Monday, October 29, 2012

Week 10: Top 25 -- RBA


Rank +/- Team WinPct SoS Adjusted
Off. Def. Pace
1 -- Alabama 1.000 0.548 16 26.5 3 5.4 1 156.2 124
2 -- Oregon 0.992 0.528 52 27.4 1 11.4 19 176.8 2
3 +2 LSU 0.983 0.549 15 22.8 6 7.9 3 160.2 116
4 -1 Florida 0.983 0.558 5 18.8 34 7.6 2 161.3 111
5 +1 Notre Dame 0.983 0.566 2 20.3 22 8.6 4 164.5 92
6 +3 Kansas St. 0.975 0.531 47 26.6 2 13.4 34 165.7 82
7 +9 Oklahoma St. 0.966 0.550 14 21.8 17 13.1 32 173.9 7
8 -4 Oklahoma 0.958 0.547 18 22.6 8 9.3 7 171.5 17
9 -1 Boise St. 0.958 0.465 92 19.6 28 9.2 6 168.2 45
10 -3 South Carolina 0.934 0.543 27 22.9 5 9.9 11 157.9 122
11 -1 Stanford 0.932 0.542 29 19.7 27 11.0 16 167.2 57
12 +5 Ohio St. 0.915 0.530 50 21.1 19 13.4 35 159.7 117
13 -1 Florida St. 0.915 0.546 20 22.2 14 8.7 5 165.9 78
14 -3 Texas A&M 0.908 0.556 8 25.0 4 11.7 22 173.5 10
15 -1 Georgia 0.906 0.543 28 22.4 13 13.2 33 160.2 115
16 +3 Rutgers 0.895 0.500 67 16.2 60 11.0 15 164.6 90
17 -2 USC 0.891 0.532 44 22.6 7 11.0 17 166.9 66
18 -5 Wisconsin 0.890 0.531 46 20.2 24 11.4 21 161.4 110
19 -1 Michigan 0.860 0.544 24 21.9 16 10.2 13 166.9 68
20 +3 Clemson 0.850 0.531 48 21.6 18 14.2 44 167.6 54
21 NA Nebraska 0.846 0.535 41 20.3 21 13.5 36 167.1 61
22 NA Oregon St. 0.832 0.547 17 14.4 81 11.3 18 170.8 22
23 -2 Arizona St. 0.831 0.534 43 20.9 20 12.9 29 174.4 5
24 +1 Michigan St. 0.829 0.545 23 15.4 72 9.7 9 166.9 67
25 NA BYU 0.828 0.486 75 17.3 46 9.7 8 168.8 37
Rankings through games of 2012-10-28


New entries: Nebraska, Oregon St., BYU.

Dropped out: TCU, Mississippi St., Penn State.

I'd like to start by taking a few steps backwards before presenting the RBA top 25.  The RBA top 25 is not a strict linear ordering of teams such that the (N-1)-th ranked team is expected to beat the N-th ranked team.  It means that in aggregate, the (N-1)-th ranked team will win more games in a 124 team neutral field round robin than the N-th ranked team.

Alabama and Oregon remain the top two teams in the country, sporting the top defense and offense, respectively.  RBA maintains a fairly consistent bias towards defensively-minded teams, so you'll find six of the top 10 defenses in the top 10.  The only real WTF team in the top 15 is Oklahoma State at #7.  They're sitting pretty thanks to an extremely consistent 22.2 +/- 0.8 PPH offense and an acceptably good-compared-to-most-of-the-Big-XII 8.3 +/- 9.5 PPH defense.


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