Tuesday, November 15, 2016

Week 12: Undefeated ... but for how long? — TFG

Odds as of games through 2016-11-13

Legitimate Title Contenders

Alabama Crimson Tide
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2016 0.980 1 0.680 6 27.0 4 6.2 1 165.4 97
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2016/09/03  23 USC 6 vs   1 Alabama 52 162 87.7%
2016/09/10  23 Western Kentucky 10 at   1 Alabama 38 173 95.8%
2016/09/17   1 Alabama 48 at  14 Mississippi 43 189 89.2%
2016/09/24 126 Kent St. 0 at   2 Alabama 48 149 99.8%
2016/10/01  89 Kentucky 6 at   1 Alabama 34 154 99.2%
2016/10/08   2 Alabama 49 at  22 Arkansas 30 163 90.7%
2016/10/15   1 Alabama 49 at  14 Tennessee 10 167 83.6%
2016/10/22  11 Texas A&M 14 at   1 Alabama 33 177 93.1%
2016/11/05   1 Alabama 10 at   5 LSU 0 144 79.5%
2016/11/12  44 Mississippi St. 3 at   1 Alabama 51 176 96.9%
2016/11/26   8 Auburn 22 at   1 Alabama 30 166 88.0%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 88.0%
Most difficult game left: November 26, vs Auburn Tigers, 88.0%


Western Michigan Broncos
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2016 0.758 20 0.345 112 23.3 9 15.2 45 159.5 118
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2016/09/03  46 Western Michigan 22 at  72 Northwestern 21 155 51.5%
2016/09/17  58 Western Michigan 34 at  84 Illinois 10 153 59.4%
2016/09/24  56 Georgia Southern 31 at  44 Western Michigan 49 156 70.0%
2016/10/01  36 Western Michigan 49 at  70 Central Michigan 10 144 62.1%
2016/10/08  87 Northern Ill. 30 at  23 Western Michigan 45 175 90.0%
2016/10/15  26 Western Michigan 41 at  83 Akron 0 169 76.8%
2016/10/22 105 Eastern Michigan 31 at  12 Western Michigan 45 173 96.2%
2016/11/01  15 Western Michigan 52 at 102 Ball St. 20 168 90.1%
2016/11/08  16 Western Michigan 37 at 113 Kent St. 21 154 92.9%
2016/11/19 128 Buffalo 21 at  20 Western Michigan 39 166 96.7%
2016/11/25  36 Toledo 29 at  20 Western Michigan 32 165 60.1%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 58.1%
Most difficult game left: November 25, vs Toledo Rockets, 60.1%



One-Loss Hopefuls
Odds as of games through 2016-11-13

Clemson Tigers
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2016 0.889 5 0.638 17 22.5 14 10.3 8 182.0 15
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2016/09/03   5 Clemson 19 at  29 Auburn 13 174 59.9%
2016/09/10  96 Troy 24 at   4 Clemson 30 198 96.4%
2016/09/22  11 Clemson 26 at  34 Georgia Tech 7 162 56.4%
2016/10/01  20 Louisville 36 at   9 Clemson 42 194 72.9%
2016/10/07   6 Clemson 56 at  68 Boston College 10 164 84.5%
2016/10/15  32 North Carolina St. 17 at   4 Clemson 24 190 86.5%
2016/10/29   5 Clemson 37 at  19 Florida St. 34 179 62.4%
2016/11/05  77 Syracuse 0 at   6 Clemson 54 182 93.0%
2016/11/12  47 Pittsburgh 43 at   4 Clemson 42 195 88.6%
2016/11/19   5 Clemson 30 at  76 Wake Forest 18 172 93.1%
2016/11/26  78 South Carolina 19 at   5 Clemson 32 171 93.1%


Odds of finishing with one loss: 86.7%
Most difficult game left: November 19, at Wake Forest Demon Deacons, 93.1%


Louisville Cardinals
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2016 0.877 7 0.477 75 27.4 2 13.1 21 169.3 78
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2016/09/01 129 Charlotte 14 at  47 Louisville 70 171 98.2%
2016/09/09  36 Louisville 62 at  75 Syracuse 28 216 59.9%
2016/09/17   5 Florida St. 20 at  31 Louisville 63 168 37.5%
2016/09/24  22 Louisville 59 at  75 Marshall 28 186 76.5%
2016/10/01  20 Louisville 36 at   9 Clemson 42 194 27.1%
2016/10/14  64 Duke 14 at  16 Louisville 24 142 85.7%
2016/10/22  30 North Carolina St. 13 at  14 Louisville 54 174 75.0%
2016/10/29  10 Louisville 32 at  75 Virginia 25 170 84.2%
2016/11/05  10 Louisville 52 at  90 Boston College 7 155 88.4%
2016/11/12  73 Wake Forest 12 at   8 Louisville 44 165 91.6%
2016/11/17   7 Louisville 35 at  31 Houston 27 172 75.3%
2016/11/26  72 Kentucky 25 at   7 Louisville 39 167 91.6%


Odds of finishing with one loss: 69.0%
Most difficult game left: November 17, at Houston Cougars, 75.3%


Ohio State Buckeyes
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2016 0.971 2 0.556 42 28.2 1 7.5 2 168.1 82
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2016/09/03  32 Bowling Green 10 at   2 Ohio St. 77 195 90.5%
2016/09/10  71 Tulsa 3 at   2 Ohio St. 48 168 98.0%
2016/09/17   2 Ohio St. 45 at  16 Oklahoma 24 165 86.9%
2016/10/01  85 Rutgers 0 at   2 Ohio St. 58 169 98.7%
2016/10/08  64 Indiana 17 at   1 Ohio St. 38 169 98.6%
2016/10/15   3 Ohio St. 30 at   6 Wisconsin 23 174 73.4%
2016/10/22   3 Ohio St. 21 at  40 Penn State 24 174 90.2%
2016/10/29  40 Northwestern 20 at   3 Ohio St. 24 167 94.5%
2016/11/05  25 Nebraska 3 at   3 Ohio St. 62 166 87.7%
2016/11/12   3 Ohio St. 62 at  81 Maryland 3 176 97.1%
2016/11/19   2 Ohio St. 37 at  48 Michigan St. 22 165 95.7%
2016/11/26   3 Michigan 28 at   2 Ohio St. 29 163 56.3%


Odds of finishing with one loss: 53.9%
Most difficult game left: November 26, vs Michigan Wolverines, 56.3%


Washington Huskies
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2016 0.842 9 0.498 65 23.8 8 12.7 19 167.2 86
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2016/09/03  97 Rutgers 13 at  11 Washington 48 176 95.1%
2016/09/10 109 Idaho 14 at   9 Washington 59 165 97.2%
2016/09/24  10 Washington 35 at  71 Arizona 28 170 80.7%
2016/09/30   6 Stanford 6 at  18 Washington 44 143 44.4%
2016/10/08   8 Washington 70 at  31 Oregon 21 185 68.0%
2016/10/22  92 Oregon St. 17 at   6 Washington 41 153 96.1%
2016/10/29   8 Washington 31 at  36 Utah 24 164 67.7%
2016/11/05   8 Washington 66 at  59 California 27 181 83.0%
2016/11/12  23 USC 26 at   7 Washington 13 155 74.2%
2016/11/19  64 Arizona St. 27 at   9 Washington 37 173 83.8%
2016/11/25   9 Washington 31 at  14 Washington St. 30 170 57.9%


Odds of finishing with one loss: 48.5%
Most difficult game left: November 25, at Washington State Cougars, 57.9%


Michigan Wolverines
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2016 0.963 3 0.512 60 27.3 3 8.0 3 159.8 117
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2016/09/03 119 Hawaii 3 at   4 Michigan 63 142 98.7%
2016/09/10 125 UCF 14 at   3 Michigan 51 177 99.6%
2016/09/17  54 Colorado 28 at   3 Michigan 45 176 91.6%
2016/09/24  52 Penn State 10 at   3 Michigan 49 161 92.0%
2016/10/01   5 Wisconsin 7 at   3 Michigan 14 157 71.7%
2016/10/08   3 Michigan 78 at  96 Rutgers 0 163 97.6%
2016/10/22  91 Illinois 8 at   2 Michigan 41 148 99.1%
2016/10/29   2 Michigan 32 at  62 Michigan St. 23 159 95.3%
2016/11/05  68 Maryland 3 at   2 Michigan 59 153 97.0%
2016/11/12   2 Michigan 13 at  41 Iowa 14 153 94.2%
2016/11/19  70 Indiana 21 at   3 Michigan 39 172 97.1%
2016/11/26   3 Michigan 28 at   2 Ohio St. 29 163 43.7%


Odds of finishing with one loss: 42.4%
Most difficult game left: November 26, at Ohio State Buckeyes, 43.7%


Washington State Cougars
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2016 0.795 14 0.505 62 22.6 12 13.6 25 173.9 50
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2016/09/10  51 Washington St. 28 at  14 Boise St. 31 179 17.3%
2016/09/17 103 Idaho 6 at  44 Washington St. 56 178 92.9%
2016/10/01  29 Oregon 33 at  23 Washington St. 51 176 63.9%
2016/10/08  25 Washington St. 42 at  17 Stanford 16 159 32.1%
2016/10/15  41 UCLA 21 at  18 Washington St. 27 173 76.0%
2016/10/22  16 Washington St. 37 at  60 Arizona St. 32 159 67.1%
2016/10/29  21 Washington St. 35 at  90 Oregon St. 31 171 79.0%
2016/11/05  83 Arizona 7 at  29 Washington St. 69 166 82.3%
2016/11/12  60 California 21 at  18 Washington St. 56 202 79.4%
2016/11/19  14 Washington St. 29 at  16 Colorado 27 177 52.1%
2016/11/25   9 Washington 31 at  14 Washington St. 30 170 42.1%


Odds of finishing with one loss: 21.9%
Most difficult game left: November 25, vs Washington Huskies, 42.1%


West Virginia Mountaineers
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2016 0.720 25 0.506 61 17.6 57 12.4 16 178.5 30
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2016/09/03  79 Missouri 11 at  26 West Virginia 26 215 87.0%
2016/09/24  48 BYU 32 vs  20 West Virginia 35 175 70.6%
2016/10/01  30 Kansas St. 16 at  27 West Virginia 17 174 64.0%
2016/10/15  24 West Virginia 48 at  56 Texas Tech 17 182 60.2%
2016/10/22  32 TCU 10 at  21 West Virginia 34 161 72.5%
2016/10/29  12 West Virginia 20 at  51 Oklahoma St. 37 173 65.5%
2016/11/05 128 Kansas 21 at  20 West Virginia 48 178 98.1%
2016/11/12  26 West Virginia 24 at  48 Texas 20 197 59.0%
2016/11/19  13 Oklahoma 32 at  25 West Virginia 28 176 38.3%
2016/11/26  25 West Virginia 31 at  86 Iowa St. 23 176 83.5%
2016/12/03  45 Baylor 28 at  25 West Virginia 30 186 61.0%


Odds of finishing with one loss: 19.5%
Most difficult game left: November 19, vs Oklahoma Sooners, 38.3%


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