Tuesday, October 9, 2018

Week 8: Undefeated ... but for how long? — TFG

Odds as of games through 2018-10-07

Legitimate Title Contenders

Clemson Tigers
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2018 0.942 2 0.585 37 24.0 7 8.4 1 166.6 85
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2018/09/08   4 Clemson 28 at  42 Texas A&M 26 161 82.2%
2018/09/15  91 Georgia Southern 7 at  11 Clemson 38 154 96.9%
2018/09/22   5 Clemson 49 at  66 Georgia Tech 21 157 89.1%
2018/09/29  61 Syracuse 23 at   4 Clemson 27 176 93.6%
2018/10/06   4 Clemson 63 at  49 Wake Forest 3 182 83.2%
2018/10/20  16 North Carolina St. 24 at   2 Clemson 32 165 87.6%
2018/10/27   2 Clemson 30 at  56 Florida St. 20 166 89.1%
2018/11/03  74 Louisville 21 at   2 Clemson 37 167 96.4%
2018/11/10   2 Clemson 32 at  51 Boston College 22 170 90.6%
2018/11/17  35 Duke 21 at   2 Clemson 31 167 88.8%
2018/11/24  34 South Carolina 21 at   2 Clemson 31 169 88.5%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 53.6%
Most difficult game left: October 20, vs North Carolina State Wolfpack, 87.6%


Alabama Crimson Tide
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2018 0.943 1 0.499 63 30.2 2 10.5 4 164.1 96
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2018/09/01  23 Louisville 14 vs   1 Alabama 51 167 89.3%
2018/09/08  75 Arkansas St. 7 at   1 Alabama 57 187 98.4%
2018/09/15   1 Alabama 62 at  39 Mississippi 7 164 91.1%
2018/09/22  20 Texas A&M 23 at   1 Alabama 45 164 95.5%
2018/09/29 119 LA-Lafayette 14 at   1 Alabama 56 144 99.6%
2018/10/06   1 Alabama 65 at 106 Arkansas 31 153 98.2%
2018/10/13  32 Missouri 28 at   1 Alabama 43 175 91.8%
2018/10/20   1 Alabama 36 at  86 Tennessee 21 163 94.3%
2018/11/03   1 Alabama 34 at  14 LSU 27 167 74.9%
2018/11/10  15 Mississippi St. 23 at   1 Alabama 34 161 83.6%
2018/11/24  10 Auburn 24 at   1 Alabama 33 168 76.5%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 41.5%
Most difficult game left: November 3, at LSU Tigers, 74.9%


Ohio State Buckeyes
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2018 0.916 4 0.540 50 26.5 5 10.8 6 177.3 22
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2018/09/01 121 Oregon St. 31 at   4 Ohio St. 77 181 99.2%
2018/09/08 105 Rutgers 3 at   8 Ohio St. 52 166 98.0%
2018/09/15   3 Ohio St. 40 vs  14 TCU 28 187 75.2%
2018/09/22  92 Tulane 6 at   3 Ohio St. 49 161 97.7%
2018/09/29   3 Ohio St. 27 at   7 Penn State 26 190 46.6%
2018/10/06  54 Indiana 26 at   2 Ohio St. 49 188 93.4%
2018/10/13  41 Minnesota 23 at   4 Ohio St. 36 169 90.3%
2018/10/20   4 Ohio St. 34 at  48 Purdue 25 173 81.7%
2018/11/03  80 Nebraska 24 at   4 Ohio St. 41 177 95.1%
2018/11/10   4 Ohio St. 33 at  43 Michigan St. 24 169 84.0%
2018/11/17   4 Ohio St. 37 at  55 Maryland 25 170 89.7%
2018/11/24   6 Michigan 27 at   4 Ohio St. 30 165 60.5%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 32.0%
Most difficult game left: November 24, vs Michigan Wolverines, 60.5%


Notre Dame Fighting Irish
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2018 0.826 13 0.589 35 22.3 14 12.4 15 176.4 29
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2018/09/01  18 Michigan 17 at  10 Notre Dame 24 161 71.5%
2018/09/08 127 Ball St. 16 at  15 Notre Dame 24 195 99.2%
2018/09/15  43 Vanderbilt 17 at  21 Notre Dame 22 170 79.4%
2018/09/22  23 Notre Dame 56 at  41 Wake Forest 27 197 55.4%
2018/09/29  13 Stanford 17 at  19 Notre Dame 38 169 53.9%
2018/10/06  13 Notre Dame 45 at  24 Virginia Tech 23 180 54.5%
2018/10/13  77 Pittsburgh 23 at  13 Notre Dame 35 169 91.1%
2018/10/27  13 Notre Dame 35 vs  93 Navy 23 164 90.8%
2018/11/03  13 Notre Dame 31 at  44 Northwestern 26 177 71.0%
2018/11/10  56 Florida St. 23 at  13 Notre Dame 32 171 82.6%
2018/11/17  61 Syracuse 28 vs  13 Notre Dame 37 180 81.7%
2018/11/24  13 Notre Dame 32 at  49 USC 26 174 76.5%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 30.3%
Most difficult game left: November 3, at Northwestern Wildcats, 71.0%


Second-Tier Hopefuls

Georgia Bulldogs
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2018 0.926 3 0.607 28 27.0 4 10.5 3 156.6 122
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2018/09/08   3 Georgia 41 at  32 South Carolina 17 162 81.4%
2018/09/15 105 Middle Tenn. 7 at   2 Georgia 49 147 99.0%
2018/09/22   2 Georgia 43 at  33 Missouri 29 176 84.3%
2018/09/29  80 Tennessee 12 at   2 Georgia 38 146 96.8%
2018/10/06  57 Vanderbilt 13 at   3 Georgia 41 155 93.6%
2018/10/13   3 Georgia 30 at  14 LSU 26 163 64.5%
2018/10/27  21 Florida 23 vs   3 Georgia 31 159 79.9%
2018/11/03   3 Georgia 31 at  24 Kentucky 24 158 77.7%
2018/11/10  10 Auburn 23 at   3 Georgia 30 164 74.6%
2018/11/17 114 Massachusetts 22 at   3 Georgia 45 165 97.8%
2018/11/24  50 Georgia Tech 26 at   3 Georgia 37 157 89.7%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 26.2%
Most difficult game left: October 13, at LSU Tigers, 64.5%


UCF Knights
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2018 0.765 18 0.351 114 23.9 8 15.3 43 179.6 15
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2018/08/30  15 UCF 56 at 114 Connecticut 17 177 93.1%
2018/09/21  61 FL-Atlantic 36 at  24 UCF 56 187 82.5%
2018/09/29  83 Pittsburgh 14 at  26 UCF 45 166 88.3%
2018/10/06  91 SMU 20 at  23 UCF 48 187 90.6%
2018/10/13  18 UCF 38 at  64 Memphis 33 176 69.3%
2018/10/20  18 UCF 37 at 113 East Carolina 26 177 87.7%
2018/11/01  29 Temple 29 at  18 UCF 33 178 61.7%
2018/11/10  93 Navy 25 at  18 UCF 38 166 88.9%
2018/11/17  53 Cincinnati 26 at  18 UCF 32 175 70.7%
2018/11/23  18 UCF 35 at  45 South Florida 30 181 67.6%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 15.9%
Most difficult game left: November 1, vs Temple Owls, 61.7%


Long Shots

North Carolina State Wolfpack
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2018 0.792 16 0.466 70 22.3 13 13.5 24 165.3 91
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2018/09/08 115 Georgia State 7 at  25 North Carolina St. 41 158 95.0%
2018/09/22  22 North Carolina St. 37 at  85 Marshall 20 168 79.7%
2018/09/29  56 Virginia 21 at  17 North Carolina St. 35 159 83.5%
2018/10/06  50 Boston College 23 at  15 North Carolina St. 28 158 83.2%
2018/10/20  16 North Carolina St. 24 at   2 Clemson 32 165 12.4%
2018/10/27  16 North Carolina St. 34 at  61 Syracuse 30 174 68.3%
2018/11/03  56 Florida St. 23 at  16 North Carolina St. 30 166 79.1%
2018/11/08  71 Wake Forest 26 at  16 North Carolina St. 36 177 85.8%
2018/11/17  16 North Carolina St. 34 at  74 Louisville 25 167 84.1%
2018/11/24  16 North Carolina St. 37 at 116 North Carolina 22 168 93.9%
2018/12/01 113 East Carolina 22 at  16 North Carolina St. 36 169 93.1%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-23.7
Most difficult game left: October 20, at Clemson Tigers, 12.4%


West Virginia Mountaineers
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2018 0.765 19 0.506 59 22.1 17 14.2 35 173.4 42
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2018/09/01  58 West Virginia 40 vs 103 Tennessee 14 148 75.6%
2018/09/22  46 Kansas St. 6 at  26 West Virginia 35 153 73.0%
2018/09/29  16 West Virginia 42 at  40 Texas Tech 34 196 57.9%
2018/10/06  95 Kansas 22 at  19 West Virginia 38 163 92.3%
2018/10/13  19 West Virginia 28 at  40 Iowa St. 26 167 54.1%
2018/10/25  59 Baylor 28 at  19 West Virginia 37 177 83.2%
2018/11/03  19 West Virginia 29 at  17 Texas 31 175 43.7%
2018/11/10  25 TCU 27 at  19 West Virginia 30 172 56.8%
2018/11/17  19 West Virginia 36 at  26 Oklahoma St. 35 177 53.4%
2018/11/23   9 Oklahoma 39 at  19 West Virginia 33 172 37.5%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-44.7
Most difficult game left: November 23, vs Oklahoma Sooners, 37.5%


Absolute Phonies

Cincinnati Bearcats
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2018 0.574 53 0.322 119 15.2 93 13.6 28 172.1 53
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2018/09/01 112 Cincinnati 26 at  68 UCLA 17 174 16.1%
2018/09/08  94 Cincinnati 21 at  81 Miami-OH 0 151 27.9%
2018/09/22  77 Ohio 30 at  69 Cincinnati 34 171 64.9%
2018/09/29  74 Cincinnati 49 at 118 Connecticut 7 171 76.5%
2018/10/06  87 Tulane 21 at  58 Cincinnati 37 175 76.6%
2018/10/20  53 Cincinnati 23 at  29 Temple 29 174 25.1%
2018/10/27  53 Cincinnati 31 at  99 SMU 27 173 66.7%
2018/11/03  93 Navy 23 at  53 Cincinnati 30 162 76.9%
2018/11/10  45 South Florida 26 at  53 Cincinnati 28 178 50.9%
2018/11/17  53 Cincinnati 26 at  18 UCF 32 175 29.3%
2018/11/23 113 East Carolina 23 at  53 Cincinnati 31 173 82.9%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-62.8
Most difficult game left: October 20, at Temple Owls, 25.1%


South Florida Bulls
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2018 0.610 45 0.341 117 18.2 50 15.4 45 184.0 8
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2018/09/08  46 Georgia Tech 38 at  38 South Florida 49 175 67.9%
2018/09/15  40 South Florida 25 vs 115 Illinois 19 198 90.7%
2018/09/22  80 East Carolina 13 at  48 South Florida 20 175 78.2%
2018/10/06  38 South Florida 58 at 116 Massachusetts 42 187 84.5%
2018/10/12  45 South Florida 32 at  95 Tulsa 28 179 70.0%
2018/10/20 127 Connecticut 21 at  45 South Florida 40 174 96.5%
2018/10/27  45 South Florida 31 at  46 Houston 34 187 38.6%
2018/11/03  88 Tulane 25 at  45 South Florida 32 175 77.0%
2018/11/10  45 South Florida 26 at  53 Cincinnati 28 178 49.1%
2018/11/17  45 South Florida 28 at  29 Temple 30 180 39.2%
2018/11/23  18 UCF 35 at  45 South Florida 30 181 32.4%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-79.9
Most difficult game left: November 23, vs UCF Knights, 32.4%


Colorado Buffaloes
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2018 0.652 38 0.458 71 17.7 53 14.0 32 172.2 51
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2018/08/31  79 Colorado 45 vs  75 Colorado St. 13 170 48.3%
2018/09/08  41 Colorado 33 at  64 Nebraska 28 200 49.6%
2018/09/28  87 UCLA 16 at  59 Colorado 38 167 75.3%
2018/10/06  36 Arizona St. 21 at  53 Colorado 28 159 48.7%
2018/10/13  38 Colorado 27 at  49 USC 28 172 46.3%
2018/10/20  38 Colorado 23 at   8 Washington 31 165 16.8%
2018/10/27 107 Oregon St. 25 at  38 Colorado 40 170 90.7%
2018/11/02  38 Colorado 30 at  68 Arizona 27 174 64.8%
2018/11/10  33 Washington St. 29 at  38 Colorado 31 171 51.3%
2018/11/17  27 Utah 27 at  38 Colorado 25 170 41.1%
2018/11/24  38 Colorado 30 at  85 California 24 173 75.2%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-138.0
Most difficult game left: October 20, at Washington Huskies, 16.8%


Follow us on Twitter at @TFGridiron and @TFGLiveOdds.
Posted by at
Labels: , , , , , , , , , , ,