Monday, September 12, 2011

Week 2: Saturday Recap

[ Note: Eddie is busy with work this week, so I'll be filling in for some of his posts. This means -- unfortunately for him -- that he won't be able to respond to my comments. That's what he gets for working so much. ]

All-in-all this was a bit of a rocky start to our computer-aided forecasts. But first let's see how each of our systems did.

Week 2
System Expected Actual
W - LWin % W - LWin %
RBA  36.2 -  11.8 75.4  36 -  12 75.0
TFG  36.4 -  11.6 75.8  35 -  13 72.9

I went into this week slightly more optimistic than Eddie, and it turned out to be somewhat unjustified. I came up about a game short of where I should have been. I blame Iowa.

Game of the Week
South Carolina Gamecocks 45, Georgia Bulldogs 42

(20) Georgia 37, (19) South Carolina 33 (63.0%)

All-in-all I can live with getting this one wrong. It was an iffy prediction to start out with, and in the end it required some pretty crazy plays for South Carolina to pull this off.

(24) Georgia 28, (19) South Carolina 27 (53.4%)

Unstoppable Force/Immovable Object Game
Auburn Tigers 41, Mississippi State Bulldogs 34

(5) Auburn 31, (22) Mississippi St. 21 (59.8%)

(17) Auburn 38, (32) Mississippi St. 29 (73.5%)

This game required another of Auburn's seemingly-endless supply of miracle plays to pull off, but the Tigers managed to hold on for another win. For those keeping track at home, the 2011-2012 season has started off with two wins by a combined 11 points that weren't actually decided until the last 15-30 seconds of each game. Hope you've got lots of TUMS, Auburn fans.

Shootout of the Week
Virginia Tech Hokies 17, East Carolina Pirates 10

(9) Virginia Tech 42, (71) East Carolina 31 (83.2%)

What can I say? Correct winner, absolutely incorrect gameplay style.. I know ECU has a history of gumming up good opponents, and Virginia Tech doesn't exactly have a great reputation of starting strong (Boise and JMU say hi, by the way), but I don't think anyone expected this one to be the drawn-out slog of a game that we saw. Tech won, but I don't think this meets anyone's definition of a "shootout."

(16) Virginia Tech 45, (81) East Carolina 24 (92.3%)

Coin Toss Game of the Week
Washington State Cougars 59, UNLV Rebels 7

(106) UNLV 28, (120) Washington St. 27 (54.9%)

(100) Washington St. 36, (106) UNLV 31 (67.4%)

Told. You. So. RBA gave a slight nod to UNLV, while TFG gave a more decisive nod to Washington State. We can all see who was right and who could not have possibly been more wrong.

Coin Toss Record: TFG 1, RBA 0.

The season totals after two weeks give Eddie a three-game edge going into the next week. Again, I'm not too concerned since RBA has a history of going into free-fall starting around week eight, but I'd prefer to not have too much ground to catch up in a few weeks.

2011 - 2012 Season
System Expected Actual
W - LWin % W - LWin %
RBA  63.8 -  19.2 76.8  65 -  18 78.3
TFG  65.1 -  17.9 78.5  62 -  21 74.7

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