Week 12: Top 25 -- TFG

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Rank	+/-	Team	WinPct	SoS		Adjusted
						Off.		Def.		Pace
1	--	Alabama  ( 9 - 0 )	0.981	0.543	49	28.4	5	6.5	1	145.8	125
2	--	Florida St.  ( 8 - 0 )	0.960	0.496	65	30.8	2	9.3	3	159.9	100
3	--	Baylor  ( 7 - 0 )	0.927	0.531	52	33.7	1	13.0	20	187.5	3
4	--	Ohio St.  ( 8 - 0 )	0.908	0.524	59	29.2	4	12.4	13	163.9	79
5	+2	Wisconsin  ( 6 - 2 )	0.896	0.580	39	24.1	12	10.7	4	159.7	102
6	+2	Michigan St.  ( 7 - 1 )	0.891	0.464	71	16.2	66	7.3	2	160.9	93
7	-2	Oregon  ( 7 - 1 )	0.882	0.516	60	27.3	6	12.8	18	177.3	23
8	-2	Louisville  ( 7 - 1 )	0.880	0.340	105	22.8	15	10.8	7	152.6	123
9	+6	Kansas St.  ( 5 - 3 )	0.851	0.611	26	24.8	10	12.9	19	155.6	116
10	+3	Stanford  ( 8 - 1 )	0.851	0.633	21	21.5	20	11.2	8	156.8	113
11	-2	Texas A&M  ( 7 - 2 )	0.848	0.595	34	30.0	3	15.7	51	181.3	14
12	--	Missouri  ( 8 - 1 )	0.840	0.611	25	21.8	18	11.7	10	174.1	31
13	-2	LSU  ( 6 - 3 )	0.840	0.673	12	25.0	9	13.4	23	161.7	89
14	-4	Clemson  ( 7 - 1 )	0.837	0.564	46	22.5	16	12.1	11	181.8	13
15	+3	Oklahoma St.  ( 7 - 1 )	0.818	0.529	56	23.6	14	13.4	24	187.0	4
16	-2	Arizona St.  ( 6 - 2 )	0.818	0.628	22	27.3	7	15.5	48	175.9	25
17	-1	UCF  ( 7 - 1 )	0.817	0.448	76	23.9	13	13.6	26	157.3	111
18	-1	BYU  ( 6 - 3 )	0.813	0.639	20	18.8	42	10.8	6	186.6	5
19	--	South Carolina  ( 7 - 2 )	0.794	0.620	23	21.2	23	12.8	17	161.4	91
20	--	Georgia  ( 5 - 3 )	0.793	0.722	3	25.7	8	15.5	46	166.8	65
21	NA	Auburn  ( 8 - 1 )	0.768	0.589	38	21.0	25	13.4	25	164.5	75
22	-1	USC  ( 7 - 3 )	0.766	0.574	42	19.5	36	12.5	14	155.0	119
23	NA	Georgia Tech  ( 5 - 3 )	0.747	0.594	35	22.3	17	14.9	42	153.4	121
24	NA	Washington  ( 5 - 3 )	0.733	0.599	32	19.2	38	13.1	21	172.1	40
25	-2	Oklahoma  ( 7 - 2 )	0.722	0.602	29	20.3	27	14.2	32	161.7	88

Rankings through games of 2013-11-10
Data from CFBStats

New entries: Auburn, Georgia Tech, Washington.

Dropped out: Florida, Texas, Utah St.

Oregon's loss in Palo Alto on Thursday really only codified what the computers have been saying: Alabama and FSU are the two best teams this year. Should these two teams make the title game, it'll be the second year in a row that the TFG #1 and #2 teams meet in the title game. Unlike last year's game, though, this one might actually be competitive. FSU's offense is on par with the A&M squad that took 10 years off Nick Saban's life, but their defense allows points at about half the rate as the Aggies.

Baylor continues to run rampant through a down year in the Big XII. I know the common meme is that a resurgent Texas squad might give the Bears a boost in the rankings -- both in people's minds as well as the computers -- but by a large margin (15) Oklahoma State is going to be the biggest challenge for the Bears.

Ohio State continues to improve, but remains the clear #4 team. Their defense is at a high-level, but not quite elite-level. The likely B1G title game between (4) Ohio State and (6) Michigan State is going to be an interesting battle between an unstoppable force -- the Buckeyes' #4 offense -- and an immovable object -- the Spartans' #2 defense.

Once again I'd like to revisit Kansas State. The Wildcats are now in the TFG top 10, tied with Stanford. With TCU, Kansas, and Oklahoma left on the schedule, Kansas State has a 55.4% chance of finishing 8-3 against FBS teams (and 0-1 against repeat FCS champions North Dakota State).

On a closing note, Georgia and South Carolina continue to cling to each other.


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