Week 9: Undefeated ... but for how long? — RBA

Odds as of games through 2016-10-23

Legitimate Title Contenders

Alabama Crimson Tide
Year	WinPct		SoS		Off.		Def.		Pace
2016	0.938	1	0.555	7	25.4	4	6.0	1	157.8	129

Date	Away Team				Home Team			Plays	Odds
2016/09/03	22	USC	6	vs	1	Alabama	52	162	84.1%
2016/09/10	40	Western Kentucky	10	at	1	Alabama	38	173	89.2%
2016/09/17	1	Alabama	48	at	7	Mississippi	43	189	81.6%
2016/09/24	125	Kent St.	0	at	1	Alabama	48	149	99.6%
2016/10/01	75	Kentucky	6	at	1	Alabama	34	154	97.5%
2016/10/08	2	Alabama	49	at	27	Arkansas	30	163	86.4%
2016/10/15	1	Alabama	49	at	26	Tennessee	10	167	88.6%
2016/10/22	14	Texas A&M	14	at	1	Alabama	33	177	82.5%
2016/11/05	1	Alabama	28	at	4	LSU	21	159	74.8%
2016/11/12	53	Mississippi St.	14	at	1	Alabama	35	161	95.0%
2016/11/26	8	Auburn	17	at	1	Alabama	31	159	82.2%

Odds of finishing undefeated: 58.4%
Most difficult game left: November 5, at LSU Tigers, 74.8%

Western Michigan Broncos
Year	WinPct		SoS		Off.		Def.		Pace
2016	0.750	20	0.467	91	23.1	12	13.7	36	169.3	54

Date	Away Team				Home Team			Plays	Odds
2016/09/03	61	Western Michigan	22	at	60	Northwestern	21	155	45.2%
2016/09/17	60	Western Michigan	34	at	81	Illinois	10	153	62.7%
2016/09/24	57	Georgia Southern	31	at	44	Western Michigan	49	156	50.9%
2016/10/01	37	Western Michigan	49	at	69	Central Michigan	10	144	57.9%
2016/10/08	91	Northern Ill.	30	at	25	Western Michigan	45	175	79.7%
2016/10/15	27	Western Michigan	41	at	82	Akron	0	169	82.6%
2016/10/22	110	Eastern Michigan	31	at	20	Western Michigan	45	173	91.5%
2016/11/01	20	Western Michigan	42	at	104	Ball St.	20	169	92.0%
2016/11/08	20	Western Michigan	42	at	118	Kent St.	17	167	95.2%
2016/11/19	108	Buffalo	17	at	20	Western Michigan	38	168	88.7%
2016/11/25	45	Toledo	28	at	20	Western Michigan	38	169	67.3%

Odds of finishing undefeated: 52.3%
Most difficult game left: November 25, vs Toledo Rockets, 67.3%

Boise State Broncos
Year	WinPct		SoS		Off.		Def.		Pace
2016	0.691	29	0.455	101	19.3	40	13.0	27	170.3	40

Date	Away Team				Home Team			Plays	Odds
2016/09/03	28	Boise St.	45	at	105	LA-Lafayette	10	175	86.5%
2016/09/10	39	Washington St.	28	at	25	Boise St.	31	179	57.4%
2016/09/24	27	Boise St.	38	at	95	Oregon St.	24	181	87.3%
2016/10/01	84	Utah St.	10	at	35	Boise St.	21	176	79.4%
2016/10/07	34	Boise St.	49	at	84	New Mexico	21	163	80.6%
2016/10/15	99	Colorado St.	23	at	28	Boise St.	28	165	89.1%
2016/10/20	35	BYU	27	at	29	Boise St.	28	185	55.2%
2016/10/29	29	Boise St.	38	at	96	Wyoming	24	168	85.2%
2016/11/04	112	SJSU	13	at	29	Boise St.	45	168	90.2%
2016/11/12	29	Boise St.	42	at	109	Hawaii	21	171	91.0%
2016/11/18	107	UNLV	14	at	29	Boise St.	42	169	89.2%
2016/11/25	29	Boise St.	31	at	58	Air Force	28	167	67.8%

Odds of finishing undefeated: 42.3%
Most difficult game left: November 25, at Air Force Falcons, 67.8%

Clemson Tigers
Year	WinPct		SoS		Off.		Def.		Pace
2016	0.797	12	0.535	46	19.9	31	10.1	12	169.9	42

Date	Away Team				Home Team			Plays	Odds
2016/09/03	10	Clemson	19	at	31	Auburn	13	174	70.1%
2016/09/10	105	Troy	24	at	10	Clemson	30	198	94.8%
2016/09/22	25	Clemson	26	at	37	Georgia Tech	7	162	76.9%
2016/10/01	9	Louisville	36	at	18	Clemson	42	194	61.3%
2016/10/07	22	Clemson	56	at	78	Boston College	10	164	88.9%
2016/10/15	45	North Carolina St.	17	at	12	Clemson	24	190	70.2%
2016/10/29	12	Clemson	31	at	28	Florida St.	28	167	64.7%
2016/11/05	99	Syracuse	17	at	12	Clemson	38	167	91.5%
2016/11/12	48	Pittsburgh	27	at	12	Clemson	41	166	75.7%
2016/11/19	12	Clemson	31	at	72	Wake Forest	17	168	87.0%
2016/11/26	71	South Carolina	14	at	12	Clemson	35	164	85.3%

Odds of finishing undefeated: 33.3%
Most difficult game left: October 29, at Florida State Seminoles, 64.7%

Second-Tier Hopefuls

Michigan Wolverines
Year	WinPct		SoS		Off.		Def.		Pace
2016	0.891	3	0.547	22	24.8	8	8.2	5	164.9	100

Date	Away Team				Home Team			Plays	Odds
2016/09/03	118	Hawaii	3	at	9	Michigan	63	142	97.4%
2016/09/10	120	UCF	14	at	3	Michigan	51	177	95.9%
2016/09/17	48	Colorado	28	at	4	Michigan	45	176	90.7%
2016/09/24	55	Penn State	10	at	8	Michigan	49	161	83.6%
2016/10/01	6	Wisconsin	7	at	4	Michigan	14	157	54.9%
2016/10/08	3	Michigan	78	at	81	Rutgers	0	163	90.2%
2016/10/22	80	Illinois	8	at	3	Michigan	41	148	94.5%
2016/10/29	3	Michigan	34	at	50	Michigan St.	20	165	89.6%
2016/11/05	86	Maryland	10	at	3	Michigan	48	165	95.9%
2016/11/12	3	Michigan	24	at	34	Iowa	14	164	84.6%
2016/11/19	66	Indiana	14	at	3	Michigan	41	169	92.9%
2016/11/26	3	Michigan	20	at	2	Ohio St.	28	163	38.7%

Odds of finishing undefeated: 26.1%
Most difficult game left: November 26, at Ohio State Buckeyes, 38.7%

Washington Huskies
Year	WinPct		SoS		Off.		Def.		Pace
2016	0.848	5	0.546	24	25.9	2	10.7	13	169.2	55

Date	Away Team				Home Team			Plays	Odds
2016/09/03	88	Rutgers	13	at	5	Washington	48	176	91.6%
2016/09/10	115	Idaho	14	at	5	Washington	59	165	96.4%
2016/09/24	6	Washington	35	at	62	Arizona	28	170	80.0%
2016/09/30	10	Stanford	6	at	11	Washington	44	143	48.5%
2016/10/08	5	Washington	70	at	46	Oregon	21	185	70.3%
2016/10/22	89	Oregon St.	17	at	5	Washington	41	153	93.1%
2016/10/29	5	Washington	34	at	38	Utah	28	168	80.2%
2016/11/05	5	Washington	38	at	60	California	24	171	87.0%
2016/11/12	7	USC	17	at	5	Washington	38	168	51.0%
2016/11/19	54	Arizona St.	21	at	5	Washington	42	172	85.9%
2016/11/25	5	Washington	34	at	13	Washington St.	28	171	64.7%

Odds of finishing undefeated: 19.8%
Most difficult game left: November 12, vs USC Trojans, 51.0%

West Virginia Mountaineers
Year	WinPct		SoS		Off.		Def.		Pace
2016	0.810	9	0.539	37	19.3	39	8.3	6	171.6	29

Date	Away Team				Home Team			Plays	Odds
2016/09/03	72	Missouri	11	at	21	West Virginia	26	215	76.6%
2016/09/24	41	BYU	32	vs	14	West Virginia	35	175	66.6%
2016/10/01	27	Kansas St.	16	at	16	West Virginia	17	174	72.6%
2016/10/15	18	West Virginia	48	at	48	Texas Tech	17	182	74.1%
2016/10/22	33	TCU	10	at	9	West Virginia	34	161	56.9%
2016/10/29	9	West Virginia	31	at	37	Oklahoma St.	28	174	75.0%
2016/11/05	125	Kansas	3	at	9	West Virginia	45	171	98.1%
2016/11/12	9	West Virginia	31	at	41	Texas	27	170	77.4%
2016/11/19	17	Oklahoma	28	at	9	West Virginia	35	172	61.4%
2016/11/26	9	West Virginia	35	at	52	Iowa St.	21	172	81.2%
2016/12/03	24	Baylor	28	at	9	West Virginia	35	175	66.7%

Odds of finishing undefeated: 18.9%
Most difficult game left: November 19, vs Oklahoma Sooners, 61.4%

Absolute Phonies

Baylor Bears
Year	WinPct		SoS		Off.		Def.		Pace
2016	0.733	24	0.546	25	22.1	19	13.1	29	178.8	4

Date	Away Team				Home Team			Plays	Odds
2016/09/10	103	SMU	13	at	8	Baylor	40	220	94.7%
2016/09/16	14	Baylor	38	at	110	Rice	10	197	95.7%
2016/09/24	42	Oklahoma St.	24	at	17	Baylor	35	189	68.6%
2016/10/01	15	Baylor	45	at	59	Iowa St.	42	189	85.7%
2016/10/15	125	Kansas	7	at	23	Baylor	49	184	97.0%
2016/10/29	24	Baylor	35	at	41	Texas	31	174	63.0%
2016/11/05	33	TCU	28	at	24	Baylor	38	175	57.2%
2016/11/12	24	Baylor	34	at	17	Oklahoma	38	175	44.3%
2016/11/19	27	Kansas St.	27	at	24	Baylor	38	172	51.2%
2016/11/25	24	Baylor	42	vs	49	Texas Tech	35	180	67.9%
2016/12/03	24	Baylor	28	at	9	West Virginia	35	175	33.3%

Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-54.1
Most difficult game left: December 3, at West Virginia Mountaineers, 33.3%

Nebraska Cornhuskers
Year	WinPct		SoS		Off.		Def.		Pace
2016	0.683	31	0.529	53	19.5	36	13.4	33	168.2	64

Date	Away Team				Home Team			Plays	Odds
2016/09/03	113	Fresno St.	10	at	41	Nebraska	43	161	90.1%
2016/09/10	100	Wyoming	17	at	34	Nebraska	52	167	89.8%
2016/09/17	30	Oregon	32	at	33	Nebraska	35	184	51.8%
2016/09/24	33	Nebraska	24	at	51	Northwestern	13	170	65.6%
2016/10/01	91	Illinois	16	at	32	Nebraska	31	136	77.0%
2016/10/15	32	Nebraska	27	at	66	Indiana	22	167	71.7%
2016/10/22	103	Purdue	14	at	31	Nebraska	27	160	88.7%
2016/10/29	31	Nebraska	20	at	11	Wisconsin	28	164	31.9%
2016/11/05	31	Nebraska	20	at	2	Ohio St.	38	165	11.1%
2016/11/12	61	Minnesota	21	at	31	Nebraska	31	166	67.5%
2016/11/19	86	Maryland	17	at	31	Nebraska	38	167	82.2%
2016/11/25	31	Nebraska	24	at	34	Iowa	25	166	48.1%

Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-105.8
Most difficult game left: November 5, at Ohio State Buckeyes, 11.1%

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