Tuesday, November 21, 2017

Week 14: Undefeated ... but for how long? — TFG

Odds as of games through 2017-11-19

Legitimate Title Contenders

Wisconsin Badgers
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2017 0.931 2 0.554 51 24.8 6 9.4 4 154.8 129
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2017/09/01  86 Utah St. 10 at   6 Wisconsin 59 166 95.8%
2017/09/09 120 FL-Atlantic 14 at   7 Wisconsin 31 168 99.3%
2017/09/16   8 Wisconsin 40 at  72 BYU 6 135 87.4%
2017/09/30  41 Northwestern 24 at   5 Wisconsin 33 164 91.8%
2017/10/07   6 Wisconsin 38 at  55 Nebraska 17 154 86.7%
2017/10/14  46 Purdue 9 at   6 Wisconsin 17 148 91.5%
2017/10/21  75 Maryland 13 at   5 Wisconsin 38 152 95.4%
2017/10/28   6 Wisconsin 24 at 120 Illinois 10 150 96.8%
2017/11/04   8 Wisconsin 45 at  60 Indiana 17 157 87.9%
2017/11/11  12 Iowa 14 at   7 Wisconsin 38 146 68.2%
2017/11/18  14 Michigan 10 at   4 Wisconsin 24 151 68.8%
2017/11/25   2 Wisconsin 32 at  72 Minnesota 19 156 93.9%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 93.9%
Most difficult game left: November 25, at Minnesota Golden Gophers, 93.9%


Second-Tier Hopefuls

Alabama Crimson Tide
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2017 0.968 1 0.577 43 25.7 5 7.2 1 164.5 99
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2017/09/02   8 Florida St. 7 vs   1 Alabama 24 148 87.7%
2017/09/09 121 Fresno St. 10 at   1 Alabama 41 151 99.8%
2017/09/16  65 Colorado St. 23 at   1 Alabama 41 160 97.7%
2017/09/23   2 Alabama 59 at  41 Vanderbilt 0 158 87.8%
2017/09/30  61 Mississippi 3 at   1 Alabama 66 159 98.3%
2017/10/07   1 Alabama 27 at  35 Texas A&M 19 162 95.5%
2017/10/14  70 Arkansas 9 at   1 Alabama 41 163 98.7%
2017/10/21  76 Tennessee 7 at   1 Alabama 45 160 98.8%
2017/11/04  23 LSU 10 at   1 Alabama 24 159 94.1%
2017/11/11   1 Alabama 31 at  18 Mississippi St. 24 155 89.2%
2017/11/25   1 Alabama 29 at   3 Auburn 25 168 72.2%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 72.2%
Most difficult game left: November 25, at Auburn Tigers, 72.2%


UCF Knights
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2017 0.757 21 0.387 93 20.7 21 13.5 29 172.2 57
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2017/08/31 111 FIU 17 at  71 UCF 61 171 75.5%
2017/09/23  59 UCF 38 at  63 Maryland 10 167 40.2%
2017/09/30  46 Memphis 13 at  34 UCF 40 178 67.5%
2017/10/07  20 UCF 51 at  87 Cincinnati 23 132 83.0%
2017/10/14 113 East Carolina 21 at  24 UCF 63 178 95.6%
2017/10/21  20 UCF 31 at  51 Navy 21 161 57.9%
2017/11/04  19 UCF 31 at  68 SMU 24 194 76.4%
2017/11/11 116 Connecticut 24 at  19 UCF 49 180 94.5%
2017/11/18  22 UCF 45 at  68 Temple 19 173 76.7%
2017/11/24  32 South Florida 28 at  21 UCF 31 178 62.7%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 62.7%
Most difficult game left: November 24, vs South Florida Bulls, 62.7%


Absolute Phonies

Miami Hurricanes
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2017 0.851 11 0.592 35 21.5 17 11.2 13 170.0 67
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2017/09/23  62 Toledo 30 at  16 Miami-FL 52 183 85.9%
2017/09/29  15 Miami-FL 31 at  22 Duke 6 175 47.4%
2017/10/07  11 Miami-FL 24 at  18 Florida St. 20 176 57.3%
2017/10/14  26 Georgia Tech 24 at  13 Miami-FL 25 162 74.6%
2017/10/21  64 Syracuse 19 at  13 Miami-FL 27 192 89.0%
2017/10/28  15 Miami-FL 24 at  91 North Carolina 19 195 85.0%
2017/11/04   7 Virginia Tech 10 at  20 Miami-FL 28 156 27.5%
2017/11/11   6 Notre Dame 8 at  13 Miami-FL 41 153 38.2%
2017/11/18  81 Virginia 28 at   9 Miami-FL 44 152 91.5%
2017/11/24  11 Miami-FL 32 at  62 Pittsburgh 23 165 84.3%
2017/12/02  11 Miami-FL 26 vs   7 Clemson 28 170 35.9%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 30.3%
Most difficult game left: December 2, vs Clemson Tigers, 35.9%



One-Loss Hopefuls
Odds as of games through 2017-11-19

Georgia Bulldogs
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2017 0.913 5 0.609 22 23.3 9 9.6 6 156.8 124
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2017/09/02  21 Appalachian St. 10 at  43 Georgia 31 160 50.1%
2017/09/09  19 Georgia 20 at  15 Notre Dame 19 188 34.5%
2017/09/23  11 Mississippi St. 3 at  21 Georgia 31 147 49.2%
2017/09/30  10 Georgia 41 at  52 Tennessee 0 152 75.9%
2017/10/07   7 Georgia 45 at  83 Vanderbilt 14 145 93.1%
2017/10/14 103 Missouri 28 at   5 Georgia 53 155 98.2%
2017/10/28   8 Georgia 42 vs  42 Florida 7 138 85.9%
2017/11/04  49 South Carolina 10 at   5 Georgia 24 146 92.6%
2017/11/11   3 Georgia 17 at  10 Auburn 40 163 60.9%
2017/11/18  66 Kentucky 13 at   7 Georgia 42 140 91.0%
2017/11/25   5 Georgia 32 at  36 Georgia Tech 24 158 86.5%


Odds of finishing with one loss: 86.5%
Most difficult game left: November 25, at Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets, 86.5%


Oklahoma Sooners
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2017 0.851 10 0.545 56 28.6 1 14.9 44 172.8 48
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2017/09/02 121 UTEP 7 at  10 Oklahoma 56 146 98.3%
2017/09/09   9 Oklahoma 31 at   5 Ohio St. 16 163 22.1%
2017/09/16  90 Tulane 14 at   6 Oklahoma 56 161 97.7%
2017/09/23   6 Oklahoma 49 at  65 Baylor 41 179 87.6%
2017/10/07  59 Iowa St. 38 at  10 Oklahoma 31 150 91.3%
2017/10/14  11 Oklahoma 29 vs  28 Texas 24 177 71.7%
2017/10/21  11 Oklahoma 42 at  40 Kansas St. 35 157 67.3%
2017/10/28  53 Texas Tech 27 at  13 Oklahoma 49 179 86.6%
2017/11/04  12 Oklahoma 62 at  13 Oklahoma St. 52 195 47.0%
2017/11/11   9 TCU 20 at  15 Oklahoma 38 158 42.5%
2017/11/18  13 Oklahoma 41 at 124 Kansas 3 166 98.1%
2017/11/25  45 West Virginia 30 at  10 Oklahoma 40 178 80.4%


Odds of finishing with one loss: 80.4%
Most difficult game left: November 25, vs West Virginia Mountaineers, 80.4%


Clemson Tigers
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2017 0.911 7 0.639 14 22.0 13 9.2 3 171.6 61
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2017/09/02 116 Kent St. 3 at   3 Clemson 56 158 99.2%
2017/09/09   8 Auburn 6 at   3 Clemson 14 160 79.4%
2017/09/16   2 Clemson 47 at  25 Louisville 21 180 84.2%
2017/09/23  79 Boston College 7 at   1 Clemson 34 176 98.4%
2017/09/30   2 Clemson 31 at   7 Virginia Tech 17 165 63.0%
2017/10/07  40 Wake Forest 14 at   2 Clemson 28 183 95.6%
2017/10/13   2 Clemson 24 at  82 Syracuse 27 174 95.9%
2017/10/28  25 Georgia Tech 10 at   4 Clemson 24 161 90.2%
2017/11/04   4 Clemson 38 at  28 North Carolina St. 31 186 86.8%
2017/11/11  45 Florida St. 14 at   5 Clemson 31 165 91.3%
2017/11/25   7 Clemson 29 at  49 South Carolina 19 167 88.8%
2017/12/02  11 Miami-FL 26 vs   7 Clemson 28 170 64.1%


Odds of finishing with one loss: 56.9%
Most difficult game left: December 2, vs Miami Hurricanes, 64.1%


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