Tuesday, October 17, 2017

Week 9: Undefeated ... but for how long? — RBA

Odds as of games through 2017-10-15

Legitimate Title Contenders

Alabama Crimson Tide
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2017 0.945 1 0.554 9 27.3 1 6.2 1 158.0 130
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2017/09/02  12 Florida St. 7 vs   1 Alabama 24 148 91.3%
2017/09/09 126 Fresno St. 10 at   1 Alabama 41 151 99.6%
2017/09/16  54 Colorado St. 23 at   1 Alabama 41 160 96.3%
2017/09/23   1 Alabama 59 at  42 Vanderbilt 0 158 91.7%
2017/09/30  55 Mississippi 3 at   1 Alabama 66 159 89.4%
2017/10/07   1 Alabama 27 at  26 Texas A&M 19 162 91.2%
2017/10/14  65 Arkansas 9 at   1 Alabama 41 163 96.1%
2017/10/21  68 Tennessee 14 at   1 Alabama 42 161 96.6%
2017/11/04  45 LSU 14 at   1 Alabama 31 158 94.5%
2017/11/11   1 Alabama 35 at  42 Mississippi St. 17 161 94.4%
2017/11/25   1 Alabama 28 at   5 Auburn 17 159 76.1%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 65.6%
Most difficult game left: November 25, at Auburn Tigers, 76.1%


Second-Tier Hopefuls

Wisconsin Badgers
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2017 0.834 9 0.536 45 21.4 22 9.1 7 160.8 123
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2017/09/01  94 Utah St. 10 at   8 Wisconsin 59 166 93.4%
2017/09/09 124 FL-Atlantic 14 at   7 Wisconsin 31 168 97.6%
2017/09/16   9 Wisconsin 40 at  31 BYU 6 135 76.1%
2017/09/30  50 Northwestern 24 at   3 Wisconsin 33 164 85.7%
2017/10/07   9 Wisconsin 38 at  64 Nebraska 17 154 90.1%
2017/10/14  46 Purdue 9 at   9 Wisconsin 17 148 83.9%
2017/10/21  89 Maryland 14 at   9 Wisconsin 48 163 92.7%
2017/10/28   9 Wisconsin 38 at 100 Illinois 14 164 95.0%
2017/11/04   9 Wisconsin 31 at  55 Indiana 20 167 83.1%
2017/11/11  28 Iowa 14 at   9 Wisconsin 28 162 75.1%
2017/11/18   7 Michigan 17 at   9 Wisconsin 24 162 55.0%
2017/11/25   9 Wisconsin 31 at  47 Minnesota 21 162 81.6%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 24.7%
Most difficult game left: November 18, vs Michigan Wolverines, 55.0%


Georgia Bulldogs
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2017 0.856 8 0.545 28 23.0 8 10.8 14 160.5 125
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2017/09/02  63 Appalachian St. 10 at  37 Georgia 31 160 64.9%
2017/09/09  24 Georgia 20 at  19 Notre Dame 19 188 43.3%
2017/09/23  25 Mississippi St. 3 at  22 Georgia 31 147 45.7%
2017/09/30  16 Georgia 41 at  56 Tennessee 0 152 59.9%
2017/10/07   8 Georgia 45 at  24 Vanderbilt 14 145 59.7%
2017/10/14 111 Missouri 28 at   8 Georgia 53 155 97.2%
2017/10/28   8 Georgia 27 vs  15 Florida 20 160 62.8%
2017/11/04  43 South Carolina 17 at   8 Georgia 35 160 83.0%
2017/11/11   8 Georgia 21 at   5 Auburn 20 161 52.5%
2017/11/18  58 Kentucky 20 at   8 Georgia 35 162 86.2%
2017/11/25   8 Georgia 27 at  21 Georgia Tech 24 161 73.6%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 17.4%
Most difficult game left: November 11, at Auburn Tigers, 52.5%


South Florida Bulls
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2017 0.685 25 0.513 62 22.5 13 14.8 49 169.3 52
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2017/08/26  51 South Florida 42 at 110 SJSU 22 232 83.4%
2017/09/15  81 Illinois 23 at  52 South Florida 47 192 80.2%
2017/09/21  67 Temple 7 at  46 South Florida 43 176 55.7%
2017/09/30  29 South Florida 61 at 103 East Carolina 31 184 81.5%
2017/10/14 104 Cincinnati 3 at  25 South Florida 33 189 85.6%
2017/10/21  25 South Florida 38 at  82 Tulane 27 168 77.8%
2017/10/28  38 Houston 27 at  25 South Florida 38 173 56.5%
2017/11/04  25 South Florida 38 at 120 Connecticut 20 167 91.3%
2017/11/16  83 Tulsa 24 at  25 South Florida 42 172 78.9%
2017/11/24  25 South Florida 31 at  36 UCF 28 167 54.7%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 17.3%
Most difficult game left: November 24, at UCF Knights, 54.7%


Penn State Nittany Lions
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2017 0.863 4 0.534 49 23.4 7 8.3 2 165.4 91
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2017/09/02 102 Akron 0 at  17 Penn State 52 158 89.6%
2017/09/09  37 Pittsburgh 14 at  12 Penn State 33 162 61.6%
2017/09/16 107 Georgia State 0 at  11 Penn State 56 160 93.4%
2017/09/23   6 Penn State 21 at  30 Iowa 19 172 70.0%
2017/09/30  45 Indiana 14 at   5 Penn State 45 182 88.6%
2017/10/07   5 Penn State 31 at  43 Northwestern 7 179 84.7%
2017/10/21   7 Michigan 24 at   4 Penn State 25 165 51.0%
2017/10/28   4 Penn State 24 at   6 Ohio St. 28 164 48.8%
2017/11/04   4 Penn State 27 at  29 Michigan St. 21 165 79.1%
2017/11/11 116 Rutgers 0 at   4 Penn State 52 165 97.8%
2017/11/18  61 Nebraska 14 at   4 Penn State 45 166 88.4%
2017/11/25   4 Penn State 45 at  89 Maryland 17 166 94.2%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 16.0%
Most difficult game left: October 28, at Ohio State Buckeyes, 48.8%


Miami Hurricanes
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2017 0.811 10 0.550 16 22.6 11 10.3 11 164.3 108
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2017/09/23  62 Toledo 30 at  15 Miami-FL 52 183 78.0%
2017/09/29  14 Miami-FL 31 at  53 Duke 6 175 77.6%
2017/10/07  11 Miami-FL 24 at  21 Florida St. 20 176 61.7%
2017/10/14  21 Georgia Tech 24 at  10 Miami-FL 25 162 72.6%
2017/10/21  75 Syracuse 17 at  10 Miami-FL 41 165 88.3%
2017/10/28  10 Miami-FL 34 at  57 North Carolina 20 166 81.6%
2017/11/04  11 Virginia Tech 24 at  10 Miami-FL 27 163 52.9%
2017/11/11  16 Notre Dame 24 at  10 Miami-FL 27 164 59.5%
2017/11/18  62 Virginia 17 at  10 Miami-FL 35 165 84.4%
2017/11/24  10 Miami-FL 38 at  59 Pittsburgh 21 164 82.9%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 15.9%
Most difficult game left: November 4, vs Virginia Tech Hokies, 52.9%


Long Shots

UCF Knights
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2017 0.645 36 0.466 90 19.6 39 14.1 42 165.0 98
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2017/08/31 119 FIU 17 at  81 UCF 61 171 76.0%
2017/09/23  73 UCF 38 at  74 Maryland 10 167 43.6%
2017/09/30  57 Memphis 13 at  66 UCF 40 178 37.1%
2017/10/07  38 UCF 51 at  96 Cincinnati 23 132 67.8%
2017/10/14 113 East Carolina 21 at  36 UCF 63 178 85.9%
2017/10/21  36 UCF 31 at  54 Navy 34 161 40.8%
2017/11/04  36 UCF 38 at  76 SMU 27 166 72.0%
2017/11/11 120 Connecticut 17 at  36 UCF 49 165 89.7%
2017/11/18  36 UCF 31 at  74 Temple 24 163 71.0%
2017/11/24  25 South Florida 31 at  36 UCF 28 167 45.3%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-11.8
Most difficult game left: October 21, at Navy Midshipmen, 40.8%


TCU Horned Frogs
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2017 0.710 20 0.496 67 20.9 28 13.2 27 171.7 29
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2017/09/09  35 TCU 28 at  31 Arkansas 7 151 44.7%
2017/09/16  84 SMU 36 at  23 TCU 56 176 80.2%
2017/09/23  27 TCU 44 at   9 Oklahoma St. 31 184 35.6%
2017/10/07  28 West Virginia 24 at  23 TCU 31 176 58.6%
2017/10/14  20 TCU 26 at  22 Kansas St. 6 160 42.4%
2017/10/21 121 Kansas 17 at  20 TCU 48 172 92.4%
2017/10/28  20 TCU 32 at  44 Iowa St. 31 172 59.9%
2017/11/04  26 Texas 24 at  20 TCU 34 171 50.8%
2017/11/11  20 TCU 27 at  14 Oklahoma 34 172 36.4%
2017/11/18  20 TCU 35 at  41 Texas Tech 34 177 58.4%
2017/11/24  64 Baylor 24 at  20 TCU 42 175 70.5%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-23.7
Most difficult game left: November 11, at Oklahoma Sooners, 36.4%


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