Wednesday, December 21, 2011

2011 - 2012 Bowl Previews: Part III


Today is Part III of our 2011 - 2012 bowl preview series. Today we'll examine the
  • Kraft Fight Hunger Bowl
    UCLA Bruins vs Illinois Fighting Illini
  • Belk Bowl
    Louisville Cardinals vs North Carolina State Wolfpack
  • GoDaddy.com Bowl
    Arkansas State Red Wolves vs Northern Illinois Huskies
  • New Era Pinstripe Bowl
    Iowa State Cyclones vs Rutgers Scarlet Knights
  • MAACO Las Vegas Bowl
    Arizona State Sun Devils vs Boise State Broncos
Full previews after the jump ....

25. Kraft Fight Hunger Bowl

Saturday, December 31 at 7:30 PM

UCLA Bruins (6 - 7; 5 - 5 Pac-12)
vs
Illinois Fighting Illini (5 - 6; 2 - 6 Big Ten)
GUGS Score: 45.6

Eddie

UCLA Bruins
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2011 0.450 65 0.548 20 16.1 62 16.4 65 167.0 54
Illinois Fighting Illini
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2011 0.547 54 0.540 31 13.6 83 14.1 46 169.3 29

It's a little hard to get excited about a game between two teams with losing records against FBS with fired coaches. UCLA's problems stem from defensive consistency, where they rank 5th worst at 3.4 +/- 26.0 PPH. Luckily for the Bruins, the Illini are offensively inept, sporting a 17.9 +/- 8.6 PPH efficiency. If Illinois can get a few breaks offensively, this one can swing the other way. However, RBA expects UCLA to avoid being the first team to ever go 6-8 in a season, 28-24, with 58.4% probability.

Justin

UCLA Bruins
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2011 0.419 72 0.621 12 18.2 71 20.8 70 161.7 95
Illinois Fighting Illini
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2011 0.532 58 0.578 39 17.0 84 16.1 28 165.7 64

You can blame USC for this one. It wasn't too long ago that the Illini were amongst the ranks of the undefeated, although we were slightly skeptical. Illinois capped off their 5-0 start with an 0-6 finale, including a drubbing at the hands of Minnesota. The Illini aren't bad, per se, they just had an easy schedule at the start and a tough one at the end. Even back when they were 4-0 TFG foresaw a 7-4 season that should have happened (minus bad losses to Purdue and Minnesota). UCLA, on the other hand, were Oregon's punching bag in the first Pac-12 title game thanks to that other school in LA being on probation. Illinois has no offense but a respectable defense; UCLA has an average offense and a below-average defense. This game won't be an epic display of talent, but it should be relatively close. Illinois 30, UCLA 28 (61.3%); 163 plays.


UCLA Bruins Season Summary

Date TFG RBA Away Team       TFG RBA Home Team Plays Odds
TFG / RBA
2011/09/03  78 /  66 UCLA 34 at  63 /  67 Houston 38 170  25.5% /  49.3%
2011/09/10 117 / 107 SJSU 17 at  73 /  69 UCLA 27 154  91.3% /  86.3%
2011/09/17  24 /  30 Texas 49 at  76 /  76 UCLA 20 154  27.5% /  24.2%
2011/09/24  85 /  77 UCLA 27 at  55 /  82 Oregon St. 19 151  24.2% /  40.7%
2011/10/01  76 /  75 UCLA 19 at   4 /   3 Stanford 45 152   4.7% /   5.3%
2011/10/08  81 /  62 Washington St. 25 at  71 /  72 UCLA 28 157  64.6% /  35.4%
2011/10/20  70 /  75 UCLA 12 at  55 /  48 Arizona 48 180  27.9% /  23.9%
2011/10/29  53 /  55 California 14 at  76 /  79 UCLA 31 159  44.7% /  41.2%
2011/11/05  21 /  12 Arizona St. 28 at  68 /  73 UCLA 29 171  23.6% /  12.5%
2011/11/12  66 /  77 UCLA 6 at  32 /  35 Utah 31 148  28.8% /  23.7%
2011/11/19  94 /  82 Colorado 6 at  73 /  66 UCLA 45 150  64.1% /  57.6%
2011/11/26  64 /  63 UCLA 0 at  20 /  13 USC 50 151  22.6% /  17.7%
2011/12/02  75 /  65 UCLA 31 at   7 /   3 Oregon 49 183   9.4% /  10.2%
2011/12/31  58 /  54 Illinois -- vs  72 /  65 UCLA -- --  38.7% /  58.4%


Illinois Fighting Illini Season Summary

Date TFG RBA Away Team       TFG RBA Home Team Plays Odds
TFG / RBA
2011/09/03  88 /  90 Arkansas St. 15 at  40 /  32 Illinois 33 160  85.6% /  76.8%
2011/09/17  33 /  23 Arizona St. 14 at  34 /  24 Illinois 17 164  59.8% /  59.6%
2011/09/24  72 /  76 Western Michigan 20 at  34 /  24 Illinois 23 173  79.8% /  89.8%
2011/10/01  75 /  86 Northwestern 35 at  35 /  30 Illinois 38 166  81.3% /  71.4%
2011/10/08  38 /  29 Illinois 41 at  97 /  96 Indiana 20 181  77.9% /  82.7%
2011/10/15   9 /  18 Ohio St. 17 at  36 /  33 Illinois 7 147  36.0% /  72.1%
2011/10/22  38 /  37 Illinois 14 at  72 /  74 Purdue 21 171  60.8% /  76.5%
2011/10/29  43 /  46 Illinois 7 at  25 /  36 Penn State 10 172  26.0% /  48.3%
2011/11/12  21 /  28 Michigan 31 at  46 /  45 Illinois 14 157  36.6% /  30.6%
2011/11/19   6 /   6 Wisconsin 28 at  47 /  52 Illinois 17 144  15.9% /  14.4%
2011/11/26  46 /  54 Illinois 7 at  91 / 105 Minnesota 27 154  78.0% /  82.0%
2011/12/31  58 /  54 Illinois -- vs  72 /  65 UCLA -- --  61.3% /  41.6%


24. Belk Bowl

Tuesday, December 27 at 8:00 PM

Louisville Cardinals (6 - 5; 5 - 2 Big East)
vs
North Carolina State Wolfpack (5 - 5; 4 - 4 ACC)
GUGS Score: 47.1

Justin

Louisville Cardinals
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2011 0.586 46 0.515 65 21.3 42 18.6 59 154.9 117
North Carolina State Wolfpack
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2011 0.532 57 0.533 59 19.5 58 18.6 57 165.9 61

Ahh, the Big East. The second-least-predictable conference of the BCS six. The second-most depressing part of having these two conferences in the BCS is that they've eaten up automatic bids to big bowl games that otherwise could have gone to teams like TCU, Boise State, or Utah. This game will have all the hallmarks of a Big East/ACC matchup: low pace, mediocre defense, and so-so offense. The best analogy is that this would be an 8-9 game in the NCAA tournament. In the end, though, the Cardinals have a slightly better offense and should eek out the win. Louisville 32, North Carolina St. 30 (55.3%); 160 plays.

Eddie

Louisville Cardinals
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2011 0.617 48 0.494 71 14.8 72 12.5 30 166.1 71
North Carolina State Wolfpack
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2011 0.545 55 0.527 55 16.2 59 15.1 55 166.8 58

Big East versus ACC: The three-card monte of college football. All indications suggest that the game should be predictably slow when the Cardinal are on offense, as their 17.4 +/- 5.3 PPH offense faces off against the 14.6 +/- 1.0 PPH Wolfpack defense. In contrast, the other side of the ball is up in the air. NC State's offense is a respectable 23.4 +/- 14.4 PPH. Louisville's defense is slightly below average at 4.5 +/- 16.0 PPH. RBA says Louisville should prevail, 28-21, with 55.4% confidence, but we all know how three-card monte works out once the suckers show up.


Louisville Cardinals Season Summary

Date TFG RBA Away Team       TFG RBA Home Team Plays Odds
TFG / RBA
2011/09/09  82 /  70 FIU 24 at  51 /  46 Louisville 17 158  81.4% /  82.0%
2011/09/17  59 /  53 Louisville 24 at  48 /  50 Kentucky 17 165  34.1% /  36.8%
2011/10/01  99 / 104 Marshall 17 at  51 /  50 Louisville 13 160  85.3% /  80.4%
2011/10/08  60 /  61 Louisville 7 at  40 /  41 North Carolina 14 146  29.9% /  49.1%
2011/10/15  66 /  63 Louisville 16 at  40 /  39 Cincinnati 25 155  25.5% /  36.1%
2011/10/21  47 /  46 Rutgers 14 at  65 /  62 Louisville 16 141  50.9% /  56.0%
2011/10/29  65 /  65 Syracuse 10 at  64 /  58 Louisville 27 149  62.4% /  60.0%
2011/11/05  53 /  52 Louisville 38 at  28 /  31 West Virginia 35 165  28.7% /  31.3%
2011/11/12  36 /  36 Pittsburgh 21 at  50 /  54 Louisville 14 145  46.4% /  58.1%
2011/11/19  54 /  51 Louisville 34 at  58 /  73 Connecticut 20 167  54.0% /  62.9%
2011/11/25  52 /  47 Louisville 34 at  41 /  49 South Florida 24 160  45.7% /  44.1%
2011/12/27  57 /  55 North Carolina St. -- vs  46 /  48 Louisville -- --  55.3% /  55.4%


North Carolina State Wolfpack Season Summary

Date TFG RBA Away Team       TFG RBA Home Team Plays Odds
TFG / RBA
2011/09/10  24 /  35 North Carolina St. 27 at  88 /  95 Wake Forest 34 163  75.8% /  85.2%
2011/09/22  43 /  78 North Carolina St. 14 at  60 /  49 Cincinnati 44 167  50.7% /  73.8%
2011/10/01  38 /  38 Georgia Tech 45 at  58 /  83 North Carolina St. 35 163  42.7% /  37.2%
2011/10/08  95 / 108 Central Michigan 24 at  53 /  70 North Carolina St. 38 162  82.1% /  77.5%
2011/10/22  57 /  64 North Carolina St. 28 at  78 /  83 Virginia 14 172  54.7% /  41.7%
2011/10/29  57 /  63 North Carolina St. 0 at  16 /  15 Florida St. 34 156  17.7% /  23.0%
2011/11/05  34 /  46 North Carolina 0 at  63 /  66 North Carolina St. 13 157  37.8% /  41.0%
2011/11/12  59 /  65 North Carolina St. 10 at  87 /  82 Boston College 14 136  65.3% /  60.3%
2011/11/19  27 /  16 Clemson 13 at  62 /  65 North Carolina St. 37 173  28.0% /  27.4%
2011/11/26  79 / 110 Maryland 41 at  56 /  56 North Carolina St. 56 187  65.0% /  63.4%
2011/12/27  57 /  55 North Carolina St. -- vs  46 /  48 Louisville -- --  44.7% /  44.6%


23. GoDaddy.com Bowl

Sunday, January 8 at 9:00 PM

Arkansas State Red Wolves (9 - 2; 8 - 0 Sun Belt)
vs
Northern Illinois Huskies (9 - 3; 8 - 1 Mid-Atlantic)
GUGS Score: 47.2

Eddie

Arkansas State Red Wolves
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2011 0.420 69 0.429 117 14.4 79 14.6 51 163.7 94
Northern Illinois Huskies
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2011 0.468 63 0.441 107 20.1 25 20.0 94 164.2 92

It's hard to imagine a more awful college town than Jonesboro, Arkansas (believe me, I've been there), so I can see why coach Hugh Freeze decided to jump ship to Oxford, even if it is the worst job in college football. Coaching instability makes games harder to pick, and this game was already unpredictable. NIU's offense is consistently above average at 25.2 +/- 10.2 PPH, but their defense is rivals UCLA at 9.1 +/- 21.8 PPH. It's possible that Arkansas State's offense may be able to take advantage of the Huskies' defense with their 23.7 +/- 18.6 PPH efficiency. However, it seems that the Red Wolves must do so to win because their defense isn't great at 8.2 +/- 12.8 PPH. If everything goes according to plan, Arkansas State should win 31-27 with 54.6% confidence, but one has to wonder what the coaching change will do to an already shaky offense.

Justin

Arkansas State Red Wolves
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2011 0.485 64 0.285 120 18.2 70 18.6 58 172.0 25
Northern Illinois Huskies
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2011 0.540 55 0.337 115 22.6 28 21.2 73 170.2 32

One interesting point to note here is that Eddie and I disagree about most things here: who will win, whether Northern Illinois is a 0.500 team or not, and whether or not these teams play fast or slow. TFG says these are two of the 32 fastest teams in FBS, while RBA says both fall into the bottom quarter. Another interesting point is that the Huskies actually have a respectable offense, even if it's not particularly consistent. This is going to be a close one, but TFG gives the slight nod to Northern Illinois. Northern Ill. 35, Arkansas St. 33 (55.5%); 171 plays.


Arkansas State Red Wolves Season Summary

Date TFG RBA Away Team       TFG RBA Home Team Plays Odds
TFG / RBA
2011/09/03  88 /  90 Arkansas St. 15 at  40 /  32 Illinois 33 160  14.4% /  23.2%
2011/09/10 115 / 119 Memphis 3 at  93 /  85 Arkansas St. 47 175  85.5% /  82.6%
2011/09/17  85 /  84 Arkansas St. 7 at  11 /  10 Virginia Tech 26 163   6.5% /   5.4%
2011/10/01  89 /  80 Arkansas St. 26 at 112 / 107 Western Kentucky 22 169  68.2% /  69.6%
2011/10/08  90 /  83 Arkansas St. 24 at 113 / 104 LA-Monroe 19 188  65.4% /  73.3%
2011/10/18  78 /  61 FIU 16 at  87 /  80 Arkansas St. 34 164  54.9% /  32.3%
2011/10/29 105 / 105 North Texas 14 at  75 /  74 Arkansas St. 37 163  80.4% /  72.1%
2011/11/05  74 /  69 Arkansas St. 39 at 117 / 116 FL-Atlantic 21 169  87.0% /  89.6%
2011/11/12  93 /  89 LA-Lafayette 21 at  74 /  72 Arkansas St. 30 188  67.1% /  56.9%
2011/11/19  76 /  69 Arkansas St. 45 at 109 / 107 Middle Tenn. 19 206  76.5% /  79.1%
2011/12/03 100 / 103 Troy 14 at  67 /  70 Arkansas St. 45 181  70.4% /  65.6%
2012/01/08  55 /  63 Northern Ill. -- vs  64 /  69 Arkansas St. -- --  44.5% /  54.6%


Northern Illinois Huskies Season Summary

Date TFG RBA Away Team       TFG RBA Home Team Plays Odds
TFG / RBA
2011/09/03  84 /  83 Army 26 at  30 /  52 Northern Ill. 49 173  87.7% /  72.1%
2011/09/10  36 /  55 Northern Ill. 42 at  99 /  90 Kansas 45 176  77.1% /  79.3%
2011/09/17  13 /   3 Wisconsin 49 vs  47 /  64 Northern Ill. 7 160  23.7% /  28.2%
2011/10/01  55 /  72 Northern Ill. 41 at 101 / 110 Central Michigan 48 187  73.4% /  77.3%
2011/10/08 109 / 111 Kent St. 10 at  62 /  73 Northern Ill. 40 153  88.4% /  85.1%
2011/10/15  61 /  66 Western Michigan 22 at  56 /  68 Northern Ill. 51 188  61.6% /  42.8%
2011/10/22  48 /  66 Northern Ill. 31 at 115 / 110 Buffalo 30 196  87.0% /  76.7%
2011/11/01  58 /  64 Northern Ill. 63 at  48 /  49 Toledo 60 184  39.1% /  41.6%
2011/11/08  56 /  61 Northern Ill. 45 at  95 / 104 Bowling Green 14 166  73.2% /  70.7%
2011/11/15 107 /  97 Ball St. 38 at  52 /  61 Northern Ill. 41 197  85.8% /  78.6%
2011/11/25 113 / 113 Eastern Michigan 12 at  55 /  64 Northern Ill. 18 155  87.1% /  88.9%
2011/12/02  69 /  66 Ohio 20 vs  55 /  63 Northern Ill. 23 157  61.4% /  50.9%
2012/01/08  55 /  63 Northern Ill. -- vs  64 /  69 Arkansas St. -- --  55.5% /  45.4%


22. New Era Pinstripe Bowl

Friday, December 30 at 3:20 PM

Iowa State Cyclones (5 - 6; 3 - 6 Big XII)
vs
Rutgers Scarlet Knights (7 - 4; 4 - 3 Big East)
GUGS Score: 47.9

Justin

Iowa State Cyclones
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2011 0.421 71 0.611 18 15.6 95 17.7 43 174.5 16
Rutgers Scarlet Knights
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2011 0.560 53 0.520 62 19.2 62 17.5 41 164.2 73

One might say that the Cyclones are the reason we're having a rematch in the national title game instead of an Oklahoma State/LSU showdown (note: that would not work out well for OSU). Both teams have near-identical defenses at about 17.5 PPH, but the difference will be on offense. The Scarlet Knights have a 3.6 PPH advantage, which amounts to about six points over the course of a game. On the flip side, the Cyclones have demonstrated a penchant for upsets: four of their five victories this year have come when they were underdogs. Rutgers hasn't quite shown the same ability to play beyond their numbers, but TFG gives them a slight nod regardless. Rutgers 31, Iowa St. 27 (63.8%); 169 plays.

Eddie

Iowa State Cyclones
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2011 0.389 74 0.541 30 12.6 97 13.5 37 169.5 24
Rutgers Scarlet Knights
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2011 0.702 40 0.509 65 14.7 73 13.4 36 165.0 83

A bowl game in New York City baseball stadium in December? Whatever happened to lovely bowl destinations? Rutgers is a surprisingly respectable team at #40 in RBA's rankings. They're not great on either side of the ball, but they're consistent. The Scarlet Knight offensive efficiency is 16.4 +/- 3.3 PPH, and their defensive efficiency is 11.0 +/- 4.9 PPH. Iowa State rolls in at #74, largely due to a 4.8 +/- 17.4 PPH defense. However, their offense is a reliably lame 12.9 +/- 0.6 PPH. With neither team excelling on either side of the ball, the game is destined to be close, but RBA is fairly confident that the Cyclones will emerge victorious, 25-24, with 65.7% confidence.


Iowa State Cyclones Season Summary

Date TFG RBA Away Team       TFG RBA Home Team Plays Odds
TFG / RBA
2011/09/10  12 /  18 Iowa 41 at  79 /  81 Iowa St. 44 195  17.9% /  16.2%
2011/09/16  67 /  71 Iowa St. 24 at  61 /  62 Connecticut 20 174  35.6% /  29.6%
2011/10/01  22 /  24 Texas 37 at  60 /  66 Iowa St. 14 183  33.1% /  24.9%
2011/10/08  69 /  75 Iowa St. 26 at  49 /  39 Baylor 49 195  29.9% /  37.6%
2011/10/15  75 /  83 Iowa St. 17 at  26 /  28 Missouri 52 188  13.4% /  24.5%
2011/10/22  13 /  13 Texas A&M 33 at  84 /  84 Iowa St. 17 196  17.6% /  16.0%
2011/10/29  86 /  76 Iowa St. 41 at  35 /  40 Texas Tech 7 186  14.7% /  25.1%
2011/11/05 101 /  93 Kansas 10 at  76 /  77 Iowa St. 13 158  73.5% /  57.1%
2011/11/18   9 /   5 Oklahoma St. 31 at  77 /  81 Iowa St. 37 211  11.4% /  17.8%
2011/11/26  70 /  74 Iowa St. 6 at   5 /   5 Oklahoma 26 178  10.7% /   8.0%
2011/12/03  70 /  74 Iowa St. 23 at  32 /  27 Kansas St. 30 160  28.8% /  24.3%
2011/12/30  53 /  40 Rutgers -- vs  71 /  74 Iowa St. -- --  36.2% /  65.7%


Rutgers Scarlet Knights Season Summary

Date TFG RBA Away Team       TFG RBA Home Team Plays Odds
TFG / RBA
2011/09/10  69 /  77 Rutgers 22 at  37 /  32 North Carolina 24 154  20.4% /  21.5%
2011/09/24  70 /  69 Ohio 26 at  64 /  68 Rutgers 38 165  64.1% /  52.3%
2011/10/01  59 /  68 Rutgers 19 at  81 /  74 Syracuse 16 193  54.9% /  49.1%
2011/10/08  28 /  21 Pittsburgh 10 at  58 /  59 Rutgers 34 170  36.2% /  29.5%
2011/10/15  51 /  58 Navy 20 at  47 /  47 Rutgers 21 144  63.0% /  65.4%
2011/10/21  47 /  46 Rutgers 14 at  65 /  62 Louisville 16 141  49.1% /  44.0%
2011/10/29  27 /  30 West Virginia 41 at  52 /  52 Rutgers 31 185  44.7% /  24.4%
2011/11/05  44 /  51 South Florida 17 at  52 /  54 Rutgers 20 190  50.1% /  53.2%
2011/11/12  91 /  90 Army 12 vs  51 /  48 Rutgers 27 144  74.8% /  70.6%
2011/11/19  38 /  37 Cincinnati 3 at  46 /  41 Rutgers 20 166  44.1% /  35.4%
2011/11/26  40 /  39 Rutgers 22 at  63 /  70 Connecticut 40 156  63.0% /  62.0%
2011/12/30  53 /  40 Rutgers -- vs  71 /  74 Iowa St. -- --  63.8% /  34.3%


18. MAACO Las Vegas Bowl

Thursday, December 22 at 8:00 PM

Arizona State Sun Devils (5 - 6; 4 - 5 Pac-12)
vs
Boise State Broncos (11 - 1; 6 - 1 Mountain West)
GUGS Score: 52.6

Eddie

Arizona State Sun Devils
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2011 0.784 30 0.528 52 19.3 29 14.9 53 174.1 6
Boise State Broncos
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2011 0.949 8 0.462 95 25.7 6 11.6 21 168.8 35

As much as RBA loves Boise State, this game isn't even in the top five confidences in the bowl season. It entirely depends which Sun Devil team shows up. Is it the team that beat Missouri and USC or is it the team that lost to UCLA and Arizona? In those games, their defense didn't show up, which has become quite a habit lately at 10.5 +/- 8.7 PPH. (I blame Vontaze Burfict personal fouls.) However, their 24.5 +/- 10.6 PPH offense is generally good enough to keep them in games despite their defense. Boise State just keeps rocking along with Kellen Moore, sporting a 33.8 +/- 16.2 PPH offense that occasionally lets them down in big games. The Broncos have fallen in RBA's rankings largely due to a drop in defensive performance to 3.1 +/- 17.0 PPH. Despite being a pre-Christmas bowl game, this one should be pretty good, ending with a Bronco 34-31 victory with 74.4% probability.

Justin

Arizona State Sun Devils
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2011 0.629 38 0.584 33 20.9 45 16.9 35 177.7 10
Boise State Broncos
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2011 0.900 3 0.426 77 30.6 5 12.7 5 164.7 70

This one is slightly out-of-order thanks to it being played before part IV of our preview is published. While it's nice that the Broncos are getting pitted against a team from a BCS conference, it's kind of disappointing that it has to be a team like Arizona State. Once again the Broncos are near the top of our rankings, although this year they've only played two quality teams -- Georgia and TCU -- and went 1-1 in those games.  Even with that caveat, Boise is the much better team. The Sun Devils haven't won a game since October -- not for lack of trying, as they've been competitive in all their games -- but I'm skeptical they can pull off the upset in the biggest mismatch of the bowl season. Boise St. 40, Arizona St. 28 (84.2%); 171 plays.


Arizona State Sun Devils Season Summary

Date TFG RBA Away Team       TFG RBA Home Team Plays Odds
TFG / RBA
2011/09/09  16 /  25 Missouri 30 at  41 /  24 Arizona St. 37 179  43.9% /  55.7%
2011/09/17  33 /  23 Arizona St. 14 at  34 /  24 Illinois 17 164  40.2% /  40.4%
2011/09/24  23 /  29 USC 22 at  35 /  20 Arizona St. 43 161  50.7% /  60.9%
2011/10/01  61 /  87 Oregon St. 20 at  30 /  15 Arizona St. 35 185  79.2% /  80.4%
2011/10/08  32 /  11 Arizona St. 35 at  31 /  34 Utah 14 168  39.6% /  52.6%
2011/10/15  25 /  12 Arizona St. 27 at   7 /   6 Oregon 41 186  21.8% /  26.7%
2011/10/29  91 /  81 Colorado 14 at  23 /  14 Arizona St. 48 169  92.2% /  86.1%
2011/11/05  21 /  12 Arizona St. 28 at  68 /  73 UCLA 29 171  76.4% /  87.5%
2011/11/12  28 /  19 Arizona St. 27 at  88 /  80 Washington St. 37 179  81.5% /  86.6%
2011/11/19  61 /  58 Arizona 31 at  31 /  28 Arizona St. 27 200  67.4% /  67.5%
2011/11/25  45 /  41 California 47 at  34 /  29 Arizona St. 38 163  56.1% /  60.4%
2011/12/22   3 /   8 Boise St. -- vs  38 /  30 Arizona St. -- --  15.8% /  25.6%


Boise State Broncos Season Summary

Date TFG RBA Away Team       TFG RBA Home Team Plays Odds
TFG / RBA
2011/09/03  23 /  24 Georgia 21 vs   2 /   3 Boise St. 35 159  84.9% /  66.8%
2011/09/16   2 /   4 Boise St. 40 at  65 /  69 Toledo 15 181  89.8% /  96.4%
2011/09/24  52 /  54 Tulsa 21 at   2 /   5 Boise St. 41 162  93.1% /  89.8%
2011/10/01  45 /  56 Nevada 10 at   2 /   6 Boise St. 30 159  91.2% /  91.0%
2011/10/07   2 /   7 Boise St. 57 at  72 /  74 Fresno St. 7 161  90.9% /  91.9%
2011/10/15   2 /   7 Boise St. 63 at 109 / 106 Colorado St. 13 162  98.2% /  98.1%
2011/10/22  62 /  57 Air Force 26 at   3 /   7 Boise St. 37 158  95.9% /  90.0%
2011/11/05   3 /   6 Boise St. 48 at 113 / 120 UNLV 21 158  98.6% /  98.8%
2011/11/12   9 /  12 TCU 36 at   3 /   8 Boise St. 35 162  71.4% /  70.4%
2011/11/19   3 /   9 Boise St. 52 at  63 /  57 SDSU 35 184  90.6% /  87.9%
2011/11/26  89 /  83 Wyoming 14 at   3 /   8 Boise St. 36 155  94.9% /  92.6%
2011/12/03 120 / 117 New Mexico 0 at   4 /   8 Boise St. 45 160  99.4% /  99.3%
2011/12/22   3 /   8 Boise St. -- vs  38 /  30 Arizona St. -- --  84.2% /  74.4%


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