Tuesday, October 11, 2016

Week 7: Undefeated ... but for how long? — RBA

Odds as of games through 2016-10-09

Legitimate Title Contenders

Alabama Crimson Tide
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2016 0.938 2 0.555 9 25.2 6 6.6 1 157.7 129
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2016/09/03  22 USC 6 vs   1 Alabama 52 162 84.1%
2016/09/10  40 Western Kentucky 10 at   1 Alabama 38 173 89.2%
2016/09/17   1 Alabama 48 at   7 Mississippi 43 189 81.6%
2016/09/24 125 Kent St. 0 at   1 Alabama 48 149 99.6%
2016/10/01  75 Kentucky 6 at   1 Alabama 34 154 97.5%
2016/10/08   2 Alabama 49 at  27 Arkansas 30 163 86.4%
2016/10/15   2 Alabama 34 at  20 Tennessee 27 160 88.6%
2016/10/22  10 Texas A&M 21 at   2 Alabama 38 166 84.5%
2016/11/05   2 Alabama 28 at  21 LSU 20 159 88.5%
2016/11/12  45 Mississippi St. 17 at   2 Alabama 35 161 93.3%
2016/11/26  11 Auburn 17 at   2 Alabama 34 159 84.0%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 51.9%
Most difficult game left: November 26, vs Auburn Tigers, 84.0%


Ohio State Buckeyes
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2016 0.941 1 0.529 53 26.9 1 7.2 2 161.9 118
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2016/09/03  67 Bowling Green 10 at   2 Ohio St. 77 195 84.3%
2016/09/10  76 Tulsa 3 at   2 Ohio St. 48 168 92.3%
2016/09/17   2 Ohio St. 45 at  10 Oklahoma 24 165 72.4%
2016/10/01  81 Rutgers 0 at   2 Ohio St. 58 169 96.6%
2016/10/08  64 Indiana 17 at   1 Ohio St. 38 169 95.5%
2016/10/15   1 Ohio St. 28 at   8 Wisconsin 20 161 82.0%
2016/10/22   1 Ohio St. 45 at  63 Penn State 17 163 96.1%
2016/10/29  52 Northwestern 17 at   1 Ohio St. 41 169 94.7%
2016/11/05  31 Nebraska 20 at   1 Ohio St. 41 165 91.1%
2016/11/12   1 Ohio St. 42 at  68 Maryland 14 164 96.5%
2016/11/19   1 Ohio St. 38 at  37 Michigan St. 20 163 92.4%
2016/11/26   3 Michigan 20 at   1 Ohio St. 34 163 76.7%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 46.5%
Most difficult game left: November 26, vs Michigan Wolverines, 76.7%


Western Michigan Broncos
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2016 0.739 26 0.468 90 23.1 14 15.0 51 169.3 53
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2016/09/03  61 Western Michigan 22 at  60 Northwestern 21 155 45.2%
2016/09/17  60 Western Michigan 34 at  81 Illinois 10 153 62.7%
2016/09/24  57 Georgia Southern 31 at  44 Western Michigan 49 156 50.9%
2016/10/01  37 Western Michigan 49 at  69 Central Michigan 10 144 57.9%
2016/10/08  91 Northern Ill. 30 at  26 Western Michigan 45 175 79.7%
2016/10/15  26 Western Michigan 42 at  83 Akron 27 168 82.6%
2016/10/22 117 Eastern Michigan 20 at  26 Western Michigan 49 167 94.4%
2016/11/01  26 Western Michigan 42 at 106 Ball St. 21 169 91.4%
2016/11/08  26 Western Michigan 45 at 120 Kent St. 17 167 96.4%
2016/11/19 108 Buffalo 21 at  26 Western Michigan 35 168 88.2%
2016/11/25  39 Toledo 31 at  26 Western Michigan 38 169 60.0%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 36.4%
Most difficult game left: November 25, vs Toledo Rockets, 60.0%


Second-Tier Hopefuls

Boise State Broncos
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2016 0.687 34 0.454 102 20.0 38 13.0 31 170.2 40
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2016/09/03  28 Boise St. 45 at 105 LA-Lafayette 10 175 86.5%
2016/09/10  39 Washington St. 28 at  25 Boise St. 31 179 57.4%
2016/09/24  27 Boise St. 38 at  95 Oregon St. 24 181 87.3%
2016/10/01  84 Utah St. 10 at  35 Boise St. 21 176 79.4%
2016/10/07  34 Boise St. 49 at  84 New Mexico 21 163 80.6%
2016/10/15 100 Colorado St. 14 at  34 Boise St. 38 166 89.1%
2016/10/20  40 BYU 24 at  34 Boise St. 34 171 56.3%
2016/10/29  34 Boise St. 41 at  98 Wyoming 21 168 88.5%
2016/11/04 113 SJSU 14 at  34 Boise St. 45 168 89.9%
2016/11/12  34 Boise St. 45 at 110 Hawaii 20 171 91.5%
2016/11/18  99 UNLV 14 at  34 Boise St. 42 169 88.3%
2016/11/25  34 Boise St. 29 at  48 Air Force 28 167 59.0%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 19.0%
Most difficult game left: October 20, vs BYU Cougars, 56.3%


Washington Huskies
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2016 0.826 5 0.547 24 26.3 2 10.6 13 169.3 55
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2016/09/03  88 Rutgers 13 at   5 Washington 48 176 91.6%
2016/09/10 115 Idaho 14 at   5 Washington 59 165 96.4%
2016/09/24   6 Washington 35 at  62 Arizona 28 170 80.0%
2016/09/30  10 Stanford 6 at  11 Washington 44 143 48.5%
2016/10/08   5 Washington 70 at  46 Oregon 21 185 70.3%
2016/10/22  95 Oregon St. 14 at   5 Washington 52 170 95.1%
2016/10/29   5 Washington 31 at  36 Utah 27 168 77.6%
2016/11/05   5 Washington 38 at  53 California 24 170 82.8%
2016/11/12   9 USC 17 at   5 Washington 38 168 53.1%
2016/11/19  54 Arizona St. 24 at   5 Washington 42 172 83.2%
2016/11/25   5 Washington 34 at  17 Washington St. 28 171 65.7%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 17.7%
Most difficult game left: November 12, vs USC Trojans, 53.1%


Clemson Tigers
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2016 0.745 22 0.536 45 20.8 31 10.4 11 169.8 46
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2016/09/03  10 Clemson 19 at  31 Auburn 13 174 70.1%
2016/09/10 105 Troy 24 at  10 Clemson 30 198 94.8%
2016/09/22  25 Clemson 26 at  37 Georgia Tech 7 162 76.9%
2016/10/01   9 Louisville 36 at  18 Clemson 42 194 61.3%
2016/10/07  22 Clemson 56 at  78 Boston College 10 163 88.9%
2016/10/15  56 North Carolina St. 17 at  22 Clemson 34 169 70.2%
2016/10/29  22 Clemson 31 at  29 Florida St. 28 167 54.8%
2016/11/05  93 Syracuse 17 at  22 Clemson 42 167 86.0%
2016/11/12  49 Pittsburgh 27 at  22 Clemson 41 166 67.2%
2016/11/19  22 Clemson 34 at  86 Wake Forest 20 168 85.2%
2016/11/26  72 South Carolina 17 at  22 Clemson 35 164 78.5%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 14.9%
Most difficult game left: October 29, at Florida State Seminoles, 54.8%


Michigan Wolverines
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2016 0.843 3 0.549 18 25.2 6 8.3 3 165.0 97
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2016/09/03 118 Hawaii 3 at   9 Michigan 63 142 97.4%
2016/09/10 120 UCF 14 at   3 Michigan 51 177 95.9%
2016/09/17  48 Colorado 28 at   4 Michigan 45 176 90.7%
2016/09/24  55 Penn State 10 at   8 Michigan 49 161 83.6%
2016/10/01   6 Wisconsin 7 at   4 Michigan 14 157 54.9%
2016/10/08   3 Michigan 78 at  81 Rutgers 0 163 90.2%
2016/10/22  90 Illinois 10 at   3 Michigan 49 167 94.1%
2016/10/29   3 Michigan 31 at  37 Michigan St. 20 165 78.7%
2016/11/05  68 Maryland 10 at   3 Michigan 45 165 89.5%
2016/11/12   3 Michigan 24 at  33 Iowa 17 164 76.4%
2016/11/19  64 Indiana 17 at   3 Michigan 41 169 88.7%
2016/11/26   3 Michigan 20 at   1 Ohio St. 34 163 23.3%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 10.5%
Most difficult game left: November 26, at Ohio State Buckeyes, 23.3%


Long Shots

Baylor Bears
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2016 0.767 15 0.548 22 21.8 21 13.2 32 178.8 3
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2016/09/10 103 SMU 13 at   8 Baylor 40 220 94.7%
2016/09/16  14 Baylor 38 at 110 Rice 10 197 95.7%
2016/09/24  42 Oklahoma St. 24 at  17 Baylor 35 189 68.6%
2016/10/01  15 Baylor 45 at  59 Iowa St. 42 189 85.7%
2016/10/15 125 Kansas 10 at  15 Baylor 42 175 97.0%
2016/10/29  15 Baylor 38 at  55 Texas 28 174 72.7%
2016/11/05  24 TCU 34 at  15 Baylor 38 175 52.1%
2016/11/12  15 Baylor 35 at  18 Oklahoma 38 175 49.5%
2016/11/19  23 Kansas St. 27 at  15 Baylor 38 172 50.5%
2016/11/25  15 Baylor 45 vs  50 Texas Tech 38 180 71.4%
2016/12/03  15 Baylor 34 at  16 West Virginia 31 175 53.3%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-28.6
Most difficult game left: November 12, at Oklahoma Sooners, 49.5%


Texas A&M Aggies
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2016 0.793 10 0.548 21 18.6 46 9.5 9 174.6 11
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2016/09/03  27 UCLA 24 at  14 Texas A&M 31 202 56.9%
2016/09/17  13 Texas A&M 29 at  19 Auburn 16 201 36.0%
2016/09/24  15 Arkansas 24 vs   5 Texas A&M 45 166 62.2%
2016/10/01   8 Texas A&M 24 at  72 South Carolina 13 174 79.6%
2016/10/08  20 Tennessee 38 at  10 Texas A&M 45 224 60.8%
2016/10/22  10 Texas A&M 21 at   2 Alabama 38 166 15.5%
2016/10/29 121 New Mexico St. 10 at  10 Texas A&M 55 171 96.7%
2016/11/05  10 Texas A&M 28 at  45 Mississippi St. 27 169 71.9%
2016/11/12   7 Mississippi 28 at  10 Texas A&M 31 170 58.3%
2016/11/19 101 UTSA 20 at  10 Texas A&M 41 171 92.7%
2016/11/24  21 LSU 21 at  10 Texas A&M 28 167 58.4%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-29.4
Most difficult game left: October 22, at Alabama Crimson Tide, 15.5%


West Virginia Mountaineers
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2016 0.763 16 0.538 39 17.7 57 9.1 7 171.6 28
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2016/09/03  72 Missouri 11 at  21 West Virginia 26 215 76.6%
2016/09/24  41 BYU 32 vs  14 West Virginia 35 175 66.6%
2016/10/01  27 Kansas St. 16 at  16 West Virginia 17 174 72.6%
2016/10/15  16 West Virginia 38 at  50 Texas Tech 35 176 74.1%
2016/10/22  24 TCU 34 at  16 West Virginia 31 171 44.6%
2016/10/29  16 West Virginia 28 at  38 Oklahoma St. 31 174 32.7%
2016/11/05 125 Kansas 0 at  16 West Virginia 45 171 97.3%
2016/11/12  16 West Virginia 31 at  55 Texas 28 170 75.3%
2016/11/19  18 Oklahoma 31 at  16 West Virginia 34 172 53.8%
2016/11/26  16 West Virginia 34 at  57 Iowa St. 24 172 75.9%
2016/12/03  15 Baylor 34 at  16 West Virginia 31 175 46.7%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-66.2
Most difficult game left: October 29, at Oklahoma State Cowboys, 32.7%


Absolute Phonies

Nebraska Cornhuskers
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2016 0.694 31 0.532 51 20.7 32 13.5 33 168.2 65
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2016/09/03 113 Fresno St. 10 at  41 Nebraska 43 161 90.1%
2016/09/10 100 Wyoming 17 at  34 Nebraska 52 167 89.8%
2016/09/17  30 Oregon 32 at  33 Nebraska 35 184 51.8%
2016/09/24  33 Nebraska 24 at  51 Northwestern 13 170 65.6%
2016/10/01  91 Illinois 16 at  32 Nebraska 31 136 77.0%
2016/10/15  31 Nebraska 34 at  64 Indiana 27 170 71.7%
2016/10/22 109 Purdue 17 at  31 Nebraska 45 170 90.5%
2016/10/29  31 Nebraska 20 at   8 Wisconsin 28 164 30.8%
2016/11/05  31 Nebraska 20 at   1 Ohio St. 41 165 8.9%
2016/11/12  67 Minnesota 20 at  31 Nebraska 31 166 73.1%
2016/11/19  68 Maryland 17 at  31 Nebraska 41 167 73.3%
2016/11/25  31 Nebraska 24 at  33 Iowa 27 166 49.0%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-214.1
Most difficult game left: November 5, at Ohio State Buckeyes, 8.9%


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