Week 12: Undefeated ... but for how long? — RBA

Odds as of games through 2018-11-04

Legitimate Title Contenders

Clemson Tigers
Year	WinPct		SoS		Off.		Def.		Pace
2018	0.903	2	0.541	35	27.4	3	8.3	1	170.0	46

Date	Away Team				Home Team			Plays	Odds
2018/09/08	3	Clemson	28	at	30	Texas A&M	26	161	77.2%
2018/09/15	97	Georgia Southern	7	at	8	Clemson	38	154	97.4%
2018/09/22	7	Clemson	49	at	64	Georgia Tech	21	157	87.5%
2018/09/29	43	Syracuse	23	at	7	Clemson	27	176	87.7%
2018/10/06	8	Clemson	63	at	52	Wake Forest	3	182	86.4%
2018/10/20	28	North Carolina St.	7	at	4	Clemson	41	174	69.5%
2018/10/27	2	Clemson	59	at	46	Florida St.	10	192	85.7%
2018/11/03	84	Louisville	16	at	2	Clemson	77	156	94.0%
2018/11/10	2	Clemson	31	at	30	Boston College	20	168	85.4%
2018/11/17	48	Duke	14	at	2	Clemson	34	169	89.8%
2018/11/24	32	South Carolina	14	at	2	Clemson	38	164	85.3%

Odds of finishing undefeated: 65.4%
Most difficult game left: November 24, vs South Carolina Gamecocks, 85.3%

Alabama Crimson Tide
Year	WinPct		SoS		Off.		Def.		Pace
2018	0.912	1	0.555	8	31.2	1	9.4	3	158.1	129

Date	Away Team				Home Team			Plays	Odds
2018/09/01	32	Louisville	14	vs	1	Alabama	51	167	91.0%
2018/09/08	79	Arkansas St.	7	at	1	Alabama	57	187	97.1%
2018/09/15	1	Alabama	62	at	40	Mississippi	7	164	95.2%
2018/09/22	19	Texas A&M	23	at	1	Alabama	45	164	93.7%
2018/09/29	124	LA-Lafayette	14	at	1	Alabama	56	144	99.7%
2018/10/06	1	Alabama	65	at	103	Arkansas	31	153	99.1%
2018/10/13	37	Missouri	10	at	1	Alabama	39	159	91.7%
2018/10/20	1	Alabama	58	at	85	Tennessee	21	157	97.0%
2018/11/03	1	Alabama	29	at	10	LSU	0	164	80.6%
2018/11/10	11	Mississippi St.	10	at	1	Alabama	31	161	77.2%
2018/11/24	17	Auburn	14	at	1	Alabama	31	160	82.5%

Odds of finishing undefeated: 63.7%
Most difficult game left: November 10, vs Mississippi State Bulldogs, 77.2%

Second-Tier Hopefuls

UCF Knights
Year	WinPct		SoS		Off.		Def.		Pace
2018	0.756	13	0.468	90	23.7	10	13.9	36	166.5	80

Date	Away Team				Home Team			Plays	Odds
2018/08/30	25	UCF	56	at	116	Connecticut	17	177	90.5%
2018/09/21	80	FL-Atlantic	36	at	25	UCF	56	187	80.7%
2018/09/29	65	Pittsburgh	14	at	24	UCF	45	166	62.2%
2018/10/06	96	SMU	20	at	14	UCF	48	187	86.5%
2018/10/13	13	UCF	31	at	55	Memphis	30	181	76.1%
2018/10/20	16	UCF	37	at	103	East Carolina	10	204	91.1%
2018/11/01	43	Temple	40	at	13	UCF	52	210	67.3%
2018/11/10	91	Navy	17	at	13	UCF	42	162	85.7%
2018/11/17	68	Cincinnati	20	at	13	UCF	41	168	77.7%
2018/11/23	13	UCF	38	at	63	South Florida	31	168	76.0%

Odds of finishing undefeated: 50.6%
Most difficult game left: November 23, at South Florida Bulls, 76.0%

Long Shots

Notre Dame Fighting Irish
Year	WinPct		SoS		Off.		Def.		Pace
2018	0.749	16	0.565	2	19.4	34	11.5	14	165.3	95

Date	Away Team				Home Team			Plays	Odds
2018/09/01	12	Michigan	17	at	17	Notre Dame	24	161	60.6%
2018/09/08	126	Ball St.	16	at	15	Notre Dame	24	195	97.0%
2018/09/15	48	Vanderbilt	17	at	26	Notre Dame	22	170	74.1%
2018/09/22	26	Notre Dame	56	at	54	Wake Forest	27	197	62.6%
2018/09/29	13	Stanford	17	at	20	Notre Dame	38	169	71.1%
2018/10/06	20	Notre Dame	45	at	29	Virginia Tech	23	180	43.3%
2018/10/13	65	Pittsburgh	14	at	18	Notre Dame	19	153	77.9%
2018/10/27	17	Notre Dame	44	vs	85	Navy	22	159	82.8%
2018/11/03	16	Notre Dame	31	at	44	Northwestern	21	168	30.7%
2018/11/10	42	Florida St.	17	at	16	Notre Dame	35	165	64.1%
2018/11/17	52	Syracuse	21	vs	16	Notre Dame	35	166	71.4%
2018/11/24	16	Notre Dame	31	at	28	USC	27	166	58.9%

Odds of finishing undefeated: 27.0%
Most difficult game left: November 24, at USC Trojans, 58.9%

One-Loss Hopefuls

Odds as of games through 2018-11-04

Georgia Bulldogs
Year	WinPct		SoS		Off.		Def.		Pace
2018	0.877	3	0.548	24	26.2	4	9.5	5	160.1	125

Date	Away Team				Home Team			Plays	Odds
2018/09/08	5	Georgia	41	at	19	South Carolina	17	162	80.1%
2018/09/15	115	Middle Tenn.	7	at	5	Georgia	49	147	95.1%
2018/09/22	2	Georgia	43	at	39	Missouri	29	176	78.4%
2018/09/29	99	Tennessee	12	at	3	Georgia	38	146	95.6%
2018/10/06	40	Vanderbilt	13	at	3	Georgia	41	155	84.2%
2018/10/13	2	Georgia	16	at	11	LSU	36	171	68.1%
2018/10/27	19	Florida	17	vs	3	Georgia	36	148	78.0%
2018/11/03	3	Georgia	34	at	37	Kentucky	17	155	82.7%
2018/11/10	17	Auburn	20	at	3	Georgia	31	161	76.6%
2018/11/17	112	Massachusetts	14	at	3	Georgia	59	165	96.8%
2018/11/24	20	Georgia Tech	17	at	3	Georgia	41	160	78.2%

Odds of finishing with one loss: 58.0%
Most difficult game left: November 10, vs Auburn Tigers, 76.6%

Michigan Wolverines
Year	WinPct		SoS		Off.		Def.		Pace
2018	0.866	4	0.552	12	24.5	7	9.1	2	164.0	108

Date	Away Team				Home Team			Plays	Odds
2018/09/01	12	Michigan	17	at	17	Notre Dame	24	161	39.4%
2018/09/08	76	Western Michigan	3	at	13	Michigan	49	152	84.3%
2018/09/15	100	SMU	20	at	4	Michigan	45	152	91.8%
2018/09/22	70	Nebraska	10	at	10	Michigan	56	164	92.8%
2018/09/29	5	Michigan	20	at	51	Northwestern	17	157	75.0%
2018/10/06	54	Maryland	21	at	6	Michigan	42	146	91.7%
2018/10/13	7	Wisconsin	13	at	4	Michigan	38	140	44.8%
2018/10/20	5	Michigan	21	at	41	Michigan St.	7	161	79.5%
2018/11/03	9	Penn State	7	at	4	Michigan	42	143	58.8%
2018/11/10	4	Michigan	45	at	120	Rutgers	14	164	98.2%
2018/11/17	65	Indiana	17	at	4	Michigan	42	168	89.0%
2018/11/24	4	Michigan	27	at	6	Ohio St.	21	163	54.7%

Odds of finishing with one loss: 47.8%
Most difficult game left: November 24, at Ohio State Buckeyes, 54.7%

Oklahoma Sooners
Year	WinPct		SoS		Off.		Def.		Pace
2018	0.819	8	0.542	34	29.7	2	14.3	40	172.1	21

Date	Away Team				Home Team			Plays	Odds
2018/09/01	57	FL-Atlantic	14	at	9	Oklahoma	63	165	82.4%
2018/09/08	81	UCLA	21	at	6	Oklahoma	49	176	80.2%
2018/09/15	6	Oklahoma	37	at	22	Iowa St.	27	156	70.4%
2018/09/22	74	Army	21	at	6	Oklahoma	28	145	91.4%
2018/09/29	59	Baylor	33	at	10	Oklahoma	66	188	88.6%
2018/10/06	31	Texas	48	vs	9	Oklahoma	45	163	72.8%
2018/10/20	8	Oklahoma	52	at	14	TCU	27	157	56.8%
2018/10/27	51	Kansas St.	14	at	8	Oklahoma	51	146	78.5%
2018/11/03	8	Oklahoma	51	at	38	Texas Tech	46	183	70.7%
2018/11/10	31	Oklahoma St.	31	at	8	Oklahoma	45	174	72.8%
2018/11/17	78	Kansas	17	at	8	Oklahoma	52	172	88.7%
2018/11/23	8	Oklahoma	41	at	14	West Virginia	34	172	60.8%

Odds of finishing with one loss: 39.3%
Most difficult game left: November 23, at West Virginia Mountaineers, 60.8%

Ohio State Buckeyes
Year	WinPct		SoS		Off.		Def.		Pace
2018	0.843	6	0.535	49	25.1	6	11.5	14	163.3	116

Date	Away Team				Home Team			Plays	Odds
2018/09/01	111	Oregon St.	31	at	3	Ohio St.	77	181	95.9%
2018/09/08	100	Rutgers	3	at	4	Ohio St.	52	166	97.3%
2018/09/15	3	Ohio St.	40	vs	13	TCU	28	187	40.5%
2018/09/22	95	Tulane	6	at	3	Ohio St.	49	161	93.7%
2018/09/29	2	Ohio St.	27	at	6	Penn State	26	190	46.6%
2018/10/06	61	Indiana	26	at	2	Ohio St.	49	188	90.0%
2018/10/13	62	Minnesota	14	at	3	Ohio St.	30	152	91.6%
2018/10/20	3	Ohio St.	20	at	27	Purdue	49	203	86.5%
2018/11/03	60	Nebraska	31	at	6	Ohio St.	36	183	91.7%
2018/11/10	6	Ohio St.	27	at	34	Michigan St.	21	164	77.7%
2018/11/17	6	Ohio St.	35	at	53	Maryland	20	164	84.0%
2018/11/24	4	Michigan	27	at	6	Ohio St.	21	163	45.3%

Odds of finishing with one loss: 29.6%
Most difficult game left: November 24, vs Michigan Wolverines, 45.3%

Washington State Cougars
Year	WinPct		SoS		Off.		Def.		Pace
2018	0.696	25	0.539	39	21.0	23	13.9	34	174.1	13

Date	Away Team				Home Team			Plays	Odds
2018/09/01	24	Washington St.	41	at	63	Wyoming	19	172	76.0%
2018/09/08	128	SJSU	0	at	17	Washington St.	31	165	97.5%
2018/09/21	24	Washington St.	36	at	30	USC	39	166	46.5%
2018/09/29	28	Utah	24	at	25	Washington St.	28	170	53.5%
2018/10/06	25	Washington St.	56	at	111	Oregon St.	37	167	89.9%
2018/10/20	39	Oregon	20	at	31	Washington St.	34	165	61.6%
2018/10/27	24	Washington St.	41	at	18	Stanford	38	161	44.9%
2018/11/03	66	California	13	at	25	Washington St.	19	157	73.3%
2018/11/10	25	Washington St.	31	at	49	Colorado	27	172	64.1%
2018/11/17	57	Arizona	27	at	25	Washington St.	38	174	67.5%
2018/11/23	12	Washington	31	at	25	Washington St.	28	170	39.2%

Odds of finishing with one loss: 17.0%
Most difficult game left: November 23, vs Washington Huskies, 39.2%

West Virginia Mountaineers
Year	WinPct		SoS		Off.		Def.		Pace
2018	0.753	14	0.536	47	23.8	8	13.7	33	171.9	25

Date	Away Team				Home Team			Plays	Odds
2018/09/01	39	West Virginia	40	vs	88	Tennessee	14	148	74.0%
2018/09/22	46	Kansas St.	6	at	29	West Virginia	35	153	50.3%
2018/09/29	18	West Virginia	42	at	55	Texas Tech	34	196	36.4%
2018/10/06	76	Kansas	22	at	19	West Virginia	38	163	86.7%
2018/10/13	25	West Virginia	14	at	33	Iowa St.	30	145	37.8%
2018/10/25	58	Baylor	14	at	23	West Virginia	58	162	73.0%
2018/11/03	14	West Virginia	42	at	39	Texas	41	179	43.3%
2018/11/10	35	TCU	24	at	14	West Virginia	35	171	62.6%
2018/11/17	14	West Virginia	31	at	31	Oklahoma St.	35	174	36.8%
2018/11/23	8	Oklahoma	41	at	14	West Virginia	34	172	39.2%

Odds of finishing with one loss: 1-in-11.1
Most difficult game left: November 17, at Oklahoma State Cowboys, 36.8%

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