Tuesday, December 15, 2009

Week 16: Top 25 -- RBA

My apologies for not posting rankings last week.  I've been fighting illness for about a week now.  Without further ado, here we go with the pre-bowl season RBA Top 25.

Rank
+/-
Team
WinPct
SoS
Off Pts
Def Pts
Pace
001
+1
TCU
1.0000
0.4480
23.2
7.3
82.2
002
+1
Boise St.
0.9916
0.4173
26.6
11.7
82.4
003
+3
Alabama
0.9830
0.5474
20.4
6.9
80.0
004
-3
Texas
0.9830
0.5000
23.5
8.5
88.1
005
--
Cincinnati
0.9661
0.4667
22.1
13.2
83.5
006
+2
Iowa
0.9609
0.5410
15.2
9.8
79.9
007
-3
Florida
0.9578
0.5402
21.8
7.1
76.9
008
+2
Ohio St.
0.9483
0.4964
18.2
7.6
80.6
009
-2
Virginia Tech
0.9442
0.5672
20.7
9.2
80.2
010
+1
Penn State
0.9356
0.4836
17.1
7.9
79.4
011
-2
Oregon
0.9313
0.5571
22.7
12.6
88.2
012
--
Pittsburgh
0.9153
0.5250
20.9
13.0
79.6
013
+8
Nebraska
0.8938
0.5034
15.3
6.9
81.9
014
+3
Georgia Tech
0.8938
0.4812
22.5
16.2
78.2
015
--
Texas Tech
0.8858
0.5078
20.3
11.8
92.3
016
-2
Stanford
0.8848
0.4710
22.7
16.3
80.2
017
-1
LSU
0.8844
0.5000
16.1
9.5
80.4
018
+6
West Virginia
0.8807
0.5289
16.0
12.0
82.6
019
-1
BYU
0.8744
0.4254
19.7
13.8
82.8
020
+2
Miami-FL
0.8739
0.5454
19.4
13.2
82.5
021
-8
Clemson
0.8578
0.5746
18.9
13.1
83.5
022
-3
Oklahoma
0.8402
0.6032
18.2
8.0
90.3
023
-3
Oregon St.
0.8318
0.5512
20.0
13.9
83.8
024
NA
Arkansas
0.8271
0.5952
25.5
16.2
83.9
025
NA
Arizona
0.8206
0.5781
18.7
12.8
84.0

New entries (from week 14):  Arkansas, Arizona

Dropped out (from week 14):  Houston, Ohio

Championship weekend seems to have clarified things for RBA.  (1) TCU faces off with (2) Boise State in your Fiesta Bowl national championship game.  Let the conspiracy theories begin about how the AQ conference champions are unfairly excluded access to the title game to avoid making the AQ conferences look bad.

According to RBA, (3) Alabama and (4) Texas are left on the outside looking in.  This outcome occurs because, although Alabama clubbed (7) Florida like a baby seal in the SEC championship game, they still squeaked by two five-loss SEC teams: (34) Tennessee and (41) Auburn.  We all know how close Texas came to losing to (13) Nebraska, and Texas can't disguise the fact that they struggled mightily against the only two top 25 teams on their schedule:  Nebraska and (22) Oklahoma.

Aside from the shuffling of national title games from the BCS's arrangement, the most WTF component of the RBA top 25 is Nebraska.  The Huskers reached up to #13 despite a 9-4 record.  This standing is entirely based on their defense's ability to keep them in ball games in spite of an abysmal offensive.  Personally, I wouldn't rank them that high, but I understand where a computer would see little shame in losing three games by a total of four points.  That 21 point loss to (15) Texas Tech hurts, though.