| Rank | +/- | Team | WinPct | SoS | Adjusted | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Off. | Def. | Pace | |||||||||
| 1 | -- | Alabama | 0.987 | 0.626 | 14 | 39.6 | 1 | 7.1 | 1 | 146.7 | 120 |
| 2 | -- | LSU | 0.938 | 0.585 | 23 | 33.2 | 4 | 11.2 | 2 | 155.8 | 110 |
| 3 | -- | Boise St. | 0.886 | 0.464 | 75 | 33.3 | 3 | 14.6 | 10 | 158.8 | 92 |
| 4 | +7 | Florida St. | 0.883 | 0.507 | 61 | 29.4 | 12 | 13.1 | 5 | 154.1 | 113 |
| 5 | -1 | Oklahoma | 0.875 | 0.585 | 24 | 25.6 | 24 | 11.8 | 3 | 176.5 | 12 |
| 6 | -- | Stanford | 0.864 | 0.552 | 38 | 32.9 | 5 | 15.7 | 17 | 157.1 | 101 |
| 7 | -2 | Wisconsin | 0.847 | 0.552 | 37 | 34.1 | 2 | 17.2 | 29 | 152.1 | 118 |
| 8 | -- | Oregon | 0.844 | 0.580 | 27 | 31.1 | 7 | 15.8 | 18 | 181.7 | 6 |
| 9 | +1 | South Carolina | 0.838 | 0.490 | 67 | 27.3 | 18 | 14.1 | 8 | 156.6 | 104 |
| 10 | -3 | TCU | 0.834 | 0.377 | 104 | 29.5 | 10 | 15.5 | 14 | 157.0 | 103 |
| 11 | +5 | Notre Dame | 0.820 | 0.573 | 31 | 24.5 | 29 | 13.3 | 6 | 163.3 | 64 |
| 12 | +9 | Texas A&M | 0.809 | 0.608 | 19 | 22.9 | 37 | 12.9 | 4 | 182.5 | 5 |
| 13 | +2 | Oklahoma St. | 0.809 | 0.600 | 20 | 30.3 | 8 | 17.0 | 26 | 183.3 | 3 |
| 14 | -2 | Texas | 0.802 | 0.442 | 80 | 26.5 | 20 | 15.1 | 13 | 160.9 | 79 |
| 15 | +4 | Florida | 0.796 | 0.648 | 8 | 25.9 | 22 | 15.0 | 12 | 158.3 | 95 |
| 16 | -3 | Ohio St. | 0.790 | 0.521 | 57 | 27.4 | 17 | 16.1 | 19 | 160.5 | 85 |
| 17 | -3 | USC | 0.788 | 0.593 | 22 | 27.8 | 16 | 16.4 | 20 | 163.6 | 63 |
| 18 | -9 | Michigan St. | 0.787 | 0.616 | 16 | 23.5 | 34 | 13.9 | 7 | 160.9 | 80 |
| 19 | +5 | Nebraska | 0.772 | 0.571 | 33 | 26.8 | 19 | 16.4 | 21 | 165.2 | 50 |
| 20 | +3 | West Virginia | 0.743 | 0.532 | 48 | 29.5 | 11 | 19.3 | 47 | 172.2 | 21 |
| 21 | -1 | Georgia | 0.743 | 0.491 | 66 | 28.7 | 14 | 18.8 | 39 | 165.1 | 51 |
| 22 | NA | Cincinnati | 0.729 | 0.538 | 46 | 25.3 | 25 | 17.1 | 28 | 166.9 | 41 |
| 23 | +2 | Kansas St. | 0.713 | 0.559 | 35 | 30.2 | 9 | 21.0 | 60 | 155.4 | 112 |
| 24 | -6 | Michigan | 0.704 | 0.554 | 36 | 32.5 | 6 | 23.0 | 72 | 158.1 | 99 |
| 25 | NA | Missouri | 0.703 | 0.647 | 10 | 21.1 | 57 | 14.9 | 11 | 173.0 | 17 |
Rankings through games of 2012-09-16
For the sake of college football, would someone please beat Alabama?
Or at least make a competitive game out of it? The Crimson Tide now has the highest expected win percentage of any team from the last 12 years (our game database only goes back to the 2000-01 season). I'm starting to run out of ways to describe the recent dominance of Alabama, but here's the best I can do:
Last year when we counted down the best BCS champions going back to 2003-2004, the top two teams were the 2005 Texas Longhorns and the 2008 Florida Gators. This year's Alabama squad would be 4-to-1 favorites against those teams.
That's not a typo: four-to-one favorites.
What, exactly, does a four-to-one favorite look like? Well this past week my system said that Georgia Tech was 79% likely to beat UVa (final score: Tech 56, UVa 20); San Jose State was 78% likely to beat Colorado State (SJSU 40, CSU 20); and Texas was 82% likely to beat Mississippi (Texas 66, Ole Miss 31).
So for the sake of college football, my writing, and so we don't have to hear more talk of how the SEC is THE GREATEST CONFERENCE IN THE HISTORY OF COLLEGE FOOTBALL CONFERENCES .... would someone please beat Alabama? Or would at least one of the other teams step up and give them a run for their money, either on the field or in the rankings? I don't care who it is: LSU, Florida State, Oklahoma, Oregon, Stanford, TCU ... anyone, really.
Just ... please?
New entries: Cincinnati, Missouri.
Dropped out: Arkansas, Virginia Tech.
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