Tuesday, November 28, 2017

Week 15: Undefeated ... but for how long? — RBA

Odds as of games through 2017-11-26

Absolute Phonies

UCF Knights
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2017 0.671 29 0.466 90 21.4 19 14.3 44 165.4 93
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2017/08/31 119 FIU 17 at  81 UCF 61 171 76.0%
2017/09/23  73 UCF 38 at  74 Maryland 10 167 43.6%
2017/09/30  57 Memphis 13 at  66 UCF 40 178 37.1%
2017/10/07  38 UCF 51 at  96 Cincinnati 23 132 67.8%
2017/10/14 114 East Carolina 21 at  35 UCF 63 178 85.9%
2017/10/21  34 UCF 31 at  55 Navy 21 161 40.8%
2017/11/04  26 UCF 31 at  81 SMU 24 194 74.1%
2017/11/11 114 Connecticut 24 at  25 UCF 49 180 88.3%
2017/11/18  28 UCF 45 at  77 Temple 19 173 72.5%
2017/11/24  34 South Florida 42 at  29 UCF 49 203 50.4%
2017/12/02  43 Memphis 28 at  29 UCF 35 168 59.0%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 59.0%
Most difficult game left: December 2, vs Memphis Tigers, 59.0%


What are YOU doing here??

Wisconsin Badgers
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2017 0.854 2 0.533 50 22.1 14 8.2 2 160.4 124
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2017/09/01  94 Utah St. 10 at   8 Wisconsin 59 166 93.4%
2017/09/09 124 FL-Atlantic 14 at   7 Wisconsin 31 168 97.6%
2017/09/16   9 Wisconsin 40 at  31 BYU 6 135 76.1%
2017/09/30  50 Northwestern 24 at   3 Wisconsin 33 164 85.7%
2017/10/07   9 Wisconsin 38 at  64 Nebraska 17 154 90.1%
2017/10/14  46 Purdue 9 at   9 Wisconsin 17 148 83.9%
2017/10/21  90 Maryland 13 at   8 Wisconsin 38 152 92.7%
2017/10/28   6 Wisconsin 24 at 109 Illinois 10 150 95.9%
2017/11/04   7 Wisconsin 45 at  54 Indiana 17 157 82.2%
2017/11/11  21 Iowa 14 at   6 Wisconsin 38 146 71.5%
2017/11/18   8 Michigan 10 at   5 Wisconsin 24 151 53.7%
2017/11/25   2 Wisconsin 31 at  58 Minnesota 0 129 82.2%
2017/12/02   4 Ohio St. 21 vs   2 Wisconsin 31 161 50.0%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 50.0%
Most difficult game left: December 2, vs Ohio State Buckeyes, 50.0%



One-Loss Hopefuls
Odds as of games through 2017-11-26

Alabama Crimson Tide
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2017 0.942 1 0.555 9 26.2 2 6.3 1 158.0 130
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2017/09/02  12 Florida St. 7 vs   1 Alabama 24 148 91.3%
2017/09/09 126 Fresno St. 10 at   1 Alabama 41 151 99.6%
2017/09/16  54 Colorado St. 23 at   1 Alabama 41 160 96.3%
2017/09/23   1 Alabama 59 at  42 Vanderbilt 0 158 91.7%
2017/09/30  55 Mississippi 3 at   1 Alabama 66 159 89.4%
2017/10/07   1 Alabama 27 at  26 Texas A&M 19 162 91.2%
2017/10/14  65 Arkansas 9 at   1 Alabama 41 163 96.1%
2017/10/21  67 Tennessee 7 at   1 Alabama 45 160 96.6%
2017/11/04  36 LSU 10 at   1 Alabama 24 159 94.7%
2017/11/11   1 Alabama 31 at  18 Mississippi St. 24 155 88.4%
2017/11/25   1 Alabama 14 at   6 Auburn 26 163 80.7%


Odds of finishing with one loss: 100.0%
Clemson Tigers
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2017 0.844 5 0.538 40 21.1 22 8.5 4 170.3 40
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2017/09/02 116 Kent St. 3 at   7 Clemson 56 158 97.0%
2017/09/09   8 Auburn 6 at   2 Clemson 14 160 54.7%
2017/09/16   2 Clemson 47 at  29 Louisville 21 180 81.0%
2017/09/23  96 Boston College 7 at   2 Clemson 34 176 97.7%
2017/09/30   2 Clemson 31 at  10 Virginia Tech 17 165 74.7%
2017/10/07  45 Wake Forest 14 at   2 Clemson 28 183 90.2%
2017/10/13   2 Clemson 24 at  75 Syracuse 27 174 94.5%
2017/10/28  21 Georgia Tech 10 at   4 Clemson 24 161 80.7%
2017/11/04   3 Clemson 38 at  36 North Carolina St. 31 186 80.0%
2017/11/11  55 Florida St. 14 at   4 Clemson 31 165 87.4%
2017/11/25   5 Clemson 34 at  39 South Carolina 10 161 79.9%
2017/12/02  20 Miami-FL 21 vs   5 Clemson 24 167 71.3%


Odds of finishing with one loss: 71.3%
Most difficult game left: December 2, vs Miami Hurricanes, 71.3%


Oklahoma Sooners
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2017 0.802 12 0.542 32 27.9 1 13.7 33 172.5 20
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2017/09/02 127 UTEP 7 at  11 Oklahoma 56 146 97.6%
2017/09/09  10 Oklahoma 31 at   4 Ohio St. 16 163 22.3%
2017/09/16  96 Tulane 14 at   7 Oklahoma 56 161 96.1%
2017/09/23   7 Oklahoma 49 at  66 Baylor 41 179 85.4%
2017/10/07  51 Iowa St. 38 at  10 Oklahoma 31 150 83.6%
2017/10/14  14 Oklahoma 29 vs  26 Texas 24 177 71.2%
2017/10/21  13 Oklahoma 42 at  23 Kansas St. 35 157 58.4%
2017/10/28  46 Texas Tech 27 at  18 Oklahoma 49 179 72.1%
2017/11/04  16 Oklahoma 62 at  12 Oklahoma St. 52 195 43.6%
2017/11/11  11 TCU 20 at  15 Oklahoma 38 158 53.4%
2017/11/18  14 Oklahoma 41 at 124 Kansas 3 166 97.0%
2017/11/25  31 West Virginia 31 at  12 Oklahoma 59 152 67.7%
2017/12/02   9 TCU 28 vs  12 Oklahoma 35 171 55.2%


Odds of finishing with one loss: 55.2%
Most difficult game left: December 2, vs TCU Horned Frogs, 55.2%


Georgia Bulldogs
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2017 0.830 7 0.545 28 24.5 7 10.0 9 160.2 125
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2017/09/02  63 Appalachian St. 10 at  37 Georgia 31 160 64.9%
2017/09/09  24 Georgia 20 at  19 Notre Dame 19 188 43.3%
2017/09/23  25 Mississippi St. 3 at  22 Georgia 31 147 45.7%
2017/09/30  16 Georgia 41 at  56 Tennessee 0 152 59.9%
2017/10/07   8 Georgia 45 at  24 Vanderbilt 14 145 59.7%
2017/10/14 112 Missouri 28 at   8 Georgia 53 155 97.2%
2017/10/28  12 Georgia 42 vs  15 Florida 7 138 62.8%
2017/11/04  38 South Carolina 10 at   9 Georgia 24 146 76.4%
2017/11/11   9 Georgia 17 at   5 Auburn 40 163 53.6%
2017/11/18  59 Kentucky 13 at   9 Georgia 42 140 87.3%
2017/11/25   7 Georgia 38 at  57 Georgia Tech 7 133 75.4%
2017/12/02   7 Georgia 21 vs   6 Auburn 24 161 49.1%


Odds of finishing with one loss: 49.1%
Most difficult game left: December 2, vs Auburn Tigers, 49.1%


Miami Hurricanes
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2017 0.724 20 0.548 22 19.0 42 12.8 24 164.4 104
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2017/09/23  62 Toledo 30 at  15 Miami-FL 52 183 78.0%
2017/09/29  14 Miami-FL 31 at  53 Duke 6 175 77.6%
2017/10/07  11 Miami-FL 24 at  21 Florida St. 20 176 61.7%
2017/10/14  21 Georgia Tech 24 at  10 Miami-FL 25 162 72.6%
2017/10/21  71 Syracuse 19 at  10 Miami-FL 27 192 88.3%
2017/10/28  16 Miami-FL 24 at  59 North Carolina 19 195 82.9%
2017/11/04   5 Virginia Tech 10 at  18 Miami-FL 28 156 39.0%
2017/11/11  13 Notre Dame 8 at  17 Miami-FL 41 153 58.5%
2017/11/18  89 Virginia 28 at  18 Miami-FL 44 152 82.3%
2017/11/24  20 Miami-FL 14 at  46 Pittsburgh 24 162 67.9%
2017/12/02  20 Miami-FL 21 vs   5 Clemson 24 167 28.7%


Odds of finishing with one loss: 28.7%
Most difficult game left: December 2, vs Clemson Tigers, 28.7%


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