Tuesday, December 13, 2011

Week 15: Saturday Recap

This post is a bit late, but we've been busy getting our bowl previews ready and a whole slew of other features for the end of the year. Hold on, because it's about to get really busy around here.


Week 15
System Expected Actual
W - LWin % W - LWin %
TFG   0.7 -   0.3 71.4   1 -   0 100.0
RBA   0.7 -   0.3 66.3   1 -   0 100.0

Game of the Week
Navy Midshipmen 27, Army Knights 21; 144 plays

Justin
(61) Navy 39, (94) Army 32 (71.4%); 157 plays

Eddie
(69) Navy 31, (92) Army 27 (66.3%); 160 plays

As with all football involving the military academies, this was a slow and deliberate affair. We both overestimated the pace (and therefore the scores), but Eddie did a much better job predicting the efficiencies of each time.

Moving on to the end of the regular season tallies, I'm pretty happy with how the results stacked up to my expectations. I projected I would get 503 correct, and I'm actually at 501. Eddie was also within a percentage point, but just barely. I've looked at the bowl game projections coming up, and there are a number of places where we disagree. Clearly that means there's still more time for me to be even more correct than Eddie.


2011 - 2012 Season
System Expected Actual
W - LWin % W - LWin %
TFG 503.1 - 176.9 74.0 501 - 179 73.7
RBA 500.0 - 180.0 73.5 494 - 186 72.6

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