Friday, December 23, 2011

2011 - 2012 Bowl Previews: Part IV


Today is Part IV of our 2011 - 2012 bowl preview series. Today we'll examine the
  • AutoZone Liberty Bowl
    Cincinnati Bearcats vs Vanderbilt Commodores
  • Insight Bowl
    Iowa Hawkeyes vs Oklahoma Sooners
  • AdvoCare V100 Independence Bowl
    Missouri Tigers vs North Carolina Tar Heels
  • Valero Alamo Bowl
    Baylor Bears vs Washington Huskies
  • Sheraton Hawaii Bowl
    Nevada Wolf Pack vs Southern Miss Golden Eagles
Full previews after the jump ....

21. AutoZone Liberty Bowl

Saturday, December 31 at 3:30 PM

Cincinnati Bearcats (8 - 3; 5 - 2 Big East)
vs
Vanderbilt Commodores (5 - 6; 2 - 6 SEC)
GUGS Score: 49.5

Justin

Cincinnati Bearcats
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2011 0.614 44 0.497 68 21.3 39 17.7 44 171.8 27
Vanderbilt Commodores
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2011 0.499 62 0.605 19 17.8 73 17.8 48 164.0 77

This is yet another game that disputes the meme "defense wins championships." Both teams have pretty even -- and respectable -- defenses, but Cincinnati has a 3.5 PPH advantage on offense. The problem is that Big East teams can be difficult to predict, and Vandy faced a much tougher schedule than the Bearcats. Even though the Commodores have a losing record against FBS opponents, they actually slightly overperformed this year with wins against UConn, Ole Miss, and a solid drubbing of Wake Forest. When all is said and done, though, Cincinnati's offense gives them a slight edge here. Cincinnati 32, Vanderbilt 29 (61.3%); 167 plays.

Eddie

Cincinnati Bearcats
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2011 0.688 41 0.514 61 17.3 44 12.9 33 168.9 32
Vanderbilt Commodores
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2011 0.757 31 0.549 16 19.0 34 11.0 13 161.5 107

Vanderbilt is a deceptively good football team. In fact, they're so deceptively good that RBA ranks them #31 overall. If you look at Vandy's losses, you'll see a team that played well but just didn't catch the breaks in the end. The Commodores led Arkansas in the 4th quarter only to miss the game tying field goal. They might have beaten Florida, if not for penalties. Vandy took Tennessee to overtime, only to throw a pick six that wasn't really a pick six. They had a shot at the end zone late against Georgia. That's not the Vanderbilt we're accustomed to seeing, and it shows in their efficiencies. The Commodores are erratic on both sides of the ball at 33.1 +/- 28.2 PPH and 0.0 +/- 23.9 PPH for offense and defense, respectively. This suggests that they'll come up short against tougher competition. Cincinnati has played like a Big East team this year, but they're more consistent than Vandy. Their offense isn't quite as explosive, but it does well at 27.7 +/- 20.9. Their defense is a relatively similar 3.6 +/- 18.7 PPH. We should expect their offense to look a little better because they get starting QB Zach Collaros back from a broken ankle. That's not included in RBA's prediction, but it helps. Even without Collaros, RBA picks the Bearcats, 27-24, with 55.7% confidence.


Cincinnati Bearcats Season Summary

Date TFG RBA Away Team       TFG RBA Home Team Plays Odds
TFG / RBA
2011/09/10  53 /  64 Cincinnati 23 at  49 /  33 Tennessee 45 160  35.9% /  35.9%
2011/09/17 120 / 118 Akron 14 at  62 /  63 Cincinnati 59 165  96.8% /  95.1%
2011/09/22  43 /  78 North Carolina St. 14 at  60 /  49 Cincinnati 44 167  49.3% /  26.2%
2011/10/01  47 /  40 Cincinnati 27 at  95 /  99 Miami-OH 0 174  71.8% /  70.9%
2011/10/15  66 /  63 Louisville 16 at  40 /  39 Cincinnati 25 155  74.5% /  63.9%
2011/10/22  37 /  36 Cincinnati 37 at  45 /  47 South Florida 34 192  43.8% /  55.8%
2011/11/05  36 /  35 Cincinnati 26 at  33 /  38 Pittsburgh 23 171  45.3% /  41.2%
2011/11/12  30 /  33 West Virginia 24 at  34 /  31 Cincinnati 21 175  50.2% /  50.7%
2011/11/19  38 /  37 Cincinnati 3 at  46 /  41 Rutgers 20 166  55.9% /  64.6%
2011/11/26  42 /  40 Cincinnati 30 at  78 /  84 Syracuse 13 174  70.6% /  73.4%
2011/12/03  56 /  64 Connecticut 27 at  40 /  41 Cincinnati 35 186  57.9% /  71.7%
2011/12/31  61 /  31 Vanderbilt -- vs  44 /  41 Cincinnati -- --  61.3% /  55.7%


Vanderbilt Commodores Season Summary

Date TFG RBA Away Team       TFG RBA Home Team Plays Odds
TFG / RBA
2011/09/10  54 /  53 Connecticut 21 at 102 /  74 Vanderbilt 24 157  26.2% /  34.4%
2011/09/17  53 /  68 Mississippi 7 at  94 /  65 Vanderbilt 30 156  33.1% /  29.7%
2011/09/24  79 /  57 Vanderbilt 3 at  27 /  21 South Carolina 21 147  13.1% /  21.5%
2011/10/08  86 /  55 Vanderbilt 0 at   1 /   1 Alabama 34 140   1.5% /   5.4%
2011/10/15  17 /  16 Georgia 33 at  96 /  52 Vanderbilt 28 170  12.7% /  24.0%
2011/10/22  90 /  85 Army 21 at  92 /  49 Vanderbilt 44 163  59.0% /  67.2%
2011/10/29  15 /  18 Arkansas 31 at  83 /  45 Vanderbilt 28 166  19.6% /  23.1%
2011/11/05  79 /  42 Vanderbilt 21 at  13 /  20 Florida 26 158  11.7% /  17.4%
2011/11/12  80 /  60 Kentucky 8 at  76 /  41 Vanderbilt 38 156  56.4% /  64.5%
2011/11/19  64 /  32 Vanderbilt 21 at  53 /  40 Tennessee 27 157  43.2% /  41.1%
2011/11/26  69 /  31 Vanderbilt 41 at  67 /  73 Wake Forest 7 164  49.0% /  80.7%
2011/12/31  61 /  31 Vanderbilt -- vs  44 /  41 Cincinnati -- --  38.7% /  44.3%


20. Insight Bowl

Friday, December 30 at 10:00 PM

Iowa Hawkeyes (6 - 5; 4 - 4 Big Ten)
vs
Oklahoma Sooners (9 - 3; 6 - 3 Big XII)
GUGS Score: 50.0

Eddie

Iowa Hawkeyes
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2011 0.755 32 0.523 59 17.3 43 13.8 40 164.0 93
Oklahoma Sooners
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2011 0.957 7 0.543 25 23.1 10 10.3 7 171.7 14

The predicted score is close because Iowa plays slow, but this is RBA's lock of the bowl season. Oklahoma is a damn good football team that flopped in a few games. The Sooner offense rolls at 31.9 +/- 17.5 PPH, and their defense is a surprisingly effective 2.6 +/- 15.4 PPH. On the other hand, Iowa has gotten by largely on the back of their 0.0 +/- 13.9 PPH defense because their 26.3 +/- 18.0 PPH offense certainly isn't anything to write home about. Just because this game is the lock of the bowl season doesn't mean that Iowa can't win because RBA thinks it will be relatively close. Oklahoma is just so much better of a team that RBA is 79.4% confident that the Sooners will win 27-24.

Justin

Iowa Hawkeyes
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2011 0.627 39 0.557 49 21.0 44 17.0 36 165.9 62
Oklahoma Sooners
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2011 0.847 8 0.594 25 25.1 16 12.7 4 178.7 7

Poor Oklahoma. They started out as one of the top teams this year, then blew two games they had about a 90% chance of winnings, and then capped off the season by handing a game to Oklahoma State. Now they've been paired up with a so-so Iowa team in a second-tier bowl. Even with three losses, the Sooners are far and away the superior team on both sides of the ball. Their offensive prowess has been somewhat inflated by how fast they play -- seventh-fastest in FBS -- while their defense has been overlooked. Part of that is due to the 44 points they gave up to the Cowboys and the 45 they surrendered to Baylor, but both of those games were high-paced affairs against top-level offenses. Iowa's offense is solidly middle-of-the-pack, and points will be hard to come by. Assuming the Sooners aren't let down by having to play here instead of a BCS bowl, this one shouldn't be close. Oklahoma 36, Iowa 28 (76.8%); 172 plays.


Iowa Hawkeyes Season Summary

Date TFG RBA Away Team       TFG RBA Home Team Plays Odds
TFG / RBA
2011/09/10  12 /  18 Iowa 41 at  79 /  81 Iowa St. 44 195  82.1% /  83.8%
2011/09/17  28 /  33 Pittsburgh 27 at  20 /  19 Iowa 31 183  66.4% /  53.1%
2011/09/24 110 / 105 LA-Monroe 17 at  25 /  18 Iowa 45 165  96.3% /  93.8%
2011/10/08  25 /  17 Iowa 3 at  30 /  40 Penn State 13 154  43.2% /  52.2%
2011/10/15  68 /  87 Northwestern 31 at  35 /  22 Iowa 41 168  78.5% /  76.3%
2011/10/22  96 / 102 Indiana 24 at  35 /  24 Iowa 45 155  90.5% /  84.5%
2011/10/29  34 /  24 Iowa 21 at 102 / 112 Minnesota 22 143  79.2% /  89.6%
2011/11/05  18 /  28 Michigan 16 at  38 /  27 Iowa 24 153  37.1% /  60.3%
2011/11/12  22 /  25 Michigan St. 37 at  33 /  27 Iowa 21 182  42.7% /  69.5%
2011/11/19  35 /  29 Iowa 31 at  70 /  74 Purdue 21 166  69.7% /  75.3%
2011/11/25  36 /  30 Iowa 7 at  23 /  25 Nebraska 20 169  40.7% /  38.1%
2011/12/30   8 /   7 Oklahoma -- vs  39 /  32 Iowa -- --  23.2% /  20.6%


Oklahoma Sooners Season Summary

Date TFG RBA Away Team       TFG RBA Home Team Plays Odds
TFG / RBA
2011/09/03  47 /  57 Tulsa 14 at   7 /   6 Oklahoma 47 191  88.3% /  85.6%
2011/09/17   6 /   5 Oklahoma 23 at  12 /  12 Florida St. 13 150  51.7% /  28.1%
2011/09/24  26 /  30 Missouri 28 at   4 /   8 Oklahoma 38 194  82.5% /  76.8%
2011/10/01 102 /  91 Ball St. 6 at   6 /   8 Oklahoma 62 182  97.6% /  97.6%
2011/10/08  22 /  31 Texas 17 vs   4 /   6 Oklahoma 55 179  75.1% /  73.8%
2011/10/15   5 /   5 Oklahoma 47 at  90 /  91 Kansas 17 183  94.1% /  95.8%
2011/10/22  43 /  39 Texas Tech 41 at   5 /   6 Oklahoma 38 213  90.9% /  87.9%
2011/10/29   6 /   5 Oklahoma 58 at  30 /  37 Kansas St. 17 162  67.8% /  81.5%
2011/11/05  20 /  22 Texas A&M 25 at   5 /   5 Oklahoma 41 214  76.7% /  70.3%
2011/11/19   4 /   4 Oklahoma 38 at  57 /  50 Baylor 45 194  88.1% /  85.0%
2011/11/26  70 /  74 Iowa St. 6 at   5 /   5 Oklahoma 26 178  89.3% /  92.0%
2011/12/03   5 /   7 Oklahoma 10 at  12 /   4 Oklahoma St. 44 181  63.7% /  45.3%
2011/12/30   8 /   7 Oklahoma -- vs  39 /  32 Iowa -- --  76.8% /  79.4%


19. AdvoCare V100 Independence Bowl

Monday, December 26 at 5:00 PM

Missouri Tigers (6 - 5; 5 - 4 Big XII)
vs
North Carolina Tar Heels (6 - 5; 3 - 5 ACC)
GUGS Score: 50.1

Justin

Missouri Tigers
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2011 0.706 23 0.569 44 20.6 48 14.5 14 170.5 31
North Carolina Tar Heels
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2011 0.610 45 0.553 52 21.3 38 17.8 46 162.6 87

Yet another bowl game that feels like an 8/9 matchup in the first round of the NCAA tournament. Congratulations Missouri and UNC; you've finished in the middle of your respective conferences, so here's a day-after-Christmas bowl game. This one will be somewhat close since both teams play at moderate speeds and reasonably well matched. Missouri has the better defense by 3.3 PPH, but the Tar Heels have a 0.7 PPH advantage on offense. That adds up to a close game where the Tigers are slight favorites. If you're looking for a good but not spectacular game, this one's a good choice. Missouri 31, North Carolina 29 (60.5%); 166 plays.

Eddie

Missouri Tigers
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2011 0.812 24 0.527 56 16.8 52 11.2 14 174.4 5
North Carolina Tar Heels
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2011 0.618 46 0.543 24 16.9 49 14.0 44 163.4 99

I know TFG says this game will be a close 8/9-style matchup, but RBA disagrees. The Tigers are a legitimate top 25 team, despite their five losses, whereas North Carolina barely makes the top 50. The most significant factor in the difference between these two teams is the Tar Heel defense and its 2.7 +/- 22.7 PPH efficiency. Their ineptitude should make Missouri's 20.5 +/- 7.3 PPH offense look better than most would expect. Mizzou's defense isn't that great either at 1.0 +/- 20.4 PPH, but North Carolina's 0.598 strength simply can't capitalize on it as well. RBA says Missouri wins by nearly two touchdowns, 34-21, with 64.5% confidence.


Missouri Tigers Season Summary

Date TFG RBA Away Team       TFG RBA Home Team Plays Odds
TFG / RBA
2011/09/03  89 /  89 Miami-OH 6 at  18 /  23 Missouri 17 165  92.5% /  88.4%
2011/09/09  16 /  25 Missouri 30 at  41 /  24 Arizona St. 37 179  56.1% /  44.3%
2011/09/24  26 /  30 Missouri 28 at   4 /   8 Oklahoma 38 194  17.5% /  23.2%
2011/10/08  23 /  30 Missouri 17 at  35 /  37 Kansas St. 24 161  50.7% /  54.6%
2011/10/15  75 /  83 Iowa St. 17 at  26 /  28 Missouri 52 188  86.6% /  75.5%
2011/10/22  15 /   9 Oklahoma St. 45 at  22 /  27 Missouri 24 187  57.4% /  36.2%
2011/10/29  26 /  23 Missouri 38 at  14 /  19 Texas A&M 31 203  30.5% /  44.1%
2011/11/05  25 /  25 Missouri 39 at  57 /  44 Baylor 42 200  67.6% /  62.5%
2011/11/12  15 /  24 Texas 5 at  26 /  26 Missouri 17 165  47.1% /  54.2%
2011/11/19  67 /  64 Texas Tech 27 at  24 /  26 Missouri 31 182  77.1% /  71.0%
2011/11/26  25 /  27 Missouri 24 vs 108 /  88 Kansas 10 152  91.3% /  87.0%
2011/12/26  45 /  46 North Carolina -- vs  23 /  24 Missouri -- --  60.5% /  64.5%


North Carolina Tar Heels Season Summary

Date TFG RBA Away Team       TFG RBA Home Team Plays Odds
TFG / RBA
2011/09/10  69 /  77 Rutgers 22 at  37 /  32 North Carolina 24 154  79.6% /  78.5%
2011/09/17  90 /  80 Virginia 17 at  44 /  44 North Carolina 28 164  82.8% /  77.6%
2011/09/24  42 /  46 North Carolina 28 at  37 /  38 Georgia Tech 35 148  35.1% /  46.7%
2011/10/01  41 /  48 North Carolina 35 at  80 /  81 East Carolina 20 160  64.3% /  69.8%
2011/10/08  60 /  61 Louisville 7 at  40 /  41 North Carolina 14 146  70.1% /  50.9%
2011/10/15  28 /  65 Miami-FL 30 at  41 /  41 North Carolina 24 160  48.8% /  60.1%
2011/10/22  40 /  44 North Carolina 38 at  23 /   8 Clemson 59 181  26.4% /  33.0%
2011/10/29  72 /  85 Wake Forest 24 at  39 /  42 North Carolina 49 162  77.8% /  70.1%
2011/11/05  34 /  46 North Carolina 0 at  63 /  66 North Carolina St. 13 157  62.2% /  59.0%
2011/11/17  43 /  48 North Carolina 21 at  13 /  23 Virginia Tech 24 157  29.9% /  40.1%
2011/11/26  87 /  82 Duke 21 at  38 /  46 North Carolina 37 167  76.8% /  73.1%
2011/12/26  45 /  46 North Carolina -- vs  23 /  24 Missouri -- --  39.5% /  35.5%


17. Valero Alamo Bowl

Thursday, December 29 at 9:00 PM

Baylor Bears (8 - 3; 6 - 3 Big XII)
vs
Washington Huskies (6 - 5; 5 - 4 Pac-12)
GUGS Score: 53.3

Note: This is our computers' pick for the Shootout of the Bowl Season, the bowl game expected to have the highest combined score between the two teams.

Eddie

Baylor Bears
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2011 0.721 36 0.564 3 22.3 16 18.1 77 172.7 12
Washington Huskies
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2011 0.611 49 0.550 13 21.1 19 17.3 74 167.9 43

This game is RBA's second least confident pick of the bowl season. Justin touches upon the primary reason for that; neither team plays particularly strong defense. Baylor allows 10.6 +/- 15.0 PPH, and Washington allows 7.5 +/- 19.5 PPH. When coupled with Baylor's 25.2 +/- 5.9 PPH offense and Washington's 31.3 +/- 20.4 PPH offense, we can expect some points. RBA gives Baylor a touchdown, 38-31, but with only 50.1% confidence because the two teams' strengths are nearly identical 0.595 and 0.593.

Justin

Baylor Bears
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2011 0.616 41 0.603 21 26.0 12 21.5 78 177.8 9
Washington Huskies
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2011 0.514 60 0.619 15 22.2 33 21.7 81 163.1 82

The Bears have definitely overperformed this year, with surprising wins over TCU, Oklahoma, and Texas. The reason TFG doesn't think too highly of them, though, is that generally speaking "the first to 50 points wins" isn't a good strategy to keep winning. The Baylor offense is definitely top-notch, although it receives a bit of a boost in reputation because they play so fast. The Huskies aren't too far behind Baylor there -- only 3.8 PPH -- but it's enough to tip the balance in Baylor's favor. Throw in the fact that both of these defenses fall into the bottom half of the FBS in terms of efficiency, and we should see a high-scoring game. The Huskies will need to either slow down the Bears or get enough spark on offense to keep up, but look for this one to have scoring in spades. Baylor 40, Washington 37 (60.2%); 170 plays.


Baylor Bears Season Summary

Date TFG RBA Away Team       TFG RBA Home Team Plays Odds
TFG / RBA
2011/09/02   1 /   4 TCU 48 at  65 /  55 Baylor 50 177  10.1% /   9.7%
2011/09/24 100 /  98 Rice 31 at  46 /  47 Baylor 56 191  88.1% /  81.2%
2011/10/01  46 /  49 Baylor 35 at  36 /  43 Kansas St. 36 168  31.3% /  42.2%
2011/10/08  69 /  75 Iowa St. 26 at  49 /  39 Baylor 49 195  70.1% /  62.4%
2011/10/15  46 /  42 Baylor 28 at  16 /  15 Texas A&M 55 181  22.1% /  29.8%
2011/10/29  50 /  44 Baylor 24 at  12 /   8 Oklahoma St. 59 190  16.7% /  31.5%
2011/11/05  25 /  25 Missouri 39 at  57 /  44 Baylor 42 200  32.4% /  37.5%
2011/11/12  55 /  46 Baylor 31 at 101 /  93 Kansas 30 175  77.1% /  80.5%
2011/11/19   4 /   4 Oklahoma 38 at  57 /  50 Baylor 45 194  11.9% /  15.0%
2011/11/26  71 /  67 Texas Tech 42 vs  50 /  45 Baylor 66 210  63.1% /  58.6%
2011/12/03  24 /  22 Texas 24 at  45 /  36 Baylor 48 171  35.2% /  22.6%
2011/12/29  60 /  49 Washington -- vs  41 /  36 Baylor -- --  60.2% /  50.1%


Washington Huskies Season Summary

Date TFG RBA Away Team       TFG RBA Home Team Plays Odds
TFG / RBA
2011/09/10  55 /  58 Hawaii 32 at  68 /  57 Washington 40 149  54.1% /  51.1%
2011/09/17  60 /  51 Washington 38 at  17 /  15 Nebraska 51 177  17.3% /  20.1%
2011/09/24  47 /  51 California 23 at  61 /  48 Washington 31 159  51.5% /  55.2%
2011/10/01  56 /  41 Washington 31 at  16 /  31 Utah 14 148  17.7% /  36.2%
2011/10/15  83 /  75 Colorado 24 at  48 /  31 Washington 52 161  78.4% /  67.8%
2011/10/22  44 /  32 Washington 21 at   4 /   2 Stanford 65 159   8.6% /  11.7%
2011/10/29  40 /  43 Arizona 31 at  47 /  33 Washington 42 172  59.2% /  67.9%
2011/11/05   6 /   4 Oregon 34 at  45 /  30 Washington 17 162  19.5% /  13.5%
2011/11/12  48 /  34 Washington 17 at  19 /  15 USC 40 158  27.5% /  46.3%
2011/11/19  52 /  43 Washington 21 at  71 /  71 Oregon St. 38 157  61.6% /  70.3%
2011/11/26  80 /  80 Washington St. 21 at  60 /  48 Washington 38 163  62.0% /  75.0%
2011/12/29  60 /  49 Washington -- vs  41 /  36 Baylor -- --  39.8% /  49.9%


16. Sheraton Hawaii Bowl

Saturday, December 24 at 8:00 PM

Nevada Wolf Pack (7 - 5; 5 - 2 Western Atlantic)
vs
Southern Miss Golden Eagles (10 - 2; 7 - 2 Conference-USA)
GUGS Score: 54.0

Justin

Nevada Wolf Pack
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2011 0.616 42 0.362 103 21.8 35 18.1 52 169.9 36
Southern Miss Golden Eagles
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2011 0.632 36 0.360 105 21.9 34 17.7 45 176.6 13

You'd think that a 10-2 team from a superior conference would be heavy favorites against a 7-5 team from a bottom-tier conference, but this isn't the case. The Wolfpack suffered a 49 point drubbing at the hands of a frustrated Oregon squad, and a 20-point loss at Boise State. Other than that their three losses have come by a combined nine points. Southern Miss, on the other hand, had bad losses to UAB and Marshall. These teams are about as mirror image of each other as you can get; they differ by 0.1 PPH on offense and 0.4 PPH on defense. Souther Miss plays slightly more up-tempo, but in the end they're going to have a slight edge. The emphasis, though, is on "slight." Southern Miss. 35, Nevada 33 (51.7%); 173 plays.

Eddie

Nevada Wolf Pack
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2011 0.543 56 0.466 89 18.4 39 16.5 67 170.4 22
Southern Miss Golden Eagles
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2011 0.893 15 0.482 76 21.3 18 14.5 50 168.9 33

Let's just say that RBA disagrees with Justin's accessment. Southern Miss's offense has been an anomaly this year because it shows up against strong competition but plays down to weak competition, such as Marshall and UAB. Their offense is above average at 19.7 -/+ 3.3 PPH (note the sign flip), which should have a field day against Nevada's 4.4 +/- 24.1 PPH defense. The Golden Eagle defense isn't great but better than Nevada at 10.2 +/- 8.6 PPH. Nobody will see this game, but it should be a respectable Southern Miss victory, 34-28, with 64.0% confidence.


Nevada Wolf Pack Season Summary

Date TFG RBA Away Team       TFG RBA Home Team Plays Odds
TFG / RBA
2011/09/10  26 /  49 Nevada 20 at  10 /   4 Oregon 69 189  20.8% /  24.0%
2011/09/17  39 /  57 Nevada 17 at 115 / 105 SJSU 14 167  90.2% /  95.1%
2011/09/24  50 /  60 Nevada 34 at  41 /  43 Texas Tech 35 171  34.6% /  48.2%
2011/10/01  45 /  56 Nevada 10 at   2 /   6 Boise St. 30 159   8.8% /   9.0%
2011/10/08 105 / 120 UNLV 0 at  44 /  52 Nevada 37 170  90.2% /  91.5%
2011/10/15 118 / 117 New Mexico 7 at  39 /  49 Nevada 49 171  97.4% /  93.9%
2011/10/22  73 /  77 Fresno St. 38 at  34 /  51 Nevada 45 174  82.3% /  68.0%
2011/10/29  33 /  51 Nevada 48 at 111 / 107 New Mexico St. 34 185  86.9% /  92.5%
2011/11/12  70 /  70 Hawaii 28 at  45 /  55 Nevada 42 180  69.8% /  56.4%
2011/11/19  59 /  63 LA Tech 24 at  44 /  55 Nevada 20 182  60.6% /  58.6%
2011/11/26  48 /  55 Nevada 17 at  82 /  79 Utah St. 21 158  71.0% /  63.7%
2011/12/03 107 / 107 Idaho 3 at  51 /  56 Nevada 56 173  83.6% /  86.4%
2011/12/24  36 /  15 Southern Miss. -- vs  42 /  56 Nevada -- --  48.3% /  36.0%


Southern Miss Golden Eagles Season Summary

Date TFG RBA Away Team       TFG RBA Home Team Plays Odds
TFG / RBA
2011/09/03  79 /  79 LA Tech 17 at  60 /  58 Southern Miss. 19 179  75.4% /  69.4%
2011/09/10  63 /  61 Southern Miss. 20 at  92 /  89 Marshall 26 186  59.1% /  79.2%
2011/09/24  69 /  61 Southern Miss. 30 at  87 /  83 Virginia 24 189  49.8% /  33.3%
2011/10/01 100 / 100 Rice 24 at  73 /  57 Southern Miss. 48 188  76.9% /  74.9%
2011/10/08  67 /  65 Southern Miss. 63 at  41 /  48 Navy 35 177  25.6% /  39.3%
2011/10/22  46 /  52 SMU 3 at  59 /  42 Southern Miss. 27 158  53.9% /  52.2%
2011/10/29  51 /  32 Southern Miss. 31 at  77 /  91 UTEP 13 162  57.1% /  80.5%
2011/11/05  47 /  26 Southern Miss. 48 at  88 /  86 East Carolina 28 174  70.3% /  81.0%
2011/11/12  54 /  59 UCF 29 at  42 /  29 Southern Miss. 30 174  61.3% /  69.7%
2011/11/17  41 /  27 Southern Miss. 31 at 114 / 118 UAB 34 166  92.1% /  93.1%
2011/11/26 118 / 114 Memphis 7 at  49 /  19 Southern Miss. 44 171  94.9% /  98.2%
2011/12/03  43 /  15 Southern Miss. 49 at  23 /  28 Houston 28 205  36.8% /  48.0%
2011/12/24  36 /  15 Southern Miss. -- vs  42 /  56 Nevada -- --  51.7% /  64.0%


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