Tuesday, October 10, 2017

Week 8: Undefeated ... but for how long? — TFG

Odds as of games through 2017-10-08

Legitimate Title Contenders

Alabama Crimson Tide
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2017 0.978 1 0.590 35 27.5 2 6.6 1 161.5 112
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2017/09/02   8 Florida St. 7 vs   1 Alabama 24 148 87.7%
2017/09/09 121 Fresno St. 10 at   1 Alabama 41 151 99.8%
2017/09/16  65 Colorado St. 23 at   1 Alabama 41 160 97.7%
2017/09/23   2 Alabama 59 at  41 Vanderbilt 0 158 87.8%
2017/09/30  61 Mississippi 3 at   1 Alabama 66 159 98.3%
2017/10/07   1 Alabama 27 at  35 Texas A&M 19 162 95.5%
2017/10/14  70 Arkansas 20 at   1 Alabama 40 160 98.7%
2017/10/21  68 Tennessee 18 at   1 Alabama 38 167 98.7%
2017/11/04  35 LSU 17 at   1 Alabama 32 158 96.4%
2017/11/11   1 Alabama 34 at  39 Mississippi St. 21 165 95.3%
2017/11/25   1 Alabama 30 at  10 Auburn 21 164 86.3%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 77.2%
Most difficult game left: November 25, at Auburn Tigers, 86.3%


Clemson Tigers
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2017 0.958 2 0.664 14 26.2 3 8.1 2 172.8 49
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2017/09/02 116 Kent St. 3 at   3 Clemson 56 158 99.2%
2017/09/09   8 Auburn 6 at   3 Clemson 14 160 79.4%
2017/09/16   2 Clemson 47 at  25 Louisville 21 180 84.2%
2017/09/23  79 Boston College 7 at   1 Clemson 34 176 98.4%
2017/09/30   2 Clemson 31 at   7 Virginia Tech 17 165 63.0%
2017/10/07  40 Wake Forest 14 at   2 Clemson 28 183 95.6%
2017/10/13   2 Clemson 37 at  82 Syracuse 21 179 95.9%
2017/10/28  26 Georgia Tech 23 at   2 Clemson 35 165 93.1%
2017/11/04   2 Clemson 34 at  30 North Carolina St. 24 172 89.1%
2017/11/11  19 Florida St. 23 at   2 Clemson 33 168 88.1%
2017/11/25   2 Clemson 33 at  52 South Carolina 19 167 94.7%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 66.4%
Most difficult game left: November 11, vs Florida State Seminoles, 88.1%


San Diego State Aztecs
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2017 0.777 20 0.465 75 20.8 24 13.0 24 156.2 127
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2017/09/09  25 SDSU 30 at  84 Arizona St. 20 153 71.1%
2017/09/16  14 Stanford 17 at  32 SDSU 20 147 43.3%
2017/09/23  31 SDSU 28 at  69 Air Force 24 148 63.4%
2017/09/30  84 Northern Ill. 28 at  28 SDSU 34 176 88.0%
2017/10/07  28 SDSU 41 at  78 UNLV 10 154 70.0%
2017/10/14  31 Boise St. 25 at  20 SDSU 29 163 71.3%
2017/10/21  89 Fresno St. 20 at  20 SDSU 33 162 92.8%
2017/10/28  20 SDSU 35 at 115 Hawaii 22 159 91.5%
2017/11/04  20 SDSU 37 at 126 SJSU 17 166 98.2%
2017/11/18 105 Nevada 20 at  20 SDSU 33 162 92.3%
2017/11/24  72 New Mexico 23 at  20 SDSU 31 157 81.2%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 44.6%
Most difficult game left: October 14, vs Boise State Broncos, 71.3%


Georgia Bulldogs
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2017 0.920 5 0.596 31 21.9 16 8.7 5 158.8 122
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2017/09/02  21 Appalachian St. 10 at  43 Georgia 31 160 50.1%
2017/09/09  19 Georgia 20 at  15 Notre Dame 19 188 34.5%
2017/09/23  11 Mississippi St. 3 at  21 Georgia 31 147 49.2%
2017/09/30  10 Georgia 41 at  52 Tennessee 0 152 75.9%
2017/10/07   7 Georgia 45 at  83 Vanderbilt 14 145 93.1%
2017/10/14 103 Missouri 17 at   5 Georgia 36 168 98.2%
2017/10/28   5 Georgia 29 vs  38 Florida 21 159 86.3%
2017/11/04  52 South Carolina 18 at   5 Georgia 28 160 91.5%
2017/11/11   5 Georgia 25 at  10 Auburn 23 163 58.0%
2017/11/18  65 Kentucky 21 at   5 Georgia 32 163 92.5%
2017/11/25   5 Georgia 29 at  26 Georgia Tech 24 158 80.6%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 33.5%
Most difficult game left: November 11, at Auburn Tigers, 58.0%


Washington Huskies
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2017 0.905 7 0.409 88 25.2 6 10.8 11 159.3 119
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2017/09/01   5 Washington 30 at 128 Rutgers 14 157 98.3%
2017/09/16 114 Fresno St. 16 at  13 Washington 48 152 97.1%
2017/09/23  15 Washington 37 at  12 Colorado 10 153 33.1%
2017/09/30   8 Washington 42 at  91 Oregon St. 7 151 92.4%
2017/10/07  64 California 7 at   8 Washington 38 161 92.5%
2017/10/14   7 Washington 35 at  60 Arizona St. 26 168 85.8%
2017/10/28  53 UCLA 25 at   7 Washington 39 172 92.7%
2017/11/04  44 Oregon 26 at   7 Washington 37 172 87.4%
2017/11/10   7 Washington 30 at  23 Stanford 26 159 72.4%
2017/11/18  51 Utah 22 at   7 Washington 33 166 87.0%
2017/11/25  17 Washington St. 27 at   7 Washington 32 168 71.4%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 31.3%
Most difficult game left: November 25, vs Washington State Cougars, 71.4%


Second-Tier Hopefuls

Wisconsin Badgers
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2017 0.919 6 0.481 69 25.2 6 10.1 9 157.7 125
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2017/09/01  86 Utah St. 10 at   6 Wisconsin 59 166 95.8%
2017/09/09 120 FL-Atlantic 14 at   7 Wisconsin 31 168 99.3%
2017/09/16   8 Wisconsin 40 at  72 BYU 6 135 87.4%
2017/09/30  41 Northwestern 24 at   5 Wisconsin 33 164 91.8%
2017/10/07   6 Wisconsin 38 at  55 Nebraska 17 154 86.7%
2017/10/14  46 Purdue 21 at   6 Wisconsin 34 164 91.6%
2017/10/21  69 Maryland 22 at   6 Wisconsin 39 164 95.5%
2017/10/28   6 Wisconsin 33 at 104 Illinois 18 160 95.9%
2017/11/04   6 Wisconsin 34 at  41 Indiana 25 172 84.1%
2017/11/11  16 Iowa 23 at   6 Wisconsin 30 162 77.9%
2017/11/18   8 Michigan 24 at   6 Wisconsin 27 160 54.7%
2017/11/25   6 Wisconsin 30 at  40 Minnesota 20 159 86.4%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 26.0%
Most difficult game left: November 18, vs Michigan Wolverines, 54.7%


Penn State Nittany Lions
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2017 0.954 3 0.577 38 25.6 5 8.2 4 169.1 78
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2017/09/02 104 Akron 0 at  12 Penn State 52 158 96.0%
2017/09/09  30 Pittsburgh 14 at   6 Penn State 33 162 90.9%
2017/09/16 116 Georgia State 0 at   5 Penn State 56 160 99.0%
2017/09/23   3 Penn State 21 at  24 Iowa 19 172 78.2%
2017/09/30  39 Indiana 14 at   3 Penn State 45 182 92.8%
2017/10/07   4 Penn State 31 at  43 Northwestern 7 179 86.4%
2017/10/21   8 Michigan 22 at   3 Penn State 30 166 78.5%
2017/10/28   3 Penn State 27 at   4 Ohio St. 29 172 38.8%
2017/11/04   3 Penn State 29 at  21 Michigan St. 21 165 83.9%
2017/11/11 122 Rutgers 14 at   3 Penn State 38 168 99.4%
2017/11/18  54 Nebraska 21 at   3 Penn State 35 165 94.3%
2017/11/25   3 Penn State 39 at  69 Maryland 23 170 96.0%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 23.0%
Most difficult game left: October 28, at Ohio State Buckeyes, 38.8%


UCF Knights
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2017 0.751 24 0.367 100 20.3 30 13.4 25 166.3 95
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2017/08/31 111 FIU 17 at  71 UCF 61 171 75.5%
2017/09/23  59 UCF 38 at  63 Maryland 10 167 40.2%
2017/09/30  46 Memphis 13 at  34 UCF 40 178 67.5%
2017/10/07  20 UCF 51 at  87 Cincinnati 23 132 83.0%
2017/10/14 113 East Carolina 22 at  24 UCF 39 172 95.6%
2017/10/21  24 UCF 30 at  49 Navy 28 161 55.9%
2017/11/04  24 UCF 34 at  67 SMU 29 171 73.5%
2017/11/11 121 Connecticut 20 at  24 UCF 37 167 95.8%
2017/11/18  24 UCF 27 at  59 Temple 22 163 73.1%
2017/11/24  32 South Florida 31 at  24 UCF 33 177 60.0%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 16.5%
Most difficult game left: October 21, at Navy Midshipmen, 55.9%


Long Shots

Miami Hurricanes
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2017 0.846 13 0.642 17 20.7 25 10.9 12 172.8 50
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2017/09/23  62 Toledo 30 at  16 Miami-FL 52 183 85.9%
2017/09/29  15 Miami-FL 31 at  22 Duke 6 175 47.4%
2017/10/07  11 Miami-FL 24 at  18 Florida St. 20 176 57.3%
2017/10/14  26 Georgia Tech 26 at  13 Miami-FL 30 165 74.6%
2017/10/21  82 Syracuse 22 at  13 Miami-FL 35 179 93.2%
2017/10/28  13 Miami-FL 31 at  73 North Carolina 24 173 80.6%
2017/11/04  12 Virginia Tech 25 at  13 Miami-FL 27 172 54.5%
2017/11/11   9 Notre Dame 31 at  13 Miami-FL 29 175 46.7%
2017/11/18  56 Virginia 24 at  13 Miami-FL 31 172 82.2%
2017/11/24  13 Miami-FL 32 at  50 Pittsburgh 26 168 79.4%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-10.7
Most difficult game left: November 11, vs Notre Dame Fighting Irish, 46.7%


South Florida Bulls
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2017 0.668 32 0.287 120 22.0 15 16.9 61 188.5 2
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2017/08/26  47 South Florida 42 at 106 SJSU 22 232 84.2%
2017/09/15  73 Illinois 23 at  60 South Florida 47 192 71.6%
2017/09/21  56 Temple 7 at  49 South Florida 43 176 63.2%
2017/09/30  29 South Florida 61 at 107 East Carolina 31 184 86.2%
2017/10/14  88 Cincinnati 27 at  32 South Florida 39 180 86.0%
2017/10/21  32 South Florida 32 at  71 Tulane 29 175 59.5%
2017/10/28  22 Houston 27 at  32 South Florida 30 182 52.3%
2017/11/04  32 South Florida 39 at 121 Connecticut 25 178 91.4%
2017/11/16  83 Tulsa 32 at  32 South Florida 40 185 76.9%
2017/11/24  32 South Florida 31 at  24 UCF 33 177 40.0%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-13.3
Most difficult game left: November 24, at UCF Knights, 40.0%


Washington State Cougars
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2017 0.793 17 0.539 58 22.2 14 13.4 25 177.4 30
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2017/09/09  33 Boise St. 44 at  24 Washington St. 47 200 68.0%
2017/09/16 104 Oregon St. 23 at  29 Washington St. 52 173 92.8%
2017/09/23  89 Nevada 7 at  30 Washington St. 45 160 90.1%
2017/09/29  11 USC 27 at  25 Washington St. 30 171 43.9%
2017/10/07  23 Washington St. 33 at  31 Oregon 10 172 46.3%
2017/10/13  17 Washington St. 34 at  78 California 27 182 78.7%
2017/10/21  45 Colorado 23 at  17 Washington St. 32 176 79.3%
2017/10/28  17 Washington St. 35 at  58 Arizona 32 177 66.5%
2017/11/04  23 Stanford 29 at  17 Washington St. 31 168 60.2%
2017/11/11  17 Washington St. 31 at  51 Utah 26 175 69.0%
2017/11/25  17 Washington St. 27 at   7 Washington 32 168 28.6%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-20.3
Most difficult game left: November 25, at Washington Huskies, 28.6%


TCU Horned Frogs
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2017 0.806 15 0.612 25 20.6 27 12.1 16 177.0 33
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2017/09/09  42 TCU 28 at  36 Arkansas 7 151 33.0%
2017/09/16  94 SMU 36 at  22 TCU 56 176 93.7%
2017/09/23  26 TCU 44 at   9 Oklahoma St. 31 184 21.1%
2017/10/07  33 West Virginia 24 at  15 TCU 31 176 78.2%
2017/10/14  15 TCU 29 at  29 Kansas St. 27 169 54.2%
2017/10/21 123 Kansas 20 at  15 TCU 43 179 98.0%
2017/10/28  15 TCU 30 at  33 Iowa St. 28 174 56.1%
2017/11/04  28 Texas 26 at  15 TCU 30 181 66.0%
2017/11/11  15 TCU 29 at  11 Oklahoma 35 172 34.7%
2017/11/18  15 TCU 35 at  36 Texas Tech 31 183 69.0%
2017/11/24  64 Baylor 25 at  15 TCU 33 180 80.6%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-26.3
Most difficult game left: November 11, at Oklahoma Sooners, 34.7%


What are YOU doing here??

Navy Midshipmen
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2017 0.590 49 0.421 86 21.0 22 18.3 74 156.9 126
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2017/09/01  50 Navy 42 at 120 FL-Atlantic 19 159 81.7%
2017/09/09 105 Tulane 21 at  48 Navy 23 145 90.7%
2017/09/23  78 Cincinnati 32 at  64 Navy 42 167 74.9%
2017/09/30  59 Navy 31 at  70 Tulsa 21 157 46.3%
2017/10/07  68 Air Force 45 at  49 Navy 48 168 70.4%
2017/10/14  49 Navy 31 at  55 Memphis 32 172 44.5%
2017/10/21  24 UCF 30 at  49 Navy 28 161 44.1%
2017/11/02  49 Navy 27 at  59 Temple 26 159 51.8%
2017/11/11  67 SMU 31 at  49 Navy 35 167 65.7%
2017/11/18  49 Navy 27 at   9 Notre Dame 37 167 16.1%
2017/11/24  49 Navy 25 at  22 Houston 27 167 32.2%
2017/12/09  79 Army 26 vs  49 Navy 30 152 67.9%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-425.4
Most difficult game left: November 18, at Notre Dame Fighting Irish, 16.1%


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