Tuesday, November 21, 2017

Week 14: Undefeated ... but for how long? — RBA

Odds as of games through 2017-11-19

Legitimate Title Contenders

Wisconsin Badgers
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2017 0.846 5 0.534 50 21.9 16 8.8 3 160.5 123
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2017/09/01  94 Utah St. 10 at   8 Wisconsin 59 166 93.4%
2017/09/09 124 FL-Atlantic 14 at   7 Wisconsin 31 168 97.6%
2017/09/16   9 Wisconsin 40 at  31 BYU 6 135 76.1%
2017/09/30  50 Northwestern 24 at   3 Wisconsin 33 164 85.7%
2017/10/07   9 Wisconsin 38 at  64 Nebraska 17 154 90.1%
2017/10/14  46 Purdue 9 at   9 Wisconsin 17 148 83.9%
2017/10/21  90 Maryland 13 at   8 Wisconsin 38 152 92.7%
2017/10/28   6 Wisconsin 24 at 109 Illinois 10 150 95.9%
2017/11/04   7 Wisconsin 45 at  54 Indiana 17 157 82.2%
2017/11/11  21 Iowa 14 at   6 Wisconsin 38 146 71.5%
2017/11/18   8 Michigan 10 at   5 Wisconsin 24 151 53.7%
2017/11/25   5 Wisconsin 34 at  42 Minnesota 17 162 82.2%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 82.2%
Most difficult game left: November 25, at Minnesota Golden Gophers, 82.2%


Alabama Crimson Tide
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2017 0.952 1 0.555 9 26.3 2 6.2 1 158.0 130
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2017/09/02  12 Florida St. 7 vs   1 Alabama 24 148 91.3%
2017/09/09 126 Fresno St. 10 at   1 Alabama 41 151 99.6%
2017/09/16  54 Colorado St. 23 at   1 Alabama 41 160 96.3%
2017/09/23   1 Alabama 59 at  42 Vanderbilt 0 158 91.7%
2017/09/30  55 Mississippi 3 at   1 Alabama 66 159 89.4%
2017/10/07   1 Alabama 27 at  26 Texas A&M 19 162 91.2%
2017/10/14  65 Arkansas 9 at   1 Alabama 41 163 96.1%
2017/10/21  67 Tennessee 7 at   1 Alabama 45 160 96.6%
2017/11/04  35 LSU 10 at   1 Alabama 24 159 94.7%
2017/11/11   1 Alabama 31 at  18 Mississippi St. 24 155 88.4%
2017/11/25   1 Alabama 27 at   4 Auburn 21 159 80.7%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 80.7%
Most difficult game left: November 25, at Auburn Tigers, 80.7%


Long Shots

UCF Knights
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2017 0.652 27 0.466 90 19.7 35 13.5 32 165.3 94
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2017/08/31 119 FIU 17 at  81 UCF 61 171 76.0%
2017/09/23  73 UCF 38 at  74 Maryland 10 167 43.6%
2017/09/30  57 Memphis 13 at  66 UCF 40 178 37.1%
2017/10/07  38 UCF 51 at  96 Cincinnati 23 132 67.8%
2017/10/14 114 East Carolina 21 at  35 UCF 63 178 85.9%
2017/10/21  34 UCF 31 at  55 Navy 21 161 40.8%
2017/11/04  26 UCF 31 at  81 SMU 24 194 74.1%
2017/11/11 114 Connecticut 24 at  25 UCF 49 180 88.3%
2017/11/18  27 UCF 45 at  77 Temple 19 173 72.5%
2017/11/24  30 South Florida 27 at  27 UCF 28 167 50.4%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 50.4%
Most difficult game left: November 24, vs South Florida Bulls, 50.4%


What are YOU doing here??

Miami Hurricanes
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2017 0.725 18 0.548 24 20.1 29 12.5 25 164.4 106
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2017/09/23  62 Toledo 30 at  15 Miami-FL 52 183 78.0%
2017/09/29  14 Miami-FL 31 at  53 Duke 6 175 77.6%
2017/10/07  11 Miami-FL 24 at  21 Florida St. 20 176 61.7%
2017/10/14  21 Georgia Tech 24 at  10 Miami-FL 25 162 72.6%
2017/10/21  71 Syracuse 19 at  10 Miami-FL 27 192 88.3%
2017/10/28  16 Miami-FL 24 at  59 North Carolina 19 195 82.9%
2017/11/04   5 Virginia Tech 10 at  18 Miami-FL 28 156 39.0%
2017/11/11  13 Notre Dame 8 at  17 Miami-FL 41 153 58.5%
2017/11/18  89 Virginia 28 at  18 Miami-FL 44 152 82.3%
2017/11/24  18 Miami-FL 31 at  50 Pittsburgh 24 164 67.9%
2017/12/02  18 Miami-FL 24 vs   7 Clemson 25 167 28.7%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 19.5%
Most difficult game left: December 2, vs Clemson Tigers, 28.7%



One-Loss Hopefuls
Odds as of games through 2017-11-19

Georgia Bulldogs
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2017 0.819 9 0.545 28 23.9 7 10.6 11 160.3 125
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2017/09/02  63 Appalachian St. 10 at  37 Georgia 31 160 64.9%
2017/09/09  24 Georgia 20 at  19 Notre Dame 19 188 43.3%
2017/09/23  25 Mississippi St. 3 at  22 Georgia 31 147 45.7%
2017/09/30  16 Georgia 41 at  56 Tennessee 0 152 59.9%
2017/10/07   8 Georgia 45 at  24 Vanderbilt 14 145 59.7%
2017/10/14 112 Missouri 28 at   8 Georgia 53 155 97.2%
2017/10/28  12 Georgia 42 vs  15 Florida 7 138 62.8%
2017/11/04  38 South Carolina 10 at   9 Georgia 24 146 76.4%
2017/11/11   9 Georgia 17 at   5 Auburn 40 163 53.6%
2017/11/18  59 Kentucky 13 at   9 Georgia 42 140 87.3%
2017/11/25   9 Georgia 27 at  41 Georgia Tech 24 161 75.4%


Odds of finishing with one loss: 75.4%
Most difficult game left: November 25, at Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets, 75.4%


Oklahoma Sooners
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2017 0.787 14 0.542 32 26.9 1 13.5 32 172.6 19
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2017/09/02 127 UTEP 7 at  11 Oklahoma 56 146 97.6%
2017/09/09  10 Oklahoma 31 at   4 Ohio St. 16 163 22.3%
2017/09/16  96 Tulane 14 at   7 Oklahoma 56 161 96.1%
2017/09/23   7 Oklahoma 49 at  66 Baylor 41 179 85.4%
2017/10/07  51 Iowa St. 38 at  10 Oklahoma 31 150 83.6%
2017/10/14  14 Oklahoma 29 vs  26 Texas 24 177 71.2%
2017/10/21  13 Oklahoma 42 at  23 Kansas St. 35 157 58.4%
2017/10/28  46 Texas Tech 27 at  18 Oklahoma 49 179 72.1%
2017/11/04  16 Oklahoma 62 at  12 Oklahoma St. 52 195 43.6%
2017/11/11  11 TCU 20 at  15 Oklahoma 38 158 53.4%
2017/11/18  14 Oklahoma 41 at 124 Kansas 3 166 97.0%
2017/11/25  26 West Virginia 24 at  14 Oklahoma 41 172 67.7%


Odds of finishing with one loss: 67.7%
Most difficult game left: November 25, vs West Virginia Mountaineers, 67.7%


Clemson Tigers
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2017 0.844 7 0.538 40 20.9 23 8.7 2 170.3 40
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2017/09/02 116 Kent St. 3 at   7 Clemson 56 158 97.0%
2017/09/09   8 Auburn 6 at   2 Clemson 14 160 54.7%
2017/09/16   2 Clemson 47 at  29 Louisville 21 180 81.0%
2017/09/23  96 Boston College 7 at   2 Clemson 34 176 97.7%
2017/09/30   2 Clemson 31 at  10 Virginia Tech 17 165 74.7%
2017/10/07  45 Wake Forest 14 at   2 Clemson 28 183 90.2%
2017/10/13   2 Clemson 24 at  75 Syracuse 27 174 94.5%
2017/10/28  21 Georgia Tech 10 at   4 Clemson 24 161 80.7%
2017/11/04   3 Clemson 38 at  35 North Carolina St. 31 186 80.0%
2017/11/11  55 Florida St. 14 at   4 Clemson 31 165 87.4%
2017/11/25   7 Clemson 28 at  33 South Carolina 24 164 79.9%
2017/12/02  18 Miami-FL 24 vs   7 Clemson 25 167 71.3%


Odds of finishing with one loss: 57.0%
Most difficult game left: December 2, vs Miami Hurricanes, 71.3%


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