Tuesday, November 19, 2013

Week 13: Undefeated ... but for how long? -- TFG


Odds as of games through 2013-11-17


Legitimate Title Contenders

Florida State Seminoles
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2013 0.970 2 0.495 64 31.8 2 8.5 3 158.0 106
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2013/09/02   6 Florida St. 41 at  30 Pittsburgh 13 140 62.7%
2013/09/14  84 Nevada 7 at   5 Florida St. 62 154 97.1%
2013/09/28   3 Florida St. 48 at  90 Boston College 34 163 96.2%
2013/10/05  52 Maryland 0 at   3 Florida St. 63 170 88.8%
2013/10/19   2 Florida St. 51 at   6 Clemson 14 188 57.6%
2013/10/26  65 North Carolina St. 17 at   2 Florida St. 49 169 97.4%
2013/11/02  33 Miami-FL 14 at   2 Florida St. 41 150 89.4%
2013/11/09   2 Florida St. 59 at  83 Wake Forest 3 173 97.1%
2013/11/16  63 Syracuse 3 at   2 Florida St. 59 146 96.0%
2013/11/23 119 Idaho 15 at   2 Florida St. 47 164 99.7%
2013/11/30   2 Florida St. 33 at  33 Florida 18 155 93.9%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 93.6%
Most difficult game left: November 30, at Florida Gators, 93.9%


Alabama Crimson Tide
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2013 0.979 1 0.559 49 27.0 6 6.4 1 145.8 125
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2013/08/31   1 Alabama 35 vs  45 Virginia Tech 10 157 96.8%
2013/09/14   1 Alabama 49 at   7 Texas A&M 42 167 72.9%
2013/09/21 108 Colorado St. 6 at   1 Alabama 31 138 99.5%
2013/09/28  31 Mississippi 0 at   1 Alabama 25 152 94.0%
2013/10/05  NA Georgia State 3 at   1 Alabama 45 134 99.9%
2013/10/12   1 Alabama 48 at  76 Kentucky 7 158 97.2%
2013/10/19  66 Arkansas 0 at   1 Alabama 52 142 98.7%
2013/10/26  51 Tennessee 10 at   1 Alabama 45 142 98.6%
2013/11/09  11 LSU 17 at   1 Alabama 38 136 92.4%
2013/11/16   1 Alabama 20 at  41 Mississippi St. 7 143 96.8%
2013/11/30   1 Alabama 31 at  20 Auburn 21 156 93.0%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 93.0%
Most difficult game left: November 30, at Auburn Tigers, 93.0%



Second-Tier Hopefuls

Ohio State Buckeyes
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2013 0.888 5 0.490 66 28.5 4 13.1 20 167.3 66
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2013/08/31 111 Buffalo 20 at  19 Ohio St. 40 163 93.6%
2013/09/07  57 SDSU 7 at  23 Ohio St. 42 164 79.8%
2013/09/14  13 Ohio St. 52 at  69 California 34 206 79.2%
2013/09/28   5 Wisconsin 24 at  19 Ohio St. 31 159 40.9%
2013/10/05  15 Ohio St. 40 at  27 Northwestern 30 172 58.0%
2013/10/19  37 Iowa 24 at  10 Ohio St. 34 156 80.2%
2013/10/26  29 Penn State 14 at  10 Ohio St. 63 177 74.7%
2013/11/02   7 Ohio St. 56 at 112 Purdue 0 159 96.4%
2013/11/16   4 Ohio St. 60 at  81 Illinois 35 197 94.8%
2013/11/23  59 Indiana 30 at   5 Ohio St. 43 175 86.9%
2013/11/30   5 Ohio St. 36 at  36 Michigan 27 165 79.1%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 68.7%
Most difficult game left: November 30, at Michigan Wolverines, 79.1%


Fresno State Bulldogs
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2013 0.644 40 0.320 112 20.2 30 16.1 56 180.5 15
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2013/08/29  42 Rutgers 51 at  44 Fresno St. 52 209 48.5%
2013/09/20  45 Boise St. 40 at  50 Fresno St. 41 212 57.9%
2013/09/28  56 Fresno St. 42 at 116 Hawaii 37 210 87.0%
2013/10/05  58 Fresno St. 61 at 120 Idaho 14 213 92.4%
2013/10/19 110 UNLV 14 at  49 Fresno St. 38 179 91.4%
2013/10/26  48 Fresno St. 35 at  71 SDSU 28 194 53.5%
2013/11/02  88 Nevada 23 at  48 Fresno St. 41 183 78.7%
2013/11/09  49 Fresno St. 48 at  84 Wyoming 10 181 70.9%
2013/11/23  97 New Mexico 28 at  40 Fresno St. 40 167 85.1%
2013/11/29  40 Fresno St. 35 at  84 SJSU 28 174 78.5%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 66.8%
Most difficult game left: November 29, at San Jose State Spartans, 78.5%


Long Shots

Baylor Bears
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2013 0.920 4 0.537 55 32.9 1 13.2 21 188.0 2
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2013/09/07 108 Buffalo 13 at  24 Baylor 70 187 96.1%
2013/09/21  98 LA-Monroe 7 at  17 Baylor 70 190 95.2%
2013/10/05  57 West Virginia 42 at   6 Baylor 73 205 89.8%
2013/10/12  14 Baylor 35 at  35 Kansas St. 25 165 59.6%
2013/10/19  52 Iowa St. 7 at   9 Baylor 71 185 88.5%
2013/10/26   3 Baylor 59 at  99 Kansas 14 200 94.7%
2013/11/07  23 Oklahoma 12 at   3 Baylor 41 185 79.6%
2013/11/16  44 Texas Tech 34 vs   3 Baylor 63 214 87.9%
2013/11/23   4 Baylor 42 at  13 Oklahoma St. 34 186 69.4%
2013/11/30   4 Baylor 41 at  57 TCU 25 176 89.9%
2013/12/07  35 Texas 30 at   4 Baylor 43 180 84.3%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 52.6%
Most difficult game left: November 23, at Oklahoma State Cowboys, 69.4%


Northern Illinois Huskies
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2013 0.612 47 0.203 125 21.5 19 18.1 73 183.4 8
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2013/08/31  28 Northern Ill. 30 at  68 Iowa 27 198 75.2%
2013/09/14  48 Northern Ill. 45 at 123 Idaho 35 200 94.9%
2013/09/28  68 Northern Ill. 55 at  88 Purdue 24 175 55.6%
2013/10/05  54 Northern Ill. 38 at  95 Kent St. 24 187 74.5%
2013/10/12 117 Akron 20 at  52 Northern Ill. 27 202 94.9%
2013/10/19  56 Northern Ill. 38 at 115 Central Michigan 17 170 82.5%
2013/10/26 117 Eastern Michigan 20 at  52 Northern Ill. 59 179 95.6%
2013/11/02  51 Northern Ill. 63 at 125 Massachusetts 19 163 96.7%
2013/11/13  65 Ball St. 27 at  56 Northern Ill. 48 181 62.2%
2013/11/20  47 Northern Ill. 35 at  50 Toledo 34 176 50.9%
2013/11/26 117 Western Michigan 25 at  47 Northern Ill. 41 176 93.9%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 47.8%
Most difficult game left: November 20, at Toledo Rockets, 50.9%


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