Tuesday, November 19, 2013

Week 13: Undefeated ... but for how long? -- RBA


Odds as of games through 2013-11-17


Legitimate Title Contenders

Alabama Crimson Tide
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2013 0.952 1 0.547 22 26.7 5 5.8 1 155.7 125
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2013/08/31   1 Alabama 35 vs  50 Virginia Tech 10 157 95.7%
2013/09/14   1 Alabama 49 at  13 Texas A&M 42 167 82.2%
2013/09/21 104 Colorado St. 6 at   1 Alabama 31 138 99.3%
2013/09/28  19 Mississippi 0 at   2 Alabama 25 152 89.8%
2013/10/05 125 Georgia State 3 at   1 Alabama 45 134 99.9%
2013/10/12   1 Alabama 48 at  73 Kentucky 7 158 96.9%
2013/10/19  41 Arkansas 0 at   1 Alabama 52 142 89.2%
2013/10/26  55 Tennessee 10 at   1 Alabama 45 142 94.6%
2013/11/09   5 LSU 17 at   1 Alabama 38 136 81.8%
2013/11/16   1 Alabama 20 at  34 Mississippi St. 7 143 92.9%
2013/11/30   1 Alabama 35 at  23 Auburn 20 157 90.6%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 90.6%
Most difficult game left: November 30, at Auburn Tigers, 90.6%


Florida State Seminoles
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2013 0.917 2 0.545 26 30.3 1 7.7 3 165.4 83
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2013/09/02   4 Florida St. 41 at  48 Pittsburgh 13 140 21.5%
2013/09/14  73 Nevada 7 at   2 Florida St. 62 154 87.7%
2013/09/28   1 Florida St. 48 at  91 Boston College 34 163 94.8%
2013/10/05  40 Maryland 0 at   5 Florida St. 63 170 94.2%
2013/10/19   2 Florida St. 51 at   9 Clemson 14 188 52.7%
2013/10/26  57 North Carolina St. 17 at   2 Florida St. 49 169 89.5%
2013/11/02  40 Miami-FL 14 at   2 Florida St. 41 150 83.6%
2013/11/09   2 Florida St. 59 at  82 Wake Forest 3 173 94.5%
2013/11/16  60 Syracuse 3 at   2 Florida St. 59 146 92.7%
2013/11/23 120 Idaho 10 at   2 Florida St. 66 167 99.4%
2013/11/30   2 Florida St. 31 at  22 Florida 17 163 83.8%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 83.3%
Most difficult game left: November 30, at Florida Gators, 83.8%



Second-Tier Hopefuls

Ohio State Buckeyes
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2013 0.831 6 0.526 57 26.2 7 11.7 17 160.4 118
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2013/08/31 111 Buffalo 20 at  17 Ohio St. 40 163 91.9%
2013/09/07  51 SDSU 7 at  16 Ohio St. 42 164 65.0%
2013/09/14  15 Ohio St. 52 at  68 California 34 206 78.9%
2013/09/28   8 Wisconsin 24 at  11 Ohio St. 31 159 53.6%
2013/10/05  14 Ohio St. 40 at  33 Northwestern 30 172 61.9%
2013/10/19  23 Iowa 24 at  15 Ohio St. 34 156 53.4%
2013/10/26  31 Penn State 14 at  15 Ohio St. 63 177 57.5%
2013/11/02  10 Ohio St. 56 at  94 Purdue 0 159 90.0%
2013/11/16   6 Ohio St. 60 at  74 Illinois 35 197 83.6%
2013/11/23  62 Indiana 20 at   6 Ohio St. 45 165 87.3%
2013/11/30   6 Ohio St. 34 at  28 Michigan 24 163 71.7%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 62.6%
Most difficult game left: November 30, at Michigan Wolverines, 71.7%


Northern Illinois Huskies
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2013 0.594 48 0.434 118 19.6 31 14.5 52 166.7 69
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2013/08/31  46 Northern Ill. 30 at  69 Iowa 27 198 65.2%
2013/09/14  52 Northern Ill. 45 at 123 Idaho 35 200 95.7%
2013/09/28  52 Northern Ill. 55 at  82 Purdue 24 175 69.3%
2013/10/05  49 Northern Ill. 38 at  87 Kent St. 24 187 74.7%
2013/10/12 117 Akron 20 at  45 Northern Ill. 27 202 88.2%
2013/10/19  46 Northern Ill. 38 at 114 Central Michigan 17 170 91.3%
2013/10/26 118 Eastern Michigan 20 at  48 Northern Ill. 59 179 93.3%
2013/11/02  49 Northern Ill. 63 at 124 Massachusetts 19 163 97.4%
2013/11/13  63 Ball St. 27 at  48 Northern Ill. 48 181 62.5%
2013/11/20  48 Northern Ill. 31 at  64 Toledo 27 167 62.6%
2013/11/26 117 Western Michigan 14 at  48 Northern Ill. 45 168 91.4%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 57.2%
Most difficult game left: November 20, at Toledo Rockets, 62.6%


Long Shots

Fresno State Bulldogs
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2013 0.585 50 0.492 69 20.6 24 15.9 64 168.6 46
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2013/08/29  35 Rutgers 51 at  53 Fresno St. 52 209 50.1%
2013/09/20  42 Boise St. 40 at  51 Fresno St. 41 212 56.8%
2013/09/28  49 Fresno St. 42 at 108 Hawaii 37 210 81.8%
2013/10/05  55 Fresno St. 61 at 120 Idaho 14 213 94.9%
2013/10/19 110 UNLV 14 at  52 Fresno St. 38 179 83.6%
2013/10/26  52 Fresno St. 35 at  67 SDSU 28 194 61.7%
2013/11/02  86 Nevada 23 at  50 Fresno St. 41 183 71.3%
2013/11/09  49 Fresno St. 48 at  83 Wyoming 10 181 71.4%
2013/11/23 102 New Mexico 17 at  50 Fresno St. 48 166 82.5%
2013/11/29  50 Fresno St. 34 at  77 SJSU 27 168 67.7%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 55.9%
Most difficult game left: November 29, at San Jose State Spartans, 67.7%


What are YOU doing here??

Baylor Bears
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2013 0.839 4 0.561 3 29.5 2 12.1 20 175.4 5
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2013/09/07 107 Buffalo 13 at  34 Baylor 70 187 87.0%
2013/09/21  94 LA-Monroe 7 at  21 Baylor 70 190 78.1%
2013/10/05  57 West Virginia 42 at  12 Baylor 73 205 75.3%
2013/10/12  11 Baylor 35 at  28 Kansas St. 25 165 40.8%
2013/10/19  55 Iowa St. 7 at  10 Baylor 71 185 76.3%
2013/10/26   6 Baylor 59 at 109 Kansas 14 200 94.1%
2013/11/07  15 Oklahoma 12 at   6 Baylor 41 185 61.4%
2013/11/16  40 Texas Tech 34 vs   4 Baylor 63 214 74.3%
2013/11/23   4 Baylor 31 at  15 Oklahoma St. 34 175 34.6%
2013/11/30   4 Baylor 38 at  45 TCU 24 171 81.7%
2013/12/07  31 Texas 24 at   4 Baylor 41 171 72.8%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 20.6%
Most difficult game left: November 23, at Oklahoma State Cowboys, 34.6%


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