Tuesday, November 14, 2017

Week 13: Undefeated ... but for how long? — TFG

Odds as of games through 2017-11-12

Legitimate Title Contenders

Miami Hurricanes
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2017 0.872 9 0.632 18 21.0 18 10.2 10 171.6 59
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2017/09/23  62 Toledo 30 at  16 Miami-FL 52 183 85.9%
2017/09/29  15 Miami-FL 31 at  22 Duke 6 175 47.4%
2017/10/07  11 Miami-FL 24 at  18 Florida St. 20 176 57.3%
2017/10/14  26 Georgia Tech 24 at  13 Miami-FL 25 162 74.6%
2017/10/21  64 Syracuse 19 at  13 Miami-FL 27 192 89.0%
2017/10/28  15 Miami-FL 24 at  91 North Carolina 19 195 85.0%
2017/11/04   7 Virginia Tech 10 at  20 Miami-FL 28 156 27.5%
2017/11/11   6 Notre Dame 8 at  13 Miami-FL 41 153 38.2%
2017/11/18  81 Virginia 21 at   9 Miami-FL 33 170 91.5%
2017/11/24   9 Miami-FL 32 at  60 Pittsburgh 23 166 86.4%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 79.1%
Most difficult game left: November 24, at Pittsburgh Panthers, 86.4%


Alabama Crimson Tide
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2017 0.967 1 0.579 42 25.4 5 7.1 1 164.2 101
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2017/09/02   8 Florida St. 7 vs   1 Alabama 24 148 87.7%
2017/09/09 121 Fresno St. 10 at   1 Alabama 41 151 99.8%
2017/09/16  65 Colorado St. 23 at   1 Alabama 41 160 97.7%
2017/09/23   2 Alabama 59 at  41 Vanderbilt 0 158 87.8%
2017/09/30  61 Mississippi 3 at   1 Alabama 66 159 98.3%
2017/10/07   1 Alabama 27 at  35 Texas A&M 19 162 95.5%
2017/10/14  70 Arkansas 9 at   1 Alabama 41 163 98.7%
2017/10/21  76 Tennessee 7 at   1 Alabama 45 160 98.8%
2017/11/04  23 LSU 10 at   1 Alabama 24 159 94.1%
2017/11/11   1 Alabama 31 at  18 Mississippi St. 24 155 89.2%
2017/11/25   1 Alabama 29 at   5 Auburn 26 168 73.3%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 73.3%
Most difficult game left: November 25, at Auburn Tigers, 73.3%


Second-Tier Hopefuls

Wisconsin Badgers
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2017 0.916 4 0.496 68 24.2 7 9.9 7 153.5 128
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2017/09/01  86 Utah St. 10 at   6 Wisconsin 59 166 95.8%
2017/09/09 120 FL-Atlantic 14 at   7 Wisconsin 31 168 99.3%
2017/09/16   8 Wisconsin 40 at  72 BYU 6 135 87.4%
2017/09/30  41 Northwestern 24 at   5 Wisconsin 33 164 91.8%
2017/10/07   6 Wisconsin 38 at  55 Nebraska 17 154 86.7%
2017/10/14  46 Purdue 9 at   6 Wisconsin 17 148 91.5%
2017/10/21  75 Maryland 13 at   5 Wisconsin 38 152 95.4%
2017/10/28   6 Wisconsin 24 at 120 Illinois 10 150 96.8%
2017/11/04   8 Wisconsin 45 at  60 Indiana 17 157 87.9%
2017/11/11  12 Iowa 14 at   7 Wisconsin 38 146 68.2%
2017/11/18  14 Michigan 23 at   4 Wisconsin 27 155 68.7%
2017/11/25   4 Wisconsin 30 at  43 Minnesota 21 156 88.8%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 61.0%
Most difficult game left: November 18, vs Michigan Wolverines, 68.7%


UCF Knights
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2017 0.751 22 0.387 94 20.5 22 13.5 29 171.3 63
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2017/08/31 111 FIU 17 at  71 UCF 61 171 75.5%
2017/09/23  59 UCF 38 at  63 Maryland 10 167 40.2%
2017/09/30  46 Memphis 13 at  34 UCF 40 178 67.5%
2017/10/07  20 UCF 51 at  87 Cincinnati 23 132 83.0%
2017/10/14 113 East Carolina 21 at  24 UCF 63 178 95.6%
2017/10/21  20 UCF 31 at  51 Navy 21 161 57.9%
2017/11/04  19 UCF 31 at  68 SMU 24 194 76.4%
2017/11/11 116 Connecticut 24 at  19 UCF 49 180 94.5%
2017/11/18  22 UCF 30 at  68 Temple 24 169 76.7%
2017/11/24  29 South Florida 29 at  22 UCF 31 178 61.0%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 46.8%
Most difficult game left: November 24, vs South Florida Bulls, 61.0%



One-Loss Hopefuls
Odds as of games through 2017-11-12

Clemson Tigers
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2017 0.915 6 0.654 11 22.2 15 9.1 2 171.5 60
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2017/09/02 116 Kent St. 3 at   3 Clemson 56 158 99.2%
2017/09/09   8 Auburn 6 at   3 Clemson 14 160 79.4%
2017/09/16   2 Clemson 47 at  25 Louisville 21 180 84.2%
2017/09/23  79 Boston College 7 at   1 Clemson 34 176 98.4%
2017/09/30   2 Clemson 31 at   7 Virginia Tech 17 165 63.0%
2017/10/07  40 Wake Forest 14 at   2 Clemson 28 183 95.6%
2017/10/13   2 Clemson 24 at  82 Syracuse 27 174 95.9%
2017/10/28  25 Georgia Tech 10 at   4 Clemson 24 161 90.2%
2017/11/04   4 Clemson 38 at  28 North Carolina St. 31 186 86.8%
2017/11/11  45 Florida St. 14 at   5 Clemson 31 165 91.3%
2017/11/25   6 Clemson 29 at  47 South Carolina 19 167 89.5%


Odds of finishing with one loss: 89.5%
Most difficult game left: November 25, at South Carolina Gamecocks, 89.5%


Oklahoma Sooners
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2017 0.833 13 0.614 25 29.2 1 15.9 50 172.5 53
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2017/09/02 121 UTEP 7 at  10 Oklahoma 56 146 98.3%
2017/09/09   9 Oklahoma 31 at   5 Ohio St. 16 163 22.1%
2017/09/16  90 Tulane 14 at   6 Oklahoma 56 161 97.7%
2017/09/23   6 Oklahoma 49 at  65 Baylor 41 179 87.6%
2017/10/07  59 Iowa St. 38 at  10 Oklahoma 31 150 91.3%
2017/10/14  11 Oklahoma 29 vs  28 Texas 24 177 71.7%
2017/10/21  11 Oklahoma 42 at  40 Kansas St. 35 157 67.3%
2017/10/28  53 Texas Tech 27 at  13 Oklahoma 49 179 86.6%
2017/11/04  12 Oklahoma 62 at  13 Oklahoma St. 52 195 47.0%
2017/11/11   9 TCU 20 at  15 Oklahoma 38 158 42.5%
2017/11/18  13 Oklahoma 47 at 124 Kansas 23 175 98.0%
2017/11/25  36 West Virginia 32 at  13 Oklahoma 40 179 75.4%


Odds of finishing with one loss: 73.9%
Most difficult game left: November 25, vs West Virginia Mountaineers, 75.4%


Georgia Bulldogs
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2017 0.906 7 0.623 21 22.6 12 9.6 5 157.6 125
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2017/09/02  21 Appalachian St. 10 at  43 Georgia 31 160 50.1%
2017/09/09  19 Georgia 20 at  15 Notre Dame 19 188 34.5%
2017/09/23  11 Mississippi St. 3 at  21 Georgia 31 147 49.2%
2017/09/30  10 Georgia 41 at  52 Tennessee 0 152 75.9%
2017/10/07   7 Georgia 45 at  83 Vanderbilt 14 145 93.1%
2017/10/14 103 Missouri 28 at   5 Georgia 53 155 98.2%
2017/10/28   8 Georgia 42 vs  42 Florida 7 138 85.9%
2017/11/04  49 South Carolina 10 at   5 Georgia 24 146 92.6%
2017/11/11   3 Georgia 17 at  10 Auburn 40 163 60.9%
2017/11/18  65 Kentucky 21 at   7 Georgia 32 161 91.0%
2017/11/25   7 Georgia 30 at  25 Georgia Tech 25 158 79.4%


Odds of finishing with one loss: 72.3%
Most difficult game left: November 25, at Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets, 79.4%


Follow us on Twitter at @TFGridiron and @TFGLiveOdds.

No comments:

Post a Comment