Tuesday, October 24, 2017

Week 10: Undefeated ... but for how long? — TFG

Odds as of games through 2017-10-22

Legitimate Title Contenders

Alabama Crimson Tide
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2017 0.978 1 0.572 47 26.8 3 6.4 1 162.9 107
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2017/09/02   8 Florida St. 7 vs   1 Alabama 24 148 87.7%
2017/09/09 121 Fresno St. 10 at   1 Alabama 41 151 99.8%
2017/09/16  65 Colorado St. 23 at   1 Alabama 41 160 97.7%
2017/09/23   2 Alabama 59 at  41 Vanderbilt 0 158 87.8%
2017/09/30  61 Mississippi 3 at   1 Alabama 66 159 98.3%
2017/10/07   1 Alabama 27 at  35 Texas A&M 19 162 95.5%
2017/10/14  70 Arkansas 9 at   1 Alabama 41 163 98.7%
2017/10/21  76 Tennessee 7 at   1 Alabama 45 160 98.8%
2017/11/04  24 LSU 19 at   1 Alabama 31 159 95.0%
2017/11/11   1 Alabama 32 at  20 Mississippi St. 22 165 92.1%
2017/11/25   1 Alabama 30 at  11 Auburn 22 167 86.6%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 75.8%
Most difficult game left: November 25, at Auburn Tigers, 86.6%


Second-Tier Hopefuls

Wisconsin Badgers
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2017 0.911 6 0.485 69 23.1 12 9.6 7 155.3 128
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2017/09/01  86 Utah St. 10 at   6 Wisconsin 59 166 95.8%
2017/09/09 120 FL-Atlantic 14 at   7 Wisconsin 31 168 99.3%
2017/09/16   8 Wisconsin 40 at  72 BYU 6 135 87.4%
2017/09/30  41 Northwestern 24 at   5 Wisconsin 33 164 91.8%
2017/10/07   6 Wisconsin 38 at  55 Nebraska 17 154 86.7%
2017/10/14  46 Purdue 9 at   6 Wisconsin 17 148 91.5%
2017/10/21  75 Maryland 13 at   5 Wisconsin 38 152 95.4%
2017/10/28   6 Wisconsin 34 at 120 Illinois 18 159 96.8%
2017/11/04   6 Wisconsin 31 at  45 Indiana 22 171 85.4%
2017/11/11  18 Iowa 21 at   6 Wisconsin 28 161 78.6%
2017/11/18  12 Michigan 23 at   6 Wisconsin 26 158 65.7%
2017/11/25   6 Wisconsin 29 at  41 Minnesota 21 158 87.2%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 37.2%
Most difficult game left: November 18, vs Michigan Wolverines, 65.7%


Penn State Nittany Lions
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2017 0.957 2 0.599 34 27.5 2 8.6 3 167.9 86
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2017/09/02 104 Akron 0 at  12 Penn State 52 158 96.0%
2017/09/09  30 Pittsburgh 14 at   6 Penn State 33 162 90.9%
2017/09/16 116 Georgia State 0 at   5 Penn State 56 160 99.0%
2017/09/23   3 Penn State 21 at  24 Iowa 19 172 78.2%
2017/09/30  39 Indiana 14 at   3 Penn State 45 182 92.8%
2017/10/07   4 Penn State 31 at  43 Northwestern 7 179 86.4%
2017/10/21   7 Michigan 13 at   3 Penn State 42 152 81.2%
2017/10/28   2 Penn State 29 at   3 Ohio St. 30 171 40.1%
2017/11/04   2 Penn State 31 at  26 Michigan St. 21 164 86.8%
2017/11/11 112 Rutgers 16 at   2 Penn State 39 168 99.0%
2017/11/18  58 Nebraska 22 at   2 Penn State 37 166 95.0%
2017/11/25   2 Penn State 40 at  74 Maryland 22 169 96.5%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 31.6%
Most difficult game left: October 28, at Ohio State Buckeyes, 40.1%


UCF Knights
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2017 0.764 19 0.401 91 21.0 19 13.5 30 167.5 87
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2017/08/31 111 FIU 17 at  71 UCF 61 171 75.5%
2017/09/23  59 UCF 38 at  63 Maryland 10 167 40.2%
2017/09/30  46 Memphis 13 at  34 UCF 40 178 67.5%
2017/10/07  20 UCF 51 at  87 Cincinnati 23 132 83.0%
2017/10/14 113 East Carolina 21 at  24 UCF 63 178 95.6%
2017/10/21  20 UCF 31 at  51 Navy 21 161 57.9%
2017/11/04  19 UCF 35 at  64 SMU 29 172 73.6%
2017/11/11 111 Connecticut 21 at  19 UCF 35 169 93.8%
2017/11/18  19 UCF 29 at  69 Temple 23 167 78.7%
2017/11/24  29 South Florida 30 at  19 UCF 31 177 57.8%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 31.4%
Most difficult game left: November 24, vs South Florida Bulls, 57.8%


Georgia Bulldogs
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2017 0.902 8 0.564 49 23.1 12 10.0 10 159.0 120
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2017/09/02  21 Appalachian St. 10 at  43 Georgia 31 160 50.1%
2017/09/09  19 Georgia 20 at  15 Notre Dame 19 188 34.5%
2017/09/23  11 Mississippi St. 3 at  21 Georgia 31 147 49.2%
2017/09/30  10 Georgia 41 at  52 Tennessee 0 152 75.9%
2017/10/07   7 Georgia 45 at  83 Vanderbilt 14 145 93.1%
2017/10/14 103 Missouri 28 at   5 Georgia 53 155 98.2%
2017/10/28   8 Georgia 29 vs  42 Florida 21 159 85.9%
2017/11/04  50 South Carolina 19 at   8 Georgia 29 159 88.9%
2017/11/11   8 Georgia 26 at  11 Auburn 25 165 52.1%
2017/11/18  72 Kentucky 21 at   8 Georgia 33 163 91.7%
2017/11/25   8 Georgia 30 at  25 Georgia Tech 26 158 76.5%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 27.9%
Most difficult game left: November 11, at Auburn Tigers, 52.1%


TCU Horned Frogs
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2017 0.888 10 0.530 55 20.6 22 9.5 6 173.5 49
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2017/09/09  42 TCU 28 at  36 Arkansas 7 151 33.0%
2017/09/16  94 SMU 36 at  22 TCU 56 176 93.7%
2017/09/23  26 TCU 44 at   9 Oklahoma St. 31 184 21.1%
2017/10/07  33 West Virginia 24 at  15 TCU 31 176 78.2%
2017/10/14  15 TCU 26 at  29 Kansas St. 6 160 54.2%
2017/10/21 124 Kansas 0 at  12 TCU 43 149 98.9%
2017/10/28  10 TCU 27 at  21 Iowa St. 25 171 62.0%
2017/11/04  30 Texas 23 at  10 TCU 29 180 80.3%
2017/11/11  10 TCU 33 at  13 Oklahoma 30 171 55.8%
2017/11/18  10 TCU 36 at  53 Texas Tech 27 180 85.7%
2017/11/24  78 Baylor 23 at  10 TCU 35 178 91.4%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 21.8%
Most difficult game left: November 11, at Oklahoma Sooners, 55.8%


South Florida Bulls
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2017 0.703 29 0.309 117 20.4 25 14.7 46 187.5 3
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2017/08/26  47 South Florida 42 at 106 SJSU 22 232 84.2%
2017/09/15  73 Illinois 23 at  60 South Florida 47 192 71.6%
2017/09/21  56 Temple 7 at  49 South Florida 43 176 63.2%
2017/09/30  29 South Florida 61 at 107 East Carolina 31 184 86.2%
2017/10/14  88 Cincinnati 3 at  32 South Florida 33 189 86.0%
2017/10/21  28 South Florida 34 at  85 Tulane 28 174 72.1%
2017/10/28  46 Houston 25 at  29 South Florida 31 182 72.9%
2017/11/04  29 South Florida 35 at 111 Connecticut 24 179 88.5%
2017/11/16  73 Tulsa 31 at  29 South Florida 37 184 74.4%
2017/11/24  29 South Florida 30 at  19 UCF 31 177 42.2%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 20.3%
Most difficult game left: November 24, at UCF Knights, 42.2%


Long Shots

Miami Hurricanes
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2017 0.827 15 0.634 21 19.8 32 11.0 12 175.4 39
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2017/09/23  62 Toledo 30 at  16 Miami-FL 52 183 85.9%
2017/09/29  15 Miami-FL 31 at  22 Duke 6 175 47.4%
2017/10/07  11 Miami-FL 24 at  18 Florida St. 20 176 57.3%
2017/10/14  26 Georgia Tech 24 at  13 Miami-FL 25 162 74.6%
2017/10/21  64 Syracuse 19 at  13 Miami-FL 27 192 89.0%
2017/10/28  15 Miami-FL 31 at  91 North Carolina 22 174 85.0%
2017/11/04   9 Virginia Tech 27 at  15 Miami-FL 25 174 40.4%
2017/11/11   7 Notre Dame 32 at  15 Miami-FL 27 176 37.3%
2017/11/18  81 Virginia 22 at  15 Miami-FL 32 171 87.3%
2017/11/24  15 Miami-FL 31 at  51 Pittsburgh 26 169 77.9%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-11.5
Most difficult game left: November 11, vs Notre Dame Fighting Irish, 37.3%


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