Tuesday, November 18, 2014

Week 13: Undefeated ... but for how long? — RBA

Odds as of games through 2014-11-16

Second-Tier Hopefuls

Florida State Seminoles
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2014 0.859 3 0.540 36 26.4 3 10.7 12 165.8 86
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2014/08/30   1 Florida St. 37 vs  14 Oklahoma St. 31 174 85.7%
2014/09/20  25 Clemson 17 at   1 Florida St. 23 170 82.6%
2014/09/27   1 Florida St. 56 at  77 North Carolina St. 41 191 96.9%
2014/10/04  90 Wake Forest 3 at   5 Florida St. 43 163 97.7%
2014/10/11   2 Florida St. 38 at  57 Syracuse 20 162 88.1%
2014/10/18  21 Notre Dame 27 at   3 Florida St. 31 172 68.5%
2014/10/30   3 Florida St. 42 at  22 Louisville 31 177 31.2%
2014/11/08  66 Virginia 20 at   3 Florida St. 34 169 88.2%
2014/11/15   3 Florida St. 30 at  28 Miami-FL 26 158 79.7%
2014/11/22  53 Boston College 20 at   3 Florida St. 41 166 87.5%
2014/11/29  19 Florida 20 at   3 Florida St. 35 163 67.4%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 59.0%
Most difficult game left: November 29, vs Florida Gators, 67.4%


Marshall Thundering Herd
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2014 0.679 29 0.471 87 22.1 16 13.7 40 169.6 37
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2014/08/30  56 Marshall 42 at 125 Miami-OH 27 186 95.8%
2014/09/13 119 Ohio 14 at  49 Marshall 44 178 94.4%
2014/09/20  53 Marshall 48 at 110 Akron 17 189 79.1%
2014/10/04  45 Marshall 56 at  91 Old Dominion 14 167 69.2%
2014/10/11  85 Middle Tenn. 24 at  32 Marshall 49 191 69.6%
2014/10/18  30 Marshall 45 at 114 FIU 13 167 91.7%
2014/10/25  96 FL-Atlantic 16 at  29 Marshall 35 176 89.7%
2014/11/08  29 Marshall 63 at 120 Southern Miss. 17 159 93.3%
2014/11/15  75 Rice 14 at  29 Marshall 41 164 77.7%
2014/11/22  29 Marshall 38 at  82 UAB 28 167 79.1%
2014/11/28  70 Western Kentucky 21 at  29 Marshall 41 165 74.5%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 58.9%
Most difficult game left: November 28, vs Western Kentucky Hilltoppers, 74.5%



One-Loss Hopefuls
Odds as of games through 2014-11-16

Ohio State Buckeyes
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2014 0.845 7 0.524 59 27.2 2 11.4 15 161.1 121
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2014/08/30   9 Ohio St. 34 vs  62 Navy 17 143 85.5%
2014/09/06  56 Virginia Tech 35 at  10 Ohio St. 21 179 79.2%
2014/09/13 103 Kent St. 0 at  23 Ohio St. 66 175 94.0%
2014/09/27  40 Cincinnati 28 at  14 Ohio St. 50 181 63.8%
2014/10/04   8 Ohio St. 52 at  52 Maryland 24 168 86.4%
2014/10/18  53 Rutgers 17 at   8 Ohio St. 56 160 83.5%
2014/10/25   7 Ohio St. 31 at  46 Penn State 24 189 81.7%
2014/11/01  81 Illinois 14 at   7 Ohio St. 55 171 93.8%
2014/11/08   8 Ohio St. 49 at  12 Michigan St. 37 176 42.8%
2014/11/15   7 Ohio St. 31 at  39 Minnesota 24 153 86.5%
2014/11/22  73 Indiana 17 at   7 Ohio St. 48 166 91.3%
2014/11/29  51 Michigan 17 at   7 Ohio St. 38 163 83.6%


Odds of finishing with one loss: 76.3%
Most difficult game left: November 29, vs Michigan Wolverines, 83.6%


Alabama Crimson Tide
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2014 0.909 1 0.551 13 24.5 10 7.6 2 156.3 128
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2014/08/30  70 West Virginia 23 vs   2 Alabama 33 178 96.6%
2014/09/06 112 FL-Atlantic 0 at   2 Alabama 41 133 98.6%
2014/09/13 122 Southern Miss. 12 at   2 Alabama 52 153 99.0%
2014/09/20  21 Florida 21 at   2 Alabama 42 170 66.2%
2014/10/04   1 Alabama 17 at   3 Mississippi 23 167 54.9%
2014/10/11   1 Alabama 14 at  19 Arkansas 13 158 67.3%
2014/10/18  14 Texas A&M 0 at   1 Alabama 59 160 63.9%
2014/10/25   1 Alabama 34 at  31 Tennessee 20 169 82.6%
2014/11/08   1 Alabama 20 at   4 LSU 13 187 68.5%
2014/11/15  17 Mississippi St. 20 at   1 Alabama 25 179 78.3%
2014/11/29  12 Auburn 20 at   1 Alabama 31 158 73.7%


Odds of finishing with one loss: 73.7%
Most difficult game left: November 29, vs Auburn Tigers, 73.7%


Oregon Ducks
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2014 0.788 16 0.531 51 25.6 6 13.9 42 177.6 2
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2014/09/06   4 Michigan St. 27 at   7 Oregon 46 184 56.5%
2014/09/13  95 Wyoming 14 at   9 Oregon 48 161 94.9%
2014/09/20   8 Oregon 38 at  77 Washington St. 31 175 87.7%
2014/10/02  40 Arizona 31 at  15 Oregon 24 187 76.1%
2014/10/11  20 Oregon 42 at  28 UCLA 30 186 36.2%
2014/10/18  26 Washington 20 at  17 Oregon 45 181 59.3%
2014/10/24  15 Oregon 59 vs  76 California 41 205 86.0%
2014/11/01   8 Stanford 16 at  17 Oregon 45 172 58.9%
2014/11/08  16 Oregon 51 at  40 Utah 27 173 68.0%
2014/11/22  87 Colorado 21 at  16 Oregon 48 173 88.0%
2014/11/29  16 Oregon 38 at  66 Oregon St. 27 174 80.3%


Odds of finishing with one loss: 70.7%
Most difficult game left: November 29, at Oregon State Beavers, 80.3%


TCU Horned Frogs
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2014 0.854 5 0.480 78 23.1 14 11.7 17 169.3 43
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2014/09/13  56 Minnesota 7 at  41 TCU 30 170 57.2%
2014/09/27  23 TCU 56 at 111 SMU 0 187 86.5%
2014/10/04  13 Oklahoma 33 at  14 TCU 37 191 30.6%
2014/10/11   9 TCU 58 at   5 Baylor 61 242 44.6%
2014/10/18  25 Oklahoma St. 9 at  10 TCU 42 176 58.2%
2014/10/25  72 Texas Tech 27 at   6 TCU 82 190 88.7%
2014/11/01   4 TCU 31 at  45 West Virginia 30 186 87.3%
2014/11/08  15 Kansas St. 20 at   7 TCU 41 171 66.6%
2014/11/15   5 TCU 34 at  97 Kansas 30 174 96.5%
2014/11/27   5 TCU 31 at  24 Texas 24 169 71.1%
2014/12/06  50 Iowa St. 20 at   5 TCU 42 170 82.9%


Odds of finishing with one loss: 58.9%
Most difficult game left: November 27, at Texas Longhorns, 71.1%


Baylor Bears
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2014 0.826 9 0.558 6 26.2 4 11.4 15 177.0 4
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2014/08/31  72 SMU 0 at   6 Baylor 45 192 90.5%
2014/09/12   3 Baylor 63 at  91 Buffalo 21 180 92.9%
2014/09/27  11 Baylor 49 at  41 Iowa St. 28 206 85.1%
2014/10/04   6 Baylor 28 at  30 Texas 7 184 68.1%
2014/10/11   9 TCU 58 at   5 Baylor 61 242 55.4%
2014/10/18   5 Baylor 27 at  61 West Virginia 41 209 89.1%
2014/11/01 111 Kansas 14 at  12 Baylor 60 172 96.8%
2014/11/08  11 Baylor 48 at  13 Oklahoma 14 185 47.4%
2014/11/22  42 Oklahoma St. 21 at   9 Baylor 41 176 78.3%
2014/11/29   9 Baylor 48 vs  78 Texas Tech 24 178 89.2%
2014/12/06  13 Kansas St. 27 at   9 Baylor 34 170 52.7%


Odds of finishing with one loss: 36.8%
Most difficult game left: December 6, vs Kansas State Wildcats, 52.7%


Mississippi State Bulldogs
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2014 0.786 17 0.555 9 20.5 26 10.7 13 163.8 108
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2014/08/30 120 Southern Miss. 0 at  17 Mississippi St. 49 183 97.7%
2014/09/06 100 UAB 34 at  28 Mississippi St. 47 199 96.2%
2014/09/13  32 Mississippi St. 35 at  79 South Alabama 3 178 84.6%
2014/09/20  27 Mississippi St. 34 at   3 LSU 29 176 25.4%
2014/10/04  11 Texas A&M 31 at  21 Mississippi St. 48 199 30.5%
2014/10/11   6 Auburn 23 at  21 Mississippi St. 38 188 36.6%
2014/10/25  16 Mississippi St. 45 at  66 Kentucky 31 188 76.7%
2014/11/01  18 Arkansas 10 at  19 Mississippi St. 17 168 50.6%
2014/11/15  17 Mississippi St. 20 at   1 Alabama 25 179 21.7%
2014/11/22  83 Vanderbilt 14 at  17 Mississippi St. 38 162 88.6%
2014/11/29  17 Mississippi St. 21 at   2 Mississippi 27 164 25.4%


Odds of finishing with one loss: 22.5%
Most difficult game left: November 29, at Mississippi Rebels, 25.4%


Follow us on Twitter at @TFGridiron and @TFGLiveOdds.