Tuesday, October 10, 2017

Week 8: Undefeated ... but for how long? — RBA

Odds as of games through 2017-10-08

Legitimate Title Contenders

Alabama Crimson Tide
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2017 0.955 1 0.555 11 27.4 2 6.4 1 158.0 130
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2017/09/02  12 Florida St. 7 vs   1 Alabama 24 148 91.3%
2017/09/09 126 Fresno St. 10 at   1 Alabama 41 151 99.6%
2017/09/16  54 Colorado St. 23 at   1 Alabama 41 160 96.3%
2017/09/23   1 Alabama 59 at  42 Vanderbilt 0 158 91.7%
2017/09/30  55 Mississippi 3 at   1 Alabama 66 159 89.4%
2017/10/07   1 Alabama 27 at  26 Texas A&M 19 162 91.2%
2017/10/14  56 Arkansas 14 at   1 Alabama 45 160 96.1%
2017/10/21  55 Tennessee 14 at   1 Alabama 42 161 96.1%
2017/11/04  42 LSU 14 at   1 Alabama 31 158 95.4%
2017/11/11   1 Alabama 35 at  37 Mississippi St. 17 161 94.9%
2017/11/25   1 Alabama 27 at   4 Auburn 17 159 78.7%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 65.8%
Most difficult game left: November 25, at Auburn Tigers, 78.7%


Clemson Tigers
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2017 0.892 2 0.539 39 22.2 20 7.5 2 170.3 41
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2017/09/02 116 Kent St. 3 at   7 Clemson 56 158 97.0%
2017/09/09   8 Auburn 6 at   2 Clemson 14 160 54.7%
2017/09/16   2 Clemson 47 at  29 Louisville 21 180 81.0%
2017/09/23  96 Boston College 7 at   2 Clemson 34 176 97.7%
2017/09/30   2 Clemson 31 at  10 Virginia Tech 17 165 74.7%
2017/10/07  45 Wake Forest 14 at   2 Clemson 28 183 90.2%
2017/10/13   2 Clemson 41 at  78 Syracuse 20 168 94.5%
2017/10/28  33 Georgia Tech 20 at   2 Clemson 34 166 84.3%
2017/11/04   2 Clemson 31 at  41 North Carolina St. 20 169 89.0%
2017/11/11  21 Florida St. 17 at   2 Clemson 34 168 82.0%
2017/11/25   2 Clemson 34 at  61 South Carolina 21 164 90.9%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 52.8%
Most difficult game left: November 11, vs Florida State Seminoles, 82.0%


San Diego State Aztecs
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2017 0.676 34 0.482 77 20.2 32 13.1 28 166.4 82
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2017/09/09  26 SDSU 30 at  75 Arizona St. 20 153 62.6%
2017/09/16  15 Stanford 17 at  28 SDSU 20 147 69.5%
2017/09/23  26 SDSU 28 at  61 Air Force 24 148 58.3%
2017/09/30  73 Northern Ill. 28 at  27 SDSU 34 176 80.8%
2017/10/07  34 SDSU 41 at  86 UNLV 10 154 82.7%
2017/10/14  49 Boise St. 24 at  34 SDSU 34 168 60.9%
2017/10/21 100 Fresno St. 17 at  34 SDSU 42 167 87.3%
2017/10/28  34 SDSU 48 at 112 Hawaii 21 169 90.2%
2017/11/04  34 SDSU 42 at 125 SJSU 20 166 95.8%
2017/11/18 108 Nevada 17 at  34 SDSU 42 168 88.6%
2017/11/24  80 New Mexico 24 at  34 SDSU 38 165 76.6%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 31.2%
Most difficult game left: October 14, vs Boise State Broncos, 60.9%


Second-Tier Hopefuls

Wisconsin Badgers
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2017 0.840 9 0.536 42 22.5 15 9.5 10 160.8 123
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2017/09/01  94 Utah St. 10 at   8 Wisconsin 59 166 93.4%
2017/09/09 124 FL-Atlantic 14 at   7 Wisconsin 31 168 97.6%
2017/09/16   9 Wisconsin 40 at  31 BYU 6 135 76.1%
2017/09/30  50 Northwestern 24 at   3 Wisconsin 33 164 85.7%
2017/10/07   9 Wisconsin 38 at  64 Nebraska 17 154 90.1%
2017/10/14  57 Purdue 17 at   9 Wisconsin 38 166 83.9%
2017/10/21  82 Maryland 14 at   9 Wisconsin 48 163 91.8%
2017/10/28   9 Wisconsin 41 at  92 Illinois 14 164 94.7%
2017/11/04   9 Wisconsin 34 at  44 Indiana 20 167 81.7%
2017/11/11  29 Iowa 14 at   9 Wisconsin 31 162 75.2%
2017/11/18   3 Michigan 20 at   9 Wisconsin 27 162 57.4%
2017/11/25   9 Wisconsin 31 at  36 Minnesota 20 162 77.2%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 19.9%
Most difficult game left: November 18, vs Michigan Wolverines, 57.4%


Washington Huskies
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2017 0.852 7 0.544 30 24.4 5 9.0 6 168.7 59
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2017/09/01   6 Washington 30 at 120 Rutgers 14 157 97.0%
2017/09/16 123 Fresno St. 16 at  10 Washington 48 152 98.0%
2017/09/23  10 Washington 37 at  21 Colorado 10 153 52.3%
2017/09/30   7 Washington 42 at  98 Oregon St. 7 151 93.9%
2017/10/07  60 California 7 at   7 Washington 38 161 80.9%
2017/10/14   7 Washington 41 at  76 Arizona St. 24 172 91.6%
2017/10/28  40 UCLA 17 at   7 Washington 41 170 82.4%
2017/11/04  35 Oregon 17 at   7 Washington 42 173 79.1%
2017/11/10   7 Washington 34 at  18 Stanford 21 166 66.9%
2017/11/18  20 Utah 17 at   7 Washington 34 168 73.3%
2017/11/25  17 Washington St. 20 at   7 Washington 35 171 65.4%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 19.1%
Most difficult game left: November 25, vs Washington State Cougars, 65.4%


Georgia Bulldogs
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2017 0.842 8 0.546 28 21.2 26 8.5 5 160.6 125
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2017/09/02  63 Appalachian St. 10 at  37 Georgia 31 160 64.9%
2017/09/09  24 Georgia 20 at  19 Notre Dame 19 188 43.3%
2017/09/23  25 Mississippi St. 3 at  22 Georgia 31 147 45.7%
2017/09/30  16 Georgia 41 at  56 Tennessee 0 152 59.9%
2017/10/07   8 Georgia 45 at  24 Vanderbilt 14 145 59.7%
2017/10/14 118 Missouri 13 at   8 Georgia 45 167 97.2%
2017/10/28   8 Georgia 28 vs  15 Florida 21 160 60.3%
2017/11/04  61 South Carolina 17 at   8 Georgia 35 160 85.5%
2017/11/11   8 Georgia 22 at   4 Auburn 21 161 56.7%
2017/11/18  59 Kentucky 17 at   8 Georgia 34 162 84.9%
2017/11/25   8 Georgia 27 at  33 Georgia Tech 24 161 75.9%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 18.3%
Most difficult game left: November 11, at Auburn Tigers, 56.7%


South Florida Bulls
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2017 0.690 25 0.512 62 23.0 13 15.5 54 169.2 52
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2017/08/26  51 South Florida 42 at 110 SJSU 22 232 83.4%
2017/09/15  81 Illinois 23 at  52 South Florida 47 192 80.2%
2017/09/21  67 Temple 7 at  46 South Florida 43 176 55.7%
2017/09/30  29 South Florida 61 at 103 East Carolina 31 184 81.5%
2017/10/14  96 Cincinnati 20 at  25 South Florida 42 169 85.6%
2017/10/21  25 South Florida 38 at  93 Tulane 24 168 87.1%
2017/10/28  39 Houston 27 at  25 South Florida 38 173 57.2%
2017/11/04  25 South Florida 41 at 113 Connecticut 21 167 90.1%
2017/11/16  73 Tulsa 24 at  25 South Florida 45 172 73.7%
2017/11/24  25 South Florida 31 at  38 UCF 28 167 55.8%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 15.8%
Most difficult game left: November 24, at UCF Knights, 55.8%


Penn State Nittany Lions
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2017 0.862 5 0.534 48 23.4 10 8.3 4 165.4 93
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2017/09/02 102 Akron 0 at  17 Penn State 52 158 89.6%
2017/09/09  37 Pittsburgh 14 at  12 Penn State 33 162 61.6%
2017/09/16 107 Georgia State 0 at  11 Penn State 56 160 93.4%
2017/09/23   6 Penn State 21 at  30 Iowa 19 172 70.0%
2017/09/30  44 Indiana 14 at   5 Penn State 45 182 88.6%
2017/10/07   5 Penn State 31 at  43 Northwestern 7 179 84.7%
2017/10/21   3 Michigan 25 at   5 Penn State 24 165 48.6%
2017/10/28   5 Penn State 24 at   6 Ohio St. 27 164 48.7%
2017/11/04   5 Penn State 27 at  32 Michigan St. 21 165 80.1%
2017/11/11 115 Rutgers 3 at   5 Penn State 52 165 97.5%
2017/11/18  64 Nebraska 17 at   5 Penn State 42 166 88.7%
2017/11/25   5 Penn State 45 at  82 Maryland 17 166 93.4%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 15.3%
Most difficult game left: October 21, vs Michigan Wolverines, 48.6%


Miami Hurricanes
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2017 0.814 11 0.550 18 22.6 14 10.2 12 164.3 110
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2017/09/23  62 Toledo 30 at  15 Miami-FL 52 183 78.0%
2017/09/29  14 Miami-FL 31 at  53 Duke 6 175 77.6%
2017/10/07  11 Miami-FL 24 at  21 Florida St. 20 176 61.7%
2017/10/14  33 Georgia Tech 21 at  11 Miami-FL 28 163 72.6%
2017/10/21  78 Syracuse 17 at  11 Miami-FL 45 165 89.4%
2017/10/28  11 Miami-FL 34 at  58 North Carolina 20 166 81.4%
2017/11/04  12 Virginia Tech 24 at  11 Miami-FL 27 163 52.9%
2017/11/11  16 Notre Dame 24 at  11 Miami-FL 27 164 59.6%
2017/11/18  67 Virginia 17 at  11 Miami-FL 38 165 85.9%
2017/11/24  11 Miami-FL 38 at  54 Pittsburgh 24 164 80.7%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 11.5%
Most difficult game left: November 4, vs Virginia Tech Hokies, 52.9%


Long Shots

UCF Knights
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2017 0.639 38 0.466 90 19.2 44 14.1 37 165.0 97
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2017/08/31 119 FIU 17 at  81 UCF 61 171 76.0%
2017/09/23  73 UCF 38 at  74 Maryland 10 167 43.6%
2017/09/30  57 Memphis 13 at  66 UCF 40 178 37.1%
2017/10/07  38 UCF 51 at  96 Cincinnati 23 132 67.8%
2017/10/14 102 East Carolina 17 at  38 UCF 52 168 85.9%
2017/10/21  38 UCF 31 at  52 Navy 35 161 42.7%
2017/11/04  38 UCF 38 at  74 SMU 27 166 71.0%
2017/11/11 113 Connecticut 17 at  38 UCF 49 165 87.8%
2017/11/18  38 UCF 31 at  75 Temple 24 163 72.1%
2017/11/24  25 South Florida 31 at  38 UCF 28 167 44.2%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-13.7
Most difficult game left: October 21, at Navy Midshipmen, 42.7%


Washington State Cougars
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2017 0.774 17 0.543 33 24.4 5 11.9 20 174.6 11
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2017/09/09  42 Boise St. 44 at  17 Washington St. 47 200 73.5%
2017/09/16 101 Oregon St. 23 at  22 Washington St. 52 173 87.6%
2017/09/23  88 Nevada 7 at  23 Washington St. 45 160 86.3%
2017/09/29  13 USC 27 at  17 Washington St. 30 171 41.6%
2017/10/07  17 Washington St. 33 at  35 Oregon 10 172 69.1%
2017/10/13  17 Washington St. 38 at  60 California 24 174 77.2%
2017/10/21  27 Colorado 21 at  17 Washington St. 35 172 63.2%
2017/10/28  17 Washington St. 38 at  53 Arizona 24 174 75.6%
2017/11/04  18 Stanford 27 at  17 Washington St. 34 169 51.5%
2017/11/11  17 Washington St. 28 at  20 Utah 27 171 59.1%
2017/11/25  17 Washington St. 20 at   7 Washington 35 171 34.6%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-25.7
Most difficult game left: November 25, at Washington Huskies, 34.6%


TCU Horned Frogs
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2017 0.697 23 0.495 69 21.1 27 14.0 36 171.7 28
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2017/09/09  35 TCU 28 at  31 Arkansas 7 151 44.7%
2017/09/16  84 SMU 36 at  23 TCU 56 176 80.2%
2017/09/23  27 TCU 44 at   9 Oklahoma St. 31 184 35.6%
2017/10/07  28 West Virginia 24 at  23 TCU 31 176 58.6%
2017/10/14  23 TCU 28 at  19 Kansas St. 29 168 42.4%
2017/10/21 117 Kansas 20 at  23 TCU 48 172 90.4%
2017/10/28  23 TCU 32 at  51 Iowa St. 31 172 63.3%
2017/11/04  30 Texas 24 at  23 TCU 34 171 51.5%
2017/11/11  23 TCU 28 at  10 Oklahoma 35 172 30.1%
2017/11/18  23 TCU 35 at  62 Texas Tech 34 177 68.2%
2017/11/24  66 Baylor 24 at  23 TCU 41 175 69.6%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-56.0
Most difficult game left: November 11, at Oklahoma Sooners, 30.1%


Absolute Phonies

Navy Midshipmen
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2017 0.593 52 0.449 110 23.6 9 20.3 96 158.4 129
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2017/09/01  52 Navy 42 at 125 FL-Atlantic 19 159 92.7%
2017/09/09 113 Tulane 21 at  49 Navy 23 145 86.9%
2017/09/23  87 Cincinnati 32 at  52 Navy 42 167 75.2%
2017/09/30  54 Navy 31 at  71 Tulsa 21 157 58.2%
2017/10/07  70 Air Force 45 at  52 Navy 48 168 53.1%
2017/10/14  52 Navy 35 at  68 Memphis 36 165 40.6%
2017/10/21  38 UCF 31 at  52 Navy 35 161 57.3%
2017/11/02  52 Navy 31 at  75 Temple 28 160 65.7%
2017/11/11  74 SMU 28 at  52 Navy 41 163 64.6%
2017/11/18  52 Navy 28 at  16 Notre Dame 41 161 25.8%
2017/11/24  52 Navy 31 at  39 Houston 35 167 44.0%
2017/12/09  91 Army 21 vs  52 Navy 35 158 78.4%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-113.8
Most difficult game left: November 18, at Notre Dame Fighting Irish, 25.8%


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