Monday, December 5, 2011

Week 15: Top 25 -- RBA


Rank +/- Team WinPct SoS Adjusted
Off. Def. Pace
1 -- Alabama 1.000 0.549 14 26.1 5 5.1 1 156.9 120
2 -- LSU 1.000 0.549 17 26.8 4 6.5 2 160.2 113
3 -- Oregon 0.983 0.531 45 25.5 7 10.7 11 176.2 3
4 +2 Oklahoma St. 0.975 0.550 12 27.0 3 13.7 39 173.3 7
5 -1 Wisconsin 0.975 0.533 42 28.7 1 11.4 19 161.5 108
6 +1 Stanford 0.958 0.543 23 27.5 2 10.8 12 167.0 53
7 -2 Oklahoma 0.957 0.543 25 23.1 10 10.3 7 171.7 14
8 -- Boise St. 0.949 0.462 95 25.7 6 11.6 21 168.8 35
9 +1 Arkansas 0.940 0.566 1 23.7 9 11.5 20 165.5 78
10 -1 South Carolina 0.931 0.544 22 20.9 21 10.0 5 157.9 119
11 -- Florida St. 0.930 0.549 15 19.2 33 9.7 4 165.8 75
12 -- Georgia 0.921 0.550 11 22.8 11 10.7 10 159.6 114
13 -- USC 0.913 0.533 41 22.0 17 10.6 8 166.8 59
14 -- TCU 0.903 0.464 92 24.1 8 13.3 35 167.7 45
15 +4 Southern Miss. 0.893 0.482 76 21.3 18 14.5 50 168.9 33
16 -- Texas A&M 0.886 0.555 9 22.6 13 12.0 23 172.7 11
17 -2 Michigan 0.886 0.542 29 22.8 12 12.0 26 167.8 44
18 -1 Florida 0.885 0.556 8 20.4 24 7.9 3 161.3 109
19 -1 Michigan St. 0.878 0.542 27 20.7 22 11.4 18 167.1 52
20 +1 Notre Dame 0.852 0.565 2 18.8 35 11.9 22 165.0 85
21 +2 Ohio St. 0.841 0.531 46 18.6 37 12.0 25 159.1 116
22 -- Texas 0.825 0.522 60 19.7 26 11.4 17 168.3 41
23 -3 Virginia Tech 0.817 0.526 58 17.7 41 11.2 15 158.2 118
24 NA Missouri 0.812 0.527 56 16.8 52 11.2 14 174.4 5
25 -- Nebraska 0.811 0.532 43 19.3 30 12.5 32 166.8 61
Rankings through games of 2011-12-04


New entries: Missouri.

Dropped out: Houston.

Here we are at the end of the 2011 regular season with the final RBA poll. Regular readers will find no surprises here. (1a) Alabama and (1b) LSU reign supreme over the rest of the poll. RBA still expects the two teams to play to a tie on a neutral field (in regulation). Furthermore, RBA expects either team to beat Oklahoma State, Stanford, or Boise State, if they had matched up. On that note, it's hard to argue with the BCS outcome.

That said, let's break the fourth wall a bit here and discuss the BCS. There's been quite a discussion about the injustice of Alabama passing Oklahoma State. Remember that the BCS is composed of three components: the USA Today Coaches Poll, the Harris Poll, and six computers. The computers ranked Oklahoma State over Alabama. If you don't like the outcome, check out this visualization to figure out who to blame. The most likely suspects? Let's start with Troy Calhoun, who ranked Oklahoma State at #5. (Alabama, Stanford, and Arkansas were his 2-4 spots.) Nick Saban and David Shaw are a little suspicious, voting the Cowboys at #4 instead of #3, and Gary Pinkel gave the Big XII the finger on the way out with his #4 vote.

Regardless of how it happened, we have an Alabama-LSU rematch. Deal with it.



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