Week 11: Undefeated ... but for how long? — TFG

Odds as of games through 2018-10-28

Legitimate Title Contenders

Clemson Tigers
Year	WinPct		SoS		Off.		Def.		Pace
2018	0.960	1	0.598	27	25.3	4	7.7	1	170.4	64

Date	Away Team				Home Team			Plays	Odds
2018/09/08	4	Clemson	28	at	42	Texas A&M	26	161	82.2%
2018/09/15	91	Georgia Southern	7	at	11	Clemson	38	154	96.9%
2018/09/22	5	Clemson	49	at	66	Georgia Tech	21	157	89.1%
2018/09/29	61	Syracuse	23	at	4	Clemson	27	176	93.6%
2018/10/06	4	Clemson	63	at	49	Wake Forest	3	182	83.2%
2018/10/20	14	North Carolina St.	7	at	2	Clemson	41	174	85.4%
2018/10/27	1	Clemson	59	at	52	Florida St.	10	192	89.6%
2018/11/03	94	Louisville	20	at	1	Clemson	39	169	98.1%
2018/11/10	1	Clemson	33	at	38	Boston College	22	173	91.0%
2018/11/17	50	Duke	21	at	1	Clemson	34	171	94.7%
2018/11/24	41	South Carolina	21	at	1	Clemson	33	169	93.4%

Odds of finishing undefeated: 79.0%
Most difficult game left: November 10, at Boston College Eagles, 91.0%

Alabama Crimson Tide
Year	WinPct		SoS		Off.		Def.		Pace
2018	0.944	2	0.525	58	29.5	2	10.2	5	162.0	102

Date	Away Team				Home Team			Plays	Odds
2018/09/01	23	Louisville	14	vs	1	Alabama	51	167	89.3%
2018/09/08	75	Arkansas St.	7	at	1	Alabama	57	187	98.4%
2018/09/15	1	Alabama	62	at	39	Mississippi	7	164	91.1%
2018/09/22	20	Texas A&M	23	at	1	Alabama	45	164	95.5%
2018/09/29	119	LA-Lafayette	14	at	1	Alabama	56	144	99.6%
2018/10/06	1	Alabama	65	at	106	Arkansas	31	153	98.2%
2018/10/13	32	Missouri	10	at	1	Alabama	39	159	91.7%
2018/10/20	1	Alabama	58	at	73	Tennessee	21	157	93.1%
2018/11/03	2	Alabama	32	at	5	LSU	27	166	65.3%
2018/11/10	14	Mississippi St.	21	at	2	Alabama	32	159	85.4%
2018/11/24	15	Auburn	23	at	2	Alabama	34	168	83.2%

Odds of finishing undefeated: 46.4%
Most difficult game left: November 3, at LSU Tigers, 65.3%

Second-Tier Hopefuls

Notre Dame Fighting Irish
Year	WinPct		SoS		Off.		Def.		Pace
2018	0.805	12	0.532	50	21.1	24	12.4	17	173.9	40

Date	Away Team				Home Team			Plays	Odds
2018/09/01	18	Michigan	17	at	10	Notre Dame	24	161	71.5%
2018/09/08	127	Ball St.	16	at	15	Notre Dame	24	195	99.2%
2018/09/15	43	Vanderbilt	17	at	21	Notre Dame	22	170	79.4%
2018/09/22	23	Notre Dame	56	at	41	Wake Forest	27	197	55.4%
2018/09/29	13	Stanford	17	at	19	Notre Dame	38	169	53.9%
2018/10/06	13	Notre Dame	45	at	24	Virginia Tech	23	180	54.5%
2018/10/13	77	Pittsburgh	14	at	13	Notre Dame	19	153	91.1%
2018/10/27	14	Notre Dame	44	vs	91	Navy	22	159	89.3%
2018/11/03	12	Notre Dame	30	at	42	Northwestern	26	175	68.2%
2018/11/10	67	Florida St.	23	at	12	Notre Dame	31	172	83.2%
2018/11/17	49	Syracuse	30	vs	12	Notre Dame	35	180	75.3%
2018/11/24	12	Notre Dame	32	at	43	USC	27	172	72.3%

Odds of finishing undefeated: 30.9%
Most difficult game left: November 3, at Northwestern Wildcats, 68.2%

UCF Knights
Year	WinPct		SoS		Off.		Def.		Pace
2018	0.769	16	0.371	106	22.2	14	14.2	32	181.6	13

Date	Away Team				Home Team			Plays	Odds
2018/08/30	15	UCF	56	at	114	Connecticut	17	177	93.1%
2018/09/21	61	FL-Atlantic	36	at	24	UCF	56	187	82.4%
2018/09/29	83	Pittsburgh	14	at	26	UCF	45	166	88.3%
2018/10/06	91	SMU	20	at	23	UCF	48	187	90.6%
2018/10/13	18	UCF	31	at	64	Memphis	30	181	69.2%
2018/10/20	23	UCF	37	at	113	East Carolina	10	204	86.8%
2018/11/01	25	Temple	29	at	16	UCF	32	179	60.6%
2018/11/10	91	Navy	25	at	16	UCF	37	166	87.6%
2018/11/17	45	Cincinnati	26	at	16	UCF	31	178	69.2%
2018/11/23	16	UCF	37	at	74	South Florida	29	182	79.9%

Odds of finishing undefeated: 29.4%
Most difficult game left: November 1, vs Temple Owls, 60.6%

One-Loss Hopefuls

Odds as of games through 2018-10-28

Georgia Bulldogs
Year	WinPct		SoS		Off.		Def.		Pace
2018	0.908	4	0.675	5	26.5	3	11.2	9	158.8	114

Date	Away Team				Home Team			Plays	Odds
2018/09/08	3	Georgia	41	at	32	South Carolina	17	162	81.4%
2018/09/15	105	Middle Tenn.	7	at	2	Georgia	49	147	99.0%
2018/09/22	2	Georgia	43	at	33	Missouri	29	176	84.3%
2018/09/29	80	Tennessee	12	at	2	Georgia	38	146	96.8%
2018/10/06	57	Vanderbilt	13	at	3	Georgia	41	155	93.6%
2018/10/13	3	Georgia	16	at	14	LSU	36	171	64.6%
2018/10/27	17	Florida	17	vs	4	Georgia	36	148	72.4%
2018/11/03	4	Georgia	29	at	27	Kentucky	22	158	75.9%
2018/11/10	15	Auburn	23	at	4	Georgia	31	166	77.8%
2018/11/17	104	Massachusetts	22	at	4	Georgia	42	165	96.5%
2018/11/24	44	Georgia Tech	26	at	4	Georgia	36	157	86.2%

Odds of finishing with one loss: 49.1%
Most difficult game left: November 3, at Kentucky Wildcats, 75.9%

Michigan Wolverines
Year	WinPct		SoS		Off.		Def.		Pace
2018	0.908	3	0.583	33	23.1	9	9.7	2	155.0	127

Date	Away Team				Home Team			Plays	Odds
2018/09/01	18	Michigan	17	at	10	Notre Dame	24	161	28.5%
2018/09/08	76	Western Michigan	3	at	18	Michigan	49	152	90.3%
2018/09/15	98	SMU	20	at	13	Michigan	45	152	96.8%
2018/09/22	68	Nebraska	10	at	17	Michigan	56	164	89.8%
2018/09/29	8	Michigan	20	at	52	Northwestern	17	157	78.9%
2018/10/06	56	Maryland	21	at	10	Michigan	42	146	88.2%
2018/10/13	7	Wisconsin	13	at	6	Michigan	38	140	59.9%
2018/10/20	3	Michigan	21	at	35	Michigan St.	7	161	74.8%
2018/11/03	9	Penn State	27	at	3	Michigan	30	168	67.7%
2018/11/10	3	Michigan	34	at	127	Rutgers	15	158	98.8%
2018/11/17	62	Indiana	22	at	3	Michigan	33	165	90.3%
2018/11/24	3	Michigan	29	at	8	Ohio St.	27	166	63.5%

Odds of finishing with one loss: 38.4%
Most difficult game left: November 24, at Ohio State Buckeyes, 63.5%

Oklahoma Sooners
Year	WinPct		SoS		Off.		Def.		Pace
2018	0.858	7	0.577	34	33.3	1	16.9	61	169.5	73

Date	Away Team				Home Team			Plays	Odds
2018/09/01	30	FL-Atlantic	14	at	9	Oklahoma	63	165	84.4%
2018/09/08	73	UCLA	21	at	5	Oklahoma	49	176	96.1%
2018/09/15	7	Oklahoma	37	at	34	Iowa St.	27	156	71.4%
2018/09/22	47	Army	21	at	12	Oklahoma	28	145	88.5%
2018/09/29	49	Baylor	33	at	10	Oklahoma	66	188	87.1%
2018/10/06	21	Texas	48	vs	12	Oklahoma	45	163	64.8%
2018/10/20	9	Oklahoma	52	at	25	TCU	27	157	56.3%
2018/10/27	68	Kansas St.	14	at	7	Oklahoma	51	146	91.2%
2018/11/03	7	Oklahoma	44	at	39	Texas Tech	34	182	73.1%
2018/11/10	37	Oklahoma St.	35	at	7	Oklahoma	46	176	78.3%
2018/11/17	101	Kansas	26	at	7	Oklahoma	45	169	93.8%
2018/11/23	7	Oklahoma	40	at	19	West Virginia	33	169	65.8%

Odds of finishing with one loss: 35.3%
Most difficult game left: November 23, at West Virginia Mountaineers, 65.8%

LSU Tigers
Year	WinPct		SoS		Off.		Def.		Pace
2018	0.881	5	0.708	3	21.8	17	10.3	6	171.3	56

Date	Away Team				Home Team			Plays	Odds
2018/09/02	21	Miami-FL	17	vs	19	LSU	33	165	51.0%
2018/09/15	17	LSU	22	at	6	Auburn	21	174	21.3%
2018/09/22	83	LA Tech	21	at	13	LSU	38	179	94.2%
2018/09/29	64	Mississippi	16	at	12	LSU	45	175	89.8%
2018/10/06	9	LSU	19	at	28	Florida	27	182	63.0%
2018/10/13	3	Georgia	16	at	14	LSU	36	171	35.4%
2018/10/20	15	Mississippi St.	3	at	8	LSU	19	159	72.3%
2018/11/03	2	Alabama	32	at	5	LSU	27	166	34.7%
2018/11/10	5	LSU	34	at	88	Arkansas	23	168	90.9%
2018/11/17	130	Rice	17	at	5	LSU	40	163	98.7%
2018/11/24	5	LSU	30	at	26	Texas A&M	26	168	74.1%

Odds of finishing with one loss: 23.1%
Most difficult game left: November 3, vs Alabama Crimson Tide, 34.7%

Ohio State Buckeyes
Year	WinPct		SoS		Off.		Def.		Pace
2018	0.851	8	0.525	57	23.6	7	12.3	14	177.1	26

Date	Away Team				Home Team			Plays	Odds
2018/09/01	121	Oregon St.	31	at	4	Ohio St.	77	181	99.2%
2018/09/08	105	Rutgers	3	at	8	Ohio St.	52	166	98.0%
2018/09/15	3	Ohio St.	40	vs	14	TCU	28	187	75.2%
2018/09/22	92	Tulane	6	at	3	Ohio St.	49	161	97.7%
2018/09/29	3	Ohio St.	27	at	7	Penn State	26	190	46.6%
2018/10/06	54	Indiana	26	at	2	Ohio St.	49	188	93.4%
2018/10/13	41	Minnesota	14	at	4	Ohio St.	30	152	90.3%
2018/10/20	4	Ohio St.	20	at	36	Purdue	49	203	73.8%
2018/11/03	73	Nebraska	26	at	8	Ohio St.	38	177	88.7%
2018/11/10	8	Ohio St.	30	at	36	Michigan St.	24	170	68.8%
2018/11/17	8	Ohio St.	34	at	64	Maryland	25	168	84.5%
2018/11/24	3	Michigan	29	at	8	Ohio St.	27	166	36.5%

Odds of finishing with one loss: 18.8%
Most difficult game left: November 24, vs Michigan Wolverines, 36.5%

Washington State Cougars
Year	WinPct		SoS		Off.		Def.		Pace
2018	0.705	32	0.499	68	23.5	8	16.9	61	170.4	64

Date	Away Team				Home Team			Plays	Odds
2018/09/01	45	Washington St.	41	at	37	Wyoming	19	172	31.6%
2018/09/08	125	SJSU	0	at	21	Washington St.	31	165	98.8%
2018/09/21	19	Washington St.	36	at	49	USC	39	166	62.0%
2018/09/29	38	Utah	24	at	29	Washington St.	28	170	68.2%
2018/10/06	29	Washington St.	56	at	109	Oregon St.	37	167	85.1%
2018/10/20	53	Oregon	20	at	34	Washington St.	34	165	70.2%
2018/10/27	32	Washington St.	41	at	25	Stanford	38	161	32.5%
2018/11/03	83	California	25	at	32	Washington St.	34	170	80.0%
2018/11/10	32	Washington St.	33	at	61	Colorado	29	174	64.9%
2018/11/17	66	Arizona	29	at	32	Washington St.	35	174	70.4%
2018/11/23	13	Washington	30	at	32	Washington St.	29	163	36.7%

Odds of finishing with one loss: 13.4%
Most difficult game left: November 23, vs Washington Huskies, 36.7%

Kentucky Wildcats
Year	WinPct		SoS		Off.		Def.		Pace
2018	0.722	27	0.618	20	16.6	79	11.6	10	157.9	119

Date	Away Team				Home Team			Plays	Odds
2018/09/01	92	Central Michigan	20	at	70	Kentucky	35	167	73.5%
2018/09/08	57	Kentucky	27	at	61	Florida	16	150	37.3%
2018/09/22	14	Mississippi St.	7	at	52	Kentucky	28	152	24.9%
2018/09/29	21	South Carolina	10	at	30	Kentucky	24	162	51.7%
2018/10/06	22	Kentucky	14	at	26	Texas A&M	20	156	45.2%
2018/10/20	64	Vanderbilt	7	at	26	Kentucky	14	139	80.9%
2018/10/27	26	Kentucky	15	at	31	Missouri	14	164	42.4%
2018/11/03	4	Georgia	29	at	27	Kentucky	22	158	24.1%
2018/11/10	27	Kentucky	26	at	68	Tennessee	23	159	68.7%
2018/11/17	81	Middle Tenn.	21	at	27	Kentucky	27	163	77.3%
2018/11/24	27	Kentucky	30	at	94	Louisville	22	162	83.2%

Odds of finishing with one loss: 10.6%
Most difficult game left: November 3, vs Georgia Bulldogs, 24.1%

West Virginia Mountaineers
Year	WinPct		SoS		Off.		Def.		Pace
2018	0.759	19	0.526	53	22.6	12	14.7	37	170.1	69

Date	Away Team				Home Team			Plays	Odds
2018/09/01	58	West Virginia	40	vs	103	Tennessee	14	148	75.6%
2018/09/22	46	Kansas St.	6	at	26	West Virginia	35	153	73.0%
2018/09/29	16	West Virginia	42	at	40	Texas Tech	34	196	57.9%
2018/10/06	95	Kansas	22	at	19	West Virginia	38	163	92.3%
2018/10/13	19	West Virginia	14	at	40	Iowa St.	30	145	54.1%
2018/10/25	61	Baylor	14	at	30	West Virginia	58	162	78.7%
2018/11/03	19	West Virginia	31	at	31	Texas	29	175	52.2%
2018/11/10	40	TCU	26	at	19	West Virginia	31	170	69.1%
2018/11/17	19	West Virginia	36	at	37	Oklahoma St.	34	176	61.2%
2018/11/23	7	Oklahoma	40	at	19	West Virginia	33	169	34.2%

Odds of finishing with one loss: 1-in-13.2
Most difficult game left: November 23, vs Oklahoma Sooners, 34.2%

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