Tuesday, October 4, 2016

Week 6: Undefeated ... but for how long? — RBA

Odds as of games through 2016-10-02

Legitimate Title Contenders

Alabama Crimson Tide
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2016 0.944 1 0.556 8 24.7 5 6.0 1 157.7 129
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2016/09/03  22 USC 6 vs   1 Alabama 52 162 84.1%
2016/09/10  40 Western Kentucky 10 at   1 Alabama 38 173 89.2%
2016/09/17   1 Alabama 48 at   7 Mississippi 43 189 81.6%
2016/09/24 125 Kent St. 0 at   1 Alabama 48 149 99.6%
2016/10/01  75 Kentucky 6 at   1 Alabama 34 154 97.5%
2016/10/08   1 Alabama 38 at  14 Arkansas 24 160 86.4%
2016/10/15   1 Alabama 31 at  17 Tennessee 27 160 88.3%
2016/10/22   8 Texas A&M 20 at   1 Alabama 35 165 82.9%
2016/11/05   1 Alabama 28 at  25 LSU 17 159 88.6%
2016/11/12  39 Mississippi St. 17 at   1 Alabama 34 161 92.9%
2016/11/26  20 Auburn 13 at   1 Alabama 34 159 87.6%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 45.6%
Most difficult game left: October 22, vs Texas A&M Aggies, 82.9%


Ohio State Buckeyes
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2016 0.921 2 0.530 53 27.6 1 6.6 2 161.9 118
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2016/09/03  67 Bowling Green 10 at   2 Ohio St. 77 195 84.3%
2016/09/10  76 Tulsa 3 at   2 Ohio St. 48 168 92.3%
2016/09/17   2 Ohio St. 45 at  10 Oklahoma 24 165 72.4%
2016/10/01  81 Rutgers 0 at   2 Ohio St. 58 169 96.6%
2016/10/08  73 Indiana 17 at   2 Ohio St. 45 167 95.5%
2016/10/15   2 Ohio St. 28 at   6 Wisconsin 21 161 75.2%
2016/10/22   2 Ohio St. 45 at  65 Penn State 17 163 94.4%
2016/10/29  53 Northwestern 17 at   2 Ohio St. 41 169 92.3%
2016/11/05  32 Nebraska 20 at   2 Ohio St. 41 165 87.2%
2016/11/12   2 Ohio St. 41 at  82 Maryland 14 164 96.3%
2016/11/19   2 Ohio St. 35 at  28 Michigan St. 21 163 85.6%
2016/11/26   4 Michigan 17 at   2 Ohio St. 34 163 73.3%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 33.0%
Most difficult game left: November 26, vs Michigan Wolverines, 73.3%


Houston Cougars
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2016 0.818 5 0.470 87 23.1 11 10.3 10 177.3 5
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2016/09/03   3 Oklahoma 23 vs  15 Houston 33 167 66.7%
2016/09/15  17 Houston 40 at  74 Cincinnati 16 185 79.9%
2016/09/24  11 Houston 64 at 121 Texas State 3 169 94.1%
2016/09/29  86 Connecticut 14 at   5 Houston 42 174 86.8%
2016/10/08   5 Houston 35 at  48 Navy 31 167 78.9%
2016/10/15  79 Tulsa 14 at   5 Houston 48 176 89.6%
2016/10/22   5 Houston 48 at 103 SMU 13 172 95.5%
2016/10/29 100 UCF 10 at   5 Houston 49 170 95.3%
2016/11/12 111 Tulane 7 at   5 Houston 48 172 96.5%
2016/11/17   9 Louisville 28 at   5 Houston 34 171 57.0%
2016/11/25   5 Houston 35 at  21 Memphis 28 174 64.1%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 22.7%
Most difficult game left: November 17, vs Louisville Cardinals, 57.0%


Western Michigan Broncos
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2016 0.675 37 0.468 91 23.1 10 14.6 46 169.3 54
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2016/09/03  61 Western Michigan 22 at  60 Northwestern 21 155 45.2%
2016/09/17  60 Western Michigan 34 at  81 Illinois 10 153 62.7%
2016/09/24  57 Georgia Southern 31 at  44 Western Michigan 49 156 50.9%
2016/10/01  37 Western Michigan 49 at  69 Central Michigan 10 144 57.9%
2016/10/08  90 Northern Ill. 21 at  37 Western Michigan 42 169 79.7%
2016/10/15  37 Western Michigan 41 at  83 Akron 27 168 74.1%
2016/10/22 118 Eastern Michigan 17 at  37 Western Michigan 52 167 92.3%
2016/11/01  37 Western Michigan 42 at 107 Ball St. 21 169 87.5%
2016/11/08  37 Western Michigan 42 at 129 Kent St. 17 167 96.9%
2016/11/19  98 Buffalo 21 at  37 Western Michigan 38 168 78.2%
2016/11/25  36 Toledo 31 at  37 Western Michigan 38 169 55.4%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 20.0%
Most difficult game left: November 25, vs Toledo Rockets, 55.4%


Second-Tier Hopefuls

Boise State Broncos
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2016 0.684 35 0.454 102 18.9 45 12.8 29 170.2 40
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2016/09/03  28 Boise St. 45 at 105 LA-Lafayette 10 175 86.5%
2016/09/10  39 Washington St. 28 at  25 Boise St. 31 179 57.4%
2016/09/24  27 Boise St. 38 at  95 Oregon St. 24 181 87.3%
2016/10/01  84 Utah St. 10 at  35 Boise St. 21 176 79.4%
2016/10/07  35 Boise St. 34 at  88 New Mexico 24 167 80.6%
2016/10/15 102 Colorado St. 13 at  35 Boise St. 38 166 88.7%
2016/10/20  42 BYU 24 at  35 Boise St. 34 171 55.3%
2016/10/29  35 Boise St. 42 at 108 Wyoming 20 168 90.2%
2016/11/04 113 SJSU 14 at  35 Boise St. 45 168 91.3%
2016/11/12  35 Boise St. 45 at 117 Hawaii 17 171 94.5%
2016/11/18 106 UNLV 14 at  35 Boise St. 45 169 89.7%
2016/11/25  35 Boise St. 31 at  60 Air Force 27 167 67.6%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 18.7%
Most difficult game left: October 20, vs BYU Cougars, 55.3%


Clemson Tigers
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2016 0.751 18 0.536 44 18.3 53 11.0 16 169.8 45
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2016/09/03  10 Clemson 19 at  31 Auburn 13 174 70.1%
2016/09/10 105 Troy 24 at  10 Clemson 30 198 94.8%
2016/09/22  25 Clemson 26 at  37 Georgia Tech 7 162 76.9%
2016/10/01   9 Louisville 36 at  18 Clemson 42 194 61.3%
2016/10/07  18 Clemson 31 at  95 Boston College 14 167 88.9%
2016/10/15  56 North Carolina St. 20 at  18 Clemson 38 169 72.3%
2016/10/29  18 Clemson 31 at  30 Florida St. 28 167 56.3%
2016/11/05  92 Syracuse 17 at  18 Clemson 41 167 87.4%
2016/11/12  55 Pittsburgh 24 at  18 Clemson 38 166 73.0%
2016/11/19  18 Clemson 31 at  85 Wake Forest 21 168 83.8%
2016/11/26  72 South Carolina 17 at  18 Clemson 34 164 79.7%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 15.4%
Most difficult game left: October 29, at Florida State Seminoles, 56.3%


Washington Huskies
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2016 0.774 11 0.547 25 24.5 6 10.6 11 169.2 55
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2016/09/03  88 Rutgers 13 at   5 Washington 48 176 91.6%
2016/09/10 115 Idaho 14 at   5 Washington 59 165 96.4%
2016/09/24   6 Washington 35 at  62 Arizona 28 170 80.0%
2016/09/30  10 Stanford 6 at  11 Washington 44 143 48.5%
2016/10/08  11 Washington 35 at  43 Oregon 28 173 70.3%
2016/10/22  93 Oregon St. 14 at  11 Washington 49 170 90.3%
2016/10/29  11 Washington 28 at  33 Utah 27 168 65.5%
2016/11/05  11 Washington 35 at  54 California 27 170 76.8%
2016/11/12   7 USC 20 at  11 Washington 34 168 61.0%
2016/11/19  52 Arizona St. 24 at  11 Washington 41 172 75.0%
2016/11/25  11 Washington 34 at  26 Washington St. 27 171 58.4%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-11.7
Most difficult game left: November 25, at Washington State Cougars, 58.4%


Michigan Wolverines
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2016 0.823 4 0.549 17 22.9 15 9.2 7 165.0 97
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2016/09/03 118 Hawaii 3 at   9 Michigan 63 142 97.4%
2016/09/10 120 UCF 14 at   3 Michigan 51 177 95.9%
2016/09/17  48 Colorado 28 at   4 Michigan 45 176 90.7%
2016/09/24  55 Penn State 10 at   8 Michigan 49 161 83.6%
2016/10/01   6 Wisconsin 7 at   4 Michigan 14 157 54.9%
2016/10/08   4 Michigan 42 at  81 Rutgers 14 164 90.2%
2016/10/22  91 Illinois 13 at   4 Michigan 48 167 92.9%
2016/10/29   4 Michigan 27 at  28 Michigan St. 21 165 68.4%
2016/11/05  82 Maryland 13 at   4 Michigan 45 165 90.5%
2016/11/12   4 Michigan 24 at  24 Iowa 20 164 66.2%
2016/11/19  73 Indiana 20 at   4 Michigan 41 169 88.6%
2016/11/26   4 Michigan 17 at   2 Ohio St. 34 163 26.7%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-12.3
Most difficult game left: November 26, at Ohio State Buckeyes, 26.7%


Long Shots

Air Force Falcons
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2016 0.533 60 0.469 89 19.0 43 15.0 48 164.6 105
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2016/09/10 101 Georgia State 14 at  73 Air Force 48 158 73.3%
2016/09/24  61 Air Force 27 at  80 Utah St. 20 172 59.9%
2016/10/01  48 Navy 14 at  60 Air Force 28 159 40.9%
2016/10/08  60 Air Force 38 at 108 Wyoming 21 166 81.4%
2016/10/15  88 New Mexico 24 vs  60 Air Force 38 164 66.5%
2016/10/22 117 Hawaii 14 at  60 Air Force 45 168 89.2%
2016/10/28  60 Air Force 41 at 115 Fresno St. 21 167 84.2%
2016/11/05  60 Air Force 27 at  64 Army 28 162 47.7%
2016/11/12 102 Colorado St. 17 at  60 Air Force 38 163 78.9%
2016/11/19  60 Air Force 38 at 113 SJSU 21 165 83.4%
2016/11/25  35 Boise St. 31 at  60 Air Force 27 167 32.4%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-24.2
Most difficult game left: November 25, vs Boise State Broncos, 32.4%


Baylor Bears
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2016 0.758 15 0.548 22 21.8 26 13.2 34 178.8 3
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2016/09/10 103 SMU 13 at   8 Baylor 40 220 94.7%
2016/09/16  14 Baylor 38 at 110 Rice 10 197 95.7%
2016/09/24  42 Oklahoma St. 24 at  17 Baylor 35 189 68.6%
2016/10/01  15 Baylor 45 at  59 Iowa St. 42 189 85.7%
2016/10/15 125 Kansas 10 at  15 Baylor 48 175 97.0%
2016/10/29  15 Baylor 38 at  49 Texas 28 174 69.7%
2016/11/05  13 TCU 34 at  15 Baylor 38 175 51.2%
2016/11/12  15 Baylor 35 at  19 Oklahoma 38 175 49.8%
2016/11/19  27 Kansas St. 27 at  15 Baylor 35 172 53.2%
2016/11/25  15 Baylor 45 vs  51 Texas Tech 38 180 71.8%
2016/12/03  15 Baylor 34 at  16 West Virginia 31 175 53.3%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-28.5
Most difficult game left: November 12, at Oklahoma Sooners, 49.8%


Miami Hurricanes
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2016 0.743 22 0.550 16 21.0 30 11.6 21 163.7 113
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2016/09/10  96 FL-Atlantic 10 at  42 Miami-FL 38 173 80.4%
2016/09/17  38 Miami-FL 45 at  54 Appalachian St. 10 161 44.4%
2016/10/01  22 Miami-FL 35 at  41 Georgia Tech 21 144 48.0%
2016/10/08  30 Florida St. 31 at  22 Miami-FL 34 164 56.3%
2016/10/15  29 North Carolina 28 at  22 Miami-FL 34 165 55.0%
2016/10/20  22 Miami-FL 32 at  31 Virginia Tech 31 162 52.3%
2016/10/29  22 Miami-FL 31 at  40 Notre Dame 32 164 37.3%
2016/11/05  55 Pittsburgh 27 at  22 Miami-FL 38 163 72.9%
2016/11/12  22 Miami-FL 38 at  68 Virginia 24 165 77.9%
2016/11/19  22 Miami-FL 34 at  56 North Carolina St. 24 166 72.3%
2016/11/26  74 Duke 21 at  22 Miami-FL 38 166 78.9%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-51.1
Most difficult game left: October 29, at Notre Dame Fighting Irish, 37.3%


Tennessee Volunteers
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2016 0.754 17 0.553 13 18.9 46 11.2 18 163.7 112
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2016/09/01  82 Appalachian St. 13 at   7 Tennessee 20 164 84.6%
2016/09/10  53 Virginia Tech 24 vs  12 Tennessee 45 171 74.2%
2016/09/17  89 Ohio 19 at  15 Tennessee 28 176 87.5%
2016/09/24   4 Florida 28 at  18 Tennessee 38 180 55.1%
2016/10/01  17 Tennessee 34 at  23 Georgia 31 166 53.1%
2016/10/08  17 Tennessee 27 at   8 Texas A&M 31 169 39.2%
2016/10/15   1 Alabama 31 at  17 Tennessee 27 160 11.7%
2016/10/29  17 Tennessee 28 at  72 South Carolina 20 161 79.7%
2016/11/12  75 Kentucky 14 at  17 Tennessee 35 164 81.2%
2016/11/19  44 Missouri 17 at  17 Tennessee 34 168 63.9%
2016/11/26  17 Tennessee 27 at  70 Vanderbilt 17 163 79.3%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-66.5
Most difficult game left: October 15, vs Alabama Crimson Tide, 11.7%


West Virginia Mountaineers
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2016 0.758 16 0.538 38 17.7 57 9.1 6 171.6 28
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2016/09/03  72 Missouri 11 at  21 West Virginia 26 215 76.6%
2016/09/24  41 BYU 32 vs  14 West Virginia 35 175 66.6%
2016/10/01  27 Kansas St. 16 at  16 West Virginia 17 174 72.6%
2016/10/15  16 West Virginia 38 at  51 Texas Tech 35 176 74.4%
2016/10/22  13 TCU 34 at  16 West Virginia 31 171 47.9%
2016/10/29  16 West Virginia 31 at  45 Oklahoma St. 32 174 29.6%
2016/11/05 125 Kansas 0 at  16 West Virginia 49 171 97.4%
2016/11/12  16 West Virginia 31 at  49 Texas 28 170 72.5%
2016/11/19  19 Oklahoma 31 at  16 West Virginia 32 172 53.5%
2016/11/26  16 West Virginia 34 at  59 Iowa St. 24 172 78.4%
2016/12/03  15 Baylor 34 at  16 West Virginia 31 175 46.7%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-68.5
Most difficult game left: October 29, at Oklahoma State Cowboys, 29.6%


Texas A&M Aggies
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2016 0.800 8 0.548 21 18.5 51 9.4 8 174.3 12
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2016/09/03  27 UCLA 24 at  14 Texas A&M 31 202 56.9%
2016/09/17  13 Texas A&M 29 at  19 Auburn 16 201 36.0%
2016/09/24  15 Arkansas 24 vs   5 Texas A&M 45 166 62.2%
2016/10/01   8 Texas A&M 24 at  72 South Carolina 13 174 79.6%
2016/10/08  17 Tennessee 27 at   8 Texas A&M 31 169 60.8%
2016/10/22   8 Texas A&M 20 at   1 Alabama 35 165 17.1%
2016/10/29 122 New Mexico St. 10 at   8 Texas A&M 55 171 97.1%
2016/11/05   8 Texas A&M 24 at  39 Mississippi St. 27 169 27.1%
2016/11/12   3 Mississippi 28 at   8 Texas A&M 31 170 55.1%
2016/11/19 101 UTSA 14 at   8 Texas A&M 41 171 93.2%
2016/11/24  25 LSU 20 at   8 Texas A&M 28 167 61.5%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-115.7
Most difficult game left: October 22, at Alabama Crimson Tide, 17.1%


Nebraska Cornhuskers
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2016 0.697 32 0.532 51 20.7 32 13.5 37 168.2 64
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2016/09/03 113 Fresno St. 10 at  41 Nebraska 43 161 90.1%
2016/09/10 100 Wyoming 17 at  34 Nebraska 52 167 89.8%
2016/09/17  30 Oregon 32 at  33 Nebraska 35 184 51.8%
2016/09/24  33 Nebraska 24 at  51 Northwestern 13 170 65.6%
2016/10/01  91 Illinois 16 at  32 Nebraska 31 136 77.0%
2016/10/15  32 Nebraska 34 at  73 Indiana 27 170 75.9%
2016/10/22  97 Purdue 20 at  32 Nebraska 42 170 84.6%
2016/10/29  32 Nebraska 20 at   6 Wisconsin 28 164 30.8%
2016/11/05  32 Nebraska 20 at   2 Ohio St. 41 165 12.8%
2016/11/12  66 Minnesota 21 at  32 Nebraska 34 166 72.5%
2016/11/19  82 Maryland 17 at  32 Nebraska 41 167 79.5%
2016/11/25  32 Nebraska 24 at  24 Iowa 28 166 44.3%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-154.7
Most difficult game left: November 5, at Ohio State Buckeyes, 12.8%


What are YOU doing here??

Maryland Terrapins
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2016 0.426 82 0.531 52 15.8 72 16.2 61 166.7 79
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2016/09/09  86 Maryland 41 at 122 FIU 14 165 77.7%
2016/09/17  78 Maryland 30 at 117 UCF 24 196 79.2%
2016/10/01  97 Purdue 7 at  82 Maryland 50 176 72.6%
2016/10/08  82 Maryland 21 at  65 Penn State 31 165 39.3%
2016/10/15  66 Minnesota 24 at  82 Maryland 28 165 59.4%
2016/10/22  28 Michigan St. 34 at  82 Maryland 24 166 18.5%
2016/10/29  82 Maryland 24 at  73 Indiana 31 169 45.0%
2016/11/05  82 Maryland 13 at   4 Michigan 45 165 9.5%
2016/11/12   2 Ohio St. 41 at  82 Maryland 14 164 3.7%
2016/11/19  82 Maryland 17 at  32 Nebraska 41 167 20.5%
2016/11/26  81 Rutgers 24 at  82 Maryland 31 165 50.9%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-140294.2
Most difficult game left: November 12, vs Ohio State Buckeyes, 3.7%


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