Tuesday, October 23, 2018

Week 10: Undefeated ... but for how long? — RBA

Odds as of games through 2018-10-21

Legitimate Title Contenders

Alabama Crimson Tide
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2018 0.912 1 0.555 9 31.6 1 9.9 6 158.1 130
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2018/09/01  32 Louisville 14 vs   1 Alabama 51 167 91.0%
2018/09/08  79 Arkansas St. 7 at   1 Alabama 57 187 97.1%
2018/09/15   1 Alabama 62 at  40 Mississippi 7 164 95.2%
2018/09/22  19 Texas A&M 23 at   1 Alabama 45 164 93.7%
2018/09/29 124 LA-Lafayette 14 at   1 Alabama 56 144 99.7%
2018/10/06   1 Alabama 65 at 103 Arkansas 31 153 99.1%
2018/10/13  37 Missouri 10 at   1 Alabama 39 159 91.7%
2018/10/20   1 Alabama 58 at  85 Tennessee 21 157 97.0%
2018/11/03   1 Alabama 27 at  13 LSU 20 159 80.6%
2018/11/10  12 Mississippi St. 10 at   1 Alabama 31 161 79.0%
2018/11/24  22 Auburn 14 at   1 Alabama 34 160 84.4%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 53.7%
Most difficult game left: November 10, vs Mississippi State Bulldogs, 79.0%


Second-Tier Hopefuls

Clemson Tigers
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2018 0.867 4 0.540 37 23.5 8 8.2 1 170.0 46
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2018/09/08   3 Clemson 28 at  30 Texas A&M 26 161 77.2%
2018/09/15  97 Georgia Southern 7 at   8 Clemson 38 154 97.4%
2018/09/22   7 Clemson 49 at  64 Georgia Tech 21 157 87.5%
2018/09/29  43 Syracuse 23 at   7 Clemson 27 176 87.7%
2018/10/06   8 Clemson 63 at  52 Wake Forest 3 182 86.4%
2018/10/20  28 North Carolina St. 7 at   4 Clemson 41 175 69.5%
2018/10/27   4 Clemson 31 at  51 Florida St. 17 168 85.7%
2018/11/03  78 Louisville 14 at   4 Clemson 49 167 92.7%
2018/11/10   4 Clemson 34 at  44 Boston College 20 168 83.3%
2018/11/17  15 Duke 17 at   4 Clemson 31 169 72.2%
2018/11/24  19 South Carolina 14 at   4 Clemson 35 164 72.7%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 34.7%
Most difficult game left: November 17, vs Duke Blue Devils, 72.2%


Long Shots

Notre Dame Fighting Irish
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2018 0.748 17 0.566 2 18.2 43 11.0 12 165.3 96
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2018/09/01  12 Michigan 17 at  17 Notre Dame 24 161 60.6%
2018/09/08 126 Ball St. 16 at  15 Notre Dame 24 195 97.0%
2018/09/15  48 Vanderbilt 17 at  26 Notre Dame 22 170 74.1%
2018/09/22  26 Notre Dame 56 at  54 Wake Forest 27 197 62.6%
2018/09/29  13 Stanford 17 at  20 Notre Dame 38 169 71.1%
2018/10/06  20 Notre Dame 45 at  29 Virginia Tech 23 180 43.3%
2018/10/13  65 Pittsburgh 14 at  18 Notre Dame 19 153 77.9%
2018/10/27  17 Notre Dame 28 vs  86 Navy 21 161 82.8%
2018/11/03  17 Notre Dame 27 at  50 Northwestern 24 170 68.6%
2018/11/10  51 Florida St. 17 at  17 Notre Dame 31 165 68.3%
2018/11/17  54 Syracuse 20 vs  17 Notre Dame 34 166 70.7%
2018/11/24  17 Notre Dame 28 at  30 USC 27 166 56.9%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 15.6%
Most difficult game left: November 24, at USC Trojans, 56.9%


UCF Knights
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2018 0.749 16 0.468 90 23.3 9 13.4 37 166.3 82
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2018/08/30  25 UCF 56 at 116 Connecticut 17 177 90.5%
2018/09/21  80 FL-Atlantic 36 at  25 UCF 56 187 80.7%
2018/09/29  65 Pittsburgh 14 at  24 UCF 45 166 62.2%
2018/10/06  96 SMU 20 at  14 UCF 48 187 86.5%
2018/10/13  13 UCF 31 at  55 Memphis 30 181 76.1%
2018/10/20  16 UCF 37 at 103 East Carolina 10 204 91.1%
2018/11/01  48 Temple 21 at  16 UCF 35 164 67.3%
2018/11/10  86 Navy 20 at  16 UCF 38 162 83.4%
2018/11/17  63 Cincinnati 17 at  16 UCF 41 168 76.9%
2018/11/23  16 UCF 31 at  46 South Florida 34 168 31.5%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 13.6%
Most difficult game left: November 23, at South Florida Bulls, 31.5%


South Florida Bulls
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2018 0.619 46 0.509 62 20.4 25 16.3 63 170.3 43
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2018/09/08  59 Georgia Tech 38 at  39 South Florida 49 175 60.0%
2018/09/15  44 South Florida 25 vs 111 Illinois 19 198 87.2%
2018/09/22  88 East Carolina 13 at  50 South Florida 20 175 86.2%
2018/10/06  42 South Florida 58 at 113 Massachusetts 42 187 87.5%
2018/10/12  46 South Florida 25 at  95 Tulsa 24 193 76.0%
2018/10/20 130 Connecticut 30 at  46 South Florida 38 166 94.5%
2018/10/27  46 South Florida 31 at  47 Houston 35 174 48.9%
2018/11/03  91 Tulane 21 at  46 South Florida 38 169 75.3%
2018/11/10  46 South Florida 31 at  63 Cincinnati 27 170 60.5%
2018/11/17  46 South Florida 28 at  48 Temple 31 166 48.7%
2018/11/23  16 UCF 31 at  46 South Florida 34 168 68.5%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-13.5
Most difficult game left: November 17, at Temple Owls, 48.7%



One-Loss Hopefuls
Odds as of games through 2018-10-21

Georgia Bulldogs
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2018 0.887 2 0.547 26 26.0 3 9.7 5 160.2 125
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2018/09/08   5 Georgia 41 at  19 South Carolina 17 162 80.1%
2018/09/15 115 Middle Tenn. 7 at   5 Georgia 49 147 95.1%
2018/09/22   2 Georgia 43 at  39 Missouri 29 176 78.4%
2018/09/29  99 Tennessee 12 at   3 Georgia 38 146 95.6%
2018/10/06  40 Vanderbilt 13 at   3 Georgia 41 155 84.2%
2018/10/13   2 Georgia 16 at  11 LSU 36 171 68.1%
2018/10/27  20 Florida 17 vs   2 Georgia 31 160 78.0%
2018/11/03   2 Georgia 27 at  42 Kentucky 21 162 85.7%
2018/11/10  22 Auburn 20 at   2 Georgia 28 161 79.4%
2018/11/17 111 Massachusetts 17 at   2 Georgia 59 165 96.9%
2018/11/24  34 Georgia Tech 17 at   2 Georgia 41 160 81.7%


Odds of finishing with one loss: 42.0%
Most difficult game left: October 27, vs Florida Gators, 78.0%


Ohio State Buckeyes
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2018 0.870 3 0.535 49 25.8 5 10.9 11 163.2 116
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2018/09/01 111 Oregon St. 31 at   3 Ohio St. 77 181 95.9%
2018/09/08 100 Rutgers 3 at   4 Ohio St. 52 166 97.3%
2018/09/15   3 Ohio St. 40 vs  13 TCU 28 187 40.5%
2018/09/22  95 Tulane 6 at   3 Ohio St. 49 161 93.7%
2018/09/29   2 Ohio St. 27 at   6 Penn State 26 190 46.6%
2018/10/06  61 Indiana 26 at   2 Ohio St. 49 188 90.0%
2018/10/13  62 Minnesota 14 at   3 Ohio St. 30 152 91.6%
2018/10/20   3 Ohio St. 20 at  27 Purdue 49 203 86.5%
2018/11/03  69 Nebraska 17 at   3 Ohio St. 49 165 91.7%
2018/11/10   3 Ohio St. 28 at  41 Michigan St. 20 164 82.9%
2018/11/17   3 Ohio St. 38 at  56 Maryland 21 164 87.5%
2018/11/24   5 Michigan 24 at   3 Ohio St. 25 163 53.8%


Odds of finishing with one loss: 35.8%
Most difficult game left: November 24, vs Michigan Wolverines, 53.8%


Michigan Wolverines
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2018 0.855 5 0.552 13 24.1 7 9.3 3 164.1 108
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2018/09/01  12 Michigan 17 at  17 Notre Dame 24 161 39.4%
2018/09/08  76 Western Michigan 3 at  13 Michigan 49 152 84.3%
2018/09/15 100 SMU 20 at   4 Michigan 45 152 91.8%
2018/09/22  70 Nebraska 10 at  10 Michigan 56 164 92.8%
2018/09/29   5 Michigan 20 at  51 Northwestern 17 157 75.0%
2018/10/06  54 Maryland 21 at   6 Michigan 42 146 91.7%
2018/10/13   7 Wisconsin 13 at   4 Michigan 38 140 44.8%
2018/10/20   5 Michigan 21 at  41 Michigan St. 7 161 79.5%
2018/11/03   6 Penn State 21 at   5 Michigan 27 165 55.1%
2018/11/10   5 Michigan 48 at 124 Rutgers 10 164 98.4%
2018/11/17  66 Indiana 17 at   5 Michigan 42 169 89.4%
2018/11/24   5 Michigan 24 at   3 Ohio St. 25 163 46.2%


Odds of finishing with one loss: 22.4%
Most difficult game left: November 24, at Ohio State Buckeyes, 46.2%


Oklahoma Sooners
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2018 0.793 8 0.543 33 29.1 2 14.4 46 172.2 21
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2018/09/01  57 FL-Atlantic 14 at   9 Oklahoma 63 165 82.4%
2018/09/08  81 UCLA 21 at   6 Oklahoma 49 176 80.2%
2018/09/15   6 Oklahoma 37 at  22 Iowa St. 27 156 70.4%
2018/09/22  74 Army 21 at   6 Oklahoma 28 145 91.4%
2018/09/29  59 Baylor 33 at  10 Oklahoma 66 188 88.6%
2018/10/06  31 Texas 48 vs   9 Oklahoma 45 163 72.8%
2018/10/20   8 Oklahoma 52 at  14 TCU 27 157 56.8%
2018/10/27  57 Kansas St. 21 at   8 Oklahoma 42 168 78.5%
2018/11/03   8 Oklahoma 41 at  55 Texas Tech 28 177 78.8%
2018/11/10  25 Oklahoma St. 31 at   8 Oklahoma 45 174 63.9%
2018/11/17  73 Kansas 20 at   8 Oklahoma 52 172 85.5%
2018/11/23   8 Oklahoma 38 at  23 West Virginia 31 172 60.7%


Odds of finishing with one loss: 20.5%
Most difficult game left: November 23, at West Virginia Mountaineers, 60.7%


LSU Tigers
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2018 0.764 13 0.560 7 20.7 21 11.4 16 160.2 124
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2018/09/02  23 Miami-FL 17 vs  18 LSU 33 165 53.9%
2018/09/15  17 LSU 22 at  10 Auburn 21 174 37.0%
2018/09/22  62 LA Tech 21 at  18 LSU 38 179 77.2%
2018/09/29  60 Mississippi 16 at  14 LSU 45 175 61.9%
2018/10/06  12 LSU 19 at  24 Florida 27 182 61.2%
2018/10/13   2 Georgia 16 at  11 LSU 36 171 31.9%
2018/10/20  12 Mississippi St. 3 at  13 LSU 19 159 52.7%
2018/11/03   1 Alabama 27 at  13 LSU 20 159 19.4%
2018/11/10  13 LSU 38 at  98 Arkansas 24 162 89.1%
2018/11/17 123 Rice 21 at  13 LSU 55 164 96.2%
2018/11/24  13 LSU 28 at  24 Texas A&M 27 167 56.8%


Odds of finishing with one loss: 1-in-10.6
Most difficult game left: November 3, vs Alabama Crimson Tide, 19.4%


North Carolina State Wolfpack
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2018 0.693 28 0.529 54 19.1 35 13.2 35 168.4 62
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2018/09/08 124 Georgia State 7 at  37 North Carolina St. 41 158 94.9%
2018/09/22  28 North Carolina St. 37 at  71 Marshall 20 168 70.9%
2018/09/29  78 Virginia 21 at  26 North Carolina St. 35 159 76.8%
2018/10/06  41 Boston College 23 at  28 North Carolina St. 28 158 60.4%
2018/10/20  28 North Carolina St. 7 at   4 Clemson 41 175 30.5%
2018/10/27  28 North Carolina St. 27 at  54 Syracuse 28 168 33.7%
2018/11/03  51 Florida St. 21 at  28 North Carolina St. 28 167 63.6%
2018/11/08  60 Wake Forest 20 at  28 North Carolina St. 38 168 70.0%
2018/11/17  28 North Carolina St. 35 at  78 Louisville 24 167 78.8%
2018/11/24  28 North Carolina St. 35 at  99 North Carolina 21 168 85.0%
2018/12/01 103 East Carolina 13 at  28 North Carolina St. 45 170 87.3%


Odds of finishing with one loss: 1-in-11.4
Most difficult game left: October 27, at Syracuse Orange, 33.7%


Iowa Hawkeyes
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2018 0.801 7 0.528 55 21.0 19 8.9 2 163.2 116
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2018/09/01  79 Northern Ill. 7 at  20 Iowa 33 163 77.9%
2018/09/08  23 Iowa St. 3 at  14 Iowa 13 147 50.5%
2018/09/22   9 Wisconsin 28 at  12 Iowa 17 143 31.4%
2018/10/06  10 Iowa 48 at  66 Minnesota 31 172 76.8%
2018/10/13  12 Iowa 42 at  63 Indiana 16 159 84.5%
2018/10/20  56 Maryland 0 at   7 Iowa 23 133 78.0%
2018/10/27   7 Iowa 21 at   6 Penn State 27 164 44.2%
2018/11/03   7 Iowa 24 at  27 Purdue 27 167 31.4%
2018/11/10  50 Northwestern 17 at   7 Iowa 31 169 77.5%
2018/11/17   7 Iowa 45 at 107 Illinois 14 166 93.9%
2018/11/23  69 Nebraska 17 at   7 Iowa 45 165 86.0%


Odds of finishing with one loss: 1-in-11.5
Most difficult game left: November 3, at Purdue Boilermakers, 31.4%


Florida Gators
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2018 0.726 20 0.561 5 20.8 20 12.6 25 160.3 122
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2018/09/08  60 Kentucky 27 at  46 Florida 16 150 70.9%
2018/09/15  86 Colorado St. 10 at  67 Florida 48 155 74.8%
2018/09/22  34 Florida 47 at  92 Tennessee 21 163 64.5%
2018/09/29  31 Florida 13 at  15 Mississippi St. 6 148 27.9%
2018/10/06  12 LSU 19 at  24 Florida 27 182 38.8%
2018/10/13  21 Florida 37 at  42 Vanderbilt 27 177 59.9%
2018/10/27  20 Florida 17 vs   2 Georgia 31 160 22.0%
2018/11/03  38 Missouri 24 at  20 Florida 34 167 59.1%
2018/11/10  19 South Carolina 21 at  20 Florida 27 160 52.6%
2018/11/24  20 Florida 25 at  51 Florida St. 24 163 66.9%


Odds of finishing with one loss: 1-in-21.9
Most difficult game left: October 27, vs Georgia Bulldogs, 22.0%


Washington State Cougars
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2018 0.688 31 0.539 39 21.5 15 14.2 44 174.3 12
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2018/09/01  24 Washington St. 41 at  63 Wyoming 19 172 76.0%
2018/09/08 128 SJSU 0 at  17 Washington St. 31 165 97.5%
2018/09/21  24 Washington St. 36 at  30 USC 39 166 46.5%
2018/09/29  28 Utah 24 at  25 Washington St. 28 170 53.5%
2018/10/06  25 Washington St. 56 at 111 Oregon St. 37 167 89.9%
2018/10/20  39 Oregon 20 at  31 Washington St. 34 165 61.6%
2018/10/27  31 Washington St. 27 at  21 Stanford 31 169 44.9%
2018/11/03  92 California 21 at  31 Washington St. 38 173 82.9%
2018/11/10  31 Washington St. 29 at  36 Colorado 28 172 50.1%
2018/11/17  65 Arizona 24 at  31 Washington St. 38 174 69.4%
2018/11/23  10 Washington 31 at  31 Washington St. 27 171 34.9%


Odds of finishing with one loss: 1-in-22.1
Most difficult game left: November 23, vs Washington Huskies, 34.9%


Texas Longhorns
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2018 0.679 33 0.536 45 17.1 61 12.4 23 171.3 30
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2018/09/01  28 Texas 29 vs  91 Maryland 34 192 82.1%
2018/09/08  88 Tulsa 21 at  43 Texas 28 165 79.3%
2018/09/15  21 USC 14 at  45 Texas 37 176 66.7%
2018/09/22  16 TCU 16 at  37 Texas 31 175 75.6%
2018/09/29  32 Texas 19 at  54 Kansas St. 14 153 54.3%
2018/10/06  31 Texas 48 vs   9 Oklahoma 45 163 27.2%
2018/10/13  61 Baylor 17 at  30 Texas 23 186 67.0%
2018/10/27  33 Texas 31 at  25 Oklahoma St. 32 173 43.4%
2018/11/03  23 West Virginia 24 at  33 Texas 34 171 59.9%
2018/11/10  33 Texas 28 at  55 Texas Tech 31 176 38.5%
2018/11/17  32 Iowa St. 24 at  33 Texas 31 171 51.6%
2018/11/23  33 Texas 34 at  73 Kansas 24 171 71.8%


Odds of finishing with one loss: 1-in-27.0
Most difficult game left: November 10, at Texas Tech Red Raiders, 38.5%


Kentucky Wildcats
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2018 0.648 42 0.551 17 17.2 54 12.7 28 164.6 101
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2018/09/01  99 Central Michigan 20 at  73 Kentucky 35 167 60.5%
2018/09/08  60 Kentucky 27 at  46 Florida 16 150 29.1%
2018/09/22  13 Mississippi St. 7 at  48 Kentucky 28 152 24.1%
2018/09/29  12 South Carolina 10 at  38 Kentucky 24 162 31.7%
2018/10/06  38 Kentucky 14 at  26 Texas A&M 20 156 32.5%
2018/10/20  43 Vanderbilt 7 at  42 Kentucky 14 139 50.0%
2018/10/27  42 Kentucky 27 at  38 Missouri 31 169 46.1%
2018/11/03   2 Georgia 27 at  42 Kentucky 21 162 14.3%
2018/11/10  42 Kentucky 31 at  85 Tennessee 24 164 75.7%
2018/11/17 109 Middle Tenn. 17 at  42 Kentucky 41 167 84.6%
2018/11/24  42 Kentucky 31 at  78 Louisville 27 165 71.7%


Odds of finishing with one loss: 1-in-33.0
Most difficult game left: November 3, vs Georgia Bulldogs, 14.3%


West Virginia Mountaineers
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2018 0.714 23 0.536 46 21.4 16 13.9 40 171.9 25
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2018/09/01  39 West Virginia 40 vs  88 Tennessee 14 148 74.0%
2018/09/22  46 Kansas St. 6 at  29 West Virginia 35 153 50.3%
2018/09/29  18 West Virginia 42 at  55 Texas Tech 34 196 36.4%
2018/10/06  76 Kansas 22 at  19 West Virginia 38 163 86.7%
2018/10/13  25 West Virginia 14 at  33 Iowa St. 30 145 37.8%
2018/10/25  61 Baylor 24 at  23 West Virginia 42 175 73.0%
2018/11/03  23 West Virginia 24 at  33 Texas 34 171 40.1%
2018/11/10  14 TCU 27 at  23 West Virginia 31 171 55.1%
2018/11/17  23 West Virginia 28 at  25 Oklahoma St. 35 174 46.7%
2018/11/23   8 Oklahoma 38 at  23 West Virginia 31 172 39.3%


Odds of finishing with one loss: 1-in-33.8
Most difficult game left: November 23, vs Oklahoma Sooners, 39.3%


Follow us on Twitter at @TFGridiron and @TFGLiveOdds.
Posted by at
Labels: , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,