Tuesday, November 13, 2018

Week 13: Undefeated ... but for how long? — TFG

Odds as of games through 2018-11-11

Legitimate Title Contenders

Clemson Tigers
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2018 0.957 2 0.553 42 25.3 5 7.9 1 166.8 85
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2018/09/08   4 Clemson 28 at  42 Texas A&M 26 161 82.2%
2018/09/15  91 Georgia Southern 7 at  11 Clemson 38 154 96.9%
2018/09/22   5 Clemson 49 at  66 Georgia Tech 21 157 89.1%
2018/09/29  61 Syracuse 23 at   4 Clemson 27 176 93.6%
2018/10/06   4 Clemson 63 at  49 Wake Forest 3 182 83.2%
2018/10/20  14 North Carolina St. 7 at   2 Clemson 41 174 85.4%
2018/10/27   1 Clemson 59 at  52 Florida St. 10 192 89.6%
2018/11/03  94 Louisville 16 at   1 Clemson 77 156 98.1%
2018/11/10   2 Clemson 27 at  38 Boston College 7 158 90.1%
2018/11/17  49 Duke 21 at   2 Clemson 34 172 94.0%
2018/11/24  47 South Carolina 22 at   2 Clemson 34 169 93.9%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 88.3%
Most difficult game left: November 24, vs South Carolina Gamecocks, 93.9%


Alabama Crimson Tide
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2018 0.968 1 0.590 31 30.3 2 8.4 2 162.2 102
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2018/09/01  23 Louisville 14 vs   1 Alabama 51 167 89.3%
2018/09/08  75 Arkansas St. 7 at   1 Alabama 57 187 98.4%
2018/09/15   1 Alabama 62 at  39 Mississippi 7 164 91.1%
2018/09/22  20 Texas A&M 23 at   1 Alabama 45 164 95.5%
2018/09/29 119 LA-Lafayette 14 at   1 Alabama 56 144 99.6%
2018/10/06   1 Alabama 65 at 106 Arkansas 31 153 98.2%
2018/10/13  32 Missouri 10 at   1 Alabama 39 159 91.7%
2018/10/20   1 Alabama 58 at  73 Tennessee 21 157 93.1%
2018/11/03   2 Alabama 29 at   5 LSU 0 164 65.3%
2018/11/10   7 Mississippi St. 0 at   1 Alabama 24 145 84.6%
2018/11/24  20 Auburn 21 at   1 Alabama 35 166 91.5%
2018/12/01   1 Alabama 33 vs   4 Georgia 28 160 75.7%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 69.3%
Most difficult game left: December 1, vs Georgia Bulldogs, 75.7%


Second-Tier Hopefuls

Notre Dame Fighting Irish
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2018 0.813 9 0.537 52 21.6 20 12.4 17 173.0 44
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2018/09/01  18 Michigan 17 at  10 Notre Dame 24 161 71.5%
2018/09/08 127 Ball St. 16 at  15 Notre Dame 24 195 99.2%
2018/09/15  43 Vanderbilt 17 at  21 Notre Dame 22 170 79.4%
2018/09/22  23 Notre Dame 56 at  41 Wake Forest 27 197 55.4%
2018/09/29  13 Stanford 17 at  19 Notre Dame 38 169 53.9%
2018/10/06  13 Notre Dame 45 at  24 Virginia Tech 23 180 54.5%
2018/10/13  77 Pittsburgh 14 at  13 Notre Dame 19 153 91.1%
2018/10/27  14 Notre Dame 44 vs  91 Navy 22 159 89.3%
2018/11/03  13 Notre Dame 31 at  42 Northwestern 21 168 68.1%
2018/11/10  73 Florida St. 13 at  14 Notre Dame 42 176 83.8%
2018/11/17  42 Syracuse 29 vs   9 Notre Dame 34 180 72.7%
2018/11/24   9 Notre Dame 32 at  50 USC 26 171 75.9%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 55.2%
Most difficult game left: November 17, vs Syracuse Orange, 72.7%


UCF Knights
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2018 0.775 16 0.432 85 22.9 11 14.4 26 181.9 10
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2018/08/30  15 UCF 56 at 114 Connecticut 17 177 93.1%
2018/09/21  61 FL-Atlantic 36 at  24 UCF 56 187 82.4%
2018/09/29  83 Pittsburgh 14 at  26 UCF 45 166 88.3%
2018/10/06  91 SMU 20 at  23 UCF 48 187 90.6%
2018/10/13  18 UCF 31 at  64 Memphis 30 181 69.2%
2018/10/20  23 UCF 37 at 113 East Carolina 10 204 86.8%
2018/11/01  25 Temple 40 at  16 UCF 52 210 60.5%
2018/11/10 105 Navy 24 at  15 UCF 35 156 92.7%
2018/11/17  22 Cincinnati 27 at  16 UCF 30 175 55.5%
2018/11/23  16 UCF 38 at  86 South Florida 28 181 82.7%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 45.9%
Most difficult game left: November 17, vs Cincinnati Bearcats, 55.5%



One-Loss Hopefuls
Odds as of games through 2018-11-11

Michigan Wolverines
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2018 0.932 3 0.544 48 24.6 6 9.2 3 152.6 129
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2018/09/01  18 Michigan 17 at  10 Notre Dame 24 161 28.5%
2018/09/08  76 Western Michigan 3 at  18 Michigan 49 152 90.3%
2018/09/15  98 SMU 20 at  13 Michigan 45 152 96.8%
2018/09/22  68 Nebraska 10 at  17 Michigan 56 164 89.8%
2018/09/29   8 Michigan 20 at  52 Northwestern 17 157 78.9%
2018/10/06  56 Maryland 21 at  10 Michigan 42 146 88.2%
2018/10/13   7 Wisconsin 13 at   6 Michigan 38 140 59.9%
2018/10/20   3 Michigan 21 at  35 Michigan St. 7 161 74.8%
2018/11/03   8 Penn State 7 at   3 Michigan 42 143 67.2%
2018/11/10   3 Michigan 42 at 125 Rutgers 7 140 99.0%
2018/11/17  68 Indiana 22 at   3 Michigan 34 165 93.3%
2018/11/24   3 Michigan 30 at   5 Ohio St. 26 165 70.9%


Odds of finishing with one loss: 66.1%
Most difficult game left: November 24, at Ohio State Buckeyes, 70.9%


Oklahoma Sooners
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2018 0.826 7 0.587 34 32.6 1 18.1 75 171.7 54
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2018/09/01  30 FL-Atlantic 14 at   9 Oklahoma 63 165 84.4%
2018/09/08  73 UCLA 21 at   5 Oklahoma 49 176 96.1%
2018/09/15   7 Oklahoma 37 at  34 Iowa St. 27 156 71.4%
2018/09/22  47 Army 21 at  12 Oklahoma 28 145 88.5%
2018/09/29  49 Baylor 33 at  10 Oklahoma 66 188 87.1%
2018/10/06  21 Texas 48 vs  12 Oklahoma 45 163 64.8%
2018/10/20   9 Oklahoma 52 at  25 TCU 27 157 56.3%
2018/10/27  68 Kansas St. 14 at   7 Oklahoma 51 146 91.2%
2018/11/03   7 Oklahoma 51 at  39 Texas Tech 46 183 73.1%
2018/11/10  42 Oklahoma St. 47 at   6 Oklahoma 48 194 80.1%
2018/11/17 105 Kansas 26 at   7 Oklahoma 44 171 93.3%
2018/11/23   7 Oklahoma 41 at  12 West Virginia 37 172 54.8%


Odds of finishing with one loss: 51.1%
Most difficult game left: November 23, at West Virginia Mountaineers, 54.8%


West Virginia Mountaineers
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2018 0.797 12 0.549 46 25.3 5 15.1 38 172.5 47
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2018/09/01  58 West Virginia 40 vs 103 Tennessee 14 148 75.6%
2018/09/22  46 Kansas St. 6 at  26 West Virginia 35 153 73.0%
2018/09/29  16 West Virginia 42 at  40 Texas Tech 34 196 57.9%
2018/10/06  95 Kansas 22 at  19 West Virginia 38 163 92.3%
2018/10/13  19 West Virginia 14 at  40 Iowa St. 30 145 54.1%
2018/10/25  61 Baylor 14 at  30 West Virginia 58 162 78.7%
2018/11/03  19 West Virginia 42 at  31 Texas 41 179 52.2%
2018/11/10  45 TCU 10 at  20 West Virginia 47 169 70.2%
2018/11/17  12 West Virginia 39 at  39 Oklahoma St. 34 179 69.0%
2018/11/23   7 Oklahoma 41 at  12 West Virginia 37 172 45.2%


Odds of finishing with one loss: 31.2%
Most difficult game left: November 23, vs Oklahoma Sooners, 45.2%


Washington State Cougars
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2018 0.732 23 0.481 72 22.4 14 15.3 42 169.3 71
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2018/09/01  45 Washington St. 41 at  37 Wyoming 19 172 31.6%
2018/09/08 125 SJSU 0 at  21 Washington St. 31 165 98.8%
2018/09/21  19 Washington St. 36 at  49 USC 39 166 62.0%
2018/09/29  38 Utah 24 at  29 Washington St. 28 170 68.2%
2018/10/06  29 Washington St. 56 at 109 Oregon St. 37 167 85.1%
2018/10/20  53 Oregon 20 at  34 Washington St. 34 165 70.2%
2018/10/27  32 Washington St. 41 at  25 Stanford 38 161 32.5%
2018/11/03  83 California 13 at  32 Washington St. 19 157 80.0%
2018/11/10  34 Washington St. 31 at  66 Colorado 7 171 66.6%
2018/11/17  65 Arizona 29 at  23 Washington St. 35 173 72.9%
2018/11/23  13 Washington 29 at  23 Washington St. 28 164 41.9%


Odds of finishing with one loss: 30.5%
Most difficult game left: November 23, vs Washington Huskies, 41.9%


Ohio State Buckeyes
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2018 0.849 5 0.519 58 22.8 12 11.9 12 178.2 25
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2018/09/01 121 Oregon St. 31 at   4 Ohio St. 77 181 99.2%
2018/09/08 105 Rutgers 3 at   8 Ohio St. 52 166 98.0%
2018/09/15   3 Ohio St. 40 vs  14 TCU 28 187 75.2%
2018/09/22  92 Tulane 6 at   3 Ohio St. 49 161 97.7%
2018/09/29   3 Ohio St. 27 at   7 Penn State 26 190 46.6%
2018/10/06  54 Indiana 26 at   2 Ohio St. 49 188 93.4%
2018/10/13  41 Minnesota 14 at   4 Ohio St. 30 152 90.3%
2018/10/20   4 Ohio St. 20 at  36 Purdue 49 203 73.8%
2018/11/03  73 Nebraska 31 at   9 Ohio St. 36 183 88.7%
2018/11/10   8 Ohio St. 26 at  28 Michigan St. 6 182 61.0%
2018/11/17   5 Ohio St. 33 at  75 Maryland 23 169 87.1%
2018/11/24   3 Michigan 30 at   5 Ohio St. 26 165 29.1%


Odds of finishing with one loss: 25.3%
Most difficult game left: November 24, vs Michigan Wolverines, 29.1%


Georgia Bulldogs
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2018 0.908 4 0.662 7 26.8 3 11.3 7 158.2 114
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2018/09/08   3 Georgia 41 at  32 South Carolina 17 162 81.4%
2018/09/15 105 Middle Tenn. 7 at   2 Georgia 49 147 99.0%
2018/09/22   2 Georgia 43 at  33 Missouri 29 176 84.3%
2018/09/29  80 Tennessee 12 at   2 Georgia 38 146 96.8%
2018/10/06  57 Vanderbilt 13 at   3 Georgia 41 155 93.6%
2018/10/13   3 Georgia 16 at  14 LSU 36 171 64.6%
2018/10/27  17 Florida 17 vs   4 Georgia 36 148 72.4%
2018/11/03   4 Georgia 34 at  27 Kentucky 17 155 75.9%
2018/11/10  16 Auburn 10 at   4 Georgia 27 152 77.7%
2018/11/17 109 Massachusetts 23 at   4 Georgia 43 166 97.0%
2018/11/24  48 Georgia Tech 26 at   4 Georgia 36 156 87.3%
2018/12/01   1 Alabama 33 vs   4 Georgia 28 160 24.3%


Odds of finishing with one loss: 20.6%
Most difficult game left: December 1, vs Alabama Crimson Tide, 24.3%


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