Tuesday, October 14, 2014

Week 8: Undefeated ... but for how long? -- TFG


Odds as of games through 2014-10-12


Legitimate Title Contenders

Marshall Thundering Herd
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2014 0.733 31 0.253 126 22.6 18 15.5 49 177.5 27

Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2014/08/30  53 Marshall 42 at 124 Miami-OH 27 186 97.3%
2014/09/13 104 Ohio 14 at  73 Marshall 44 178 84.7%
2014/09/20  59 Marshall 48 at 116 Akron 17 189 87.6%
2014/10/04  39 Marshall 56 at  83 Old Dominion 14 167 70.0%
2014/10/11  84 Middle Tenn. 24 at  29 Marshall 49 191 88.2%
2014/10/18  31 Marshall 33 at 101 FIU 23 173 86.1%
2014/10/25 112 FL-Atlantic 22 at  31 Marshall 40 170 95.4%
2014/11/08  31 Marshall 39 at 121 Southern Miss. 23 173 95.0%
2014/11/15  75 Rice 26 at  31 Marshall 36 171 82.1%
2014/11/22  31 Marshall 39 at  76 UAB 30 174 80.1%
2014/11/28  72 Western Kentucky 29 at  31 Marshall 37 178 77.4%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 39.7%
Most difficult game left: November 28, vs Western Kentucky Hilltoppers, 77.4%



Second-Tier Hopefuls

Baylor Bears
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2014 0.895 7 0.521 52 27.9 3 12.4 22 193.4 1

Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2014/08/31  82 SMU 0 at   7 Baylor 45 192 90.3%
2014/09/12   3 Baylor 63 at  79 Buffalo 21 180 91.8%
2014/09/27   5 Baylor 49 at  60 Iowa St. 28 206 84.9%
2014/10/04  10 Baylor 28 at  25 Texas 7 184 59.8%
2014/10/11   6 TCU 58 at   5 Baylor 61 242 62.5%
2014/10/18   7 Baylor 42 at  53 West Virginia 32 190 80.4%
2014/11/01 113 Kansas 19 at   7 Baylor 41 180 98.1%
2014/11/08   7 Baylor 36 at  12 Oklahoma 35 180 53.5%
2014/11/22  27 Oklahoma St. 33 at   7 Baylor 40 187 74.9%
2014/11/29   7 Baylor 44 vs  77 Texas Tech 27 189 92.7%
2014/12/06  22 Kansas St. 31 at   7 Baylor 37 176 72.0%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 21.1%
Most difficult game left: November 8, at Oklahoma Sooners, 53.5%



Florida State Seminoles
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2014 0.917 3 0.571 41 28.2 1 11.4 15 165.2 92

Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2014/08/30   1 Florida St. 37 vs  10 Oklahoma St. 31 174 83.8%
2014/09/20  28 Clemson 17 at   1 Florida St. 23 170 93.6%
2014/09/27   2 Florida St. 56 at  48 North Carolina St. 41 191 89.7%
2014/10/04  97 Wake Forest 3 at   3 Florida St. 43 163 98.5%
2014/10/11   3 Florida St. 38 at  64 Syracuse 20 162 91.4%
2014/10/18  15 Notre Dame 25 at   3 Florida St. 34 167 77.2%
2014/10/30   3 Florida St. 25 at  10 Louisville 28 163 48.7%
2014/11/08  52 Virginia 23 at   3 Florida St. 37 170 91.0%
2014/11/15   3 Florida St. 35 at  41 Miami-FL 26 163 83.2%
2014/11/22  46 Boston College 24 at   3 Florida St. 35 161 87.2%
2014/11/29  20 Florida 24 at   3 Florida St. 33 167 75.9%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 18.8%
Most difficult game left: October 30, at Louisville Cardinals, 48.7%



Mississippi State Bulldogs
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2014 0.907 6 0.660 17 22.9 15 9.7 5 176.9 31

Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2014/08/30 120 Southern Miss. 0 at  29 Mississippi St. 49 183 97.0%
2014/09/06 104 UAB 34 at  16 Mississippi St. 47 199 97.2%
2014/09/13  21 Mississippi St. 35 at  62 South Alabama 3 178 71.1%
2014/09/20  11 Mississippi St. 34 at   3 LSU 29 176 26.1%
2014/10/04  12 Texas A&M 31 at   9 Mississippi St. 48 199 63.7%
2014/10/11   2 Auburn 23 at  10 Mississippi St. 38 188 42.4%
2014/10/25   6 Mississippi St. 30 at  45 Kentucky 23 172 78.3%
2014/11/01  35 Arkansas 25 at   6 Mississippi St. 32 167 82.6%
2014/11/15   6 Mississippi St. 26 at   1 Alabama 29 165 34.9%
2014/11/22  84 Vanderbilt 20 at   6 Mississippi St. 34 166 94.7%
2014/11/29   6 Mississippi St. 26 at   5 Mississippi 27 173 49.1%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 10.5%
Most difficult game left: November 15, at Alabama Crimson Tide, 34.9%



Long Shots

Mississippi Rebels
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2014 0.910 5 0.644 20 20.7 26 8.6 2 170.6 57

Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2014/08/28  31 Boise St. 13 vs  33 Mississippi 35 185 49.1%
2014/09/06  25 Mississippi 41 at  66 Vanderbilt 3 160 67.4%
2014/09/13 100 LA-Lafayette 15 at  14 Mississippi 56 164 97.3%
2014/09/27  67 Memphis 3 at  14 Mississippi 24 173 93.1%
2014/10/04   1 Alabama 17 at   6 Mississippi 23 167 37.2%
2014/10/11   4 Mississippi 35 at  17 Texas A&M 20 170 55.8%
2014/10/18  28 Tennessee 21 at   5 Mississippi 29 170 85.7%
2014/10/25   5 Mississippi 26 at  13 LSU 25 164 51.4%
2014/11/01   2 Auburn 27 at   5 Mississippi 30 171 52.2%
2014/11/22   5 Mississippi 29 at  35 Arkansas 24 164 80.4%
2014/11/29   6 Mississippi St. 26 at   5 Mississippi 27 173 50.9%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-10.6
Most difficult game left: November 29, vs Mississippi State Bulldogs, 50.9%



Notre Dame Fighting Irish
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2014 0.844 15 0.572 39 20.6 28 11.0 9 168.8 75

Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2014/08/30  60 Rice 17 at  26 Notre Dame 48 156 74.0%
2014/09/06  33 Michigan 0 at  21 Notre Dame 31 154 76.5%
2014/09/13 111 Purdue 14 vs   7 Notre Dame 30 168 97.6%
2014/09/27  15 Notre Dame 31 vs  52 Syracuse 15 175 83.1%
2014/10/04   5 Stanford 14 at  16 Notre Dame 17 170 50.1%
2014/10/11  59 North Carolina 43 at  14 Notre Dame 50 201 89.4%
2014/10/18  15 Notre Dame 25 at   3 Florida St. 34 167 22.8%
2014/11/01  15 Notre Dame 30 at  65 Navy 23 164 81.7%
2014/11/08  15 Notre Dame 33 at  40 Arizona St. 30 173 70.4%
2014/11/15  47 Northwestern 21 at  15 Notre Dame 29 172 80.1%
2014/11/22  10 Louisville 25 at  15 Notre Dame 23 164 43.3%
2014/11/29  15 Notre Dame 28 at  24 USC 25 169 62.8%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-35.0
Most difficult game left: October 18, at Florida State Seminoles, 22.8%


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