Wednesday, November 6, 2013

Week 11: Undefeated ... but for how long? -- RBA


Odds as of games through 2013-11-03


Legitimate Title Contenders

Alabama Crimson Tide
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2013 0.953 1 0.548 22 27.4 5 6.0 1 155.9 125
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2013/08/31   1 Alabama 35 vs  50 Virginia Tech 10 157 95.7%
2013/09/14   1 Alabama 49 at  13 Texas A&M 42 167 82.2%
2013/09/21 104 Colorado St. 6 at   1 Alabama 31 138 99.3%
2013/09/28  19 Mississippi 0 at   2 Alabama 25 152 89.8%
2013/10/05 125 Georgia State 3 at   1 Alabama 45 134 99.9%
2013/10/12   1 Alabama 48 at  73 Kentucky 7 158 96.9%
2013/10/19  41 Arkansas 0 at   1 Alabama 52 142 89.2%
2013/10/26  55 Tennessee 10 at   1 Alabama 45 142 94.6%
2013/11/09   4 LSU 17 at   1 Alabama 34 158 81.8%
2013/11/16   1 Alabama 41 at  33 Mississippi St. 14 159 92.7%
2013/11/30   1 Alabama 35 at  37 Auburn 17 157 93.3%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-1.4
Most difficult game left: November 9, vs LSU Tigers, 81.8%


Florida State Seminoles
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2013 0.888 2 0.547 23 28.6 2 9.6 4 165.5 82
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2013/09/02   4 Florida St. 41 at  48 Pittsburgh 13 140 21.5%
2013/09/14  73 Nevada 7 at   2 Florida St. 62 154 87.7%
2013/09/28   1 Florida St. 48 at  91 Boston College 34 163 94.8%
2013/10/05  40 Maryland 0 at   5 Florida St. 63 170 94.2%
2013/10/19   2 Florida St. 51 at   9 Clemson 14 188 52.7%
2013/10/26  57 North Carolina St. 17 at   2 Florida St. 49 169 89.5%
2013/11/02  40 Miami-FL 14 at   2 Florida St. 41 150 83.6%
2013/11/09   2 Florida St. 42 at  77 Wake Forest 17 166 94.5%
2013/11/16  66 Syracuse 10 at   2 Florida St. 48 165 93.0%
2013/11/23 121 Idaho 14 at   2 Florida St. 62 167 99.2%
2013/11/30   2 Florida St. 31 at   8 Florida 20 163 71.6%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-1.6
Most difficult game left: November 30, at Florida Gators, 71.6%


Second-Tier Hopefuls

Ohio State Buckeyes
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2013 0.773 10 0.527 54 25.7 8 10.8 10 160.2 119
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2013/08/31 111 Buffalo 20 at  17 Ohio St. 40 163 91.9%
2013/09/07  51 SDSU 7 at  16 Ohio St. 42 164 65.0%
2013/09/14  15 Ohio St. 52 at  68 California 34 206 78.9%
2013/09/28   8 Wisconsin 24 at  11 Ohio St. 31 159 53.6%
2013/10/05  14 Ohio St. 40 at  33 Northwestern 30 172 61.9%
2013/10/19  23 Iowa 24 at  15 Ohio St. 34 156 53.4%
2013/10/26  31 Penn State 14 at  15 Ohio St. 63 177 57.5%
2013/11/02  10 Ohio St. 56 at  94 Purdue 0 159 90.0%
2013/11/16  10 Ohio St. 42 at  70 Illinois 20 164 84.7%
2013/11/23  65 Indiana 24 at  10 Ohio St. 42 165 82.5%
2013/11/30  10 Ohio St. 34 at  24 Michigan 27 163 57.4%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-2.5
Most difficult game left: November 30, at Michigan Wolverines, 57.4%


Oregon Ducks
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2013 0.859 3 0.530 52 28.2 3 10.3 8 177.5 3
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2013/09/07   5 Oregon 59 at  82 Virginia 10 186 93.1%
2013/09/14  40 Tennessee 14 at   3 Oregon 59 175 86.2%
2013/09/28  68 California 16 at   3 Oregon 55 206 93.1%
2013/10/05   2 Oregon 57 at 104 Colorado 16 194 98.0%
2013/10/12   2 Oregon 45 at  34 Washington 24 183 85.0%
2013/10/19  66 Washington St. 38 at   3 Oregon 62 210 91.7%
2013/10/26  21 UCLA 14 at   3 Oregon 42 177 74.8%
2013/11/07   3 Oregon 31 at  11 Stanford 24 172 68.8%
2013/11/16  55 Utah 20 at   3 Oregon 41 171 87.9%
2013/11/23   3 Oregon 41 at  48 Arizona 21 174 83.5%
2013/11/29  34 Oregon St. 20 at   3 Oregon 41 174 78.3%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-2.5
Most difficult game left: November 7, at Stanford Cardinal, 68.8%


Fresno State Bulldogs
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2013 0.583 51 0.493 69 20.2 24 16.7 70 168.5 50
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2013/08/29  35 Rutgers 51 at  53 Fresno St. 52 209 50.1%
2013/09/20  42 Boise St. 40 at  51 Fresno St. 41 212 56.8%
2013/09/28  49 Fresno St. 42 at 108 Hawaii 37 210 81.8%
2013/10/05  55 Fresno St. 61 at 120 Idaho 14 213 94.9%
2013/10/19 110 UNLV 14 at  52 Fresno St. 38 179 83.6%
2013/10/26  52 Fresno St. 35 at  67 SDSU 28 194 61.7%
2013/11/02  85 Nevada 23 at  51 Fresno St. 41 183 71.3%
2013/11/09  51 Fresno St. 35 at  82 Wyoming 28 168 71.4%
2013/11/23 103 New Mexico 17 at  51 Fresno St. 45 166 83.8%
2013/11/29  51 Fresno St. 34 at  72 SJSU 27 168 66.0%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-2.5
Most difficult game left: November 29, at San Jose State Spartans, 66.0%


Northern Illinois Huskies
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2013 0.608 49 0.433 118 17.7 44 14.4 46 166.6 71
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2013/08/31  46 Northern Ill. 30 at  69 Iowa 27 198 65.2%
2013/09/14  52 Northern Ill. 45 at 123 Idaho 35 200 95.7%
2013/09/28  52 Northern Ill. 55 at  82 Purdue 24 175 69.3%
2013/10/05  49 Northern Ill. 38 at  87 Kent St. 24 187 74.7%
2013/10/12 117 Akron 20 at  45 Northern Ill. 27 202 88.2%
2013/10/19  46 Northern Ill. 38 at 114 Central Michigan 17 170 91.3%
2013/10/26 118 Eastern Michigan 20 at  48 Northern Ill. 59 179 93.3%
2013/11/02  49 Northern Ill. 63 at 124 Massachusetts 19 163 97.4%
2013/11/13  59 Ball St. 24 at  49 Northern Ill. 34 167 62.6%
2013/11/20  49 Northern Ill. 31 at  67 Toledo 27 167 65.4%
2013/11/26 117 Western Michigan 14 at  49 Northern Ill. 45 168 92.1%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-2.7
Most difficult game left: November 13, vs Ball State Cardinals, 62.6%


Absolute Phonies

Baylor Bears
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2013 0.834 5 0.559 5 29.3 1 13.2 34 175.1 7
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2013/09/07 107 Buffalo 13 at  34 Baylor 70 187 87.0%
2013/09/21  94 LA-Monroe 7 at  21 Baylor 70 190 78.1%
2013/10/05  57 West Virginia 42 at  12 Baylor 73 205 75.3%
2013/10/12  11 Baylor 35 at  28 Kansas St. 25 165 40.8%
2013/10/19  55 Iowa St. 7 at  10 Baylor 71 185 76.3%
2013/10/26   6 Baylor 59 at 109 Kansas 14 200 94.1%
2013/11/07  13 Oklahoma 31 at   5 Baylor 38 173 61.4%
2013/11/16  38 Texas Tech 27 vs   5 Baylor 45 177 74.6%
2013/11/23   5 Baylor 31 at  23 Oklahoma St. 35 175 31.7%
2013/11/30   5 Baylor 35 at  44 TCU 27 171 78.8%
2013/12/07  21 Texas 28 at   5 Baylor 38 171 67.0%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-13.0
Most difficult game left: November 23, at Oklahoma State Cowboys, 31.7%


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