Tuesday, October 24, 2017

Week 10: Undefeated ... but for how long? — RBA

Odds as of games through 2017-10-22

Legitimate Title Contenders

Alabama Crimson Tide
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2017 0.948 1 0.554 9 27.4 1 6.0 1 158.0 130
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2017/09/02  12 Florida St. 7 vs   1 Alabama 24 148 91.3%
2017/09/09 126 Fresno St. 10 at   1 Alabama 41 151 99.6%
2017/09/16  54 Colorado St. 23 at   1 Alabama 41 160 96.3%
2017/09/23   1 Alabama 59 at  42 Vanderbilt 0 158 91.7%
2017/09/30  55 Mississippi 3 at   1 Alabama 66 159 89.4%
2017/10/07   1 Alabama 27 at  26 Texas A&M 19 162 91.2%
2017/10/14  65 Arkansas 9 at   1 Alabama 41 163 96.1%
2017/10/21  67 Tennessee 7 at   1 Alabama 45 160 96.6%
2017/11/04  42 LSU 17 at   1 Alabama 31 158 94.7%
2017/11/11   1 Alabama 35 at  26 Mississippi St. 17 161 92.5%
2017/11/25   1 Alabama 28 at   9 Auburn 17 159 81.1%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 71.0%
Most difficult game left: November 25, at Auburn Tigers, 81.1%


Penn State Nittany Lions
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2017 0.880 3 0.534 47 24.1 6 7.8 2 165.4 92
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2017/09/02 102 Akron 0 at  17 Penn State 52 158 89.6%
2017/09/09  37 Pittsburgh 14 at  12 Penn State 33 162 61.6%
2017/09/16 107 Georgia State 0 at  11 Penn State 56 160 93.4%
2017/09/23   6 Penn State 21 at  30 Iowa 19 172 70.0%
2017/09/30  44 Indiana 14 at   5 Penn State 45 182 88.6%
2017/10/07   5 Penn State 31 at  43 Northwestern 7 179 84.7%
2017/10/21   7 Michigan 13 at   3 Penn State 42 152 51.0%
2017/10/28   3 Penn State 28 at   5 Ohio St. 24 164 55.5%
2017/11/04   3 Penn State 28 at  30 Michigan St. 20 165 82.6%
2017/11/11 107 Rutgers 3 at   3 Penn State 49 165 97.4%
2017/11/18  60 Nebraska 14 at   3 Penn State 45 166 90.1%
2017/11/25   3 Penn State 45 at  90 Maryland 17 166 95.1%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 38.3%
Most difficult game left: October 28, at Ohio State Buckeyes, 55.5%


Second-Tier Hopefuls

South Florida Bulls
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2017 0.694 25 0.512 62 22.2 13 15.2 50 169.3 51
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2017/08/26  51 South Florida 42 at 110 SJSU 22 232 83.4%
2017/09/15  81 Illinois 23 at  52 South Florida 47 192 80.2%
2017/09/21  67 Temple 7 at  46 South Florida 43 176 55.7%
2017/09/30  29 South Florida 61 at 103 East Carolina 31 184 81.5%
2017/10/14 104 Cincinnati 3 at  25 South Florida 33 189 85.6%
2017/10/21  25 South Florida 34 at  93 Tulane 28 174 77.8%
2017/10/28  56 Houston 24 at  25 South Florida 38 173 66.9%
2017/11/04  25 South Florida 38 at 113 Connecticut 21 167 90.1%
2017/11/16  72 Tulsa 27 at  25 South Florida 42 172 74.8%
2017/11/24  25 South Florida 31 at  34 UCF 28 167 55.5%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 25.0%
Most difficult game left: November 24, at UCF Knights, 55.5%


Wisconsin Badgers
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2017 0.838 8 0.535 45 21.6 21 9.1 7 160.7 123
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2017/09/01  94 Utah St. 10 at   8 Wisconsin 59 166 93.4%
2017/09/09 124 FL-Atlantic 14 at   7 Wisconsin 31 168 97.6%
2017/09/16   9 Wisconsin 40 at  31 BYU 6 135 76.1%
2017/09/30  50 Northwestern 24 at   3 Wisconsin 33 164 85.7%
2017/10/07   9 Wisconsin 38 at  64 Nebraska 17 154 90.1%
2017/10/14  46 Purdue 9 at   9 Wisconsin 17 148 83.9%
2017/10/21  90 Maryland 13 at   8 Wisconsin 38 152 92.7%
2017/10/28   8 Wisconsin 38 at 110 Illinois 14 164 95.9%
2017/11/04   8 Wisconsin 31 at  50 Indiana 20 167 82.0%
2017/11/11  24 Iowa 13 at   8 Wisconsin 28 162 72.3%
2017/11/18   7 Michigan 17 at   8 Wisconsin 28 162 52.5%
2017/11/25   8 Wisconsin 31 at  48 Minnesota 21 162 81.7%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 24.4%
Most difficult game left: November 18, vs Michigan Wolverines, 52.5%


UCF Knights
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2017 0.653 34 0.467 90 20.0 36 13.8 39 165.0 98
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2017/08/31 119 FIU 17 at  81 UCF 61 171 76.0%
2017/09/23  73 UCF 38 at  74 Maryland 10 167 43.6%
2017/09/30  57 Memphis 13 at  66 UCF 40 178 37.1%
2017/10/07  38 UCF 51 at  96 Cincinnati 23 132 67.8%
2017/10/14 114 East Carolina 21 at  35 UCF 63 178 85.9%
2017/10/21  34 UCF 31 at  55 Navy 21 161 40.8%
2017/11/04  34 UCF 38 at  75 SMU 27 166 72.5%
2017/11/11 113 Connecticut 17 at  34 UCF 48 165 87.9%
2017/11/18  34 UCF 34 at  78 Temple 24 163 74.4%
2017/11/24  25 South Florida 31 at  34 UCF 28 167 44.5%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 21.1%
Most difficult game left: November 24, vs South Florida Bulls, 44.5%


Georgia Bulldogs
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2017 0.851 6 0.545 28 23.0 10 10.8 13 160.5 125
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2017/09/02  63 Appalachian St. 10 at  37 Georgia 31 160 64.9%
2017/09/09  24 Georgia 20 at  19 Notre Dame 19 188 43.3%
2017/09/23  25 Mississippi St. 3 at  22 Georgia 31 147 45.7%
2017/09/30  16 Georgia 41 at  56 Tennessee 0 152 59.9%
2017/10/07   8 Georgia 45 at  24 Vanderbilt 14 145 59.7%
2017/10/14 112 Missouri 28 at   8 Georgia 53 155 97.2%
2017/10/28   6 Georgia 27 vs  15 Florida 20 160 62.8%
2017/11/04  43 South Carolina 17 at   6 Georgia 35 160 83.0%
2017/11/11   6 Georgia 21 at   9 Auburn 20 161 53.5%
2017/11/18  63 Kentucky 17 at   6 Georgia 38 162 87.4%
2017/11/25   6 Georgia 27 at  22 Georgia Tech 24 161 74.0%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 18.0%
Most difficult game left: November 11, at Auburn Tigers, 53.5%


Long Shots

Miami Hurricanes
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2017 0.825 10 0.549 18 19.8 37 10.4 11 164.4 108
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2017/09/23  62 Toledo 30 at  15 Miami-FL 52 183 78.0%
2017/09/29  14 Miami-FL 31 at  53 Duke 6 175 77.6%
2017/10/07  11 Miami-FL 24 at  21 Florida St. 20 176 61.7%
2017/10/14  21 Georgia Tech 24 at  10 Miami-FL 25 162 72.6%
2017/10/21  71 Syracuse 19 at  10 Miami-FL 27 192 88.3%
2017/10/28  10 Miami-FL 35 at  57 North Carolina 17 166 82.9%
2017/11/04  14 Virginia Tech 24 at  10 Miami-FL 27 163 56.4%
2017/11/11  12 Notre Dame 28 at  10 Miami-FL 27 164 43.8%
2017/11/18  58 Virginia 20 at  10 Miami-FL 31 165 82.8%
2017/11/24  10 Miami-FL 35 at  62 Pittsburgh 21 164 83.9%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 14.2%
Most difficult game left: November 11, vs Notre Dame Fighting Irish, 43.8%


TCU Horned Frogs
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2017 0.721 19 0.495 69 21.8 16 10.5 12 171.5 29
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2017/09/09  35 TCU 28 at  31 Arkansas 7 151 44.7%
2017/09/16  84 SMU 36 at  23 TCU 56 176 80.2%
2017/09/23  27 TCU 44 at   9 Oklahoma St. 31 184 35.6%
2017/10/07  28 West Virginia 24 at  23 TCU 31 176 58.6%
2017/10/14  20 TCU 26 at  22 Kansas St. 6 160 42.4%
2017/10/21 122 Kansas 0 at  19 TCU 43 149 92.4%
2017/10/28  19 TCU 31 at  29 Iowa St. 28 171 53.8%
2017/11/04  27 Texas 21 at  19 TCU 31 171 53.9%
2017/11/11  19 TCU 28 at  13 Oklahoma 35 172 39.3%
2017/11/18  19 TCU 35 at  41 Texas Tech 28 176 62.6%
2017/11/24  69 Baylor 21 at  19 TCU 42 175 76.0%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-18.4
Most difficult game left: November 11, at Oklahoma Sooners, 39.3%


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