Tuesday, November 6, 2018

Week 12: Undefeated ... but for how long? — RBA

Odds as of games through 2018-11-04

Legitimate Title Contenders

Clemson Tigers
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2018 0.903 2 0.541 35 27.4 3 8.3 1 170.0 46
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2018/09/08   3 Clemson 28 at  30 Texas A&M 26 161 77.2%
2018/09/15  97 Georgia Southern 7 at   8 Clemson 38 154 97.4%
2018/09/22   7 Clemson 49 at  64 Georgia Tech 21 157 87.5%
2018/09/29  43 Syracuse 23 at   7 Clemson 27 176 87.7%
2018/10/06   8 Clemson 63 at  52 Wake Forest 3 182 86.4%
2018/10/20  28 North Carolina St. 7 at   4 Clemson 41 174 69.5%
2018/10/27   2 Clemson 59 at  46 Florida St. 10 192 85.7%
2018/11/03  84 Louisville 16 at   2 Clemson 77 156 94.0%
2018/11/10   2 Clemson 31 at  30 Boston College 20 168 85.4%
2018/11/17  48 Duke 14 at   2 Clemson 34 169 89.8%
2018/11/24  32 South Carolina 14 at   2 Clemson 38 164 85.3%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 65.4%
Most difficult game left: November 24, vs South Carolina Gamecocks, 85.3%


Alabama Crimson Tide
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2018 0.912 1 0.555 8 31.2 1 9.4 3 158.1 129
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2018/09/01  32 Louisville 14 vs   1 Alabama 51 167 91.0%
2018/09/08  79 Arkansas St. 7 at   1 Alabama 57 187 97.1%
2018/09/15   1 Alabama 62 at  40 Mississippi 7 164 95.2%
2018/09/22  19 Texas A&M 23 at   1 Alabama 45 164 93.7%
2018/09/29 124 LA-Lafayette 14 at   1 Alabama 56 144 99.7%
2018/10/06   1 Alabama 65 at 103 Arkansas 31 153 99.1%
2018/10/13  37 Missouri 10 at   1 Alabama 39 159 91.7%
2018/10/20   1 Alabama 58 at  85 Tennessee 21 157 97.0%
2018/11/03   1 Alabama 29 at  10 LSU 0 164 80.6%
2018/11/10  11 Mississippi St. 10 at   1 Alabama 31 161 77.2%
2018/11/24  17 Auburn 14 at   1 Alabama 31 160 82.5%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 63.7%
Most difficult game left: November 10, vs Mississippi State Bulldogs, 77.2%


Second-Tier Hopefuls

UCF Knights
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2018 0.756 13 0.468 90 23.7 10 13.9 36 166.5 80
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2018/08/30  25 UCF 56 at 116 Connecticut 17 177 90.5%
2018/09/21  80 FL-Atlantic 36 at  25 UCF 56 187 80.7%
2018/09/29  65 Pittsburgh 14 at  24 UCF 45 166 62.2%
2018/10/06  96 SMU 20 at  14 UCF 48 187 86.5%
2018/10/13  13 UCF 31 at  55 Memphis 30 181 76.1%
2018/10/20  16 UCF 37 at 103 East Carolina 10 204 91.1%
2018/11/01  43 Temple 40 at  13 UCF 52 210 67.3%
2018/11/10  91 Navy 17 at  13 UCF 42 162 85.7%
2018/11/17  68 Cincinnati 20 at  13 UCF 41 168 77.7%
2018/11/23  13 UCF 38 at  63 South Florida 31 168 76.0%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 50.6%
Most difficult game left: November 23, at South Florida Bulls, 76.0%


Long Shots

Notre Dame Fighting Irish
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2018 0.749 16 0.565 2 19.4 34 11.5 14 165.3 95
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2018/09/01  12 Michigan 17 at  17 Notre Dame 24 161 60.6%
2018/09/08 126 Ball St. 16 at  15 Notre Dame 24 195 97.0%
2018/09/15  48 Vanderbilt 17 at  26 Notre Dame 22 170 74.1%
2018/09/22  26 Notre Dame 56 at  54 Wake Forest 27 197 62.6%
2018/09/29  13 Stanford 17 at  20 Notre Dame 38 169 71.1%
2018/10/06  20 Notre Dame 45 at  29 Virginia Tech 23 180 43.3%
2018/10/13  65 Pittsburgh 14 at  18 Notre Dame 19 153 77.9%
2018/10/27  17 Notre Dame 44 vs  85 Navy 22 159 82.8%
2018/11/03  16 Notre Dame 31 at  44 Northwestern 21 168 30.7%
2018/11/10  42 Florida St. 17 at  16 Notre Dame 35 165 64.1%
2018/11/17  52 Syracuse 21 vs  16 Notre Dame 35 166 71.4%
2018/11/24  16 Notre Dame 31 at  28 USC 27 166 58.9%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 27.0%
Most difficult game left: November 24, at USC Trojans, 58.9%



One-Loss Hopefuls
Odds as of games through 2018-11-04

Georgia Bulldogs
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2018 0.877 3 0.548 24 26.2 4 9.5 5 160.1 125
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2018/09/08   5 Georgia 41 at  19 South Carolina 17 162 80.1%
2018/09/15 115 Middle Tenn. 7 at   5 Georgia 49 147 95.1%
2018/09/22   2 Georgia 43 at  39 Missouri 29 176 78.4%
2018/09/29  99 Tennessee 12 at   3 Georgia 38 146 95.6%
2018/10/06  40 Vanderbilt 13 at   3 Georgia 41 155 84.2%
2018/10/13   2 Georgia 16 at  11 LSU 36 171 68.1%
2018/10/27  19 Florida 17 vs   3 Georgia 36 148 78.0%
2018/11/03   3 Georgia 34 at  37 Kentucky 17 155 82.7%
2018/11/10  17 Auburn 20 at   3 Georgia 31 161 76.6%
2018/11/17 112 Massachusetts 14 at   3 Georgia 59 165 96.8%
2018/11/24  20 Georgia Tech 17 at   3 Georgia 41 160 78.2%


Odds of finishing with one loss: 58.0%
Most difficult game left: November 10, vs Auburn Tigers, 76.6%


Michigan Wolverines
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2018 0.866 4 0.552 12 24.5 7 9.1 2 164.0 108
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2018/09/01  12 Michigan 17 at  17 Notre Dame 24 161 39.4%
2018/09/08  76 Western Michigan 3 at  13 Michigan 49 152 84.3%
2018/09/15 100 SMU 20 at   4 Michigan 45 152 91.8%
2018/09/22  70 Nebraska 10 at  10 Michigan 56 164 92.8%
2018/09/29   5 Michigan 20 at  51 Northwestern 17 157 75.0%
2018/10/06  54 Maryland 21 at   6 Michigan 42 146 91.7%
2018/10/13   7 Wisconsin 13 at   4 Michigan 38 140 44.8%
2018/10/20   5 Michigan 21 at  41 Michigan St. 7 161 79.5%
2018/11/03   9 Penn State 7 at   4 Michigan 42 143 58.8%
2018/11/10   4 Michigan 45 at 120 Rutgers 14 164 98.2%
2018/11/17  65 Indiana 17 at   4 Michigan 42 168 89.0%
2018/11/24   4 Michigan 27 at   6 Ohio St. 21 163 54.7%


Odds of finishing with one loss: 47.8%
Most difficult game left: November 24, at Ohio State Buckeyes, 54.7%


Oklahoma Sooners
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2018 0.819 8 0.542 34 29.7 2 14.3 40 172.1 21
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2018/09/01  57 FL-Atlantic 14 at   9 Oklahoma 63 165 82.4%
2018/09/08  81 UCLA 21 at   6 Oklahoma 49 176 80.2%
2018/09/15   6 Oklahoma 37 at  22 Iowa St. 27 156 70.4%
2018/09/22  74 Army 21 at   6 Oklahoma 28 145 91.4%
2018/09/29  59 Baylor 33 at  10 Oklahoma 66 188 88.6%
2018/10/06  31 Texas 48 vs   9 Oklahoma 45 163 72.8%
2018/10/20   8 Oklahoma 52 at  14 TCU 27 157 56.8%
2018/10/27  51 Kansas St. 14 at   8 Oklahoma 51 146 78.5%
2018/11/03   8 Oklahoma 51 at  38 Texas Tech 46 183 70.7%
2018/11/10  31 Oklahoma St. 31 at   8 Oklahoma 45 174 72.8%
2018/11/17  78 Kansas 17 at   8 Oklahoma 52 172 88.7%
2018/11/23   8 Oklahoma 41 at  14 West Virginia 34 172 60.8%


Odds of finishing with one loss: 39.3%
Most difficult game left: November 23, at West Virginia Mountaineers, 60.8%


Ohio State Buckeyes
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2018 0.843 6 0.535 49 25.1 6 11.5 14 163.3 116
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2018/09/01 111 Oregon St. 31 at   3 Ohio St. 77 181 95.9%
2018/09/08 100 Rutgers 3 at   4 Ohio St. 52 166 97.3%
2018/09/15   3 Ohio St. 40 vs  13 TCU 28 187 40.5%
2018/09/22  95 Tulane 6 at   3 Ohio St. 49 161 93.7%
2018/09/29   2 Ohio St. 27 at   6 Penn State 26 190 46.6%
2018/10/06  61 Indiana 26 at   2 Ohio St. 49 188 90.0%
2018/10/13  62 Minnesota 14 at   3 Ohio St. 30 152 91.6%
2018/10/20   3 Ohio St. 20 at  27 Purdue 49 203 86.5%
2018/11/03  60 Nebraska 31 at   6 Ohio St. 36 183 91.7%
2018/11/10   6 Ohio St. 27 at  34 Michigan St. 21 164 77.7%
2018/11/17   6 Ohio St. 35 at  53 Maryland 20 164 84.0%
2018/11/24   4 Michigan 27 at   6 Ohio St. 21 163 45.3%


Odds of finishing with one loss: 29.6%
Most difficult game left: November 24, vs Michigan Wolverines, 45.3%


Washington State Cougars
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2018 0.696 25 0.539 39 21.0 23 13.9 34 174.1 13
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2018/09/01  24 Washington St. 41 at  63 Wyoming 19 172 76.0%
2018/09/08 128 SJSU 0 at  17 Washington St. 31 165 97.5%
2018/09/21  24 Washington St. 36 at  30 USC 39 166 46.5%
2018/09/29  28 Utah 24 at  25 Washington St. 28 170 53.5%
2018/10/06  25 Washington St. 56 at 111 Oregon St. 37 167 89.9%
2018/10/20  39 Oregon 20 at  31 Washington St. 34 165 61.6%
2018/10/27  24 Washington St. 41 at  18 Stanford 38 161 44.9%
2018/11/03  66 California 13 at  25 Washington St. 19 157 73.3%
2018/11/10  25 Washington St. 31 at  49 Colorado 27 172 64.1%
2018/11/17  57 Arizona 27 at  25 Washington St. 38 174 67.5%
2018/11/23  12 Washington 31 at  25 Washington St. 28 170 39.2%


Odds of finishing with one loss: 17.0%
Most difficult game left: November 23, vs Washington Huskies, 39.2%


West Virginia Mountaineers
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2018 0.753 14 0.536 47 23.8 8 13.7 33 171.9 25
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2018/09/01  39 West Virginia 40 vs  88 Tennessee 14 148 74.0%
2018/09/22  46 Kansas St. 6 at  29 West Virginia 35 153 50.3%
2018/09/29  18 West Virginia 42 at  55 Texas Tech 34 196 36.4%
2018/10/06  76 Kansas 22 at  19 West Virginia 38 163 86.7%
2018/10/13  25 West Virginia 14 at  33 Iowa St. 30 145 37.8%
2018/10/25  58 Baylor 14 at  23 West Virginia 58 162 73.0%
2018/11/03  14 West Virginia 42 at  39 Texas 41 179 43.3%
2018/11/10  35 TCU 24 at  14 West Virginia 35 171 62.6%
2018/11/17  14 West Virginia 31 at  31 Oklahoma St. 35 174 36.8%
2018/11/23   8 Oklahoma 41 at  14 West Virginia 34 172 39.2%


Odds of finishing with one loss: 1-in-11.1
Most difficult game left: November 17, at Oklahoma State Cowboys, 36.8%


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