Tuesday, November 27, 2018

Week 15: Undefeated ... but for how long? — TFG

Odds as of games through 2018-11-25

Legitimate Title Contenders

UCF Knights
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2018 0.834 9 0.447 77 23.9 10 13.0 18 181.2 10
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2018/08/30  15 UCF 56 at 114 Connecticut 17 177 93.1%
2018/09/21  61 FL-Atlantic 36 at  24 UCF 56 187 82.4%
2018/09/29  83 Pittsburgh 14 at  26 UCF 45 166 88.3%
2018/10/06  91 SMU 20 at  23 UCF 48 187 90.6%
2018/10/13  18 UCF 31 at  64 Memphis 30 181 69.2%
2018/10/20  23 UCF 37 at 113 East Carolina 10 204 86.8%
2018/11/01  25 Temple 40 at  16 UCF 52 210 60.6%
2018/11/10 105 Navy 24 at  15 UCF 35 156 92.7%
2018/11/17  22 Cincinnati 13 at  16 UCF 38 168 55.5%
2018/11/23  10 UCF 38 at  87 South Florida 10 187 87.5%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 100.0%
Notre Dame Fighting Irish
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2018 0.838 7 0.538 52 20.9 22 11.3 9 171.8 54
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2018/09/01  18 Michigan 17 at  10 Notre Dame 24 161 71.5%
2018/09/08 127 Ball St. 16 at  15 Notre Dame 24 195 99.2%
2018/09/15  43 Vanderbilt 17 at  21 Notre Dame 22 170 79.4%
2018/09/22  23 Notre Dame 56 at  41 Wake Forest 27 197 55.4%
2018/09/29  13 Stanford 17 at  19 Notre Dame 38 169 53.9%
2018/10/06  13 Notre Dame 45 at  24 Virginia Tech 23 180 54.5%
2018/10/13  77 Pittsburgh 14 at  13 Notre Dame 19 153 91.1%
2018/10/27  14 Notre Dame 44 vs  91 Navy 22 159 89.3%
2018/11/03  13 Notre Dame 31 at  42 Northwestern 21 168 68.1%
2018/11/10  73 Florida St. 13 at  14 Notre Dame 42 176 83.8%
2018/11/17  42 Syracuse 3 vs   9 Notre Dame 36 174 73.3%
2018/11/24   6 Notre Dame 24 at  55 USC 17 169 82.7%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 100.0%
Clemson Tigers
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2018 0.947 2 0.540 51 24.9 7 8.5 1 169.9 64
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2018/09/08   4 Clemson 28 at  42 Texas A&M 26 161 82.2%
2018/09/15  91 Georgia Southern 7 at  11 Clemson 38 154 96.9%
2018/09/22   5 Clemson 49 at  66 Georgia Tech 21 157 89.1%
2018/09/29  61 Syracuse 23 at   4 Clemson 27 176 93.6%
2018/10/06   4 Clemson 63 at  49 Wake Forest 3 182 83.2%
2018/10/20  14 North Carolina St. 7 at   2 Clemson 41 174 85.4%
2018/10/27   1 Clemson 59 at  52 Florida St. 10 192 89.6%
2018/11/03  94 Louisville 16 at   1 Clemson 77 156 98.1%
2018/11/10   2 Clemson 27 at  38 Boston College 7 158 90.1%
2018/11/17  49 Duke 6 at   2 Clemson 35 188 94.0%
2018/11/24  46 South Carolina 35 at   2 Clemson 56 195 94.3%
2018/12/01   2 Clemson 34 vs  55 Pittsburgh 22 163 93.7%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 93.7%
Most difficult game left: December 1, vs Pittsburgh Panthers, 93.7%


Long Shots

Alabama Crimson Tide
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2018 0.965 1 0.612 21 31.6 2 9.1 3 162.7 100
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2018/09/01  23 Louisville 14 vs   1 Alabama 51 167 89.3%
2018/09/08  75 Arkansas St. 7 at   1 Alabama 57 187 98.4%
2018/09/15   1 Alabama 62 at  39 Mississippi 7 164 91.1%
2018/09/22  20 Texas A&M 23 at   1 Alabama 45 164 95.5%
2018/09/29 119 LA-Lafayette 14 at   1 Alabama 56 144 99.6%
2018/10/06   1 Alabama 65 at 106 Arkansas 31 153 98.2%
2018/10/13  32 Missouri 10 at   1 Alabama 39 159 91.7%
2018/10/20   1 Alabama 58 at  73 Tennessee 21 157 93.1%
2018/11/03   2 Alabama 29 at   5 LSU 0 164 65.3%
2018/11/10   7 Mississippi St. 0 at   1 Alabama 24 145 84.6%
2018/11/24  12 Auburn 21 at   1 Alabama 52 167 87.5%
2018/12/01   1 Alabama 34 vs   3 Georgia 29 159 72.0%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 72.0%
Most difficult game left: December 1, vs Georgia Bulldogs, 72.0%



One-Loss Hopefuls
Odds as of games through 2018-11-25

Oklahoma Sooners
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2018 0.791 17 0.570 37 33.0 1 20.0 95 173.3 47
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2018/09/01  30 FL-Atlantic 14 at   9 Oklahoma 63 165 84.4%
2018/09/08  73 UCLA 21 at   5 Oklahoma 49 176 96.1%
2018/09/15   7 Oklahoma 37 at  34 Iowa St. 27 156 71.4%
2018/09/22  47 Army 21 at  12 Oklahoma 28 145 88.5%
2018/09/29  49 Baylor 33 at  10 Oklahoma 66 188 87.1%
2018/10/06  21 Texas 48 vs  12 Oklahoma 45 163 64.8%
2018/10/20   9 Oklahoma 52 at  25 TCU 27 157 56.3%
2018/10/27  68 Kansas St. 14 at   7 Oklahoma 51 146 91.2%
2018/11/03   7 Oklahoma 51 at  39 Texas Tech 46 183 73.1%
2018/11/10  42 Oklahoma St. 47 at   6 Oklahoma 48 194 80.1%
2018/11/17 105 Kansas 40 at   7 Oklahoma 55 159 93.3%
2018/11/23  14 Oklahoma 59 at  18 West Virginia 56 182 53.2%


Odds of finishing with one loss: 100.0%
Ohio State Buckeyes
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2018 0.857 6 0.559 42 26.5 4 13.5 22 181.6 9
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2018/09/01 121 Oregon St. 31 at   4 Ohio St. 77 181 99.2%
2018/09/08 105 Rutgers 3 at   8 Ohio St. 52 166 98.0%
2018/09/15   3 Ohio St. 40 vs  14 TCU 28 187 75.2%
2018/09/22  92 Tulane 6 at   3 Ohio St. 49 161 97.7%
2018/09/29   3 Ohio St. 27 at   7 Penn State 26 190 46.6%
2018/10/06  54 Indiana 26 at   2 Ohio St. 49 188 93.4%
2018/10/13  41 Minnesota 14 at   4 Ohio St. 30 152 90.3%
2018/10/20   4 Ohio St. 20 at  36 Purdue 49 203 73.8%
2018/11/03  73 Nebraska 31 at   9 Ohio St. 36 183 88.7%
2018/11/10   8 Ohio St. 26 at  28 Michigan St. 6 182 61.0%
2018/11/17   5 Ohio St. 52 at  74 Maryland 51 190 87.1%
2018/11/24   3 Michigan 39 at   9 Ohio St. 62 181 27.9%


Odds of finishing with one loss: 100.0%
Georgia Bulldogs
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2018 0.914 3 0.638 12 27.7 3 11.4 11 157.2 119
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2018/09/08   3 Georgia 41 at  32 South Carolina 17 162 81.4%
2018/09/15 105 Middle Tenn. 7 at   2 Georgia 49 147 99.0%
2018/09/22   2 Georgia 43 at  33 Missouri 29 176 84.3%
2018/09/29  80 Tennessee 12 at   2 Georgia 38 146 96.8%
2018/10/06  57 Vanderbilt 13 at   3 Georgia 41 155 93.6%
2018/10/13   3 Georgia 16 at  14 LSU 36 171 64.6%
2018/10/27  17 Florida 17 vs   4 Georgia 36 148 72.4%
2018/11/03   4 Georgia 34 at  27 Kentucky 17 155 75.9%
2018/11/10  16 Auburn 10 at   4 Georgia 27 152 77.7%
2018/11/17 109 Massachusetts 27 at   4 Georgia 66 143 97.0%
2018/11/24  45 Georgia Tech 21 at   4 Georgia 45 141 86.2%
2018/12/01   1 Alabama 34 vs   3 Georgia 29 159 28.0%


Odds of finishing with one loss: 28.0%
Most difficult game left: December 1, vs Alabama Crimson Tide, 28.0%


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