Tuesday, October 18, 2016

Week 8: Undefeated ... but for how long? — RBA

Odds as of games through 2016-10-16

Legitimate Title Contenders

Alabama Crimson Tide
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2016 0.930 1 0.555 8 25.6 3 6.2 1 157.7 129
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2016/09/03  22 USC 6 vs   1 Alabama 52 162 84.1%
2016/09/10  40 Western Kentucky 10 at   1 Alabama 38 173 89.2%
2016/09/17   1 Alabama 48 at   7 Mississippi 43 189 81.6%
2016/09/24 125 Kent St. 0 at   1 Alabama 48 149 99.6%
2016/10/01  75 Kentucky 6 at   1 Alabama 34 154 97.5%
2016/10/08   2 Alabama 49 at  27 Arkansas 30 163 86.4%
2016/10/15   1 Alabama 49 at  26 Tennessee 10 167 88.6%
2016/10/22  11 Texas A&M 20 at   1 Alabama 38 166 82.5%
2016/11/05   1 Alabama 28 at  10 LSU 20 159 79.9%
2016/11/12  52 Mississippi St. 14 at   1 Alabama 35 161 93.8%
2016/11/26  13 Auburn 14 at   1 Alabama 34 159 81.9%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 50.6%
Most difficult game left: November 5, at LSU Tigers, 79.9%


Ohio State Buckeyes
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2016 0.925 2 0.529 53 26.5 1 7.2 2 162.0 118
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2016/09/03  67 Bowling Green 10 at   2 Ohio St. 77 195 84.3%
2016/09/10  76 Tulsa 3 at   2 Ohio St. 48 168 92.3%
2016/09/17   2 Ohio St. 45 at  10 Oklahoma 24 165 72.4%
2016/10/01  81 Rutgers 0 at   2 Ohio St. 58 169 96.6%
2016/10/08  64 Indiana 17 at   1 Ohio St. 38 169 95.5%
2016/10/15   2 Ohio St. 30 at   7 Wisconsin 23 174 82.0%
2016/10/22   2 Ohio St. 42 at  63 Penn State 17 163 95.0%
2016/10/29  49 Northwestern 17 at   2 Ohio St. 41 169 93.0%
2016/11/05  32 Nebraska 17 at   2 Ohio St. 38 165 88.5%
2016/11/12   2 Ohio St. 42 at  80 Maryland 10 164 96.7%
2016/11/19   2 Ohio St. 38 at  42 Michigan St. 17 164 91.9%
2016/11/26   3 Michigan 20 at   2 Ohio St. 31 163 71.7%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 49.8%
Most difficult game left: November 26, vs Michigan Wolverines, 71.7%


Western Michigan Broncos
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2016 0.718 27 0.468 91 23.1 12 13.4 35 169.3 52
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2016/09/03  61 Western Michigan 22 at  60 Northwestern 21 155 45.2%
2016/09/17  60 Western Michigan 34 at  81 Illinois 10 153 62.7%
2016/09/24  57 Georgia Southern 31 at  44 Western Michigan 49 156 50.9%
2016/10/01  37 Western Michigan 49 at  69 Central Michigan 10 144 57.9%
2016/10/08  91 Northern Ill. 30 at  25 Western Michigan 45 175 79.7%
2016/10/15  27 Western Michigan 41 at  82 Akron 0 169 82.6%
2016/10/22 112 Eastern Michigan 17 at  27 Western Michigan 48 167 91.5%
2016/11/01  27 Western Michigan 42 at 107 Ball St. 20 169 90.8%
2016/11/08  27 Western Michigan 42 at 116 Kent St. 17 167 93.0%
2016/11/19 106 Buffalo 20 at  27 Western Michigan 35 168 86.2%
2016/11/25  41 Toledo 28 at  27 Western Michigan 38 169 59.9%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 39.9%
Most difficult game left: November 25, vs Toledo Rockets, 59.9%


Clemson Tigers
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2016 0.787 12 0.535 46 19.9 34 10.1 11 169.9 42
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2016/09/03  10 Clemson 19 at  31 Auburn 13 174 70.1%
2016/09/10 105 Troy 24 at  10 Clemson 30 198 94.8%
2016/09/22  25 Clemson 26 at  37 Georgia Tech 7 162 76.9%
2016/10/01   9 Louisville 36 at  18 Clemson 42 194 61.3%
2016/10/07  22 Clemson 56 at  78 Boston College 10 164 88.9%
2016/10/15  45 North Carolina St. 17 at  12 Clemson 24 190 70.2%
2016/10/29  12 Clemson 31 at  29 Florida St. 28 167 64.7%
2016/11/05 101 Syracuse 17 at  12 Clemson 38 167 92.6%
2016/11/12  47 Pittsburgh 27 at  12 Clemson 41 166 75.7%
2016/11/19  12 Clemson 31 at  76 Wake Forest 17 168 87.0%
2016/11/26  69 South Carolina 17 at  12 Clemson 35 164 84.9%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 33.5%
Most difficult game left: October 29, at Florida State Seminoles, 64.7%


Second-Tier Hopefuls

Boise State Broncos
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2016 0.709 28 0.454 102 19.8 36 13.1 33 170.2 40
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2016/09/03  28 Boise St. 45 at 105 LA-Lafayette 10 175 86.5%
2016/09/10  39 Washington St. 28 at  25 Boise St. 31 179 57.4%
2016/09/24  27 Boise St. 38 at  95 Oregon St. 24 181 87.3%
2016/10/01  84 Utah St. 10 at  35 Boise St. 21 176 79.4%
2016/10/07  34 Boise St. 49 at  84 New Mexico 21 163 80.6%
2016/10/15  99 Colorado St. 23 at  28 Boise St. 28 165 89.1%
2016/10/20  36 BYU 24 at  28 Boise St. 34 171 55.2%
2016/10/29  28 Boise St. 41 at 100 Wyoming 21 168 89.5%
2016/11/04 114 SJSU 17 at  28 Boise St. 42 168 91.2%
2016/11/12  28 Boise St. 42 at 108 Hawaii 20 171 91.3%
2016/11/18 104 UNLV 14 at  28 Boise St. 42 169 89.9%
2016/11/25  28 Boise St. 31 at  55 Air Force 27 167 66.0%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 24.4%
Most difficult game left: October 20, vs BYU Cougars, 55.2%


Washington Huskies
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2016 0.825 4 0.547 23 26.3 2 10.6 13 169.3 53
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2016/09/03  88 Rutgers 13 at   5 Washington 48 176 91.6%
2016/09/10 115 Idaho 14 at   5 Washington 59 165 96.4%
2016/09/24   6 Washington 35 at  62 Arizona 28 170 80.0%
2016/09/30  10 Stanford 6 at  11 Washington 44 143 48.5%
2016/10/08   5 Washington 70 at  46 Oregon 21 185 70.3%
2016/10/22  91 Oregon St. 14 at   4 Washington 49 170 93.1%
2016/10/29   4 Washington 31 at  37 Utah 27 168 76.4%
2016/11/05   4 Washington 38 at  53 California 24 170 82.8%
2016/11/12   8 USC 17 at   4 Washington 38 168 54.9%
2016/11/19  51 Arizona St. 21 at   4 Washington 42 172 82.5%
2016/11/25   4 Washington 31 at  14 Washington St. 28 171 61.5%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 16.4%
Most difficult game left: November 12, vs USC Trojans, 54.9%


Michigan Wolverines
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2016 0.843 3 0.549 18 25.2 6 8.3 5 165.0 98
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2016/09/03 118 Hawaii 3 at   9 Michigan 63 142 97.4%
2016/09/10 120 UCF 14 at   3 Michigan 51 177 95.9%
2016/09/17  48 Colorado 28 at   4 Michigan 45 176 90.7%
2016/09/24  55 Penn State 10 at   8 Michigan 49 161 83.6%
2016/10/01   6 Wisconsin 7 at   4 Michigan 14 157 54.9%
2016/10/08   3 Michigan 78 at  81 Rutgers 0 163 90.2%
2016/10/22  93 Illinois 10 at   3 Michigan 49 167 94.5%
2016/10/29   3 Michigan 31 at  42 Michigan St. 20 165 81.8%
2016/11/05  80 Maryland 7 at   3 Michigan 49 165 92.2%
2016/11/12   3 Michigan 24 at  30 Iowa 17 164 75.9%
2016/11/19  66 Indiana 17 at   3 Michigan 41 169 89.5%
2016/11/26   3 Michigan 20 at   2 Ohio St. 31 163 28.3%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 13.7%
Most difficult game left: November 26, at Ohio State Buckeyes, 28.3%


Long Shots

Texas A&M Aggies
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2016 0.791 11 0.548 20 18.6 47 9.5 9 174.6 11
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2016/09/03  27 UCLA 24 at  14 Texas A&M 31 202 56.9%
2016/09/17  13 Texas A&M 29 at  19 Auburn 16 201 36.0%
2016/09/24  15 Arkansas 24 vs   5 Texas A&M 45 166 62.2%
2016/10/01   8 Texas A&M 24 at  72 South Carolina 13 174 79.6%
2016/10/08  20 Tennessee 38 at  10 Texas A&M 45 224 60.8%
2016/10/22  11 Texas A&M 20 at   1 Alabama 38 166 17.5%
2016/10/29 122 New Mexico St. 10 at  11 Texas A&M 52 171 96.7%
2016/11/05  11 Texas A&M 27 at  52 Mississippi St. 24 169 76.4%
2016/11/12   6 Mississippi 28 at  11 Texas A&M 31 170 57.3%
2016/11/19  87 UTSA 21 at  11 Texas A&M 41 171 86.9%
2016/11/24  10 LSU 21 at  11 Texas A&M 28 167 54.2%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-28.7
Most difficult game left: October 22, at Alabama Crimson Tide, 17.5%


West Virginia Mountaineers
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2016 0.769 18 0.538 40 19.2 41 8.6 6 171.6 28
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2016/09/03  72 Missouri 11 at  21 West Virginia 26 215 76.6%
2016/09/24  41 BYU 32 vs  14 West Virginia 35 175 66.6%
2016/10/01  27 Kansas St. 16 at  16 West Virginia 17 174 72.6%
2016/10/15  18 West Virginia 48 at  48 Texas Tech 17 182 74.1%
2016/10/22  21 TCU 31 at  18 West Virginia 34 171 56.9%
2016/10/29  18 West Virginia 31 at  38 Oklahoma St. 32 174 31.4%
2016/11/05 125 Kansas 0 at  18 West Virginia 45 171 97.2%
2016/11/12  18 West Virginia 31 at  50 Texas 27 170 75.5%
2016/11/19  20 Oklahoma 31 at  18 West Virginia 34 172 57.2%
2016/11/26  18 West Virginia 34 at  54 Iowa St. 24 172 76.1%
2016/12/03  23 Baylor 31 at  18 West Virginia 34 175 59.6%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-29.4
Most difficult game left: October 29, at Oklahoma State Cowboys, 31.4%


Baylor Bears
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2016 0.733 23 0.546 25 22.1 19 13.1 32 178.8 3
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2016/09/10 103 SMU 13 at   8 Baylor 40 220 94.7%
2016/09/16  14 Baylor 38 at 110 Rice 10 197 95.7%
2016/09/24  42 Oklahoma St. 24 at  17 Baylor 35 189 68.6%
2016/10/01  15 Baylor 45 at  59 Iowa St. 42 189 85.7%
2016/10/15 125 Kansas 7 at  23 Baylor 49 184 97.0%
2016/10/29  23 Baylor 35 at  50 Texas 28 174 67.6%
2016/11/05  21 TCU 34 at  23 Baylor 38 175 52.7%
2016/11/12  23 Baylor 34 at  20 Oklahoma 38 175 47.7%
2016/11/19  25 Kansas St. 27 at  23 Baylor 38 172 53.0%
2016/11/25  23 Baylor 42 vs  48 Texas Tech 35 180 66.3%
2016/12/03  23 Baylor 31 at  18 West Virginia 34 175 40.4%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-41.5
Most difficult game left: December 3, at West Virginia Mountaineers, 40.4%


Absolute Phonies

Nebraska Cornhuskers
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2016 0.689 32 0.530 52 20.1 32 13.5 36 168.2 64
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2016/09/03 113 Fresno St. 10 at  41 Nebraska 43 161 90.1%
2016/09/10 100 Wyoming 17 at  34 Nebraska 52 167 89.8%
2016/09/17  30 Oregon 32 at  33 Nebraska 35 184 51.8%
2016/09/24  33 Nebraska 24 at  51 Northwestern 13 170 65.6%
2016/10/01  91 Illinois 16 at  32 Nebraska 31 136 77.0%
2016/10/15  32 Nebraska 27 at  66 Indiana 22 167 71.7%
2016/10/22 105 Purdue 20 at  32 Nebraska 45 170 88.7%
2016/10/29  32 Nebraska 20 at   7 Wisconsin 28 164 31.9%
2016/11/05  32 Nebraska 17 at   2 Ohio St. 38 165 11.5%
2016/11/12  65 Minnesota 20 at  32 Nebraska 31 166 73.5%
2016/11/19  80 Maryland 14 at  32 Nebraska 41 167 79.5%
2016/11/25  32 Nebraska 24 at  30 Iowa 27 166 49.3%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-106.7
Most difficult game left: November 5, at Ohio State Buckeyes, 11.5%


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