Week 11: Undefeated ... but for how long? — RBA

Odds as of games through 2018-10-28

Legitimate Title Contenders

Alabama Crimson Tide
Year	WinPct		SoS		Off.		Def.		Pace
2018	0.915	1	0.554	9	31.6	1	9.9	6	158.1	129

Date	Away Team				Home Team			Plays	Odds
2018/09/01	32	Louisville	14	vs	1	Alabama	51	167	91.0%
2018/09/08	79	Arkansas St.	7	at	1	Alabama	57	187	97.1%
2018/09/15	1	Alabama	62	at	40	Mississippi	7	164	95.2%
2018/09/22	19	Texas A&M	23	at	1	Alabama	45	164	93.7%
2018/09/29	124	LA-Lafayette	14	at	1	Alabama	56	144	99.7%
2018/10/06	1	Alabama	65	at	103	Arkansas	31	153	99.1%
2018/10/13	37	Missouri	10	at	1	Alabama	39	159	91.7%
2018/10/20	1	Alabama	58	at	85	Tennessee	21	157	97.0%
2018/11/03	1	Alabama	27	at	12	LSU	20	159	80.6%
2018/11/10	13	Mississippi St.	13	at	1	Alabama	31	161	80.2%
2018/11/24	22	Auburn	14	at	1	Alabama	34	160	84.4%

Odds of finishing undefeated: 54.6%
Most difficult game left: November 10, vs Mississippi State Bulldogs, 80.2%

Clemson Tigers
Year	WinPct		SoS		Off.		Def.		Pace
2018	0.887	2	0.541	35	24.4	6	7.9	1	170.1	46

Date	Away Team				Home Team			Plays	Odds
2018/09/08	3	Clemson	28	at	30	Texas A&M	26	161	77.2%
2018/09/15	97	Georgia Southern	7	at	8	Clemson	38	154	97.4%
2018/09/22	7	Clemson	49	at	64	Georgia Tech	21	157	87.5%
2018/09/29	43	Syracuse	23	at	7	Clemson	27	176	87.7%
2018/10/06	8	Clemson	63	at	52	Wake Forest	3	182	86.4%
2018/10/20	28	North Carolina St.	7	at	4	Clemson	41	174	69.5%
2018/10/27	2	Clemson	59	at	46	Florida St.	10	192	85.7%
2018/11/03	79	Louisville	14	at	2	Clemson	49	168	94.0%
2018/11/10	2	Clemson	31	at	39	Boston College	20	168	84.2%
2018/11/17	44	Duke	14	at	2	Clemson	31	169	84.4%
2018/11/24	16	South Carolina	14	at	2	Clemson	38	164	76.1%

Odds of finishing undefeated: 50.8%
Most difficult game left: November 24, vs South Carolina Gamecocks, 76.1%

Second-Tier Hopefuls

UCF Knights
Year	WinPct		SoS		Off.		Def.		Pace
2018	0.743	14	0.468	90	23.3	10	13.4	31	166.3	82

Date	Away Team				Home Team			Plays	Odds
2018/08/30	25	UCF	56	at	116	Connecticut	17	177	90.5%
2018/09/21	80	FL-Atlantic	36	at	25	UCF	56	187	80.7%
2018/09/29	65	Pittsburgh	14	at	24	UCF	45	166	62.2%
2018/10/06	96	SMU	20	at	14	UCF	48	187	86.5%
2018/10/13	13	UCF	31	at	55	Memphis	30	181	76.1%
2018/10/20	16	UCF	37	at	103	East Carolina	10	204	91.1%
2018/11/01	48	Temple	21	at	14	UCF	35	164	67.3%
2018/11/10	86	Navy	20	at	14	UCF	42	162	84.2%
2018/11/17	64	Cincinnati	17	at	14	UCF	41	168	76.5%
2018/11/23	14	UCF	38	at	49	South Florida	34	168	67.8%

Odds of finishing undefeated: 29.4%
Most difficult game left: November 1, vs Temple Owls, 67.3%

Absolute Phonies

Notre Dame Fighting Irish
Year	WinPct		SoS		Off.		Def.		Pace
2018	0.738	17	0.565	2	19.5	37	11.5	14	165.3	95

Date	Away Team				Home Team			Plays	Odds
2018/09/01	12	Michigan	17	at	17	Notre Dame	24	161	60.6%
2018/09/08	126	Ball St.	16	at	15	Notre Dame	24	195	97.0%
2018/09/15	48	Vanderbilt	17	at	26	Notre Dame	22	170	74.1%
2018/09/22	26	Notre Dame	56	at	54	Wake Forest	27	197	62.6%
2018/09/29	13	Stanford	17	at	20	Notre Dame	38	169	71.1%
2018/10/06	20	Notre Dame	45	at	29	Virginia Tech	23	180	43.3%
2018/10/13	65	Pittsburgh	14	at	18	Notre Dame	19	153	77.9%
2018/10/27	17	Notre Dame	44	vs	86	Navy	22	159	82.8%
2018/11/03	17	Notre Dame	27	at	52	Northwestern	28	170	30.7%
2018/11/10	46	Florida St.	17	at	17	Notre Dame	35	165	62.4%
2018/11/17	56	Syracuse	21	vs	17	Notre Dame	35	166	71.4%
2018/11/24	17	Notre Dame	31	at	30	USC	27	166	55.9%

Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-13.1
Most difficult game left: November 3, at Northwestern Wildcats, 30.7%

One-Loss Hopefuls

Odds as of games through 2018-10-28

Georgia Bulldogs
Year	WinPct		SoS		Off.		Def.		Pace
2018	0.873	3	0.548	25	26.3	4	9.6	5	160.2	123

Date	Away Team				Home Team			Plays	Odds
2018/09/08	5	Georgia	41	at	19	South Carolina	17	162	80.1%
2018/09/15	115	Middle Tenn.	7	at	5	Georgia	49	147	95.1%
2018/09/22	2	Georgia	43	at	39	Missouri	29	176	78.4%
2018/09/29	99	Tennessee	12	at	3	Georgia	38	146	95.6%
2018/10/06	40	Vanderbilt	13	at	3	Georgia	41	155	84.2%
2018/10/13	2	Georgia	16	at	11	LSU	36	171	68.1%
2018/10/27	19	Florida	17	vs	3	Georgia	36	148	78.0%
2018/11/03	3	Georgia	27	at	40	Kentucky	21	162	82.7%
2018/11/10	22	Auburn	20	at	3	Georgia	28	161	76.8%
2018/11/17	112	Massachusetts	17	at	3	Georgia	59	165	96.6%
2018/11/24	31	Georgia Tech	17	at	3	Georgia	41	160	79.5%

Odds of finishing with one loss: 48.8%
Most difficult game left: November 10, vs Auburn Tigers, 76.8%

Ohio State Buckeyes
Year	WinPct		SoS		Off.		Def.		Pace
2018	0.868	4	0.535	49	25.8	5	10.9	10	163.2	117

Date	Away Team				Home Team			Plays	Odds
2018/09/01	111	Oregon St.	31	at	3	Ohio St.	77	181	95.9%
2018/09/08	100	Rutgers	3	at	4	Ohio St.	52	166	97.3%
2018/09/15	3	Ohio St.	40	vs	13	TCU	28	187	40.5%
2018/09/22	95	Tulane	6	at	3	Ohio St.	49	161	93.7%
2018/09/29	2	Ohio St.	27	at	6	Penn State	26	190	46.6%
2018/10/06	61	Indiana	26	at	2	Ohio St.	49	188	90.0%
2018/10/13	62	Minnesota	14	at	3	Ohio St.	30	152	91.6%
2018/10/20	3	Ohio St.	20	at	27	Purdue	49	203	86.5%
2018/11/03	70	Nebraska	17	at	4	Ohio St.	49	165	91.7%
2018/11/10	4	Ohio St.	27	at	41	Michigan St.	20	164	83.2%
2018/11/17	4	Ohio St.	38	at	57	Maryland	20	164	87.9%
2018/11/24	5	Michigan	24	at	4	Ohio St.	25	163	53.8%

Odds of finishing with one loss: 36.1%
Most difficult game left: November 24, vs Michigan Wolverines, 53.8%

Oklahoma Sooners
Year	WinPct		SoS		Off.		Def.		Pace
2018	0.799	8	0.543	34	29.8	2	13.7	36	172.1	22

Date	Away Team				Home Team			Plays	Odds
2018/09/01	57	FL-Atlantic	14	at	9	Oklahoma	63	165	82.4%
2018/09/08	81	UCLA	21	at	6	Oklahoma	49	176	80.2%
2018/09/15	6	Oklahoma	37	at	22	Iowa St.	27	156	70.4%
2018/09/22	74	Army	21	at	6	Oklahoma	28	145	91.4%
2018/09/29	59	Baylor	33	at	10	Oklahoma	66	188	88.6%
2018/10/06	31	Texas	48	vs	9	Oklahoma	45	163	72.8%
2018/10/20	8	Oklahoma	52	at	14	TCU	27	157	56.8%
2018/10/27	51	Kansas St.	14	at	8	Oklahoma	51	146	78.5%
2018/11/03	8	Oklahoma	41	at	37	Texas Tech	31	177	70.7%
2018/11/10	33	Oklahoma St.	31	at	8	Oklahoma	45	174	69.4%
2018/11/17	81	Kansas	17	at	8	Oklahoma	52	172	88.5%
2018/11/23	8	Oklahoma	38	at	23	West Virginia	31	171	64.9%

Odds of finishing with one loss: 28.2%
Most difficult game left: November 23, at West Virginia Mountaineers, 64.9%

Michigan Wolverines
Year	WinPct		SoS		Off.		Def.		Pace
2018	0.854	5	0.552	11	24.1	8	9.3	4	164.1	109

Date	Away Team				Home Team			Plays	Odds
2018/09/01	12	Michigan	17	at	17	Notre Dame	24	161	39.4%
2018/09/08	76	Western Michigan	3	at	13	Michigan	49	152	84.3%
2018/09/15	100	SMU	20	at	4	Michigan	45	152	91.8%
2018/09/22	70	Nebraska	10	at	10	Michigan	56	164	92.8%
2018/09/29	5	Michigan	20	at	51	Northwestern	17	157	75.0%
2018/10/06	54	Maryland	21	at	6	Michigan	42	146	91.7%
2018/10/13	7	Wisconsin	13	at	4	Michigan	38	140	44.8%
2018/10/20	5	Michigan	21	at	41	Michigan St.	7	161	79.5%
2018/11/03	7	Penn State	21	at	5	Michigan	27	165	58.8%
2018/11/10	5	Michigan	48	at	125	Rutgers	10	164	98.4%
2018/11/17	62	Indiana	17	at	5	Michigan	42	168	88.2%
2018/11/24	5	Michigan	24	at	4	Ohio St.	25	163	46.2%

Odds of finishing with one loss: 23.6%
Most difficult game left: November 24, at Ohio State Buckeyes, 46.2%

Washington State Cougars
Year	WinPct		SoS		Off.		Def.		Pace
2018	0.701	24	0.539	38	22.1	14	14.6	44	174.2	11

Date	Away Team				Home Team			Plays	Odds
2018/09/01	24	Washington St.	41	at	63	Wyoming	19	172	76.0%
2018/09/08	128	SJSU	0	at	17	Washington St.	31	165	97.5%
2018/09/21	24	Washington St.	36	at	30	USC	39	166	46.5%
2018/09/29	28	Utah	24	at	25	Washington St.	28	170	53.5%
2018/10/06	25	Washington St.	56	at	111	Oregon St.	37	167	89.9%
2018/10/20	39	Oregon	20	at	31	Washington St.	34	165	61.6%
2018/10/27	24	Washington St.	41	at	18	Stanford	38	161	44.9%
2018/11/03	68	California	21	at	24	Washington St.	35	173	73.3%
2018/11/10	24	Washington St.	31	at	35	Colorado	28	172	52.5%
2018/11/17	65	Arizona	24	at	24	Washington St.	38	174	72.4%
2018/11/23	9	Washington	31	at	24	Washington St.	28	171	35.8%

Odds of finishing with one loss: 1-in-10.0
Most difficult game left: November 23, vs Washington Huskies, 35.8%

LSU Tigers
Year	WinPct		SoS		Off.		Def.		Pace
2018	0.760	12	0.560	7	20.7	23	11.4	13	160.2	124

Date	Away Team				Home Team			Plays	Odds
2018/09/02	23	Miami-FL	17	vs	18	LSU	33	165	53.9%
2018/09/15	17	LSU	22	at	10	Auburn	21	174	37.0%
2018/09/22	62	LA Tech	21	at	18	LSU	38	179	77.2%
2018/09/29	60	Mississippi	16	at	14	LSU	45	175	61.9%
2018/10/06	12	LSU	19	at	24	Florida	27	182	61.2%
2018/10/13	2	Georgia	16	at	11	LSU	36	171	31.9%
2018/10/20	12	Mississippi St.	3	at	13	LSU	19	159	52.7%
2018/11/03	1	Alabama	27	at	12	LSU	20	159	19.4%
2018/11/10	12	LSU	38	at	84	Arkansas	24	162	85.8%
2018/11/17	124	Rice	21	at	12	LSU	55	164	96.1%
2018/11/24	12	LSU	28	at	21	Texas A&M	24	167	55.2%

Odds of finishing with one loss: 1-in-11.3
Most difficult game left: November 3, vs Alabama Crimson Tide, 19.4%

Kentucky Wildcats
Year	WinPct		SoS		Off.		Def.		Pace
2018	0.655	40	0.550	17	16.9	65	12.5	25	164.6	101

Date	Away Team				Home Team			Plays	Odds
2018/09/01	99	Central Michigan	20	at	73	Kentucky	35	167	60.5%
2018/09/08	60	Kentucky	27	at	46	Florida	16	150	29.1%
2018/09/22	13	Mississippi St.	7	at	48	Kentucky	28	152	24.1%
2018/09/29	12	South Carolina	10	at	38	Kentucky	24	162	31.7%
2018/10/06	38	Kentucky	14	at	26	Texas A&M	20	156	32.5%
2018/10/20	43	Vanderbilt	7	at	42	Kentucky	14	139	50.0%
2018/10/27	40	Kentucky	15	at	28	Missouri	14	164	46.1%
2018/11/03	3	Georgia	27	at	40	Kentucky	21	162	17.3%
2018/11/10	40	Kentucky	31	at	91	Tennessee	24	164	77.9%
2018/11/17	108	Middle Tenn.	17	at	40	Kentucky	41	167	86.4%
2018/11/24	40	Kentucky	34	at	79	Louisville	27	165	73.8%

Odds of finishing with one loss: 1-in-11.6
Most difficult game left: November 3, vs Georgia Bulldogs, 17.3%

West Virginia Mountaineers
Year	WinPct		SoS		Off.		Def.		Pace
2018	0.706	23	0.535	47	23.4	9	13.1	28	171.9	25

Date	Away Team				Home Team			Plays	Odds
2018/09/01	39	West Virginia	40	vs	88	Tennessee	14	148	74.0%
2018/09/22	46	Kansas St.	6	at	29	West Virginia	35	153	50.3%
2018/09/29	18	West Virginia	42	at	55	Texas Tech	34	196	36.4%
2018/10/06	76	Kansas	22	at	19	West Virginia	38	163	86.7%
2018/10/13	25	West Virginia	14	at	33	Iowa St.	30	145	37.8%
2018/10/25	58	Baylor	14	at	23	West Virginia	58	162	73.0%
2018/11/03	23	West Virginia	27	at	34	Texas	34	171	43.3%
2018/11/10	15	TCU	27	at	23	West Virginia	31	171	56.9%
2018/11/17	23	West Virginia	31	at	33	Oklahoma St.	35	174	44.9%
2018/11/23	8	Oklahoma	38	at	23	West Virginia	31	171	35.1%

Odds of finishing with one loss: 1-in-25.8
Most difficult game left: November 23, vs Oklahoma Sooners, 35.1%

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