013/11/09   6 LSU 21 at   1 Alabama 34 158 76.0%
2013/11/16   1 Alabama 38 at  24 Mississippi St. 17 159 84.9%
2013/11/30   1 Alabama 34 at  54 Auburn 17 157 93.2%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-2.0
Most difficult game left: November 9, vs LSU Tigers, 76.0%



Oregon Ducks
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2013 0.894 2 0.531 51 28.1 2 9.7 7 177.3 3

Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2013/09/07   5 Oregon 59 at  82 Virginia 10 186 93.1%
2013/09/14  40 Tennessee 14 at   3 Oregon 59 175 86.2%
2013/09/28  69 California 16 at   3 Oregon 55 205 93.1%
2013/10/05   2 Oregon 57 at 105 Colorado 16 194 98.0%
2013/10/12   2 Oregon 34 at  36 Washington 24 172 85.0%
2013/10/19  68 Washington St. 13 at   2 Oregon 49 174 94.1%
2013/10/26  20 UCLA 21 at   2 Oregon 38 173 80.0%
2013/11/07   2 Oregon 31 at  10 Stanford 27 172 72.2%
2013/11/16  53 Utah 20 at   2 Oregon 42 171 90.1%
2013/11/23   2 Oregon 41 at  46 Arizona 20 173 87.0%
2013/11/29  42 Oregon St. 24 at   2 Oregon 45 174 87.8%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-3.1
Most difficult game left: November 7, at Stanford Cardinal, 72.2%



Northern Illinois Huskies
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2013 0.618 49 0.436 117 18.8 36 14.6 47 166.3 71

Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2013/08/31  46 Northern Ill. 30 at  69 Iowa 27 198 65.2%
2013/09/14  53 Northern Ill. 45 at 122 Idaho 35 200 95.7%
2013/09/28  53 Northern Ill. 55 at  83 Purdue 24 175 69.3%
2013/10/05  49 Northern Ill. 38 at  88 Kent St. 24 187 74.8%
2013/10/12 115 Akron 20 at  49 Northern Ill. 41 167 88.2%
2013/10/19  49 Northern Ill. 45 at 109 Central Michigan 21 169 88.3%
2013/10/26 118 Eastern Michigan 14 at  49 Northern Ill. 45 165 92.3%
2013/11/02  49 Northern Ill. 41 at 123 Massachusetts 17 165 97.3%
2013/11/13  65 Ball St. 24 at  49 Northern Ill. 34 167 66.0%
2013/11/20  49 Northern Ill. 31 at  79 Toledo 24 167 73.9%
2013/11/26 114 Western Michigan 17 at  49 Northern Ill. 42 168 89.6%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-3.3
Most difficult game left: November 13, vs Ball State Cardinals, 66.0%



Second-Tier Hopefuls

Florida State Seminoles
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2013 0.836 5 0.548 21 27.9 3 9.5 6 165.5 82

Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2013/09/02   4 Florida St. 41 at  47 Pittsburgh 13 140 21.5%
2013/09/14  74 Nevada 7 at   2 Florida St. 62 154 87.7%
2013/09/28   1 Florida St. 48 at  92 Boston College 34 163 94.8%
2013/10/05  40 Maryland 0 at   5 Florida St. 63 170 94.2%
2013/10/19   5 Florida St. 31 at   9 Clemson 24 166 58.2%
2013/10/26  38 North Carolina St. 17 at   5 Florida St. 35 167 77.8%
2013/11/02  16 Miami-FL 14 at   5 Florida St. 35 164 63.5%
2013/11/09   5 Florida St. 52 at 108 Wake Forest 17 166 97.0%
2013/11/16  51 Syracuse 13 at   5 Florida St. 42 165 82.2%
2013/11/23 119 Idaho 14 at   5 Florida St. 62 167 98.5%
2013/11/30   5 Florida St. 24 at   7 Florida 21 163 56.6%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-7.8
Most difficult game left: November 30, at Florida Gators, 56.6%



Miami Hurricanes
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2013 0.748 16 0.554 10 25.1 7 12.9 27 162.6 107

Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2013/08/30 115 FL-Atlantic 0 at  51 Miami-FL 34 84 87.3%
2013/09/07  11 Florida 16 at  19 Miami-FL 21 158 30.2%
2013/09/28  11 Miami-FL 49 at  82 South Florida 21 159 87.3%
2013/10/05  44 Georgia Tech 30 at  16 Miami-FL 45 157 68.0%
2013/10/17  16 Miami-FL 35 at  59 North Carolina 21 163 78.4%
2013/10/26 108 Wake Forest 10 at  16 Miami-FL 55 165 94.8%
2013/11/02  16 Miami-FL 14 at   5 Florida St. 35 164 36.5%
2013/11/09  50 Virginia Tech 20 at  16 Miami-FL 31 161 71.3%
2013/11/16  16 Miami-FL 48 at  77 Duke 24 165 86.8%
2013/11/23  86 Virginia 14 at  16 Miami-FL 45 163 88.4%
2013/11/29  16 Miami-FL 34 at  60 Pittsburgh 24 163 79.0%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-8.5
Most difficult game left: November 2, at Florida State Seminoles, 36.5%



Long Shots

Louisville Cardinals
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2013 0.728 19 0.485 76 21.4 21 12.1 19 165.1 89

Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2013/09/01  65 Ohio 7 at  42 Louisville 49 156 74.1%
2013/09/14  21 Louisville 27 at  84 Kentucky 13 161 80.7%
2013/09/21 119 FIU 0 at  29 Louisville 72 128 92.8%
2013/10/05  19 Louisville 30 at  95 Temple 7 145 84.1%
2013/10/10  43 Rutgers 24 at  19 Louisville 28 165 69.0%
2013/10/18  26 UCF 27 at  19 Louisville 28 164 55.8%
2013/10/26  19 Louisville 41 at  85 South Florida 17 166 88.4%
2013/11/08  19 Louisville 31 at  92 Connecticut 20 165 85.2%
2013/11/16  67 Houston 17 at  19 Louisville 38 171 82.2%
2013/11/23  98 Memphis 10 at  19 Louisville 42 166 91.7%
2013/12/05  19 Louisville 21 at  32 Cincinnati 35 166 39.7%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-11.5
Most difficult game left: December 5, at Cincinnati Bearcats, 39.7%



Fresno State Bulldogs
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2013 0.551 56 0.495 69 20.7 22 17.5 75 168.2 49

Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2013/08/29  35 Rutgers 51 at  53 Fresno St. 52 210 50.1%
2013/09/14  54 Fresno St. 41 at 113 Colorado 24 167 88.8%
2013/09/20  43 Boise St. 40 at  51 Fresno St. 41 212 56.8%
2013/09/28  49 Fresno St. 42 at 109 Hawaii 37 210 81.8%
2013/10/05  56 Fresno St. 61 at 119 Idaho 14 213 94.9%
2013/10/19 113 UNLV 17 at  56 Fresno St. 45 167 86.2%
2013/10/26  56 Fresno St. 32 at  66 SDSU 31 168 59.3%
2013/11/02  84 Nevada 24 at  56 Fresno St. 42 170 71.0%
2013/11/09  56 Fresno St. 31 at  63 Wyoming 32 167 44.4%
2013/11/23 106 New Mexico 20 at  56 Fresno St. 48 166 82.7%
2013/11/29  56 Fresno St. 34 at  71 SJSU 28 167 62.0%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-12.1
Most difficult game left: November 9, at Wyoming Cowboys, 44.4%



Ohio State Buckeyes
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2013 0.761 14 0.528 54 23.0 11 13.0 30 160.2 117

Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2013/08/31 111 Buffalo 20 at  17 Ohio St. 40 163 91.9%
2013/09/07  51 SDSU 7 at  16 Ohio St. 42 164 65.0%
2013/09/14  15 Ohio St. 52 at  69 California 34 206 78.9%
2013/09/28   9 Wisconsin 24 at  13 Ohio St. 31 159 53.6%
2013/10/05  14 Ohio St. 40 at  34 Northwestern 30 172 61.9%
2013/10/19  28 Iowa 17 at  14 Ohio St. 31 162 53.4%
2013/10/26  17 Penn State 21 at  14 Ohio St. 34 162 52.9%
2013/11/02  14 Ohio St. 41 at  82 Purdue 21 166 86.7%
2013/11/16  14 Ohio St. 35 at  62 Illinois 21 164 77.8%
2013/11/23  70 Indiana 24 at  14 Ohio St. 38 165 82.1%
2013/11/30  14 Ohio St. 28 at  23 Michigan 31 163 45.5%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-14.0
Most difficult game left: November 30, at Michigan Wolverines, 45.5%



Clemson Tigers
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2013 0.802 9 0.529 53 24.2 9 10.6 10 168.4 44

Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2013/08/31   8 Georgia 35 at  20 Clemson 38 178 63.6%
2013/09/19  20 Clemson 26 at  46 North Carolina St. 14 178 75.2%
2013/09/28  98 Wake Forest 7 at  17 Clemson 56 174 93.1%
2013/10/05   9 Clemson 49 at  51 Syracuse 14 187 74.3%
2013/10/12  87 Boston College 14 at   9 Clemson 48 167 91.4%
2013/10/19   5 Florida St. 31 at   9 Clemson 24 166 41.8%
2013/10/26   9 Clemson 38 at  40 Maryland 21 166 69.3%
2013/11/02   9 Clemson 38 at  86 Virginia 14 166 90.5%
2013/11/14  44 Georgia Tech 21 at   9 Clemson 38 165 73.2%
2013/11/30   9 Clemson 24 at   4 South Carolina 31 163 38.6%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-14.8
Most difficult game left: November 30, at South Carolina Gamecocks, 38.6%



Oklahoma Sooners
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2013 0.856 3 0.550 15 22.1 17 8.3 4 171.7 17

Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2013/08/31  77 LA-Monroe 0 at  12 Oklahoma 34 173 84.6%
2013/09/07  40 West Virginia 7 at   6 Oklahoma 16 171 68.0%
2013/09/14  67 Tulsa 20 at   5 Oklahoma 51 168 89.6%
2013/09/28   4 Oklahoma 35 at  14 Notre Dame 21 155 27.1%
2013/10/05  29 TCU 17 at   3 Oklahoma 20 150 82.1%
2013/10/12  37 Texas 20 vs   3 Oklahoma 38 170 79.7%
2013/10/19   3 Oklahoma 49 at 100 Kansas 10 171 96.9%
2013/10/26  41 Texas Tech 20 at   3 Oklahoma 38 175 82.0%
2013/11/07   3 Oklahoma 35 at  12 Baylor 34 173 69.1%
2013/11/16  57 Iowa St. 14 at   3 Oklahoma 38 170 88.7%
2013/11/23   3 Oklahoma 31 at  25 Kansas St. 28 168 76.5%
2013/12/07   3 Oklahoma 28 at  31 Oklahoma St. 29 173 21.4%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-15.7
Most difficult game left: December 7, at Oklahoma State Cowboys, 21.4%



Stanford Cardinal
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2013 0.801 10 0.540 33 22.3 15 11.4 14 167.0 64

Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2013/09/07  55 SJSU 13 at   9 Stanford 34 154 79.3%
2013/09/14   8 Stanford 34 at 104 Army 20 146 92.9%
2013/09/21  18 Arizona St. 28 at  11 Stanford 42 177 68.7%
2013/09/28  10 Stanford 55 at  63 Washington St. 17 178 89.4%
2013/10/05  36 Washington 28 at  10 Stanford 31 181 68.4%
2013/10/12  10 Stanford 31 at  53 Utah 24 166 77.8%
2013/10/19  20 UCLA 24 at  10 Stanford 31 168 60.6%
2013/10/26  10 Stanford 31 at  42 Oregon St. 27 169 73.5%
2013/11/07   2 Oregon 31 at  10 Stanford 27 172 27.8%
2013/11/16  10 Stanford 34 at  33 USC 27 166 65.3%
2013/11/23  69 California 17 at  10 Stanford 42 168 85.5%
2013/11/30  15 Notre Dame 21 at  10 Stanford 31 165 57.1%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-32.6
Most difficult game left: November 7, vs Oregon Ducks, 27.8%



Michigan Wolverines
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2013 0.721 23 0.543 30 22.8 12 12.5 23 166.1 74

Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2013/08/31 101 Central Michigan 9 at  11 Michigan 59 154 93.7%
2013/09/07   4 Notre Dame 30 at  10 Michigan 41 169 37.4%
2013/09/14 119 Akron 24 at   7 Michigan 28 167 96.8%
2013/09/21  14 Michigan 24 at  89 Connecticut 21 157 91.3%
2013/10/05  64 Minnesota 13 at  23 Michigan 42 135 75.7%
2013/10/12  23 Michigan 31 at  17 Penn State 27 165 57.5%
2013/10/19  70 Indiana 24 at  23 Michigan 38 168 79.3%
2013/11/02  23 Michigan 24 at  27 Michigan St. 25 166 47.4%
2013/11/09  47 Nebraska 24 at  23 Michigan 38 166 61.9%
2013/11/16  23 Michigan 32 at  34 Northwestern 31 171 55.5%
2013/11/23  23 Michigan 28 at  28 Iowa 21 165 51.1%
2013/11/30  14 Ohio St. 28 at  23 Michigan 31 163 54.5%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-48.4
Most difficult game left: November 2, at Michigan State Spartans, 47.4%



Absolute Phonies

Baylor Bears
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2013 0.765 12 0.561 4 29.1 1 15.5 58 174.9 6

Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2013/09/07 107 Buffalo 13 at  35 Baylor 70 187 87.0%
2013/09/21  94 LA-Monroe 7 at  22 Baylor 70 190 78.1%
2013/10/05  58 West Virginia 42 at  12 Baylor 73 205 75.3%
2013/10/12  12 Baylor 35 at  25 Kansas St. 38 170 40.8%
2013/10/19  57 Iowa St. 24 at  12 Baylor 42 172 77.9%
2013/10/26  12 Baylor 52 at 100 Kansas 17 173 93.4%
2013/11/07   3 Oklahoma 35 at  12 Baylor 34 173 30.9%
2013/11/16  41 Texas Tech 28 vs  12 Baylor 42 177 67.0%
2013/11/23  12 Baylor 34 at  31 Oklahoma St. 38 174 37.9%
2013/11/30  12 Baylor 31 at  29 TCU 35 171 40.9%
2013/12/07  37 Texas 28 at  12 Baylor 42 171 63.7%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-164.8
Most difficult game left: November 7, vs Oklahoma Sooners, 30.9%



UCLA Bruins
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2013 0.728 20 0.547 23 21.8 18 13.0 29 169.0 33

Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2013/08/31  64 Nevada 20 at  41 UCLA 58 199 62.6%
2013/09/14  31 UCLA 41 at  33 Nebraska 21 185 49.6%
2013/09/21 122 New Mexico St. 13 at  25 UCLA 59 191 96.7%
2013/10/03  20 UCLA 34 at  53 Utah 27 192 67.4%
2013/10/12  69 California 20 at  20 UCLA 41 169 79.3%
2013/10/19  20 UCLA 24 at  10 Stanford 31 168 39.4%
2013/10/26  20 UCLA 21 at   2 Oregon 38 173 20.0%
2013/11/02 105 Colorado 14 at  20 UCLA 49 168 92.4%
2013/11/09  20 UCLA 31 at  46 Arizona 27 169 62.6%
2013/11/15  36 Washington 24 at  20 UCLA 28 168 58.6%
2013/11/23  18 Arizona St. 31 at  20 UCLA 34 171 50.0%
2013/11/30  20 UCLA 32 at  33 USC 31 167 54.9%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-172.0
Most difficult game left: October 26, at Oregon Ducks, 20.0%



What are YOU doing here??

Missouri Tigers
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2013 0.688 35 0.525 60 21.6 19 13.1 31 174.3 9

Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2013/09/07  71 Toledo 23 at  34 Missouri 38 163 69.7%
2013/09/21  36 Missouri 45 at  63 Indiana 28 209 80.3%
2013/09/28  72 Arkansas St. 19 at  34 Missouri 41 173 74.4%
2013/10/05  35 Missouri 51 at  45 Vanderbilt 28 176 44.1%
2013/10/12  35 Missouri 24 at  13 Georgia 38 167 41.0%
2013/10/19   7 Florida 28 at  35 Missouri 24 167 31.8%
2013/10/26   4 South Carolina 31 at  35 Missouri 27 166 23.8%
2013/11/02  61 Tennessee 21 at  35 Missouri 41 168 70.2%
2013/11/09  35 Missouri 35 at  78 Kentucky 21 169 80.4%
2013/11/23  35 Missouri 24 at  22 Mississippi 31 169 43.7%
2013/11/30   8 Texas A&M 38 at  35 Missouri 28 174 33.0%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-395.9
Most difficult game left: October 26, vs South Carolina Gamecocks, 23.8%



Texas Tech Red Raiders
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2013 0.646 41 0.535 45 19.0 35 13.2 33 179.9 1

Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2013/08/30  58 Texas Tech 41 at  63 SMU 23 216 36.8%
2013/09/12  34 TCU 10 at  49 Texas Tech 20 187 34.4%
2013/09/21  91 Texas State 7 at  44 Texas Tech 33 192 77.6%
2013/10/05  41 Texas Tech 54 at 100 Kansas 16 211 88.7%
2013/10/12  57 Iowa St. 24 at  41 Texas Tech 34 175 63.3%
2013/10/19  41 Texas Tech 32 at  58 West Virginia 31 173 63.1%
2013/10/26  41 Texas Tech 20 at   3 Oklahoma 38 175 18.0%
2013/11/02  31 Oklahoma St. 31 at  41 Texas Tech 28 177 44.7%
2013/11/09  25 Kansas St. 32 at  41 Texas Tech 31 172 41.7%
2013/11/16  41 Texas Tech 28 vs  12 Baylor 42 177 33.0%
2013/11/28  41 Texas Tech 28 at  37 Texas 31 174 46.4%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-487.3
Most difficult game left: October 26, at Oklahoma Sooners, 18.0%



Oregon State Beavers
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2013 0.641 42 0.549 17 19.7 29 14.7 50 171.1 22

Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2013/09/07 105 Hawaii 14 at  23 Oregon St. 33 169 93.7%
2013/09/14  27 Oregon St. 51 at  55 Utah 48 177 72.5%
2013/09/21  39 Oregon St. 34 at  62 SDSU 30 173 60.6%
2013/09/28 103 Colorado 17 at  40 Oregon St. 44 193 91.9%
2013/10/12  42 Oregon St. 31 at  68 Washington St. 24 171 69.0%
2013/10/19  42 Oregon St. 34 at  69 California 24 170 68.0%
2013/10/26  10 Stanford 31 at  42 Oregon St. 27 169 26.5%
2013/11/01  33 USC 28 at  42 Oregon St. 31 168 59.5%
2013/11/16  42 Oregon St. 31 at  18 Arizona St. 38 172 35.8%
2013/11/23  36 Washington 28 at  42 Oregon St. 29 169 55.9%
2013/11/29  42 Oregon St. 24 at   2 Oregon 45 174 12.2%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-553.6
Most difficult game left: November 29, at Oregon Ducks, 12.2%



Houston Cougars
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2013 0.470 67 0.467 92 16.9 61 15.5 59 177.6 2

Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2013/09/07  81 Houston 22 at  77 Temple 13 202 44.7%
2013/09/21  71 Houston 31 at  73 Rice 26 184 47.2%
2013/09/28  67 Houston 59 at  87 UTSA 28 180 33.9%
2013/10/12  98 Memphis 21 at  67 Houston 34 172 70.5%
2013/10/19  21 BYU 27 at  67 Houston 21 173 22.1%
2013/10/26  67 Houston 21 at  43 Rutgers 34 171 32.6%
2013/10/31  85 South Florida 21 at  67 Houston 31 173 62.3%
2013/11/09  67 Houston 20 at  26 UCF 34 170 21.6%
2013/11/16  67 Houston 17 at  19 Louisville 38 171 17.8%
2013/11/23  32 Cincinnati 28 at  67 Houston 27 173 24.8%
2013/11/29  75 SMU 27 at  67 Houston 34 172 56.5%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-5866.0
Most difficult game left: November 16, at Louisville Cardinals, 17.8%


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